CK/wangichu's Think Tank

[socrates01]

Nice call on the over fellas!

[cocknocker]

Game 4 I am taking Orlando-140 moneyline. And since it doesn't make sense to buy down such a small spread, I suggest the moneyline, which is cheaper than taking Orlando to +.5 (-170). I think the over is the call of choice as well. In this game Orlando blows the Lakers out. But game 5 however, the Lakers will turn the tables and blow them out.

[cs11787]

CK,
Orlando shot 62.5% in Gm 3 along with 23/30 fts. Shooting that good they still only beat LA by 4. And we all know Lakers should respond to this loss. Theyd have to shoot 80% to blow LA out. Can you elaborate on your pick?

[Dexter]

Game 4:

Lakers +3 (5x)

[RICHIE801]

CK,
Orlando shot 62.5% in Gm 3 along with 23/30 fts. Shooting that good they still only beat LA by 4. And we all know Lakers should respond to this loss. Theyd have to shoot 80% to blow LA out. Can you elaborate on your pick?

Not really, LA shot 14 more FG. Also you take Kobe's 11-25(far from mj status) away, LA shot 29 of 53 which is close to the 60% mark. I dont see Gasol goin 9-11 again either.

[Biff Webster]

Orlando shot well but they also had 36 points in the paint. Shooting percentage goes up when you are close to the basket.

[BCaldwell32]

Dwight Howard consistently shoots close to 60!!! If they move the ball around, they should be able to break down the Lakers defense and either get Howard in the paint for some easy shots or get it out to the open man for the easy jumpers. Orlando has their confidence back and I agree with CK that Orlando blows them out tonight but I disagree that they lose game 5. They could lose in a close game 5, but I feel they win all 3 at home.

Orlando in 7

[RICHIE801]

Orlando shot well but they also had 36 points in the paint. Shooting percentage goes up when you are close to the basket.

Indeed. They shot only 15 3's while LA put up 23. I think Orlando realized that 3 was gonna kill em' like it did LA in game 3 I look for Orlando to shoot about 15-20 3pt. attempts tonight, we'll see if they are shooting well again tonight. If they shoot 20 attempts from 3 and hit less than 10 they could be in trouble, LA and Kobe will be on tonight I'm assuming being they are 6-0 after a playoff loss this post season which is why I dont know what I'm a bet on this game still.

[BL]

Last Game i went 2-0 with Lakers +4,5 + the OVER
Game4 Pick:

Under 201,5 -110

the game will be more like they played in the second half.

Good Luck to all!

[Danskeren]

gm 4 pick:

Kobe over 31.5 points Big.

Any thoughts on this call?

[GGPLAYER]

CK,
Orlando shot 62.5% in Gm 3 along with 23/30 fts. Shooting that good they still only beat LA by 4. And we all know Lakers should respond to this loss. Theyd have to shoot 80% to blow LA out. Can you elaborate on your pick?

I agree. In the Magic's 3 wins over LAL this year they have won by only 3, 6 and 4 points. They were lights out Tues and only won by 4 points....not sure how they suddently blow them out tonight? If the thinking is they will blow them out why not just take the -2 to -2.5 spread and save the juice?

[Bob Roberts]

I agree. In the Magic's 3 wins over LAL this year they have won by only 3, 6 and 4 points. They were lights out Tues and only won by 4 points....not sure how they suddently blow them out tonight? If the thinking is they will blow them out why not just take the -2 to -2.5 spread and save the juice?

the lakers also had a great shooting night.... I don't know why everyone keeps ignoring this, the lakers shot 51.3%, on 40-78 shooting..... and keep in mind they missed 5 shots near the end jacking up desperation 3 pointers..... secondly, the magic shot a ridiculous 75% in the first half, and only finished with 62.5% for the game, meaning the second half was actually not a good shooting display.....

[lakerboy]

this game looks like an under too me

[The_Kid]

the lakers also had a great shooting night.... I don't know why everyone keeps ignoring this, the lakers shot 51.3%, on 40-78 shooting..... and keep in mind they missed 5 shots near the end jacking up desperation 3 pointers..... secondly, the magic shot a ridiculous 75% in the first half, and only finished with 62.5% for the game, meaning the second half was actually not a good shooting display.....

Yeah, but it also took a near perfect game from Rafer Alston for them to finally win a game! That will NEVER happen again in this series and Kobe also missed five free throws! I doubt that will happen again either.

[Bob Roberts]

Yeah, but it also took a near perfect game from Rafer Alston for them to finally win a game! That will NEVER happen again in this series and Kobe also missed five free throws! I doubt that will happen again either.

good point.... rafer had his one good game and I wouldn't count on him doing that again.... I am making the under my big play, and going small on the magic.... I will also take my chances with lakers team total under 99.5...

[NBA Hero]

im banking on lakers to get back in the winning column. orl is a dangerous team and cant be taken for granted. lakers should know that after they got trash last finals. im expecting some veteran reminder from fisher, main reason why he is still there. same as the one he gave during a timeout on game2.

fisher: " this is the one we have waiting for. for all the practice, reg games, etc "

you guys get the idea.

