JAnthony's system picks NBA 2013/14

[JAnthony]

Hello, fellow forum members!
Decided to go public with my picks and, hopefully, help someone out with an advice or information.

Let's get started! First leans and picks coming in soon.

[JAnthony]

25/11/2013

Leans*:
1) Charlotte Bobcats -4 ; Under 185.5
2) Milwaukee Bucks +7.5
3) Houston Rockets -1.5 ; Over 195
4) Dallas Mavericks -5.5 ; Over 212
5) Portland Trail Blazers -8
6) Chicago Bulls -3.5
7) Phoenix Suns +12

Bonus TT leans*:
1) Boston Celtics TT Under 90.5
2) Houston Rockets TT Over 98.5
3) Denver Nuggets TT Over 103
4) New Orleans Pelicans TT Under 94.5

*These are only pure leans for the games as they stand in the system at this point. Leans are not rated and fully analysed (situational trends, injuries etc.). DO NOT TAKE THEM AS FINAL!

[martywest17]

Look forward to see how u go. Bol mate

[heavypenguin]

I got exact same leans according to my analysis.

BOL mate.

[JAnthony]

25/11/2013

Picks:
Houston Rockets -1.5 (pick rating 4/5)
*Locking this one in early, because that line is, definitely, going to go up from here on.

[JAnthony]

HOU/MEM Over 194 (pick rating 3/5)

[JAnthony]

Portland Trail Blazers -6.5 (pick rating 4/5)
BOS/CHA Under 186 (pick rating 3/5)

Personal play:
Minnesota Timberwolves +7 (pick rating 3/5)

Locked and loaded for tonight.

[JAnthony]

Houston Rockets -1.5 (pick rating 4/5) W
HOU/MEM Over 194 (pick rating 3/5) L
Portland Trail Blazers -6.5 (pick rating 4/5) W
BOS/CHA Under 186 (pick rating 3/5) W

Personal play:
Minnesota Timberwolves +7 (pick rating 3/5) L

System plays: 3-1-0
Personal plays: 0-1-0
YTD: 3-2-0

*Bonus TT: 2-2-0
*NOT COUNTED TOWARDS OVERALL RECORD, just tracking

I strictly advise to follow my system picks (those are picks that are not indicated as "personal"), if you want to avoid unnecessary loses and have consistency!

[JAnthony]

26/11/2013

Leans*:
1) LAL/WAS Over 197.5
2) Orlando Magic +7.5
3) New Orleans Pelicans +2.5 (LOCKED IN)
4) GSW/NOP Under 206.5
5) BKN/TOR Over 190.5

Bonus TT leans:
1) Golden State Warriors TT Under 104

*These are only pure leans for the games as they stand in the system at this point. Leans are not rated and fully analysed (situational trends, injuries etc.). DO NOT TAKE THEM AS FINAL!

Not all lines are out yet and leans are subject to change as the day goes on, but this is how things look at the moment.

[martywest17]

Not a bad start mate... Ill keep an eye out for tomorrow picks..

Thanks mate

[JAnthony]

Not a bad start mate... Ill keep an eye out for tomorrow picks..

Thanks mate

Should have stayed away from that Minny play, it was more emotional rather than logic based, like how they play the ball this season.

Anyway, monitoring GSW/NOP match-up, really like Pelicans chances here. They are a major force on a home floor, A.Davis playing at all-star level. For Warriors absence of Bogut will leave a hole in Warriors D and Pelicans will prevail on offensive end, since they are really strong when offensive boards are considered. The line should move by 0.5 to 1 points in Warriors favour, which is what I'll be waiting to take Pelicans with those extra points. Thus far, Pelicans +3 looks like a 4 star pick.

p.s. also expect that Pelicans poor shooting against San Antonio will be compensated tonight.

[alsonlow]

Looking good bro ~ Will look forward to your picks tmr ^^

[alsonlow]

Anyway Anothoy Davis might not be playing tmr

[JAnthony]

Anyway Anothoy Davis might not be playing tmr

Wou, where did you get that kind of information from, can't find anything at the moment?
Thanks for support.

[alsonlow]

Wou, where did you get that kind of information from, can't find anything at the moment?
Thanks for support.

in ytd's match his leg got tangled up with another player and didnt return to the game. Seemed to be in pain though

[JAnthony]

in ytd's match his leg got tangled up with another player and didnt return to the game. Seemed to be in pain though

Thanks for the valuable information, really didn't catch that yesterday. However, went through all possible sources and found no real indications that he might not play. Let's hope for the best, because at the moment that's my nr.1 pick for tonight. Still some details must be finalised, though.

[alsonlow]

Thanks for the valuable information, really didn't catch that yesterday. However, went through all possible sources and found no real indications that he might not play. Let's hope for the best, because at the moment that's my nr.1 pick for tonight. Still some details must be finalised, though.

Okay! Anyway by what time will all your finalised picks be up?

[JAnthony]

Okay! Anyway by what time will all your finalised picks be up?

Until 4PM they should be up and running.

[JAnthony]

Line for New Orleans Pelicans just dropped to +2.5, which is not a surprise at all, however, I was hoping to see it going up to +3.5 due to heavy action on GSW. Pick is still safe and rated as a 4 star pick even with the +2.5 line. Still, gonna wait a bit and see what happens, there is slight chance that line at least will jump back up to +3, then it's time to lock it in. Stay tuned!

NB! LEANS ARE UPDATED DUE TO THE LINE MOVE - PLEASE CHECK ABOVE!

