Thank you so much for the props jorge. means a lot! and I truly believe.. being a part of SBR we are all in this together.. rooting for each other.. unless we are on opposing sides obviously.. and we still say BOL
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Would lean over in CWS/MIN game but not touching that or the TEX game.
Like your call on CLE/ANA will tail that and toss you some points if it hits.
Other plays for me include Reds large and for a smaller amount the Phils.
Hudson has been pitching great but the Reds at home is a tough matchup for him (he was not so great in the AL before the trade)
think he gets hit and ARI offense is very cold lately think Wood keeps them down tonight and the final looks like last night's game which I made money on.
Phils ; pitching matchup too strong to ignore. Mendez who knows, he did pitch great against them but sometimes the second time around things aren't soo easy and the Phils were crushing the ball last night in FLA.
Let's hit that UNDER!Comment -
Dog of the day:
Yes, there are other dogs i like today, such as Yanks, Cubs, and OAK, not to mention my hunch on FLA, but i this one i feel has the best chance of winning...
TIGRES de DETROIT contra TEXAS RANGERS
Ill make it quick...I love the public FALSELY on TEXAS (73%) versus a good DETROIT team. YES! Texas has won 5 in a row against some tough tough opponents (NYY SWEEP and SERIES WIN AGAINST TORONTO)...and YES! TEXAS took 2 of the last 3 games between these two clubs in the second half of the season. BUT:
DET is 4-2 last 6 games!
Jeremy Bonderman is ON FIRE last 3 games! He has won all three, pitched 1, 4, and 2 runs respectively in each of the games with an ERA of 2.95, 1 HR, and 14 STRIKE OUTS! all that in 21.1 SOLID INNINGS!
D Holland, on the other hand, has been amazing last 3 games. He pitched a 3 hit 5 inning game against TORonto with 8 STRIKE OUTS that evening...amazing! but has not been so AMAZING in the minors...and MINNY lit him up for 4 runs last week...
I feel this game goes to the veteran Bonderman early on and anything can happen late, as ALWAYS happens in TEXAS...so ill stick to my FF!
YOU CANNOT MISS this price with DET JUST because of public perception and market price on this HOlland Kid...he is Good, but has not been as solid as his last outting against TORONTO indicates...
DET FF +153 1.25xComment -
Yeah man...your picks look good..and agree on almost everything..im staying in this TEXAS game though...price TOO hard to ignore against this rookie...The phils i think you are right, but im following my gut..i woke up this mornign and my FIRST though i had was FLORIDA MARLINS...
call it nuts, or supersticious, and i HATE the marlins, but i think they take it tonight, SOMEHOW...i dunno how though, so dont ask, LOL...Comment -
Loving the under pick kepaso. GL.
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Jorege I posted this in Paco's thread and I know your thread is for baseball but I wanted to share what I had to say about this game with you as well.
I played for Wyoming from 2004 to 2008 and I can tell you that it will be hard for Boise to cover for the simple fact that the game is in Laramie. I don't think Wyoming is THAT good I just know what the gameday atmosphere is like up there and the place will be packed. Its also a rare night game so everyone in the state of Wyoming will be there. Cowboys are scrappy at home in big game situations (Texas last year in Larmie is an example).
Also, 1 Wyoming football player was killed and 2 others were hospitalized in a car wreck fairly recently. Im positive they will be doing something special for the player at this game and I know this Wyoming team will be playing their hearts out for their lost teamate!Comment -
like the ff bet 2 good luck jorgeComment -
These are my last two games for tonight...
LEANS: NYY ML, and FLA ML
but i figure this is the BEST investment tonight:
GRAND SALAMI: TOTAL RUNS SCORED TONIGHT UNDER 127.5 -110 1.36x
Lots of good pitching, crappy batting, and slumps going on...no WEAK teams really facing good teams that might get lit up except for FLA/PHI, and even then, i think FLA keeps them in check!
