JORGE's 1 Play-A-Day

[jorge1]

Slimpickings, yeah man..i do like MINNY..alot! but i do not like the price on the road..the tribe can be dangerous at home...you never saw the movie? JAJAJA....nah man, the stash against the tribe should hold, but at -139 on the road, i dont like it...kind of play that you lose money in the long run playing IN MY OPINION>...

but best of luck homie! hope you cash! I honestly was THIS close to making it play of the day, but i found better value and equal strength in the two other games i focused on...IMO

[jorge1]

PACOCN, nice to c ya in here BUD! yeah man, tough game IN MY OPINION...part of me says CWS dominate, another part is reminded of the KC/DET games, where KC lingers and LINGERS...and for some reason, i feel this game plays out kind funky like that...

i like my play for this one to be a NO PLAY

[clint227]

OH YEAH, soooorrryyy..about the phils... Phillies dont win THAT BIG against NYM to take the RL..check this out: PHI 7 NYM 5 PHI 0 NYM 1 PHI 6 NYM 5 PHI 0 NYM 1 PHI 4 NYM 0 PHI 3 NYM 1 that is just in AUGUST...so they clear the RL only half the time against NYM, and PHI RL is -125... so no good odds for me my brotha...sorry.. on the upside though, MEJIA is young and just ONE game in MLB...so you can take the gamble and play that he crumbles...but liek the other night in Washington, these young aspiring pitchers can be BRUTAL!

Ill prob stay away so with my luck Mejia will get blown up cause you know if I took the RL he would pitch lights out...

[jorge1]

7seconds, i dunno...ask my grandma...

She says she splits her money into her lucky number, 9, and plays for streaks...so if she has 90 bucks, she will play 10 bucks, if win 20, if win 40, if win 80, and then she re splits the money...does it all over again...if she loses the 10, then she busts out another 10 from the 90 pile and starts over...its pretty much waiting for a 4 or 5 game winning streak...thats all..

works for her...she whoops her friends all the time, and is constantly winning bingos and hitting 3 numbers in the lottery every other week...shes onto something man!

lol

[jorge1]

clint, dont think that...just best advice i can give you is this: either you have a certainty on a play and little or no doubts, or you have a gut play...but if you have doubts or can see several scenarios happening, then dont play it...

Example, I really dont see how ATL wins against STl tonight...everything TO ME points on STL...if i was shaky on it, i would simply not play it...PLUS my gut feeling says STL dominates and everyone at the end of the night says OH DUHHHH....STL dominated..easy pick..i knew it...

So yup, if ya feel the shakes dont do it..if you like the stash, then ride it..either way, enjoy the game

[jorge1]

no regrets clint..only type of regrets you should ever have are money management mistakes, but certainly not plays...never regret a play, just make sure every play you bet has a legitimate reason for it...

[clint227]

Thanks for the advice! I got a gut feeling man that Halladay gets it done tonight. Think im gonna ride it out but just a small play.

[jorge1]

right...do it my man...really, if you like the game and you watch bases regularly then you are probably good for it..that simple.

thanks for the points...and btw, yeah ive been doing it like that...i regret the amounts i wager at times when i shouldnt wager so much, etc...but i dont regret the plays..i have a reason for them and cant foresee that my reasons have their flaws EVERYTIME..

for example, the other day that BIG BIG play i made on WSH/METs OVER..how was i supposed to know that although EVERYTHING pointed to OVER, these 1st time MLB pitchers coming fresh off the boat were gonna be lights OUT?

No regrets...just shouldve bet less because it was too big amount of my bankroll..

[decado]

Decado, yeah man..thanks for the positivism...definetely...i think its hilarious..anytime its quiet in here we WIN...anytime a shit load of ppl wanna come in and make this a circus, guess what, Karma shows up and makes they a$$ lose! check your PM btw

what do you mean by PM? did not receive any message here.
no worries. i like tailing you but sometimes it sux because i keep missing your late plays (which are mostly good hits as opposed to early plays). its okay though, im here to win, not to share my problems.


keep the good karma running and ignore the haters. they come here and bitch around only if we respond to them.

[jorge1]

I already noticed, and here is the play im gonan regret tonight guys...I put it in thinkin it was all good but was pointed towards the first half stats between these two teams and ill probably regret this...

WVU 1h -6 -137 3.75x

FACK! hope it cashes, but WVU was the play for SECOND half! not first half...Oh well...lets be positive but now, unfortunately i do not like the play AT ALL and have all my other moneys pending on other junk...BOL everyone

[jorge1]

im pissed i put that in..imma take a nap fellas...see yall later.

