Reverend's 2010 MLB

[balls2wall]

i guess it was expected that texas would lay an egg eventually. oh well today is another day, go texas.

yeah it was coming


I hate that the juice was so high for anyone that was on it

[balls2wall]

Can't believe that Jackson threw a no-hitter against the Rays. That's the second time this season that the same team was no-hit, which hasn't happened since 2001. I thought they were supposed to have a decent lineup. Last night's results wouldn't have hurt as much if we didn't lose the B bet on the Rangers, as well. Here's to a better day today and to Texas beating a Houston team they really should be mauling today

TB (-220) - Risking 6.6 units to win 3 units
TEX (-280) - Risking 10.64 units to win 3.8 units
STL () - Risking ?? units to win 1.74 units ->I'll update this one when the line comes out at my book

good luck today


I like TB to bounce back today with Price


I may jump on TX for a 2 game chase. Good way to keep the risk down and I don't see them getting swept.

[balls2wall]

big C bet with Texas again today




Saturday FAV System Play



C Bet: TEX -1rl (-193) risking 17.81 units to win 9.21 units (1 unit profit)

[NastyStuff]

big C bet with Texas again today Saturday FAV System Play C Bet: TEX -1rl (-193) risking 17.81 units to win 9.21 units (1 unit profit)

Time to hold my nose and bet TEX...will the Jays be seeking revenge today?

[PingPong]

don't do parlays often but TX and TB looks like a solid bet

[JVP3122]

don't do parlays often but TX and TB looks like a solid bet

Hopefully you're right. They looked solid to me last night but didn't come through. Those of us that have been in this thread for a while remember getting burned by the Astros before when they had no business sweeping the Cards, but managed to do just that relatively early in the season. I hope it doesn't happen again.

[swngus44]

good luck JVP


I am just now getting started looking at games for tonight

I like TB and OAK and may be on them for a single play tonight with the option to chase if needed


like texas too, but too much juice for me. I may take them @ -1.5 for a single play. @ 11 wins in a row they will lose before long. I show a 61% winning team should win 10 in a row max on most occasions. If they sweep HOU I may start a small chase against them.

Where do most people get there stats at? Thanks!

[balls2wall]

I suggest a 4 or 5 game chase on BAL under for a small amount

the line is 10 now

both teams are averaging a combined 7.5 points

bal has 6 overs in a row

my numbers show a 42% over team should go a max of 6 over in a row on most occasions

today the ump behind the plate is 79% unders (3-11)


I am on this one for a single play and will probably chase if it loses

[balls2wall]

Where do most people get there stats at? Thanks!

I don't know


I get them from several places


The percentage I gave in the quote I came up with myself. It is just the probability of how many maximum wins in a row a 61% team should have in a season.

They obviously go over the number on occasion, but usually not by many games. The one quoted yesterday went over by one game, which they had already done and it ended on the game that I posted it. Once they reach that maximum number or close to it I start paying attention if I wasn't already.

[balls2wall]

Time to hold my nose and bet TEX...will the Jays be seeking revenge today?

you can breathe now nasty



nice win for everyone on it


I was a tad nervous for just a second when they were down early, but they pulled away nicely halfway through

[balls2wall]

don't do parlays often but TX and TB looks like a solid bet

very solid

I thought about it after the texas game started


I don't do them often either, but that may have been one

[JVP3122]

TB (-220) - Risking 6.6 units to win 3 units
TEX (-280) - Risking 10.64 units to win 3.8 units
STL (-120) - Risking 2.09 units to win 1.74 units
3-0 +8.54 units

So glad Texas was able to clean up the C bet. Even if the other two won but the Fav system went to a D bet I might not have been posting in here much anymore. Now it'll be nice to sit back and enjoy tomorrow's A bet on Oakland.

[TopDog]

Thanks Ball2Wall for all you do.

I just sent you some points. Wish I had more to give you for sure.

Cheers

I try to spread the Points between you and G.

[timmyboy34243]

congrats to those who collected on the texas C bet, sad to say i missed this play due to family obligations.

[scratbandit]

very interesting system for sure..

[TopDog]

congrats to those who collected on the texas C bet, sad to say i missed this play due to family obligations.

Yes. I could not pull the trigger on that one. With the high
Juice Line.

Let's get them tomorrow.

Cheers

[balls2wall]

So glad Texas was able to clean up the C bet. Even if the other two won but the Fav system went to a D bet I might not have been posting in here much anymore. Now it'll be nice to sit back and enjoy tomorrow's A bet on Oakland.

sweet day JVP

was with on the rangers and rays too

[balls2wall]

Thanks Ball2Wall for all you do.

