I love Philly at that line, but I have to disagree with raptors -1.5
Good Luck! Really enjoying this thread
Good Luck! Really enjoying this thread
-
Comment -
is okc +2 ( most 3 point scored a good take) considering they are at home and with shooters like j.lamb and westbrook.Comment -
Personal pick:
Los Angeles Clippers +2.5 1.5 Units @1.80
EDITED! ACTUAL PLAY IS +2.5!Comment -
Toronto Raptors -1.5 1 Unit @1.81 L (-1u)
Way to go Craptors...that's what I get for going against my model. Got Denver +1.5 as 3 star play. Now just have to get burnt with the rest of the card and that would be a lovely Sunday evening. Comment -
I probably can wrap it up right here with 0-4. Completely lost my head tonight, played some stupid games. Sorry!Comment -
Los Angeles Clippers +2.5 1.5 Units @1.80 L (-1.5u)
Philadelphia 76'ers +9 (pick rating 4/5) 1.5 Units @1.84 L (-1.5u)
IND/LAC Over 188 (pick rating 3/5) 1.5 Units @1.84 W (+1.26u)
Comment -
Ok, guys, let's end the night with a nice parlay to burn the rest of our money. (will count it as one play towards overall record)
Personal pick:
Minnesota Timberwolves +9.5
New York Knicks ML
1 Unit @3.20 L (-1u)
Comment -
Huge ouch for tonight id say.
Davis with a broken hand in the Knicks game. All the lines in the world wont stop me from backing Bulls in their clash tomorrow with the PelicansComment -
01/12/2013
System picks: 1-1-0
Personal picks: 0-3-0
-3.74u
YTD: 13-12-0
System picks: 11-6-0
Personal picks: 2-6-0
Units: -3
*TT Bonus plays (YTD): 10-8-0
*NOT COUNTED TOWARDS THE OVERALL RECORD, just trackingComment -
Lost my head, got what I deserved. On it tomorrow.Comment -
Hey, fellas! If any of you, my followers, are still reading/following this thread, I would like to express my sincere apologies for what I did yesterday. I do hope that my unprofessionalism (do not take this term literally, but hope you get the point) and attitude did not make you lose your money (by following my picks). I can turn into such a degenerate on Sunday's, because then there are early games and I can watch them live at a reasonable time, so it's way too hard to stay away and not to get involved in some unreasonable action. Again, I'm sorry and I'll try to get myself back together and make a comeback today, however, I think it will be better anyway to fade my picks.
02/12/2013
Pick:
ORL/WAS Over 195 (pick rating 3/5) 2 Units @1.84
This is the only line available at my local bookie for now, that is why I haven't posted any real leans yet either. According to my model (and I'll will follow it closely for next couple of days, because my personal plays and going against my machine/model built by myself caused the disaster what my plays were yesterday) this line is way too low for these two explosive teams. Only concern is the fact that 'overs' have been hitting like mad for past couple of days. Stay tuned for my leans and other picks for the upcoming night.Comment -
IND/POR line just opened at my local bookie. Adding another play for tonight. Not trying to pretend sharp whatsoever and bet Portland. I simply can't see any edge here for picking Portland at this spot, neither does my model, so going with Indy here.
Indiana Pacers -1 (pick rating 4/5) 3 Units @1.83
Comment -
Hey J,everyone have their ups and downs,ytd was your down day,so don't worry and come back strong.
CheersComment -
New Orleans Pelicans +7 (pick rating 3/5) 1 Unit @1.80
Houston Rockets -7 (pick rating 4/5) 1.5 Units @1.83
HOU/UTA Over 200.5 (pick rating 3/5) 1.5 Units @1.82
Personal picks:
Orlando Magic TT Over 95 ---> 0.5 Units @1.87
Chicago Bulls TT Under 99.5 ---> 0.5 Units @1.84
Houston Rockets TT Over 104.5 ---> 0.5 Units @1.86
Comment -
This is my complete NBA card for tonight. Fade me and you'll make some cash, that is for sure.
LET'S GET BURIED!