[snapperman2]

What do you think of Boston vs. Oakland, Jorge? I think Oakland is a good bet because Cahill > Buchholz and you can get Oakland at about even money.

[jorge1]

Sorry i couldnt get back to ya, and i dont even know the score of the game or anything but my lean was OAK for that game...

[jorge1]

Burrial today yall..everything looked good early and lost late...

TAM was WAYYYY UP and won by ONE in the ninth!

STL was up till the 8th by ALOT and lost...

FLA hit 2 runs in the first to start things hot and went quiet almost whole rest of the game...

Just a FRIDAY, like ALL FRIDAYS...

and what KILLLLLLLEDDDDD ME was the WVU 1st half which I KNEW was a bad wager the moment i made it...but didnt have money to cancel it...

[decado]

Burrial today yall..everything looked good early and lost late... TAM was WAYYYY UP and won by ONE in the ninth! STL was up till the 8th by ALOT and lost... FLA hit 2 runs in the first to start things hot and went quiet almost whole rest of the game... Just a FRIDAY, like ALL FRIDAYS... and what KILLLLLLLEDDDDD ME was the WVU 1st half which I KNEW was a bad wager the moment i made it...but didnt have money to cancel it...

last night sucked, many of the games just went wrong, im sure it will be better tonight

[jorge1]

Toronto -130 1x
Toronto rl .4x

Florida state + 7 -115 .5x

[jorge1]

why you gotta do me wrong ricky R? damm man...

having a tough week definetely...

Imma sit out till monday guys.

[jspectyper]

why you gotta do me wrong ricky R? damm man...

having a tough week definetely...

Imma sit out till monday guys.

Tough for me to but it'll turn around quickly and well be back to making money

[WvGambler]

why you gotta do me wrong ricky R? damm man... having a tough week definetely... Imma sit out till monday guys.

Check my NFL thread Jorge....get ya back on track

[jorge1]

WV, will do...will be in there tomorrow...

Everything is going backwards for me this last week, so i really am thinking of fading myself EVERY PLAY this next week see how i do...lol

[Alki]

Hello Jorge.

Been away only because I've been incredibly busy. Checked in on you this evening. Everything goes in cycles man.
Don't ever forget this:

My philosophy of life (which covers just about everything including gambling, etc.):

Life is like a clock.
One day you're on top at 12, the next day you're at 6 looking up.
Remember two very important things as you go through the days.
1) Time never stops, so if you're at 6, then 12 will come again to you and if you're at 6, you're just on your way back to the top.
2) Never forget what it is like to be on the bottom at 6. There is always someone else there even though you may be on top again.

Now for some baseball.

I really like the Astros w/ Wandy throwing tonight. If you're around I'll check back on your thoughts. I realize you may be absent for a day or so. GL Buddy.

[jorge1]

RUTGERS -13 against FIU is gold...

BOL fellas

[sportcap]

my book showing 14.5 - still good?

[decado]

RUTGERS -13 against FIU is gold... BOL fellas

pretty close, just saw your pick. took -13.5

sportcap, best to buy half point to -14 if u can

GL!

[jorge1]

Guys sorry but had a couple tough losses this week and needed a day to relax

tomorrow I'm back. One o twogames a day and decide to fade myself in college football in EVERY game until proven otherwise. Some ges have been unreal how backwards they been for me

as far as MLB is concerned I'm sticking to what I know best. I'm gonna keep the game count low and stick to teams I know

Bol and hope to chat with you guys tomorrw. I'm really really ready to Leave the losing days behind and go on a run this week. I'm just going to be eztrmely strict with myself with plays and with money managent. I have been losing some innecesary loses on college ball and also some innecesary bets in MLB.

Will attemp to start small and go big these next two weeks guys. Really will.

[hawley]

good luck bro, win back that lost $$$ tomorrow

[Bluedragon]

what's up jorge

you get the points? sorry haven't been on last couple of days, tending to my woman.

how'd you do this wknd?

[jorge1]

What up. Yeah I got the points. Thanks man. I did had on Saturday. Lost every collge ball play and the only MLB ply lost as well.

But I'm looking to pick it up this week and get refocused.

[Bluedragon]

I hear you man. I reallyyyy need to get my mind in shape and focus as well.

