Pags' Plays 9/26

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  • pags11
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 08-18-05
    • 12264

    #176
    Purdue +8

    Don’t let last week’s lost to NIU fool you, Purdue head coach has this team headed in the right direction. Purdue is a young squad who got caught looking ahead to Notre Dame last week and a solid NIU squad snuck up and bit them. Purdue catches Notre Dame this week with many of their playmakers on offense hurt. Notre Dame WR Michael Floyd, arguably one of the best receivers in the nation, broke his collar bone last week and will be out for this week’s game. FB James Aldridge will also not play this week due to injury. Tailback Armando Allen was limited in practice this week due to an ankle injury, which means he comes into this week’s game at less than full strength. Throw in that QB Jimmy Clausen tweaked his foot in the second half of last week’s game and Notre Dames offense should be merely mortal this week. This is a good thing for Purdue because they aren’t exactly a defensive juggernaut. Purdue does get back one of their top secondary players this week which should help their pass defense tremendously as Notre Dame still has WR Golden Tate and TE Kyle Rudolph to account for.

    If anyone got to watch Purdue play Oregon a couple of weeks ago, or even their game against Toledo, you would understand that Purdue has an excellent scheme on offense. They will run a variety of plays out of many different offensive sets and will base much of their offense around tailback Ralph Bolden, who is averaging 6.4 yards per carry and has 4 TD’s this season. Purdue’s ground attack doesn’t stop there as RB Jaycen Taylor has rebounded from a knee injury last year and is averaging 4.6 yards per carry and has scored 3 TD’s so far. Purdue senior QB Joey Elliot is extremely mobile, averaging five yards per carry and has a couple of rushing TDs this season. He has completed a high percentage of his passes (61%) but will need to make good decisions with the football. He has a strong arm and a quick release but must remember to take what the defense gives him. Purdue has three talented WR’s to distribute the ball to in Keith Smith, Aaron Valentin and Kyle Adams. All three aren’t game breakers, but they have good hands and are solid possession guys.

    I’m not sure we will see a whole lot of defense and understand that Purdue’ offense, especially with the injuries to Notre Dame’s offensive unit, is every bit as explosive as Notre Dame’s. I see a motivated home team, plus more than a TD, and I’ve got to bite here.
    Comment
    • pags11
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 08-18-05
      • 12264

      #177
      Ulver86,



      Pick'nParlays,

      you're welcome...so am I brother, so am I...

      demize21,

      ...yep, **** the tacomax sideliners, too scared to get in the game but the first to criticize our plays when they lose...I expect a lot of silence from them this week, look forward to it in fact...
      Comment
      • cs11787
        SBR MVP
        • 08-26-08
        • 1088

        #178
        Pags,
        Three of my heaviest plays this week are Miami, TCU, and Army. Glad were on the same side! Good luck this week!
        Comment
        • pags11
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 08-18-05
          • 12264

          #179
          cs11787,

          that's very reassuring to hear...thanks and GL..
          Comment
          • Gaston Monescu
            SBR Sharp
            • 09-14-09
            • 295

            #180
            Good luck Pags. Looks like we're running together on Miami and North Carolina. I've got Fresno St. in a teaser as well--I feel the same way--Fresno St. isn't a major problem for Cincy, but I don't think they'll pummel them by more than two touchdowns.
            Comment
            • pags11
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 08-18-05
              • 12264

              #181
              Gaston Monescu,

              agree with you sir...GL...
              Comment
              • clowncar
                SBR High Roller
                • 09-25-08
                • 227

                #182
                nice writeups .. makes me feel more confident about some of those now.

                good luck this week pags.