[JAnthony]

Ok, this is getting ridiculous, line is dropping and I'm grabbing it right now, since my bookie still has it at +2.5, I suggest to take that extra half point, but if there are no options +2 is still a 4 star pick.

P.s. SBR free-picks are Warriors -3, you know what that means - Pelicans it is!
P.s.s. If you have guts you can still try to wait couple of hours, maybe line will climb up, but I'm not taking that chance.

26/11/2013

Picks:

New Orleans Pelicans +2.5 (pick rating 4/5)

[JAnthony]

At the moment seems like the Pelicans pick might be the only one for the night, since it's a small card with small chances of finding great value, if any. However, might throw something on Under 207.5, which seems unreasonably inflated, in GSW/NOP game and Orlando +7.5, technically these two qualify as system plays, but not very high ranked.

Will run my model for games coming up tomorrow, since some of the lines are out already. Might find some value and lock it in early tonight. Update coming.

[martywest17]

thanks mate

[alsonlow]

Thanks bro~

[martywest17]

Not bad so far Janthony.....

Leans*:
1) LAL/WAS Over 197.5 WIN
2) Orlando Magic +7.5 WIN
3) New Orleans Pelicans +2.5 (LOCKED IN) PENDING
4) GSW/NOP Under 206.5 PENDING
5) BKN/TOR Over 190.5 WIN

Bonus TT leans:
1) Golden State Warriors TT Under 104 PENDING

[martywest17]

WOW AMAZING

Leans*:
1) LAL/WAS Over 197.5 WIN
2) Orlando Magic +7.5 WIN
3) New Orleans Pelicans +2.5 (LOCKED IN) WIN
4) GSW/NOP Under 206.5 WIN
5) BKN/TOR Over 190.5 WIN

Bonus TT leans:
1) Golden State Warriors TT Under 104 WIN

Great work mate I know most of these were leans but the system your using looks to be doing well

[JAnthony]

WOW AMAZING

Leans*:
1) LAL/WAS Over 197.5 WIN
2) Orlando Magic +7.5 WIN
3) New Orleans Pelicans +2.5 (LOCKED IN) WIN
4) GSW/NOP Under 206.5 WIN
5) BKN/TOR Over 190.5 WIN

Bonus TT leans:
1) Golden State Warriors TT Under 104 WIN

Great work mate I know most of these were leans but the system your using looks to be doing well

Hey, thanks for the 'thumbs up'. Hope you played any of those as well, since this was the night when everything goes the RIGHT (he he..) way. These leans are plays that qualifies in my model and are solely number based, but I go through them and turn on the human factor, before I approve or play any. In the future PLEASE, BET THEM (if you do) ON YOUR OWN DISCRETION!!!

[JAnthony]

New Orleans Pelicans +2.5 (pick rating 4/5) W

26/11/2013
System plays: 1-0-0

YTD: 4-2-0 (66.7%)
System: 4-1-0 (80%)
Personal: 0-1-0 (0%)

*TT Bonus plays (YTD): 3-2-0
*NOT COUNTED TOWARDS OVERALL RECORD, just tracking

No doubt the game was a nerve tingler, but it was expected be close and contested. Really hope that you got at least +1.5 line, if followed my pick, because that line plunged as mad. Going through games and number for tomorrow already. First leans should be up in about an hour. Stay tuned.

[martywest17]

Yes these was a lucky Day... That last quarter in the GSW game was too Close and work in your favour..

I went Orleans +2.5
GSW Team total under 103.5
and Magic +7

I totally understand these are leans and to bet at own risk...

I like the leans as i use them to compare to what other cappers are thinking..

Thanks for the picks and look forward to tomorrows big card..

Dont forget to post your record Janthony..

[martywest17]

Never mind about the record you have already posted it.. LOL

[JAnthony]

This is how it looks a the moment. It's a big card and a lot of movement is about to happen, therefore, no worries about so many possible plays, I'll filter them out during the day. Missed one really good one already - WAS/MIL TOTAL opened at 185.5 (at least in my bookie), but now it's up to 191 and it becomes a no play, since my model predicts the outcome somewhere around 190.5. Anyway, if you like something feel free to discuss it and we'll figure something out, but I'll update these leans myself during the day (yeah, it's early morning here where I live, I'm from Europe, and my day is just starting).

27/11/2013 (UPDATED!)

Leans*:
1) IND/CHA Under 180.5
2) PHI/ORL Over 208
3) Boston Celtics +3.5
4) Los Angeles Lakers +2.5 ; Over 199.5
5) Miami Heat -8.5 ; Over 196.5
6) Washington Wizards -2.5
7) San Antonio Spurs +2.5 ; Under 201.5
8) Los Angeles Clippers -10
9) Atlanta Hawks +9 ; Over 206.5
10) GSW/DAL Over 205

Bonus TT leans:
1) Charlotte Bobcats TT Under 86
2) Philadelphia 76'ers TT Over 102.5
3) Oklahoma City Thunder TT Under 101.5
4) Atlanta Hawks TT Over 98.5

*These are only pure leans for the games as they stand in the system at this point. Leans are not rated and fully analysed (situational trends, injuries etc.). DO NOT TAKE THEM AS FINAL!

[JAnthony]

Will be monitoring closely MEM/BOS, SAS/OKC, WAS/MIL line movement and team action. Any valuable information regarding these match-ups will be appreciated.

[duendz]

[alsonlow]

Nice leans bro ~ I think I can just play all your leans xD

[snark]

Do you have any results for past NBA seasons?

[nimren]

Isnt Lakers +2.5 bet of the day? I meat Nets are just horrible and Lakers have been in decent form lately. What you think?