Plus, if you add ALL the TOTALS its 121.5 tonight...so im getting additional 6 runs to spare and LOTS of games go UNDER tonight...if it cashes im betting OVER in grand salami tomorrow.....yesterday the GRAND SALAMI was 96 runs and the total runs scored didnt even reach 75 i think.... I THINK!
BOL guysComment -
I put a little on the Tigers as well. They looked pretty good against the white sox and having no Hamilton hurts the Rangers who appear to be on coast mode.
Thanks!Comment -
Clint, it looks good...I mean, ill wait it out till last minute because i KNOW BOISE gets pounded in this game and you get almost 30 points with WYOMING later on in the week..NO DOUBT! I KNOW IT...its public perception my man..but i love the pick..one of those that goes unnoticed..plus WYOMING isnt all that crappy this year..
im a LONGHORN MYSELF, played Football and baseball in highschool in TEXAS and went on to play college bases one year in a small college in texas...but My longhorns beat wyoming, but i thought it was going to be worse...
BOL and lets keep up the football talk budComment -
yeah,,,texas loses tonight, but FF is best because i see TEXAS is a TOUGH TOUGH late inning team...Comment -
jorge tailed you on under cleve. thanks bro. keep up the good work. thanks againComment -
No problemo bud. It was a great under. Held out pretty well at the end. I was afraid angels would get the tie and make a push. Regardless ye numbers didn't lie. Game ended on 7 which I mentioned before I thought was the right total for the game
bol everyone
big game won
Detroit ff pushed
waiting on the final of the entire night but I did the math and it will be close
Bol to us and those who followed the plays todayComment -
Good call on that under
wasn't exactly easy but a win is a winComment -
Glad we cashed on the Indians Under.
I played that Royals Under as well, but they straight raked up on Gio Gonzalez.Comment -
nice win on the under jorge!!
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good stuff man lets get another great pick tom and cassssshhhhhh again!
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Thanks guys. Honestly almost every game went the way I thought today. Nyy won. Cubs won. Fla stayed in it till the end. Cws over was good. Kc beat down my main man gio. What else?
Thanks for all the support. I lost the grand salami pick but as far as games are concerned we are 4-0 going into Wednesday right?
I must be doing something right
good night guys. Old lady just gave me the turn around so gotta go to sleep now
c ya tomorowComment -
great writeup on the under jorge first time i ever tailed you thanks for the solid pick
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LLL WK: +6.73x 6-2
LL MON: +3.28x 2-0
LL TUES: +5.35x 1-0
LL WED: +4.15x 2-1
LL THUR: +4.14 2-0
LL FRID: -5.83x 1-2
LL SATU: -5.10x 1-1
LL SUND: +18.34x 6-1-1
LMON: +13.28x 4-2
LTUES: -11.8x 0-1
LWED: -13.5X 1-2
LTHUR: +3.92x 3-2-2
LFRID: -5.425x 1-4
LSATU:-1.70x 0-1
LSUND: DAY OFF
MON: +2.52x 2-0
TUES: +0.00x 1-1-1
TOTAL: +18.355x 33-20-4
HITTING A 62.3% boysComment -
Jorge I have been lookin at the Colorado game today and I am really likin the under. Im still looking at it but so far....
De la Rosa has pitched late into the game his last 5 starts (at least 6 innings more like 7). Over those last 5 starts he has only givin up 9 ER total! (2,2,1,2,2). Also he has not walked many batters over those starts.
On the other side Richard has also pitched very well his last 5 starts. He has also pitched into at least the 6th inning in all 5 of those starts. He has only given up a total of 5 ER in those starts (1,1,2,0,1). and he too had not walked many batters as of late.
Just some early thoughts I don't know what the bullpen situation for each team is as far as rest. IMO this is one of those games where I see a 4-3 or 5-2 score as the outcome and the line is at 9.5 right now! The only reason I can see why it is so high is because based on the last two games the Bats for both teams have been ALIVE or maybe something to do with the bullpen for the rockies?
let me know what you think!Comment -
I have one or two SOLID plays for today which i will write up later but i definetely see value in other plays which i will throw around for small amounts...wager at your own risk but i feel it should be a great day, one game at a time.Comment -
I realyl dislike Washington, but anything can happen in Baseball, and I feel Lannan is better than Minor. Neither team is hot at bat, so i feel this is mostly on the pitchin today...
