CK/wangichu's Think Tank

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  • SexyMit
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 10-12-06
    • 6139

    #1786
    Originally posted by cocknocker
    Orlando -125 moneyline now. I will take it at that number because it is a beautiful number. Almost like making a baseball wager. It's the smart money..

    Orlando-125 moneyline
    Orlando/Lakers under 201
    I hope your right cause I was leaning the Lakers! But in the back of my mind I want to take Orlando, makes since what you said about people jumping off of Lakers in the next game, if Orlando wins! GL tonight CK will meet you in our dating thread tomorrow!
    If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!

    I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
    Comment
    • Abrcrom12
      SBR Sharp
      • 04-14-09
      • 345

      #1787
      My book's now showing
      OR -120
      If you don't hang your balls out there and just do it, you'll never know what might have happened...
      -- Valentino Rossi
      Comment
      • SexyMit
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 10-12-06
        • 6139

        #1788
        Lots of money coming in on Lakers! The public is pounding the Lakers!
        If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!

        I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
        Comment
        • JustFlipACoin
          SBR Hustler
          • 05-21-09
          • 92

          #1789
          Originally posted by SexyMit
          Lots of money coming in on Lakers! The public is pounding the Lakers!
          From what I can see the public is pounding the lakers and the line has dropped from 2.5 to 2, and now dropped to 1.5.

          I guess its Orlando and the under for me.

          GL
          Comment
          • SexyMit
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 10-12-06
            • 6139

            #1790
            That is what I did was Orlando and under! GL tonight!
            If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!

            I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
            Comment
            • tommyminh
              SBR High Roller
              • 03-19-09
              • 208

              #1791
              Accepted Type Risk Game 696928 6/11/2009 8:23 PM Parlay $300.00
              to win
              $847.83 NBA #708 Orlando Magic -1 (-115)
              NBA #708 Orlando Magic #707 Los Angeles Lakers under 201 (-110)
              696931 6/11/2009 8:24 PM Straight wager - Total $500.00
              to win
              $500.00 NBA #708 Orlando Magic #707 Los Angeles Lakers under 201 (-110)
              696932 6/11/2009 8:25 PM Straight wager - Spread $500.00
              to win
              $500.00 NBA #708 Orlando Magic -1 (-110)
              696934 6/11/2009 8:27 PM Teasers $300.00
              to win
              $253.85 NBA #708 Orlando Magic +4
              NBA #708 Orlando Magic #707 Los Angeles Lakers under 206
              Comment
              • Abrcrom12
                SBR Sharp
                • 04-14-09
                • 345

                #1792
                Final plays:
                OR ML -120 - 2 units
                UNDER 201 - 4 units
                Tease: OR ML and UNDER - 1 unit

                I wanted to play the 1H, but couldn't make up my mind. Might throw some on quarters and 2H depending on how it plays out.
                Also thinking of fading the 1Q winner in the 2Q. Seems these teams go back and forth in the 1H quarters.
                If you don't hang your balls out there and just do it, you'll never know what might have happened...
                -- Valentino Rossi
                Comment
                • wangichu
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 11-07-08
                  • 946

                  #1793
                  ORL ML +160 2nd half. I'm seeing it... They aren't going to let up and the refs have their backs. lakers have a lot of guys with fouls, someone will fould out. Also, they dropped the half time spread at -3.5 saying "hey public take the lakers in the second."

                  makes me sick as a laker fan, but lakers in the second just seems too easy.
                  Comment
                  • Abrcrom12
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 04-14-09
                    • 345

                    #1794
                    Originally posted by Abrcrom12
                    Also thinking of fading the 1Q winner in the 2Q. Seems these teams go back and forth in the 1H quarters.
                    Glad I didn't do that!!
                    If you don't hang your balls out there and just do it, you'll never know what might have happened...
                    -- Valentino Rossi
                    Comment
                    • melincrea
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 02-20-09
                      • 276

                      #1795
                      Originally posted by wangichu
                      ORL ML +160 2nd half. I'm seeing it... They aren't going to let up and the refs have their backs. lakers have a lot of guys with fouls, someone will fould out. Also, they dropped the half time spread at -3.5 saying "hey public take the lakers in the second."

                      makes me sick as a laker fan, but lakers in the second just seems too easy.
                      This is the type of line that all 1h-losing-teams receive for second half... when they are on par, and losing by a fair amount (eg; 7+ points)
                      Comment
                      • danrman
                        SBR MVP
                        • 08-30-08
                        • 2696

                        #1796
                        theres betting at every commercial
                        Comment
                        • Dexter
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 12-24-08
                          • 25829

                          #1797
                          Originally posted by JustFlipACoin
                          From what I can see the public is pounding the lakers and the line has dropped from 2.5 to 2, and now dropped to 1.5.

