Thanks for clarifying that. <3
nba chase 12/13
Collapse
X
-
itsjhurleySBR Rookie
- 11-09-12
- 43
#3081Comment -
RiceboiSBR Wise Guy
- 10-03-11
- 857
#3082S2 C bet for Cavs is 1-25-13 Home game, if it does not cover, the next home game is 1-29-13 against Warriors.
There will not be D bet against D bet on Saturday between Cavs and Raptors because S2 is Cavs home game only.
Saturday is S4 D bet Raptor fade (bet on Cavs) only, not two D bets against each other.
IMPORTANT: If you are new to this thread or if you don't know what's going on. Please go to page 46 and read post #1586 for a quick understanding BEFORE posting any questions/comments that may already been covered in that post. Thank you for your cooperation and have a Great Day !!!Comment -
zonedogSBR Rookie
- 10-08-10
- 28
#3083Saturday is also S4 B bet Raptor fade (bet on Cavs) because of Toronto vs. Miami OT last night. Go Cavs!Comment -
gamewinninglvSBR High Roller
- 09-18-12
- 207
#3084Just called the referees who are going to be officiating Cavs games tomorrow and Saturday, told them to make sure Cavs will cover the spread in the next two games. They said NO Problem !!!
IMPORTANT: If you are new to this thread or if you don't know what's going on. Please go topage 46 and read post #1586 for a quick understanding BEFORE posting any questions/comments that may already been covered in that post. Thank you for your cooperation and have a Great Day !!!Comment -
Wallco99SBR Hall of Famer
- 01-01-11
- 7261
#3085People just have the uncontrollable urge to type shit constantly, to where as now, a barage of incorrectly posted future plays is causing total confusion. Just put your damn fingers in your pocket and wait for Stifler to post the plays. Trust me, he won't forget. By the looks of it, he is the ONLY one who ever gets it right anyway. So stop constantly asking shouldn't this be a play or shouldn't that be a play? Or what's worse, posting the wrong plays because either you have no idea how the system works, or for some unknown reason, have the need to be the system prognosticator without even looking at schedules or matchups, and ALWAYS assuming the next game the team plays is also the system play. My God, let's go back to the "when do we lose juice" arguement and leave the play posting to the system creator.Comment -
Grinder12000SBR MVP
- 04-21-11
- 1809
#3086Comparing backtested numbers to this years is not realistic. Back testing ONLY shows that there is a positive trend. Just like Stiflers MLB system, real life betting will underperform backtested numbers. It's how backtesting systems work.
Backtesting will always be better the live wagering. The reason is that back testing you always take the best of the best. It's very very rare with live betting out performs tested numbers.Comment -
nicktran808SBR Sharp
- 12-30-12
- 276
#3087Looks like it's time to put in a deposit to continue these system plays.
Not gonna lie, it's tough to stick with it when it's a drawn out chase. Moreso when you got a lot on this current Magic chase.
Funny thing is, I do the most betting research and everything, yet I lose way more than any of my casual betting friends. I change my betting style literally every few days to try and maximize winnings and minimize losses, yet the jokes on me at the end of it =(
Hoping the Magic upset the Nets.Comment -
zonedogSBR Rookie
- 10-08-10
- 28
#3088Just called the referees who are going to be officiating Cavs games tomorrow and Saturday, told them to make sure Cavs will cover the spread in the next two games. They said NO Problem !!!
IMPORTANT: If you are new to this thread or if you don't know what's going on. Please go topage 46 and read post #1586 for a quick understanding BEFORE posting any questions/comments that may already been covered in that post. Thank you for your cooperation and have a Great Day !!!Comment -
CheeseHeadSBR Sharp
- 12-03-10
- 439
#3089Looks like it's time to put in a deposit to continue these system plays.
Not gonna lie, it's tough to stick with it when it's a drawn out chase. Moreso when you got a lot on this current Magic chase.
Funny thing is, I do the most betting research and everything, yet I lose way more than any of my casual betting friends. I change my betting style literally every few days to try and maximize winnings and minimize losses, yet the jokes on me at the end of it =(
Hoping the Magic upset the Nets.Comment -
zonedogSBR Rookie
- 10-08-10
- 28
#3090Comparing backtested numbers to this years is not realistic. Back testing ONLY shows that there is a positive trend. Just like Stiflers MLB system, real life betting will underperform backtested numbers. It's how backtesting systems work.