                Hamurger Helper
                Comment
                • Willie Bee
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 02-14-06
                  • 15726

                  #183
                  Took a broom to the joint and swept out some of the garbage: http://forum.sbrforum.com/private-zo...-diverted.html

                  If you have a post in that thread then you are about one misstep away from being restricted from the College Football Forum. Our rules are very simple down here in the sports forums - Talk sports or don't talk at all. Tired of waking up to reported posts and PMs about childish verbal shoving matches.
                  Comment
                  • VegasDave
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 01-03-07
                    • 8056

                    #184
                    Pags, was leaning Miami and TCU heavily myself, and like Iowa and Purdue a lot. Disagree with you on Fresno State, but that's about it. Good luck!
                    Comment
                    • Smails Kid
                      SBR Hustler
                      • 02-27-09
                      • 86

                      #185
                      Great Friday to you Pags ----

                      I'll be on Miami, Iowa, Fresno State and Arkansas State with you, and I liked your breakdowns on those (and on your other plays as well). Waiting to see what happens with the Purdue line today as people start to ramp up for the weekend, but that should be a play as well. Good luck this weekend.
                      Comment
                      • Cougar Bait
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 10-04-07
                        • 18282

                        #186
                        Great job with the write-ups Pags...especially liked the TCU and Iowa ones...here's to a great week
                        Comment
                        • mp5070
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 09-13-08
                          • 5446

                          #187
                          Pags,

                          Thanks for the great write ups. Did you have a write up in the Miami/VT game?

                          Good Luck with your plays
                          Comment
                          • Dana4U
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 10-28-08
                            • 375

                            #188
                            Best of Luck to you this weekend Pags! I'm on Fresno State, NC, Iowa and Purdue with you.

                            Comment
                            • oda11
                              SBR MVP
                              • 06-05-09
                              • 3250

                              #189
                              Pags,

                              Great write-ups! Hope you turn it around this week, and nice start with S. Carolina!

                              Will you still take the following teams at their numbers?

                              Miami -3 (thinking about buying to down to -2.5)
                              Arkansas -2.5
                              Purdue +7 (might buy the hook here as well)

                              Good luck tomorrow!
                              Comment
                              • Bigco31707
                                SBR Rookie
                                • 09-25-09
                                • 2

                                #190
                                I just joined this site today but from what all ive read you realy know what your talking about and i like all your picks except for Iowa i like penn state but u seem to know what your talking about so im prolly going to stay away from that game heres my 5 picks

                                Miami-Fl -1
                                North Carolina +3
                                Tcu +3
                                Purdue +7
                                Kentucky +24
                                Comment
                                • taurus
                                  SBR High Roller
                                  • 08-11-05
                                  • 206

                                  #191
                                  with you 100% as usual
                                  Comment
                                  • dante1
                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                    • 10-31-05
                                    • 38658

                                    #192
                                    Pags

                                    Good luck buddy.
                                    Comment
                                    • MSUSpartan32
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 10-01-08
                                      • 948

                                      #193
                                      Best of luck, Pags. SCarolina got me off to a good start last night.

                                      Most interested in the UNC and Purdue games. So many factors going into those games. Can't wait.
                                      Comment
                                      • obamaismyuncle
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 12-31-08
                                        • 17801

                                        #194
                                        Gl this week Pags. You will have a winning week, you have had 3 losing weeks in a row, the odds are on your side. You can't lose every week.
                                        Comment
                                        • pags11
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 08-18-05
                                          • 12264

                                          #195
                                          clowncar,

                                          I'm just trying to be like you when I grow up man...

                                          Willie Bee,

                                          appreciate you cleaning things up...

                                          VegasDave,

                                          Smails Kid,

                                          sounds like a plan bud...

                                          Cougar Bait,



                                          mp5070,

                                          yes I did sir, take a look back and you will find a write-up on that game...

                                          Dana4U,

                                          you da man!...

                                          oda11,

                                          try to find Miami at 2.5, Purdue at 7 is still a pretty descent number, not sure what you mean about Arkansas -2.5, as they are 17.5 point dogs to Alambama...maybe you mean Arkansas St.?...hmmm, don't know what to tell you there...

