Afl 2012

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  • brettels
    replied
    First QT line of the year = LOSS

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  • MatI
    replied
    Blues should pull away in the 2nd half but this is a shootout. Glad i just stuck with the over.

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  • Pride
    replied
    blues were the easy winner tonight boys. brisbane is trash lol

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  • brettels
    replied
    Has anyone got the round 1 details for

    ML odds............Line.........Over/under totals

    for each match?

    I'm making a spread sheet for individual teams for averaging what they cover etc...similar to what covers do in matchups but way more detail.

    Leave a comment:


  • hangtime
    replied
    i have lions+20.5. gl

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  • brettels
    replied
    Adding Total match goals OVER 28.5

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  • benrama
    replied
    Over and Carlton 1-39 for me

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  • MatI
    replied
    back up to 20.5 at most books. I think the over is pretty solid in this one. Keep riding until it dies in thee ass?

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  • kingsr
    replied
    Originally posted by Balco10
    Brisbane Broncos???
    8 ball of coke?

    Leave a comment:


  • kingsr
    replied
    Originally posted by brettels
    I always thought that the TABCORPS Vic and NSW would have exactly the same lines and odds. Now i know they don't.
    Look closely...its not the 'line' market, its called 'extra line'...i think its wrong!

    Leave a comment:


  • Balco10
    replied
    Brisbane Broncos???

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  • brettels
    replied
    Brisbane vs Carlton
    Picks

    Carlton -20.5

    Carlton QT line -5.5

    over/under 191.5 OVER



    SCALE of CONFIDENCE:

    Leave a comment:


  • brettels
    replied
    Originally posted by kingsr
    http://www.tab.com.au/Sports/Betting...&MeetingType=1

    Best odds for those looking to back Carlton.
    I always thought that the TABCORPS Vic and NSW would have exactly the same lines and odds. Now i know they don't.

    Leave a comment:


  • Pride
    replied
    pinny juicing brisbane and not budging.

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  • brettels
    replied
    Originally posted by Lookingtostart
    I did not see Essendon last week, so it'll be hard for me to evaluate (qualitatively). Last weeks game may have sucked the life out of Port (they were very tired in the last quarter). What worries me is they caused too many rebounding opportunities from the same area of the ground as in their previous 4 years, which gave the Saints opportunities to score. IMO, saints should have won but they were too shit. I don't think Primus has sought to fix that problem.

    Port's tackling however, was outstanding, very impressed in that department. Individual players improved, I don't think coaches have. Port had a close one late last year against Essendon, same ground, make of it what you will.

    If I had to choose, I'd go with Port to cover, but I'm not betting on this one... not at this point. I wish Port got Chris Scott instead of Primus, .

    Anyone know anything about Essendon?

    Edit: Just to add, Port got a free ride from the umps last week.
    Yeah, bit risky with the travel after having the life sucked out of them as you mentioned. I guess the total will have to be the individual play again.

    I was supporting North to beat essendon but didn't watch the full game and never caught up through the week.

    Leave a comment:


  • kingsr
    replied


    Best odds for those looking to back Carlton.

    Leave a comment:


  • brettels
    replied
    As I type this current lines for bris/carl

    sportsbet 20.5

    TAB(vic) 20.5

    centrebet 18.5

    sportingbet 18.5

    pinnacle 20.5

    TAB (tatts) 18.5

    Leave a comment:


  • Pride
    replied
    not necessarily

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  • therealdealau
    replied
    public are starting to hit brisbane obviously

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  • kingsr
    replied
    Weird! I cant find any info...

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  • Domestic
    replied
    Originally posted by kingsr
    Carlton now -17.5 NSW TAB...I'm trying to find out WHY!?
    Hmm yeah, down to 18.5 @ Centrebet now, still 20.5 @ Sportingbet and Pinnacle.

    Leave a comment:


  • kingsr
    replied
    Carlton now -17.5 NSW TAB...I'm trying to find out WHY!?

    Leave a comment:


  • kingsr
    replied
    Carlton 1-39 for me... I like Bris to keep it close.

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  • Lookingtostart
    replied
    Well, Brisbane and Carlton coming up today...

    I really like the Lions' foot-speed, I know the Blues have some quick smalls, but Brisbane at home, younger players more experienced as well, made me bet on Lions. I think they may actually win the game. I really do like the Lions.

    Leave a comment:


  • Lookingtostart
    replied
    Originally posted by brettels
    Lookingtostart what's your insight for port power this weekend? You were spot on about them last week but I am thinking it could be a one off.
    I did not see Essendon last week, so it'll be hard for me to evaluate (qualitatively). Last weeks game may have sucked the life out of Port (they were very tired in the last quarter). What worries me is they caused too many rebounding opportunities from the same area of the ground as in their previous 4 years, which gave the Saints opportunities to score. IMO, saints should have won but they were too shit. I don't think Primus has sought to fix that problem.

    Port's tackling however, was outstanding, very impressed in that department. Individual players improved, I don't think coaches have. Port had a close one late last year against Essendon, same ground, make of it what you will.

    If I had to choose, I'd go with Port to cover, but I'm not betting on this one... not at this point. I wish Port got Chris Scott instead of Primus, .

    Anyone know anything about Essendon?

    Edit: Just to add, Port got a free ride from the umps last week.

    Leave a comment:


  • brettels
    replied
    Lookingtostart what's your insight for port power this weekend? You were spot on about them last week but I am thinking it could be a one off.

    Leave a comment:


  • kingsr
    replied
    It's a great Idea to post the odds as soon as they are released, so we can all see the fluctuations before match starts.

    Leave a comment:


  • kingsr
    replied
    Updated Odds...


    Click image for larger version

Name:	Centrebet odds AFL.jpg
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Size:	28.4 KB
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    Lines have moved a little...I'm locking in PA and GWS now before they drop more.

    Leaning Freo but will do more research before locking it in.

    Leave a comment:


  • Lookingtostart
    replied
    Port had a close one late last year against Essendon, same ground, I think they are a better team this year, it's hard to tell where Essendon's at.

    I like Lions as well, though not that confident. They have good foot speed, though so do some Carlton players.

    GWS line is huge, Luke Power might be back, probably my favourite this week. Brogan might be back also, though not sure if that will make a difference. Also, that game's at Blundstone Arena (Bellerive Oval).

    Leave a comment:


  • shari91
    replied
    I like that Port line too kingsr. Also like the Gold Coast but still unsure.

    Going to take Port now just in case the line moves.

    Leave a comment:


  • Punter101
    replied
    Scarlett gonna miss the game vs hawks

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  • kingsr
    replied
    Port and freo stick out at first glance

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  • donkson
    replied
    yeah it lasted like 10 minutes.

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  • Gee
    replied
    Wow, really Donks???

    Someone absolutely pounded that in the first day then I suppose.

    I don't think I'll be touching a GWS game for some time this year... I don't have a clue where they are at.

    Leave a comment:


  • donkson
    replied
    North/GWS opened at 85.5

    Leave a comment:

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