Backtesting will always be better the live wagering. The reason is that back testing you always take the best of the best. It's very very rare with live betting out performs tested numbers.Comment -
nicktran808SBR Sharp
- 12-30-12
- 276
#3091To be fair you might be overthinking it...you can't over analyze on these games and change your betting style every few days & expect to make money in the long-run. Focus on a system that works for you (not necessarily a chase) and stick to good money management. It takes a lot of patience to come out ahead long-term. Your buddies might brag to you how they just won a few hundred on the Heat one night, but you probably won't hear about it when they lose 5 or 6 straight and empty their account. Happens to just about all "casual" betters. Just remember you'll only hear when they win..shouldn't let it get to you.
So far this year I've been trying to do NBA 1H totals but in the long run I've evened out to around 50%. Usually I lose big on Fridays and 10 or 11 game nights, so I figured I'd try and avoid betting on those nights but I still end up bleeding money a little.
Hopped onto Stifler's chase recently, but these ORL losses combined with the bare minimum I deposited into 5dimes are draining me. JM and Wallco's system make sense to me but I find Stifler's the easiest to jump into and follow mid-season
I think once I replenish I'll solely stick to Stifler's chase and bet big units on high percentage 9-times-out-of-10 bets that pop up a handful of times a week (which I should have been doing more of recently) e.g. Pacers-Heat few weeks ago, Thunder beating the Clippers w/o CP3, Miami > Duke, etc.Comment -
miczz14SBR High Roller
- 01-22-13
- 146
#3092so where did the system got its 3 losses? what team and team faded?Comment -
StiflerSBR MVP
- 11-11-09
- 3511
#3093
S1: W 40 | L 2 (+ 3,10 units)
S2: W 20 | L 0 (+20,00 units)
S3: W 12 | L 0 (+12,00 units)
S4: W 34 | L 1 (+17,55 units)
additional: -1,10 units Den fade
pending:
- S2 Cle fade, C Bet on 25.01.2013
- S2 Orl, C Bet on 28.01.2013
- S4 Tor fade, D Bet on 26.01.2013
- S4 Dal fade, B Bet on 25.01.2013
- S1 Utah, B Bet on 25.01.2013
- S4 Tor fade, B Bet on 26.01.2013
________________________________________ ________________________________________ ___________
all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1586
Comment -
StiflerSBR MVP
- 11-11-09
- 3511
#309725.01.2013
S1
(B Bet) Utah: Utah -7 1,10u | Utah - no line up yet
(A Bet) Det: Detoit - waiting on line movement
(A Bet) Mil: Milwaukee - waiting on line movement
S2
(C Bet) Cle fade: Atlanta -4 1,10u | Boston -4 2,31u | Milwaukee - waiting on line movement
S3
(A Bet) GS fade: Chicago - no line up atm
S4
(B Bet) Dal fade: Orlando +3,5 1,10u | Spurs - no line up atm
(A Bet) Mia fade: Detroit - waiting on line movement
________________________________________ ________________________________________
all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1586
Comment -
miczz14SBR High Roller
- 01-22-13
- 146
#3098lets go MIL and DET.. i hope CLE fade ends on the C betComment -
AskiiSBR Rookie
- 01-25-13
- 45
#3099One quick question.
If Cle covers this game. We will have a battle of D bets vs Fade Cle and Fade Tor this 1.26.2013. Am i correct? Just want to make this clear.Thanks.
Comment -
StiflerSBR MVP
- 11-11-09
- 3511
#3101- Detoit line added.
25.01.2013
S1
(B Bet) Utah: Utah -7 1,10u | Utah - no line up yet
(A Bet) Det: Detoit +9,5 1,10u
(A Bet) Mil: Milwaukee - waiting on line movement
S2
(C Bet) Cle fade: Atlanta -4 1,10u | Boston -4 2,31u | Milwaukee - waiting on line movement
S3
(A Bet) GS fade: Chicago - no line up atm
S4
(B Bet) Dal fade: Orlando +3,5 1,10u | Spurs - no line up atm
(A Bet) Mia fade: Detroit +9,5 1,10u
________________________________________ ________________________________________
all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1586
Comment -
Grinder12000SBR MVP
- 04-21-11
- 1809
#3102Fair enough. So then what should be the minimum 'realistic' expectation based on those backtested numbers? 70% of those numbers? 50%?
Any monkey can create a winning system that works for one year - Stifler has a track record in MLB which is why I jumped on the bandwagon.
If we win 25 units in a year that is fine with me. I just up what a unit is worth next year!Comment -
StiflerSBR MVP
- 11-11-09
- 3511
#3103Some wise words there. Dont just look @ those > 100 units for the backtested seasons. Winning 100 units over a season is a monster number, and cant be done every season thats fur sure. The thing about the whole system is that even if the system is underperforming it keeps some space not to get in the losing area. Still i have to add the mlb season finished strong compared to the winning units (something around 110-120 units, dunno exactly).