                                          Bigco31707,

                                          appreciate it, thanks for sharing your picks...

                                          taurus,



                                          dante1,

                                          thank you...GL to you as well...

                                          MSUSpartan32,

                                          thanks for the well wishes...congrats on South Carolina and GL...
                                          Comment
                                          • pags11
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 08-18-05
                                            • 12264

                                            #196
                                            obamaismyuncle,

                                            I hope you didn't fade me this week...GL...
                                            Comment
                                            • L2Gunz
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 09-23-08
                                              • 2199

                                              #197
                                              Originally posted by obamaismyuncle
                                              Gl this week Pags. You will have a winning week, you have had 3 losing weeks in a row, the odds are on your side. You can't lose every week.
                                              Comment
                                              • Superman455
                                                SBR Sharp
                                                • 09-23-08
                                                • 366

                                                #198
                                                Great Write-ups as usual PAGS. Wish you the best if luck this week.
                                                Comment
                                                • pags11
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 08-18-05
                                                  • 12264

                                                  #199
                                                  l2gunz,

                                                  you're a ****ing moron...congrats on winning dipshit of the day
                                                  Comment
                                                  • pags11
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 08-18-05
                                                    • 12264

                                                    #200
                                                    superman,

                                                    appreciate it man...GL to you as well...
                                                    Comment
                                                    • strictlywinners
                                                      Restricted User
                                                      • 07-17-07
                                                      • 3377

                                                      #201
                                                      Purdue is a great play I like them to win outright.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • oda11
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 06-05-09
                                                        • 3250

                                                        #202
                                                        LOL, may fault pags, I meant Arkansas State...
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Joe Dogs
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 07-20-09
                                                          • 1931

                                                          #203
                                                          Best of luck tomorow Pags,run the table
                                                          Comment
                                                          • runnershane14
                                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                                            • 07-23-07
                                                            • 803

                                                            #204
                                                            Comment
                                                            • ZBOIZ
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 06-22-08
                                                              • 21464

                                                              #205
                                                              Originally posted by pags11
                                                              l2gunz,

                                                              you're a ****ing moron...congrats on winning dipshit of the day

                                                              Comment
                                                              • Flaghunter
                                                                SBR High Roller
                                                                • 11-12-08
                                                                • 101

                                                                #206
                                                                Hey Pags, What a fine job of capping the games for us. I just finished reading your write-ups. Cent Fla is right on. I'm on Iowa and Army as well. I need to make up for last night's game. Ole mIss what a shame...must have been a long bus ride(HeHe). I think your correct on Miami, they are starting to look like the Miami of years past with the fast secondary def, and strong running backs. Iowa has been growing on me for awhile, maybe because they remind of the OLD steelers Lambert, Ham,Greene,Greenwood and Webster. TCU is the one that mostly impresses me, I feel that they are ready for this game and Clemson isn't ready for the speed TCU brings. BOL this weekend. THANKS FOR ALL YOU DO!!!!!!!!!!
                                                                Comment
                                                                • masr
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 10-20-07
                                                                  • 4770

                                                                  #207
                                                                  Keep up the good work pags, good luck this week
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • GatorFan
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 04-19-07
                                                                    • 2969

                                                                    #208
                                                                    Great write-up as usual sir, Pags. Good luck to you this week.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • SexyMit
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 10-12-06
                                                                      • 6139

                                                                      #209
                                                                      Well not a good sign when Pags is on TCU! I like Clemson in this spot, they have been playing better and Clemson is fast as well. Also liking VT over Miami so a few discrepencies on the picks but BOL with your other plays!
                                                                      If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!

                                                                      I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Crispybear
                                                                        SBR Rookie
                                                                        • 09-16-07
                                                                        • 48

                                                                        #210
                                                                        Hey Pags, I'm with you on Fresno ST & TCU. Let's get it done!
                                                                        Comment
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