on3's MLB 2012 Opening Game system thread 194-8 last year +60 units

**J.M. Disciple** · 05-03-12, 03:07 PM

DLUNC

Yes, its true. Been a very rough couple days. A lot of systems have kinda dipped this week.

**eric14tsui** · 05-03-12, 03:08 PM

Fu*k me. SF just escaped from the first inning.

**Winning oasis** · 05-03-12, 03:26 PM

One (or both) of two things is apparent at this point:

1) SF F*cking sucks *ss and/or
2) Miami is really good.

Deja vu - - - same as last night. Miami jumps to an early lead AGAIN. Now, Juan fagio carlo Stanton is going to blast one. F....

**Ghenghis Kahn** · 05-03-12, 03:28 PM

Originally posted by Winning oasis

1) SF F*cking sucks *ss and/or

that's your answer, they can't score runs...

**moshi** · 05-03-12, 03:34 PM

Does this game seem like deja vu to anyone else? :/

**juice050** · 05-03-12, 03:49 PM

giants are really pathetic

**J.M. Disciple** · 05-03-12, 04:02 PM

Originally posted by ghislaine

Ummm, hi guys, and J.M. I know this is not prob the place, but maybe SBR made some changes and can`t pm You...
however, You sang always about Labby and that it is the best MM for betting. I am making a comeback to betting
and I feel I should Labby my bets and systems. Thinking about doing a simple 4 number labby and then evening out after
each game... What do You think ?? Better than flat bet ?
Thanks and sorry again for spamming the thread

If you want to save yourself a lot of time wait for on3 to post his plays. he has a $20 unit size in this thread so when he post SF to win $88 just bet 4.4units on that. That way you do not even have to keep track of the labby. At end of the season depending on the juice you get or he gets the results will be slightly off but very similar. Saves a lot of time that way.

**J.M. Disciple** · 05-03-12, 04:03 PM

Someone else try to PM me please... I did not know this was changed on my account.

**stevex** · 05-03-12, 04:05 PM

No worries fellas. Its only May 3rd. We still have PLENTY of baseball left to make that cash...

Use good money management and never bet above your means. Will be fine.

**Gndias** · 05-03-12, 04:37 PM

2-1...its not over yet

**oklahoma** · 05-03-12, 04:40 PM

Hey they got a run, theyre due for a parade tomorrow.

**Winning oasis** · 05-03-12, 04:58 PM

Its NOT a rumor...... Theriot is a douche bag with that sad effort leaving 2 on base.....

**Gndias** · 05-03-12, 05:06 PM

damn its done

**juice050** · 05-03-12, 05:08 PM

game over fellas giants are hot garbage

**xgame** · 05-03-12, 05:13 PM

Originally posted by Gndias

damn its done

**xgame** · 05-03-12, 05:49 PM

But I go with RL safe.

**on3** · 05-03-12, 05:50 PM

damn. on to the next one.

**bigvern** · 05-03-12, 05:51 PM

Pleased to hear that xgame ...

**NoHero** · 05-03-12, 05:51 PM

Another sweep....great.

**alxsamsonov** · 05-03-12, 05:57 PM

are we still at a positive unit count?

**J.M. Disciple** · 05-03-12, 06:03 PM

Originally posted by on3

dammit, POS in the 10th inning. im placing the whole loss on line (C) because of the low juice.

System record 34-1-0; 9-0-0
Units +16
1 unit = $20

5/3

#36 -- miami @ SF -105 (C)

Game 1 win = 19-17; 7-2
Game 2 win = 13-4; 2-0
Game 3 win = 2-1; 0-0

Labby Line (regular)

x-25-x-45
x-x-20-68
x-x-101-33

Labby Line (filter)

x-x-x-x

SF to win 134

Bump up...

Yes still positive units... was +16units today minus (134/20) 6.7u so floating around 9-10 units pending juice on SF game.

