JORGE's 1 Play-A-Day

jorge1 · 09-15-10, 10:39 AM

i FEEL THE bet here is COL RL...its a total square bet but i feel they blow up today and as some of you might have followed, i LOVE DE LA ROSA on the mound...guy is amazing in my eyes...that sounded kinda homo...jajaja, but no lie guy is solid...SPECIALLY at home with batting support...

guys, if you really look to see what happened to COLO these last two games, it was definetely pitching...Francis was out in 3 innings with only 62 pitches! i ddint follow the game but from what i read, i think he mightve gotten hurt or something...and yesterday Hammel was out in 4 innings with only 59 pitches! I dunno what happed or what, but its strange these guys got taken out so early...

if anyone can shed any light on why it would be great...

regardless i feel the chances of PADs sweeping ROCKS at home is SLIM! i really think itll be tough..and honestly, ROCKS win big...

totally square of me but its either COL RL or nothing in this game...or perhaps the over...

fox sixers · 09-15-10, 10:45 AM

Im leaning on boston/seattle under 7

Angels/Indians under 8

Maybe phillies? A's? What you think?

I am very impressed with your knowledge man.

jorge1 · 09-15-10, 10:47 AM

dont be impressed at all man...i just read thats all...and i pick my spots...i usually dont take more than 3 wagers on MLB per day..picking your spots is KEY!

jorge1 · 09-15-10, 10:49 AM

I feel the BOS/SEA UNDER is one of those that EVERYTHING points under and BOSTON blows up and it goes WAYYYY OVER....but i wouldnt put a bet on that till later when day games are done and i got some money in my pocket...if i dont make money early i stay away and go for ONE solid play tonight

jorge1 · 09-15-10, 10:51 AM

I think the under in the LAA game is okay, but the TT UNDER for CLEVELAND 3.5 is really good....But best wager of this game in my opinion is the LAA at only -117. No way cleveland take this one...i dont think

jorge1 · 09-15-10, 10:53 AM

Phillies are overpriced and A's were shaken yesterday. I think i like KC better with Chen on the mound...i have tried fading him before and he is a TOUGH COOKIE to crack man! no lie.

maybe KC TT UNDER 3.5 or taking OAK ff is a better idea..

slimpickins · 09-15-10, 10:55 AM

Still like the Reds tonight even though I was dead wrong on that last night.
Juice is crazy high though.

Last night, SD bats just came out blazing.
Hammel's numbers lately had been great, so it was hard to predict that happening.
Not injuries they were hitting everything he threw, Col was very fortunate the score was not higher early, the hits were 12-4 or something like that early on.

SD is putting together tough at bats so while I can't envision them sweeping COL at COL they are playing well all of a sudden and think the juice is very high for 2 evenly matched teams.

jorge1 · 09-15-10, 10:58 AM

PHILLIES is a tough tough game to bet on man..realyl is...its so well priced to keep good bettors away...the OU is set at 8.5, which is PERFECTLY RIGHT imo...if it was 9.5 we all go under, if its 7.5 its OBVIOUSLY OVER!

The side is TOO EXPENSIVE, and the RL is just as expensive at -145...TOO MUCH! FLA is not winning this game with this pitcher going up, but hey! look at it from this point of view, FLA knows roy halladay...Phillies dont know Jorge Sosa...that is never good to bet on...IMO

jorge1 · 09-15-10, 11:03 AM

CINCI no bueno...if anything, and i HATE ARIZONA, but if anything i would take ARI ML...but i didnt say that in case anyone asks LOL...

Homer is WAY OVERPRICED! no WAY! I think Saunders could do damage to Reds tonight, but then again, this fool SUCKS on the road!

I DUNNO..im not into that game AT ALL

jorge1 · 09-15-10, 11:09 AM

WSH/ATL UNDER 8 -105 2x

fox sixers · 09-15-10, 11:13 AM

totally agree with you on the phillies. wouldn't bet it as a single game.. only in a parlay.. I was just naming teams/unders

troutsky · 09-15-10, 11:13 AM

I am still not sure on what to bet today. Think I will pass on the early games but I am really liking CHI vs STL even though ML is only at +165.

I am kind of liking the u7.5 on the MIL/HOU game. But I might buy it up to u8. What do you think? Happ is on super hot streak especially at home. And Bush usually gives up some hits but both he and happ are in the mid 6's for run support avg's.