I just sent you some points. Wish I had more to give you for sure.

Cheers

I try to spread the Points between you and G.

I appreciate it topdog


you too pacok

[balls2wall]

FAV System Record


38-0 (+44 units)

A: 11
B: 6
C: 2
D: 0
Loss: 0



*Rev's record (19-0 +25 units) is included in above record

**we have no record of Rev's A, B, C and D bets

[balls2wall]

Sunday FAV System Play



A Bet: OAK -1rl (-173) risking 1.73 units to win 1 unit

[df1000]

i like st. louis today as my lead team, and i aslo think an under with detroit today.

[balls2wall]

i like st. louis today as my lead team, and i aslo think an under with detroit today.

good luck df


may have to look into that stl game later...

[balls2wall]

I suggest a 4 or 5 game chase on BAL under for a small amount

the line is 10 now

both teams are averaging a combined 7.5 points

bal has 6 overs in a row

my numbers show a 42% over team should go a max of 6 over in a row on most occasions

today the ump behind the plate is 79% unders (3-11)


I am on this one for a single play and will probably chase if it loses

got it on the second game

I hope there were a few that got on it too


I don't think any of those I have posted have gone past 2 games yet




going with TEX or NYY tonight

leaning towards TEX


may do 2* on TEX and 1* on NYY



any thoughts???

[JVP3122]

got it on the second game

I hope there were a few that got on it too


I don't think any of those I have posted have gone past 2 games yet




going with TEX or NYY tonight

leaning towards TEX


may do 2* on TEX and 1* on NYY



any thoughts???

The Yanks play might be a decent one. It's a good price for them. It seems that when anyone but Burnett is pitching the Yanks have a chance to win. I'd be wary of Texas, though. Oswalt's only had two starts all season in which he's given up more than three earned runs. If he were on any team other than the Astros this season he'd be 10-4 or 11-3 instead of 5-9. He's gone 7 giving up only two earned runs in each of his last three starts. Then again, it is the Astros. If I were playing these tonight, which I'm not, I'd almost be going the other way, with two units on the Yanks and one on Texas. Just a thought. Last time I did analysis like this was the Marlins(Robertson) against the O's(Millwood) and that didn't work out too well.

[DustyDiamond]

Got the push today with Oakland. Hopefully we can pick up the win tomorrow. Good luck with your other picks!!

[balls2wall]

thx dusty

thanks for the input JVP and I do agree with what you said, but think Texas is the overall better team and the pitching diff isn't enough to overcome it tonight (hopefully)

just went with tx -1

like Oswalt over Hunter at this point too, but there isn't a huge difference so far and TEX is the overall superior team so going with that for a unit

[JVP3122]

thx dusty

thanks for the input JVP and I do agree with what you said, but think Texas is the overall better team and the pitching diff isn't enough to overcome it tonight (hopefully)

just went with tx -1

like Oswalt over Hunter at this point too, but there isn't a huge difference so far and TEX is the overall superior team so going with that for a unit

A lot can still happen in the LAD/NYY game, but it would seem that I was wrong again. Oh, well, that's why I'm only doing series chases on my own. If I were doing game-by-game betting I would be broke. If I'm going to do game-by-game I might as well just follow TA, he seems to be doing pretty well.

[docvinny]

so with the push do we continue as and "A" bet?

[beanbag]

push?

[Haydos]

so with the push do we continue as and "A" bet?

Yeah I am pretty sure that is how it works. I have only looked at this thread recently, but it would seem another "A" bet for the next game.

[JVP3122]

so with the push do we continue as and "A" bet?

Exactly. The bet didn't lose so there's nothing to chase, so we'll just act like yesterday's bet never happened. So we'll just go on the Cubs as an A bet.

[balls2wall]

A lot can still happen in the LAD/NYY game, but it would seem that I was wrong again. Oh, well, that's why I'm only doing series chases on my own. If I were doing game-by-game betting I would be broke. If I'm going to do game-by-game I might as well just follow TA, he seems to be doing pretty well.

looks like the yanks pulled it out in extra innings


I thought they were done when they were down 0-5

[df1000]

i like atlanta today.

[NastyStuff]

i like atlanta today.

I like them too...but be careful Strasburg's pitching for WAS...I also like MIN and STL

[GGPLAYER]

Exactly. The bet didn't lose so there's nothing to chase, so we'll just act like yesterday's bet never happened. So we'll just go on the Cubs as an A bet.

I will pull for them to win but I will never put my money on the Cubs again. They are the most disfunctional team in baseball. This line is inflated if you ask me just because Pit are in a losing streak to good AL teams. Chi is not that good. GL guys.