                          I guess its Orlando and the under for me.

                          GL
                          i get fading the public when there is RLM involved. but in tonights game, the line did exactly what it was supposed to.
                          Comment
                          • Dexter
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 12-24-08
                            • 25829

                            #1798
                            who'd you take danrman?
                            Comment
                            • danrman
                              SBR MVP
                              • 08-30-08
                              • 2696

                              #1799
                              havent made a move yet.. i hedged my orlando bet w/ the lakers at the half +335-small to come back and win
                              Comment
                              • danrman
                                SBR MVP
                                • 08-30-08
                                • 2696

                                #1800
                                orlando at the moment anyway looks to have a deer in the headlights look and the lakers are smelling a championship
                                Comment
                                • danrman
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 08-30-08
                                  • 2696

                                  #1801
                                  if you want to take the lakers.. now is the time w/ the game even
                                  Comment
                                  • danrman
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 08-30-08
                                    • 2696

                                    #1802
                                    i just put 1 unit on lakers to win at even...
                                    Comment
                                    • danrman
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 08-30-08
                                      • 2696

                                      #1803
                                      already have a bunch on orlando dex
                                      Comment
                                      • FreshCoast
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 01-25-09
                                        • 467

                                        #1804
                                        How can pro basketball players miss so many free throws?
                                        Comment
                                        • Dexter
                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                          • 12-24-08
                                          • 25829

                                          #1805
                                          Originally posted by danrman
                                          i just put 1 unit on lakers to win at even...
                                          what kind of bets are these? in game bets that arent qtr related?
                                          Comment
                                          • Dexter
                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                            • 12-24-08
                                            • 25829

                                            #1806
                                            dammit pietrus....we all would have been happy
                                            Comment
                                            • danrman
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 08-30-08
                                              • 2696

                                              #1807
                                              the game was tied 75-75 dex and i put a small bet on the lakers at even to win.. i also put a small laker bet at the half to come back and win at +335.. there just hedges against my orlando bet
                                              Comment
                                              • danrman
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 08-30-08
                                                • 2696

                                                #1808
                                                smellin championship????
                                                Comment
                                                • danrman
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 08-30-08
                                                  • 2696

                                                  #1809
                                                  and the hedges pay off... wooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooo ooooeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeee
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Dexter
                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                    • 12-24-08
                                                    • 25829

                                                    #1810
                                                    Goodnight Orlando:

                                                    Game 5: Lakers (3x)
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Dexter
                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                      • 12-24-08
                                                      • 25829

                                                      #1811
                                                      projected game 5 line:

                                                      Magic -3
                                                      Comment
                                                      • slk08
                                                        SBR Rookie
                                                        • 03-18-09
                                                        • 37

                                                        #1812
                                                        i cant believe it..... i think i have to stop nba now...
                                                        Comment
                                                        • melincrea
                                                          SBR Sharp
                                                          • 02-20-09
                                                          • 276

                                                          #1813
                                                          Wait wait... why is Game 5 in Orlando?..

                                                          I thought it was Home Home, Away Away, Home, Away, Home (for the higher seeded team)..

                                                          ... hm, even if they are their conference winners.. is this how it always works? Or is it like this since Lakers are 3-1?
                                                          Comment
                                                          • slk08
                                                            SBR Rookie
                                                            • 03-18-09
                                                            • 37

                                                            #1814
                                                            nba finals
                                                            Comment
                                                            • cs11787
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 08-26-08
                                                              • 1088

                                                              #1815
                                                              Originally posted by melincrea
                                                              Wait wait... why is Game 5 in Orlando?..