**Wallco99** · 05-03-12, 06:12 PM

Originally posted by xgame

But I go with RL safe.

As did I. The +1.5 came in handy today!!!

**darrendice** · 05-03-12, 06:22 PM

I'm really pleased for everyone who won by not following the on3 /Rizz system. I'm sure there is a thread elsewhere to post these plays you've made so you can revel in your successes without irritating the rest of us.

**Wallco99** · 05-03-12, 06:35 PM

Originally posted by darrendice

I'm really pleased for everyone who won by not following the on3 /Rizz system. I'm sure there is a thread elsewhere to post these plays you've made so you can revel in your successes without irritating the rest of us.

Actually, I just realized shortly ago that the system wasn't played that way, I thought it was and always took the +1.5 when available. No one is looking to irratate, just passing on ideas.

**darkmatter117** · 05-03-12, 06:37 PM

C'mon, guys. We can't win them all. Accept it and move on -- and don't take it out on the guys who laid the extra juice and saw it pay off. We're on the same side here. There's a lot more baseball to be played, and thus a lot more money to be made.

**xgame** · 05-03-12, 06:40 PM

Originally posted by bigvern

Pleased to hear that xgame ...

thx.

**xgame** · 05-03-12, 06:42 PM

Originally posted by Wallco99

As did I. The +1.5 came in handy today!!!

smart play Wallco

**darkmatter117** · 05-03-12, 06:47 PM

Originally posted by Wallco99

Actually, I just realized shortly ago that the system wasn't played that way, I thought it was and always took the +1.5 when available. No one is looking to irratate, just passing on ideas.

That could be something to look into. Maybe limit has that data from his backtests. Based on a cursory glance at my backtests from 2006 and 2007, there were six instances in which our team was an underdog in Game 3 (excluding one or two series in September). The +1.5 RL would have changed the outcome in only one of those games -- the rest were either outright wins or losses by 2+ runs.

**xgame** · 05-03-12, 06:59 PM

Originally posted by on3

damn. on to the next one.

**juice050** · 05-03-12, 07:36 PM

that +1.5 came in handy. sf sucks still though.

**thelimit0310** · 05-03-12, 08:11 PM

Originally posted by darkmatter117

That could be something to look into. Maybe limit has that data from his backtests. Based on a cursory glance at my backtests from 2006 and 2007, there were six instances in which our team was an underdog in Game 3 (excluding one or two series in September). The +1.5 RL would have changed the outcome in only one of those games -- the rest were either outright wins or losses by 2+ runs.

Pretty much this ^. It comes in handy very little. I'd say not worth it especially when you factor the huge juice in.

**WVU9494** · 05-03-12, 08:45 PM

This was discussed in depth pages back. Taking the RL in the 3rd game is the play. It has been back tested. It only resulted in one more loss last year. Per past data you should always take the RL in the C game

**sstrunks52005** · 05-03-12, 08:52 PM

were we suppose to take +1.5 on C bets?

**Wallco99** · 05-03-12, 08:57 PM

Originally posted by thelimit0310

Pretty much this ^. It comes in handy very little. I'd say not worth it especially when you factor the huge juice in.

I wouldn't call -160 that huge.. Especially when many of the plays in this system are at even higher juice than that, at least on the first bet. To me, it's worth it. This year, it is 1/1, and counting the six losses last year, it is 2/7. That is 29% less losses on the two year example. And that is assuming that of the six losses last season, the team we were betting was getting the +1.5 in at least one of the bets. I doubt that is the case, since our team was probably the favorite in all three games most of the time. If that is the case, the percentage of success is even higher. I don't know what the six losses were last year, but I am sure someone does.

**Wallco99** · 05-03-12, 09:11 PM

Originally posted by WVU9494

This was discussed in depth pages back. Taking the RL in the 3rd game is the play. It has been back tested. It only resulted in one more loss last year. Per past data you should always take the RL in the C game

How could it result in more losses? If anything, it would prevent some.