Comment -
Tailing..let's cash it later..woot woot!!Comment -
Yep, that just about covers them all.Comment -
Laying Magic +6.5
Indy -1.5
Magic/Wizards Over 195
Let's make bank!Comment -
ORL/WAS Over 195 (pick rating 3/5) 2 Units @1.8 4 L (-2u)
New Orleans Pelicans +7 (pick rating 3/5) 1 Unit @1.80 W (+0.8u)
Houston Rockets -7 (pick rating 4/5) 1.5 Units @1.83 L (-1.5u)
HOU/UTA Over 200.5 (pick rating 3/5) 1.5 Units @1.82 W (+1.23u)
Orlando Magic TT Over 95 ---> 0.5 Units @1.87 L (-0.5u)
Chicago Bulls TT Under 99.5 ---> 0.5 Units @1.84 L (-0.5u)
Houston Rockets TT Over 104.5 ---> 0.5 Units @1.86 L (-0.5u)
Comment -
LIVE BET (4Q): Indiana Pacers ML 6 Units @1.90Comment -
Indiana Pacers -1 (pick rating 4/5) 3 Units @1.83 L (-3u)Indiana Pacers ML 6 Units @1.90 L (-6u)
2-7-0
-11uComment -
Wow, those shots Portland makes going down the stretch are just...speechless.Comment -
YTD: 15-19-0
System picks: 13-9-0
Personal picks: 2-10-0
Units: -13.97Comment -
Ok, this is getting too ridiculous, to say the least. Got on the degenerate bandwagoon and lost almost all of my previous profit (obviously, I was betting before I strated posting here). I want to apologise to those who lost money because of me, but shit happens and we have to move on. You can just leave and never visit this thread again and I will understand. But here is what we gonna do (me and those who will still follow me in this missery).
As I have figured out some major flaws in my system (even though, it's overall picking around 61% right now) and I have some free time today, I'm gonna do some tweak and finetune my model here and there. I will archive my previous plays and record here on this thread and start a new record for system plays ONLY (which was the main reason I started this thread - for model testing purposes). I'm not trying to bail out here, I will keep the record and lost units documented here and will acount for them at the end of the season - all my loses. Since most of those lost picks came all because of my personal/gut feeling plays, I want to keep a clean seperate model pick record.
Again, for those to whom this is not acceptable, I'm not holding you here. But those who still want to stay and see what is going to happen, hold on and be ready to take what's coming at you!
p.s. also gonna get rid of those team total plays, since those gonna lead us nowhere. I decided to post them just because they went 14-5 for the firs 2 weeks, but as season progreses I think we can expect them to break even at the best. However, if you are still interested in them, I can post, but otherwise I don't see the point.Comment -
!!ARCHIVED!!
YTD: 15-19-0
System picks: 13-9-0
Personal picks: 2-10-0
Units: -13.97
!!ARCHIVED!!
Comment -
J - No sweat bro! This is how these things go. I like your system and think you will have some real success with it when things flush out a bit more. I'm also not sweating because I took Atlanta ML purely on a hunch with not basis for doing it hahaComment -
03/12/2013
System picks:
Phoenix Suns +3.5 (pick rating 3.5 out of 5) --> 1 Unit @1.86
Denver Nuggets -3.5 (pick rating 3.5 out of 5) --> 1 Unit @1.83
Toronto Raptors +8 (pick rating 3 out of 5) --> 0.5 Units @1.84
Boston Celtics -7 (pick rating 3 out of 5) --> 0.5 Units @1.81
This is what I got for today. Let's get buried!Comment -
It wouldn't surprise me, if Raptors blew that 30 pt lead (including +8) in the last quarter.Comment -
Wow, just, wow...Craptors.
Phoenix Suns +3.5 L (-1u)
Denver Nuggets -3.5 W (+0.83u)
Toronto Raptors +8 L (-0.5u)
Boston Celtics -7 W (+0.41u)
03/12/2013
2-2-0 (-0.26u)
System record:
2-2-0 (50%)
Units: -0.26
Comment -
J my man! Don't waiver, have faith in the system and make tweaks where necessary. Your a good capper in my book
Comment -
04/12/2013
System picks:
Phoenix Suns +10.5 (pick rating 3.5 out of 5) --> 1 Unit @1.90
Detroit Pistons -4.5 (pick rating 3 out of 5) --> 1 Unit @1.90
Denver Nuggets -4 (pick rating 3 out of 5) --> 1 Unit @1.88
Indiana Pacers -8 (pick rating 3 out of 5) --> 1 Unit @1.84
IND/UTA Under 188 (pick rating 3 out of 5) --> 1 Unit @1.82
Oklahoma City Thunder +2.5 (pick rating 3 out of 5) --> 0.5 Units @1.88
Dallas Mavericks +2 (pick rating 3 out of 5) --> 0.5 Units @1.87
Let's get burned!
Comment