Like grinder said the first year is more like a test of the system. I already know i will make changes next year. But nevertheless the goal is to finish the season in the + area. How far this goes? No one can tell...Comment -
Nino7SBR Wise Guy
- 07-11-09
- 798
#3104I don't get why would a system underperform when you actually play money on it.Except the fact the system's players might influence the lines in case of heavy success.
Of course there are ups and downs but it doesnt have to necessarly always go down.Comment -
Grinder12000SBR MVP
- 04-21-11
- 1809
#3105I don't get why would a system underperform when you actually play money on it.Except the fact the system's players might influence the lines in case of heavy success.Comment -
Nino7SBR Wise Guy
- 07-11-09
- 798
#3106Because backtesting you have the perfect world and can pick the very best results. For instance if Stifler slightly modifies the teams each year it means some teams are underperforming. So if Detroit in S1 all of a sudden sucks after 1/2 a year we continue to play them all year as "we" don't know if it is a trend or an anomaly.Comment -
Grinder12000SBR MVP
- 04-21-11
- 1809
#3107And one more thing about some of the posts on this forum.
Some people have been getting flamed for posting what they THINK are the next days plays. What we must remember is that some people are in bed sleeping when Stifler posts the plays. I've had people emailing me asking questions from literally all over the world. One dude from the Philippines is +8 GMT and is fast asleep when Stifler posts plays.
Just sayin - sometimes they are just trying to make a buck, not trying to show off.Comment -
Nino7SBR Wise Guy
- 07-11-09
- 798
#3108not to mention that it has already happened that someone pointed a forgotten play up.Comment -
parlay100SBR High Roller
- 09-23-09
- 117
#3109People just have the uncontrollable urge to type shit constantly, to where as now, a barage of incorrectly posted future plays is causing total confusion. Just put your damn fingers in your pocket and wait for Stifler to post the plays. Trust me, he won't forget. By the looks of it, he is the ONLY one who ever gets it right anyway. So stop constantly asking shouldn't this be a play or shouldn't that be a play? Or what's worse, posting the wrong plays because either you have no idea how the system works, or for some unknown reason, have the need to be the system prognosticator without even looking at schedules or matchups, and ALWAYS assuming the next game the team plays is also the system play. My God, let's go back to the "when do we lose juice" arguement and leave the play posting to the system creator.Comment -
imotiv8SBR Wise Guy
- 12-28-09
- 892
#3110yo, what happened with the Boston fade road seriesComment -
imotiv8SBR Wise Guy
- 12-28-09
- 892
#3112mybad, thx StifComment -
StiflerSBR MVP
- 11-11-09
- 3511
#3113- Milwaukee & Spurs line added.
25.01.2013
S1
(B Bet) Utah: Utah -7 1,10u | Utah - no line up yet
(A Bet) Det: Detoit +9,5 1,10u
(A Bet) Mil: Milwaukee -4 1,10u
S2
(C Bet) Cle fade: Atlanta -4 1,10u | Boston -4 2,31u | Milwaukee -4 4,85u
S3
(A Bet) GS fade: Chicago - no line up atm
S4
(B Bet) Dal fade: Orlando +3,5 1,10u | Spurs -1,5 2,31u
(A Bet) Mia fade: Detroit +9,5 1,10u
________________________________________ ________________________________________
all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1586
Comment -
Pellpell4SBR Rookie
- 01-25-13
- 28
#3114Hey guys, new to the forum. Where can I find more info about how to read stiflera lines? I don't get the a b c bet thing. I did read original post however. Ty very much, excited to test this out!
Edit, just saw stiflers sig. ThxComment -
Grinder12000SBR MVP
- 04-21-11
- 1809
#3115LOVE HATE TEAMS
Did a quick count if all the games we have played counting how many times a team won or lost in the system so far.
example
(A Bet) Tor fade: Orlando -4 1,10u both Tor and Orlando get a loss
Love teams are
Charlotte 10-4
Memphis 7-2
Brooklyn 4-1
Washington 7-3
HATE teams are
LALakers 1-5
Orlando 5-8
Most of the rest are around .500 some teams we have been playing a lot
Of note
Atlanta 13-12
Toronto 12-13
Cleveland 9-7
Phoenix 1-1
Philly 2-1
Comment
SBR Contests
Collapse
Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
Collapse
#1 BetMGM
4.8/5 BetMGM Bonus Code
#2 FanDuel
4.8/5 FanDuel Promo Code
#3 Caesars
4.8/5 Caesars Promo Code
#4 DraftKings
4.7/5 DraftKings Promo Code
#5 Fanatics
#6 bet365
4.7/5 bet365 Bonus Code
#7 Hard Rock
4.1/5 Hard Rock Bet Promo Code
#8 BetRivers
4.1/5 BetRivers Bonus Code