Im not going to get greedy and take WSH on the ML, instead ill take the smarter bet (IMO). i think they win it outright, but im not one to take teams like WSH...however, and i have taken them on the +1.5 Rl before and cashed, I feel like this is a solid wager...
This game stays low scoring, Lannan is better and more experienced than MINOR...and You know what? why NOT back Lannan UP here?
He has been solid all his starts since August 1st. guy has been allowing 1 to 2 runs per game, with one exception against CHC. has an ERA last 3 of 2.11, 21.1 IP, 17 SO, 4 BB, 2 HR.
Also, he Beat ATL in ATL in august, allowing only 2 ER, with 5 SO and only 1 BB.
Why not take them? because every thinks ATL is unvinsable at home? JAJAJA, yeah, right...this bet has value written all over it.
WSH +1.5 -125 1.0xComment -
BTW, if you wanna fade go ahead...i know ATL can just blow up and kill my wager... its your call either way, but im on WSH
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Jorge u see what i wrote about the Colorado game?Comment -
yeah, lookin at it budComment -
Honestly, I can see this game going over in a heartbeat. COLORADO's DE LA ROSA is one of my favorite pitchers in the league, NO DOUBT, but i feel COLORADO looks to crush teams at home, not by pitching, but rather by Batting!
So i look for them to blow up today, and im not sure if SD keeps up or not but looking at it closely i think the SD TT UNDER 4 is a better bet than the GAME total under 9.5...Just my opinion...this is why:
Every time these two teams are in colorado, at least since the break check this out:
18, 6 ,16, 10, 13
Four of the last 5 games in colorado go into DOUBLE DIGITS!!! not even just 9 or ten runs, no! it goes into 18, 16, etc etc...
If you are in love with the under, i suggest look for a solid pitcher and weak batting and hit the team total under. I dont see almost ANYONE in this forum wager on TT UNDERS..everyone looks for the over, but ive cashed SO MANY unders this way...just my opinion...
its tough to bet TOTALS sometimes when you have dangerous teams. with a team total you only care of one team...but with totals if either team blows up you are done!Comment -
BTW, looking at RICHARD, check this out:
on the road he either gives up a runs or pitches low innings. ATL gave up 3 runs, then the bullpen gave up 5! LAD pitched only 5 innins and gave up 4 runs. ARI gave up 5 runs in 3.2 innings...
so i dont feel he is all that solid man...honestly dont, specially not in the rockies! its tough for any pitcher to go up there in september...last time he went UP THERE in JULY rockies put up 7 runs on himComment -
on the other hand, lookin at DLROSA, check this out...
at home guy gave up: 2, 2, 3, 3, 2. ALL SIX OF HIS LAST SIX GAMES rockies have held their opponents to 4 runs or less.Comment -
bullpens are NOT rested...PADs bull pen is medium so so, and rockies is as well...actually a little on the low side of rest...Comment -
I like your Nationals bet Jorge!Comment -
Colo park is very tough to pitch at in september jorge ia agree add that colo bats are on fire giambi and matt stairs are hitting game winning hr for them they are very dangerous to against right now.good luck todayComment -
yeah...i just kinda looked into it and am ABOUT to make a move on the over...it seems every time i give some advice or look into a game and share my opinion the game goes the way i thought it would but i dont make any money on it...lol...
i gotta see how my WSH game goes before i make any other moves..Comment -
thanks bro...i read a book once about wagering on bases and i read that MOST ppl ignore DOG RUN LINES... everyone wants to win big with the dog ML but dont realize the number of times the would win a wager if you take the RL.
Sure its not as prestigious as the ML, but i really really like this wager. You got anything for todayComment
