Afl 2012

[Gee]

Wow, back to a Pk at most shops. Took pies +4.5 on bwin just then. Couldn't resist.

[benrama]

Don't like over at all, I think Pies will come out 100% focused on defensive pressure this game - I do like them to win however, Pies should have had a good crack at beating Hawthorn and the final score against Richmond flattered them. They are bringing in a strong side to this game and I expect them to rise to the occasion.

[Domestic]

Game total keeps climbing, up to 190.5 now, was smart to get on it early.

[Gee]

I likes Pies 1Q +1.5 and the over.

Playing each for a unit.

[brettels]

Total is up 187.5 sportsbet

my final bets for tonight

collingwood ML
over 187.5
221+

[Domestic]

I agree, looking forward to the game.

[brettels]

yeah thanks, just checked it out, hard to tell but from that i would say between 180.5 and 190.5 so same as what you said with the 186. I like the over on that hopefully it gets set there.

Also on the pies moneyline at sportsbet, that way if they just lose (13 or less) i will get a refund. Pies can win this they have some good ins this week.

[Domestic]

Getting frustrated with no totals posted anywhere yet.

brettels, if you go to centrebet.com, click on live betting, AFL and then game totals they give a pretty good early estimation.
Right now it is looking like Carlton/Collingwood total will be around 186 which seems low. We will see though.

[brettels]

getting on the 221+ @6.5 (TAB) in the meantime

this is slow even for 365 in regards to bringing out the over/under right?

[brettels]

Getting frustrated with no totals posted anywhere yet.

[Domestic]

These lines are moving a lot more than they usually do this week.

Everyone seems to love Carlton. I'm not completely sold on that. The line is moving because of a pretty easy start to the season for them. Collingwood came into the season underdone and will only get better. They are a class side and I'd struggle to bet against them. I definitely won't be taking the Pies in this spot either.

I haven't seen a total yet, but I'll play over at anything less than 200-204 range.

My thoughts exactly on both the head to head and total.
Hoping I can get an even juicier ML/spread before the first bounce for the Magpies.

[Gee]

These lines are moving a lot more than they usually do this week.

Everyone seems to love Carlton. I'm not completely sold on that. The line is moving because of a pretty easy start to the season for them. Collingwood came into the season underdone and will only get better. They are a class side and I'd struggle to bet against them. I definitely won't be taking the Pies in this spot either.

I haven't seen a total yet, but I'll play over at anything less than 200-204 range.

[Crowing Capers]

Freo at home -44.5 is a gift.
They Beat Geelong round 1 and come home hard v Sydney last week on a ground that doesn't suit losing by couple goals.
Looking at the lions , yeah they get Browny back but First up Glass will hav him covered. They beat a woeful melbourne team and then cop a pounding from the blues at home. 45 points in is the right odds!
We all know how well the cats played last week and this Freo mob beat them the week before.
Get on in a big way , this game is going Freo 60 plus..

another lean is Eagles -105.5. Think they cover easy knowing % could decide where in the top 4 they finish and how important home finals are to them.
Big weekend coming let's get em

[nocode1]

Over in the Geelong north game brettels

[brettels]

Teams are out!

Carlton changes seem even but the Collingwood In's are much better.

[brettels]

You can let people know but i think just putting the code out there might be infraction-able but i could be wrong it might only apply to links(I've done that before) ! Ask if you can shari or someone will let you know! if you can put it back up

[Domestic]

Yeah you're right, deleted it. Just wanted people to be aware of it though, because it was a no strings attached bonus that you only had to rollover once. Thanks for the heads up.

[brettels]

I don't think you can promote like that domestic, just in case confirm that you can or remove it to not get infracted or whatever they choose to do. All good if you can just don't want to see you get banned.

[Domestic]

(Deleted)

[brettels]

For under or over nocode1?

[nocode1]

Hi guys, had a couple a week away with the girlfriend so didn't get to post anything last week although I did hit my multi

Hard week this week but I'm going with this multi for 1 unit

Carlton +23.5
St.kilda+23.5
port + 50.5
north +57.5

$2.08

I also like the Geelong-north total on Sunday as long as its not over 204.5

[aussieH]

Buckley will be keen to play defensively I think so the under could be the best play. He mentioned last week he was unhappy with their defensive pressure. I think your total is about right

[brettels]

I'm having a guess of the total over/under for fridays carlton vs collingwood match.

198.5 - 204.5

[Domestic]

I'm not willing to be against Collingwood either and I'll wait for that spread to hopefully increase a bit before placing a unit on them.

[Coopertrooper]

Agree with brettels, I'm a pies fan and I think we'll be much better than the previous 2 weeks, we're replacing our bottom 2-3 players with good quality players (Maxwell, BJ, Wellingham). Don't write us off in this one.

West Coast over will be good value if it isn't too high, I'll be busy and will probably miss it by the time it opens though :|

[brettels]

I have faith in the tigers to cover the 24.5 line but will i play it? May just put the ML in a multi of some sort.

Don't underestimate collingwood, feels like underestimating geelong on the weekend. hmmmm bring on the total for that game only.

Essendon like to smash the suns, didn't they get 99 points in the first quarter against them last year? -58.5 seems generous.

West coast can easily cover -105.5 as interstate teams aren't going to be as nice as sydney, north are proof.

Hawks -29.5 against adelaide I like that but this is another one of those games to get a real measure on where adelaide is really at.

geelong, another multi booster at the ML, -31.5, is the champ of the twins going to belittle his brother?

[MatI]

No love for Collingwood it seems. Carlton ML already down to 1.82 @ Centrebet. And will be moving more now that Jamison & Duigan look to be back in for the Blues. I say get it now before it loses more value.

[Lookingtostart]

Any advice on whether this would be considered a "safe" multi?

Essendon -58.5 @ 1.92
Richmond -5.5 @ 1.35
West Coast +37 halftime @ 1.27
Brisbane +69.5 @ 1.23

with total @ 4.05

I would take Richmond out just to be safe.

[sumwon]

Any advice on whether this would be considered a "safe" multi?

Essendon -58.5 @ 1.92
Richmond -5.5 @ 1.35
West Coast +37 halftime @ 1.27
Brisbane +69.5 @ 1.23

with total @ 4.05

[aussieH]

I played the. Under. I get sucked in to bad weather but the mcg dries quick and is shielded from the wind more than you think


Books are very reluctant to post the under over until a couple of hours before the bounce this year. Very frustrating

[brettels]

Should have played the over

Not a good week overall. Will study hard for round 3.

[brettels]

sportsbet, centrebet, sportingbet all have O/U 179.5 and all the same odds 1.88

TAB O/U 180.5 @1.87

Not playing the total, staying with the hawks -10.5 i got through the week.

[Pride]

hawks are too strong

[brettels]

yep on the hawks to cover

still waiting for more totals to come out, then i will consider a play or just stay with the hawks.

[MatI]

BOM radar is making it look worse than it really is. Unless more develops suddenly, we have seen the worst of it here and it is dry at the moment on the roads. MCG grass might be a little slick to begin with but wind should fix that up too. Worst factor at the moment is the wind, its pretty consistent at the moment and is gusting at times. Might be tricky if it doesnt settle down a little.