[coolmil]

Magic guards are beating on Kobe. He is a great player maybe the best ever but he is getting a lot of elbows and bumps. If he comes out in first half and trys to take over, LA loses again. IMHO Magic put the wood to them tonight. Sunday may be a different story.

[BTTNext]

Booked a beautiful teaser of LA +7.5 and over 193.5. BOL.

[RoagBettor]

So is Orlando the play tonight for certain?

[cs11787]

Small play
LAL ML +105

[cocknocker]

The over is the choice on the total. I am waiting until gametime before I take it.

The line movement suggests that a play on the under is the appropriate play after further review and watching the line. With 61% on the over the line went down from 204 to 201.5. A close hotly contested game is on the horizon. I am also going with the Orlando-130 moneyline.

[lakerboy]

The line movement suggests that a play on the under is the appropriate play after further review and watching the line. With 61% on the over the line went down from 204 to 201.5. A close hotly contested game is on the horizon. I am also going with the Orlando-130 moneyline.

agree with you on the under but why magic

[jalein]

I just dont see a repeat performance from the magic.

The Magic shot lights out in game 3. LIGHTS OUT. Yet the Lakers were in the game until the final 40 seconds. Kobe missed FT's that he normally doesnt miss. The issue here is sustainability and I dont see the super human, high shooting percentage effort being duplicated in two successive games. I respect the big dogs on the board CK, Dexter, Milt, Wang etc, etc. But, I am going Lakers.

I also think the irritated did you hit a wall factor for Kobe is gonna have him good and riled up. So long as Kobe is his usual smart self, and he involves Gasol, and Odum I like the Lakers in a closely contested game. And as long as I am putting my foot in my mouth, I also see the over cashing this game too.

LAL ML
OVER 201

BOL all.

[cocknocker]

agree with you on the under but why magic

The Magic will win this one that's why. I have the Lakers winning the next two in a row though (Games 5 and 6) after this one. But an Orlando blowout needs to happen to throw a monkey wrench into everyting and get people off the Lakers for game 5. Then the Lakers will come out in game 5 and blow out the Magic when the public jumps ship on them. Game 6 the Lakers win, but don't cover a 7 point spread. Then you guys don't have any more basketball to bet on and must come and join us on the dark side wagering on baseball.

[Razz_Donkey]

The Magic will win this one that's why. I have the Lakers winning the next two in a row though (Games 5 and 6) after this one. But an Orlando blowout needs to happen to throw a monkey wrench into everyting and get people off the Lakers for game 5. Then the Lakers will come out in game 5 and blow out the Magic when the public jumps ship on them. Game 6 the Lakers win, but don't cover a 7 point spread. Then you guys don't have any more basketball to bet on and must come and join us on the dark side wagering on baseball.

Couldn't agree more CK. I think you have this series nailed.

[Vreston]

Orlando ML is now at -120.48 (1.83 decimal odds) at my book.
Does that say anything to you CK?
Makes the Orlando ML play much more tempting.

[RICHIE801]

Orlando -1.5 and UNDER 201.5 for me.

[cs11787]

Hey Richie if I were you bro Id go ahead and pay a lil more for the ML. I couldnt tell you how many times ive seen games win by 1 point when the spread is less than 3. I dont know about u but id rather pay a little extra to not get really pissed off and losing more money in the end by a half point.

[Vreston]

Hey Richie if I were you bro Id go ahead and pay a lil more for the ML. I couldnt tell you how many times ive seen games win by 1 point when the spread is less than 3. I dont know about u but id rather pay a little extra to not get really pissed off and losing more money in the end by a half point.

I agree. At -120 ML why risk it if you're on Orlando?

[Abrcrom12]

Uh Oh!!!
They're bringin' out Gina Marie tonight!!!

[lakerboy]

The Magic will win this one that's why. I have the Lakers winning the next two in a row though (Games 5 and 6) after this one. But an Orlando blowout needs to happen to throw a monkey wrench into everyting and get people off the Lakers for game 5. Then the Lakers will come out in game 5 and blow out the Magic when the public jumps ship on them. Game 6 the Lakers win, but don't cover a 7 point spread. Then you guys don't have any more basketball to bet on and must come and join us on the dark side wagering on baseball.

thx bro but baseball is more evil than i want to know

[cocknocker]

Orlando -125 moneyline now. I will take it at that number because it is a beautiful number. Almost like making a baseball wager. It's the smart money..

Orlando-125 moneyline
Orlando/Lakers under 201

[cocknocker]

thx bro but baseball is more evil than i want to know

Oh brother tell me about it. I lost TWO games today in the 9th inning....but I just take some alka seltzer and move on to the next day!

[gyftosgreek]

I got orlando-135 moneyline
under 201
bol

[lakerboy]

Oh brother tell me about it. I lost TWO games today in the 9th inning....but I just take some alka seltzer and move on to the next day!

yeah the twins had it at 3-0 i had that one too. you had a great night last night. i actually take pantoloc for heartburn im on prescription probably more to do with the beer though lol- good luck tonite my man