Tough call I really don't like the 7.5 lines for over unders.

fox sixers · 09-15-10, 11:20 AM

I do think cleveland is capable of winning tonight.... Gomez 4-0 at home.. I will have my writeup in in the next 2 hours..

jorge1 · 09-15-10, 11:29 AM

Originally posted by fox sixers

totally agree with you on the phillies. wouldn't bet it as a single game.. only in a parlay.. I was just naming teams/unders

yeah...point taken. good in a parlay, but i seldomly do parlays

jorge1 · 09-15-10, 11:31 AM

Originally posted by troutsky

I am still not sure on what to bet today. Think I will pass on the early games but I am really liking CHI vs STL even though ML is only at +165. I am kind of liking the u7.5 on the MIL/HOU game. But I might buy it up to u8. What do you think? Happ is on super hot streak especially at home. And Bush usually gives up some hits but both he and happ are in the mid 6's for run support avg's. Tough call I really don't like the 7.5 lines for over unders.

there are a couple good plays up there, just not the OBVIOUS ones..in September i think the OBVIOUS plays from the whole season are a bit expensive so you gotta look for alternatives...

Im not sure about the HOUSTON game, but i like MIL here...for some odd reason i simply do...i dont feel HOUSTON can keep them cold forever

jorge1 · 09-15-10, 11:31 AM

Washington came to play today...

jorge1 · 09-15-10, 11:34 AM

Buajajajajajajaja, washington grand slam!!!! Jajajaajajajajaja

jorge1 · 09-15-10, 11:35 AM

that under not looking so good anymore, but im happy that WASHINGTON is showing up....JAJAJAJAJA funny how many ppl took that ATL line like as if its THAT easy..

told yall MINOR is a MINOR still! jajaja

jorge1 · 09-15-10, 11:35 AM

hopefully they go quiet now cuz i want this under!

fox sixers · 09-15-10, 11:38 AM

When I do a parlay, it's normally just a 2 team parlay..

decado · 09-15-10, 11:39 AM

hi jorge. just saw your under and missed it. maybe thats a good thing.
still hoping u will make the under.

good luck tonight

fox sixers · 09-15-10, 11:40 AM

so what other games you feel good about jorge? trying to get a feel who I should take with the phillies.. I may not even end up doing a parlay. just trying to see what games especially sides has value today for a good play.. should of bet the nats harder.. but they are the nats. haha

714cuzzin · 09-15-10, 11:43 AM

Im tailing u jorge. Lets slow it down now for the rest of the game.

jorge1 · 09-15-10, 11:59 AM

I feel nats dont score rest of the game honestly..you know how often they do this? hit 3 or 4 runs in early innings then stay scoreless rest of the game, LOL...still like the under here

jorge1 · 09-15-10, 12:00 PM

im still lookin at the card honestly, but i like big Z today

jorge1 · 09-15-10, 12:01 PM

anyone see that? JAJA, looks like the good ole baseball luck is on our side so far fellas...one of them games that everything goes one team's way

sportsguy04 · 09-15-10, 12:12 PM

Originally posted by jorge1

anyone see that? JAJA, looks like the good ole baseball luck is on our side so far fellas...one of them games that everything goes one team's way

Eh we will be alright with that Under. I see a 8 run game here. All will be quiet rest of game. Minor and Lannon have settled down. Just need the game to remain the same, so Atlanta nor Washinton bring in their RP that has a 10.00 ERA. Need Washington to throw out their Setup guy and hopefully closer later.

troutsky · 09-15-10, 12:20 PM

I am with you on HOU. Milwaukee can't hit for a lick.

sportsguy04 · 09-15-10, 12:22 PM

I kind of like that UNDER 7.5 in Houston. Both Bush and Happ have been dealing well lately. But both games haven gone Under in this series already scares me. This could be the game the bats get going?

jorge1 · 09-15-10, 12:41 PM

MIL TT U3.5 -115 .92x

jorge1 · 09-15-10, 12:43 PM

Milwakee hasnt hit more than 2 runs in the last 5 games. Now they face Happ, who has hasnt been in a game in which his opponent scored more than four the last 5 games...guy is shutting EVERYONE DOWN...so, if taking the team total under right now isnt the time i dunno when it is!

jorge1 · 09-15-10, 12:46 PM

Im unhappy that WSH has allowed ATL to chip away...it would honestly be a great under if it wasnt for that grand slam, which is UNCHARACTERISTIC of WSH, btw...

but oh well..i really hope they can hold this lead and stays at 4-2. ATL keep chippin away though...

fox sixers · 09-15-10, 12:54 PM

big Z? sorry.. just posted my blog.. cancelled my Red Sox UNDER. just not strong on it anymore..

sportsguy04 · 09-15-10, 12:56 PM

I want to take that Houston Under 7.5 but.. This could be the game Bush gets lit up.

jorge1 · 09-15-10, 12:56 PM

No thats not my play tonight...im waiting and waiting for day games to be over...but im feeling TORONTO and CHC at the moment...i want a ML dog tonight...

Damm it, ATL keeps getting on base...next thing you know they get a single and this fool gets to 3rd, and then they get the run in.. bleeding needs to stop