[jorge1]

LL WK: +6.73x 6-2

L MON: +3.28x 2-0
L TUES: +5.35x 1-0
L WED: +4.15x 2-1
L THUR: +4.14 2-0
L FRID: -5.83x 1-2
L SATU: -5.10x 1-1
L SUND: +18.34x 6-1-1

MON: +13.28x 4-2
TUES: -11.8x 0-1
WED: -13.5X 1-2
THUR: +3.92x 3-2-2
FRID: -5.425x 1-4
SATU:-1.70x 0-1
SUND: DAY OFF

TOTAL: +15.835x 30-19-3

HITTING A 61.2% boys

[jorge1]

This last week i let gravity pull me down, but lets look at why:

Early in the week, on monday and tuesday, i shouldve been a bit more conservative with play amounts. I went 1-3, but was playing SO MUCh per play, that lost over 24 units in two days.

Friday was simply a tough day, but i should know better. Early when looking at the card i said i DONT like the card...but still played it...and the worst part is i lost focus. I did know my bail out play was COLORADO, but with the losses i got so pissed i quit for the day instead of going for my solid COLORADO play, and guess what? THEY WON BIG... Regardless, i should know better than to play that STL game...

So guys, some might have lost faith, and i understand, but im not quitting. I was up 40 something units and felt i was on the road to the 100 units, but melted away this week down to 16 units...soooo here it is.

Im not willing to lose my winnings, but i must keep going because i know i got it! So here is what i will do. I will bank away 10 units, and will play my last 5.835 units. I will be playing them VERY CAREFULLY, because i am seriously done with MLB regular season if i lose these...

FADE OR TAIL, either way, be happy and enjoy the games

[jorge1]

1 game early, 2 games later:

OAKLAND @ KC

I love this game because of the dominance OAKLAND has shown this year against KC. OAK has taken 5 of their 6 meetings. They did take EVERY game on their first series on the road in July.

Lets look at each team individually as of late:

OAK opened up great against BOS winning their first two of the 3 game series, and lost their last yesterday. In their game yesterday they jumped ahead early 3-0 but in the 6th BOS hit 4 runs in and took the game 5-3 late...

The OAK bullpen held up farely well giving up only one run in the 8th, it was BRADEN who lost them the game in the 6th giving up the 4 runs.

Overall i have seen OAK doing really well lately winning 6 of their last 9 games at home. Now they go on a road trip and i see them wanting to jump on top by winning this game early in the series against a known easy opponent, KC.

KC, on the other hand, has lost 8 of their last 10 games. They went on a 6 game road trip and are back at home today. These positions, coming back from a 5 loss road trip are always tough. i see them fightin hard perhaps the second game, tomorrow, but today i simply see OAKLAND taking it.

yesterday KC had a tough tough loss against CWS after coming up on top 6 runs in the first inning, but then giving up 6 runs inn the 6th inning.

KC hit well, with 14 hits, most of them in the first, but were quiet the rest of the game, just crying to come home.

I feel the CWS loss was harder on KC than the OAK's loss to BOSton.

Looking at pitching, OAK has a new pitcher debuting today, BOBBY CRAMER. This kid coming from the minors is supposed to be FIRE, with no more than 2 ER last 10 games in the minors. He faces Hochevar, who has been on and off as of late. he has a few decent games, at cleveland in may, DET in june, but guess what, guy hasnt pitched since JUNE, out injured. Today is his first game back, and facing OAK has not been easy for him in the past. He has lost all 4 of his games against them in 2009.

i never look at past pitching stats as much, but a guy having never won against a team, injured most of the second season on his first game back with a team who is on a huge losing streak is not a guy you tail. This sets up a great new young pitcher to make his debut and continue with his team's recent success.

OAK takes this one, even if not in better pitching, certainly with better batting!


OAK -105 .75x
OAK RL +155 .2375x

will have a game or two later...but taking this BR one game at a time guys!

[Bluedragon]

Like it. Already locked in. What about the over?

[jorge1]

BTW! did i mention the KC bullpen has NO REST? Guys have tejada with 2 days and soria with 1 day, the rest of the BULLP is DEPLETED!

OAK bullpen is loking NICE, with BONSER 7 days, JAMES 7, and my very favorite OAK reliever, ROSS WOLF with 5 days rest. also bailey and breslow got 1 days rest. Definetely alot healthier than a sorry KC BULLPEN

[jorge1]

I like the over but man, last week i put too many TOTALS plays that went totally backwards from what i thoughts so im just taking a solid side here...

the over looks nice though, but this new kid, you never know..might come out and pitch a 5 or 6 inning no hitter and we all sit here sick jsut like last tuesday with the GEE v MAYA matchup in WASHINGTON...a facking NO HITTER through the 6th! i was SICK!