                                                              I thought it was Home Home, Away Away, Home, Away, Home (for the higher seeded team)..

                                                              ... hm, even if they are their conference winners.. is this how it always works? Or is it like this since Lakers are 3-1?
                                                              The finals are 2-3-2. I have no idea why though I think its ridiculous. Lakers should be goin back home to celebrate but no, they have to celebrate now in Orlando.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Vreston
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 03-12-09
                                                                • 1428

                                                                #1816
                                                                Originally posted by Vreston
                                                                Man you guys posted late yesterday didn't you?
                                                                I ended up getting lucky and caught both Orlando plus the spread and the under. I was nervous about it bcs when I played it there was no input yet by you guys.
                                                                I think you guys are right about the over for game 3. I will think about it a little more though.
                                                                I love that Orlando 1st quarter pick CK. Sounds really solid.
                                                                I was kind of thinking maybe LA takes game 4 as Orlando will be playing the first time at home in this series and they gave LA a run for it in game 2. Then LA goes home and finishes it in game 6.
                                                                Sh*t happens. I felt this from the beginning for no reason based on stats or anything. It just seemed the most logical thing for me. You know how sth hits you as an idea like a light bulb then you go the other way and say damn I should've followed the inspiration.
                                                                Now I really think Orlando will win game 5 and LA wins at home.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • cocknocker
                                                                  Restricted User
                                                                  • 11-06-08
                                                                  • 8001

                                                                  #1817
                                                                  Well I took my second loss of the Finals (Orlando -1.5 1st quarter game 3)but still broke even with a selection for the under for yesterday's action. I honestly thought that Orlando would get it done, but D-Fish hit an incredible shot over a guy who I said shouldn't even be on the floor to begin with. The inclusion of Nelson in the lineup has destroyed team chemistry and split the locker room. Would Anthony Johnson have a better chance at defending that three? Who knows? All that we do know is that he is taller than Nelson to be sure. But that is neither here nor there. Time to move on to the next game, Game 5 wherein I will make a fantastically HUGE play on the over, since I already have a sizeable wager on the Lakers Finals Series as well as a Lakers championship bet prior to the playoffs. So I am locked in on the side and at this point, it doesn't make sense for me to take sides anymore.

                                                                  Time to zero in on the total and the one for this game is too low for a potential closeout game (198.5) between two teams that are very capable of scoring in the 100's. With desperation in the mix, the Magic are liable to score 112 by themselves. I'm not going to go into my formula for this game because no one cares about that anyway. All you motherf*ckers want are winners. And once again in another postseason I gave them to you going 80% on my HEAVY plays for another professional postseason/amateur postseason (NCAA football, basketball) NFL Playoffs, MLB Playoffs, and now NBA.

                                                                  This is not self promoting. Just stating a fact. That you can cap your OWN games and make an honest buck. All that it takes is knowing what are the right numbers to look for, and using them to your advantage. You don't get that type of bang from your buck from tout services. No way. The underground movement is where the money is to be made. Don't pay those silly inflated prices to touts when post season play starts. Come on down to the Mafia thread, or go to jgbgsox thread, or Sexymit's, or Today's Action, cheme82, JohnMorr08, TPowell, Pho3nix32, (and any other of the guys in here I foolheartedly forgot to mention) threads to check out guys who give reasoning to their picks and answer intelligent questions. Learn how to pick your OWN games and get insightful information and some sound picks. After all the People's Champ means that I'm a lunch pail type guy just like everybody else in here. Don't pay a service. Never forget that.


                                                                  My pick Game 5

                                                                  Lakers/Magic over 197.5 (1 point buy to get under the key number) HEAVY
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • RICHIE801
                                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                                    • 05-25-09
                                                                    • 393

                                                                    #1818
                                                                    Those 15 missed free throws, makes me that much more anxious for college football. Orlando had every chance in the world and blew it.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • danychaos
                                                                      SBR Rookie
                                                                      • 03-20-09
                                                                      • 37

                                                                      #1819
                                                                      CK, I'm taking that over along with you, but if you were to pick a side what would it be?
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • NBA Hero
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 12-05-08
                                                                        • 1886

                                                                        #1820
                                                                        winning season for a lot of guys.
                                                                        nice ck.
                                                                        Comment
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