on3's MLB 2012 Opening Game system thread 194-8 last year +60 units

[oklahoma]

Grandslam in the Jays game, an epic bed shitter. No 2 ways about it, we got pissed on tonight. Hopefully tomorrow we can avoid some C bets.

[moshi]

Dammn! dlunc is gonna get buried tonight. Hope you have enough to cover the chase.

[dlunc3]

Dammn! dlunc is gonna get buried tonight. Hope you have enough to cover the chase.

absolutely brutal... that toronto 9th inning cost me $1700

crazy enough if I can hit these last 3 games im only down less then $300 tonight... but yea, luckily its house money.. baseball has been good thusfar.. grinding up 42 units going into tonight (close to 60 going into this week ).... gotta keep the units small though.. keeping my unit size only .57% of the bankroll so thought these tough nights hurt, i have faith that the system will work its way back

[dlunc3]

big comeback by colorado... hopefully they can build off that momentum

[moshi]

Crazy how many underdogs won tonight!

[dlunc3]

big rockies 5th inning


here we go.. this starts our run

[WVU9494]

Yea, I am laying off too. I think you were the one that turned me on to the a3 bet. Thanks, I am the same as you and am up 15 units on it. Betting 5 per game.

I was thinking the same thing. irregardless of what happens I'm laying off the Phillies for the next few days and will chalk them up as a loss. I don't want to risk losing any more units on them. Between this and system integrity I've been getting buried this week. At least the A3 plays from Dex have been hitting for me. up 15 units on them alone.

[alxsamsonov]

LMFAO the combination of the rockie's offense and Met's suckittude is creating an epic inning. Cargo with 5 RBI IN THE INNING!

[dlunc3]

col has 8 runs this inning... and have now loaded the bases again... and there are still NO outs

[dlunc3]

edit.: I lied.. there is one out.. still pretty funny though

[alxsamsonov]

edit.: I lied.. there is one out.. still pretty funny though

it was so bad that the Mets broke my espn.com scoreboard. its been frozen on that inning ever since. Every other game is updating though.

[dlunc3]

it was so bad that the Mets broke my espn.com scoreboard. its been frozen on that inning ever since. Every other game is updating though.

of course col promptly gave two runs back.... if we blow a 13-6 lead, we all suck at life and should never bet again

[alxsamsonov]

We're not out of the woods just yet...

[SlickRick1382]

The Tigers collapse and Blue Jays collapse was just to unreal to deal with today. Was pretty confident they could cover or split worst case scenario and was already have a good run.

[sweatypalms]

can anyone please answer my question?

is it okay to take -1.5 on the plays that are RL plays? I cant find anywhere to get -1 locally

thank you

[dlunc3]

can anyone please answer my question?

is it okay to take -1.5 on the plays that are RL plays? I cant find anywhere to get -1 locally

thank you

RL means -1.5

What you are thinking is -1RL... I normally take this line on the games personally, but On3 normally plays ML or RL and he clearly labels that.

If you want the -1RL, it is easy to create even if your book does not allow it.. I do not want to cluter this thread more then I already am.. visit my thread called "my business" and ill try to help you understand it

[sweatypalms]

thank you dlunc3, i will check it out right now

[dlunc3]

Sweatypalms:

I posted this for you in my thread... but after thinking about it, i figured I would post it in here as well just in case it can help anyone else. If you would like to further discuss it, visit my thread and I would be happy to: http://forum.sbrforum.com/baseball-b...iness-p24.html


To create a -1RL, you need to make two separate bets..all you need to do is bet TO WIN the same amount on the ML as you bet TO WIN on the RL.

For example, tonight I created the -1RL on my toronto blue jays bet. The bluejays ML was -200, and their RL was +100. So pretend we want to win $200 on the -1rl (meaning if our team wins by 1, we push):

Bet $100 to win $100 on the Bluejays RL (meaning they need to win by 2+ to win)

Bet $200 to win $100 on the Bluejays ML (meaning they need to just win by 1+ to win this bet)

Together, we are risking $300 to win $200, therefore making the -1RL a -150 bet. If the bluejays win by 1, we win the ml bet (win $100), but lose the RL bet (lose $100).. so therefore its a push. If the bluejays win by 2+, we win both bets and win $200. If the Bluejays straight up lose (like they did ), we lose $300.

Does this make sense?

[dlunc3]

This is a calculator that creates the -1RL for you.

I find it to be a waste of time and personally think it is easier to create the -1RL myself, but it may be helpful to get you started

http://sportsobjective.com/wordpress/?page_id=3167

[Gamble32jn]

hope tomorrow is better. Went from 500 winner to 300 loser in 1 game. fk-ing bookie didnt answer my call to get my my CO bet in. F-ING bookies. I wish they would lose their houses

[WVU9494]

Haha, Gwynn thrown out at home for 3rd out in 9th that would of gave us the win

[dlunc3]

gross... tony gywnn thrown out at home...took a perfect play... to end the 8th which woulda put us up two.. just one of those nights

[alxsamsonov]

can't catch a break these last few days...

[TripleDDD]

Do you guys chase -1 pushes? Would you chase dodgers tmr if you pushed with -1 RL?

[alxsamsonov]

Do you guys chase -1 pushes? Would you chase dodgers tmr if you pushed with -1 RL?

I think we play -1.5 RL's.

[dlunc3]

2-4


we'll clean it up tomorrow


Not sure what On3 will have in store (I know we went ahead and played Milw the following game last week after we took their RL and they only won by one)... Wash will be in the same position tomorrow.. yet going against strasburg

[sweatypalms]

Sweatypalms:

I posted this for you in my thread... but after thinking about it, i figured I would post it in here as well just in case it can help anyone else. If you would like to further discuss it, visit my thread and I would be happy to: http://forum.sbrforum.com/baseball-b...iness-p24.html


To create a -1RL, you need to make two separate bets..all you need to do is bet TO WIN the same amount on the ML as you bet TO WIN on the RL.

For example, tonight I created the -1RL on my toronto blue jays bet. The bluejays ML was -200, and their RL was +100. So pretend we want to win $200 on the -1rl (meaning if our team wins by 1, we push):

Bet $100 to win $100 on the Bluejays RL (meaning they need to win by 2+ to win)

Bet $200 to win $100 on the Bluejays ML (meaning they need to just win by 1+ to win this bet)

Together, we are risking $300 to win $200, therefore making the -1RL a -150 bet. If the bluejays win by 1, we win the ml bet (win $100), but lose the RL bet (lose $100).. so therefore its a push. If the bluejays win by 2+, we win both bets and win $200. If the Bluejays straight up lose (like they did ), we lose $300.

Does this make sense?

This made great sense and was very helpful. It was exactly what I needed. Thanks a lot!

I appreciate your help dlunc!

It really makes sense for me to create a -1. ML juice is way too high for a lot of plays for me, and I have been getting screwed so bad on -1.5 RL's lately. Like the dodgers tonight, for example.

Do you always make a -1 when you play? What situations do you do it / not do it?

Thanks!

[oklahoma]

3-4. The jays loss put a negative spin on the whole night imo. But if theres any bright spot remember we couldve gone 0-7. Lets clean up tomorrow yes?

[Taro Punk]

LAD should have won rl. Well, there's always a sweep tomorrow~

[on3]

System record 25-1-0; 7-0-0
Units +5
1 unit = $20

4/28

#25 -- chicago @ PHI -141 (B)
#28 -- washington @ LAD +107 (B)
#29 -- seattle @ TOR -180 (B)
#30 -- houston @ CIN -200/+110 (B) -- play RL

Game 1 win = 15-15; 5-2
Game 2 win = 8-3; 2-0
Game 3 win = 2-1; 0-0

Labby Line (regular)

40-37-41-65
45-45-40-52
10-30-30-33

Labby Line (filter)

x-x-x-x

PHI to win 45
LAD bet 45
TOR to win 40
CIN bet 52

[timmyboy34243]

would the LAD play be an A due to the fact it was PUSH on the -1RL ?

System record 25-1-0; 7-0-0
Units +5
1 unit = $20

4/28

#25 -- chicago @ PHI -141 (B)
#28 -- washington @ LAD +107 (B)
#29 -- seattle @ TOR -180 (B)
#30 -- houston @ CIN -200/+110 (B) -- play RL

Game 1 win = 15-15; 5-2
Game 2 win = 8-3; 2-0
Game 3 win = 2-1; 0-0

Labby Line (regular)

40-37-41-65
45-45-40-52
10-30-30-33

Labby Line (filter)

x-x-x-x

PHI to win 45
LAD bet 45
TOR to win 40
CIN bet 52

[GGPLAYER]

would the LAD play be an A due to the fact it was PUSH on the -1RL ?

I've been doing just the -1.5 RL.....are we suppose to do -1 RL? I just started this week so I'm new.

[stevex]

J.M. has been like this in every thread he's been in. He's a joke. Don't mind him. Just let him keep posting that crap and ignore it.

[SlickRick1382]

would the LAD play be an A due to the fact it was PUSH on the -1RL ?

Think the RL is -1.5 not -1

That's the -1RL which is different ....

[timmyboy34243]

due to the high ML on the dodgers, friday, game 1 i believe the play was at the calculated -1RL......

Think the RL is -1.5 not -1

That's the -1RL which is different ....