D-Backs canceled due to pitching change, at least they won for contests' sake, they almost always lose and screw me in contest when there is a pitching change and I pick them early. I've been so bad in contests' it's pathetic.
-
Comment -
The database has been down a lot lately and slow to update, so that's why I haven't done SDQL yet, I'm about to check again now.Comment -
SDQL 7/20
ALL = Yesterday 0-3 (Total 23-32)
SU = Yesterday 0-2 (Total 14-10)
OU = Yesterday 0-1 (Total 9-22)
Pre All-Star Break
ALL - (Total 441-346)
SU - (Total 223-171)
OU - (Total 218-185)
---------------------------------
SU
PLAY: The Mariners (1001-601 +11.7% ROI)
H and (s:SO + os:SO) > 18 and s:SHRA != 2 and p:runs != 3 and op:runs < 9 and os:fly balls > 3 and os:fly balls != 6 and o:team != Cubs and (p:walks + op:walks) < 13 and op:triples < 2 and p:doubles < 5 and 17 > op:hits > 2 and (tA(at bats@team,N=6)<36.5 or tA(at bats@team,N=6)>36.7) and tA(o:at bats@team,N=6)>31 and (tA(SHF,N=8)<26.3 or tA(SHF,N=8)>26.5)
FADE: The Yankees (63-98 -30.3% ROI)
s:SO > 9 and s:W and A and season > 2005 and -185 <= line <= -110 and conference = o:conference and starter rest < 10 and rest = 0 and SG<3 and month<9 and 10>=total>=7.5
PLAY: The Orioles (51-32 +16.2% ROI)
HF and line<-105 and line>-120 and p:margin>7 and p:margin<10
FADE: The Rangers (429-564 -12.5% ROI)
p:margin=-8
PLAY: The Tigers (242-145 +9.6% ROI)
AF and pp:LOB=14 and 7<p:LOB<18 and -3<p:margin
------------
OU
UNDER: Padres/Giants (463-231-36 +25.8% ROI)
season > 2008 and H and 10 > month > 5 and SG < 4 and 5 > streak > -5 and 1 > tA(HR) > .7 and s:SRA < 6 and p:hits < 11 and 16 > op:hits > 4 and sss:SRA < 4 and rest = 0 and p:home runs < 2 and os:SSO < 11 and oss:SSO < 10 and os:SHA < 11 and 2 < oss:SHA < 11 and p:IT < 6 and p:LOB < 21 and s:SPT < 122 and ss:SPT < 119 and team != Rockies and team != Athletics and o:team != Blue Jays and (p:errors + pp:errors + ppp:errors + pppp:errors + ppppp:errors + pppppp:errors) < 10 and (op:errors + opp:errors + oppp:errors + opppp:errors + oppppp:errors + opppppp:errors) < 8 and (p:temperature < 91 or p:temperature = Indoors)
UNDER: Teams on 3+ Unders since July 4th. (29-16-6 +20.7% ROI)
(Yankees)
________________
SU
Mariners
Orioles
Tigers
Dodgers
OU
Padres/Giants Under
Yankees/Mariners Under
Rangers/Orioles Over
___________________________________
If you like these post, please take a minute to post your best underdog play for the day in this thread. https://www.sportsbookreview.com/for...lb-2017-a.htmlComment -
SDQL Additions
FADE: The Braves are 1-18 SU & RL as a 170+ dog off a home game in which they had more strikeouts than hits
team = Braves and 170 <= line and p:H and p:SO > p:hits and date >= 20100705
FADE: The Braves are 1-20 SU as a 170+ dog off a home loss in which they never led.
team = Braves and line>=170 and p:H and p:BL = 0 and p:L and date >= 20060617
OVER: The Rangers are 15-1 OU in the last game of a series on the road after they had a higher team-left-on-base than their opponent.
team = Rangers and LGS and A and po:TLOB < p:TLOB and date >= 20160505
OVER: The Rangers are 15-3-3 O/U since Sep 08, 2015 when Cole Hamels starts as a favorite when they won in his last start after they scored first.
team=Rangers and starter=Cole Hamels and s:W and s:SF>0 and date>=20150908Comment -
Friday Plays 7/21
»-Rangers -108
»-Yankees -104
»-Braves/Dodgers Under 7.5 -108
_______________________
I got the Rangers -116, so showing a little value and Darvish has a 5-0 team record vs the Rays.
I got the Yankees at -122, so nice value, but as I said before, I'm not a strict value player or I would of never played the Angels last night. Sabathia has a 17-5 team record vs the Mariners and 10-1 in Seattle.
I came up with 6.4 as the total in the Braves/Dodgers game. Wood has been good all year and Garcia has been strong on the Road recently.
_______________________
I like the Phillies and Twins but not loving the prices and I'm waiting on the total to be released for the Cubs game, if it's 8 or over I may play the Under.
Over projections for the Rockies and Rays games.
Small leans on the Astros, Cardinals, Indians and Pirates.Comment -
Braves/Dodgers Under for tomorrow got pulled from books already, I think Garcia is gonna be a scratch.Comment -
Thursday Results 7/20
L - »-Tigers -110 (2 units)
L - »-Rangers -112 (2 units)
W - »-Braves +193
W - »-Tigers/Royals Over 9 +102
___________________________
Yesterday = 2-2 = -1.49
___________________________
Bankroll = 1726 / 3000
___________________________
Going backwards again these last two nights, messed up tonight and played multi units for the first time this season, would of been a plus night if I stuck to one unit. D-Backs got canceled and I wasn't around to replay it.Comment -
SDQL 7/21
ALL = Yesterday 2-4-1 (Total 25-36)
SU = Yesterday 1-3 (Total 15-13)
OU = Yesterday 1-1-1 (Total 10-23)
Pre All-Star Break
ALL - (Total 441-346)
SU - (Total 223-171)
OU - (Total 218-185)
---------------------------------
SU
PLAY: The D-Backs (79-29 +30.0% ROI)
H and p:margin > 7 and op:runs = 0 and season > 2008 and WP < 60 and o:WP > 38.5 and rest = 0
PLAY: The Indians, Orioles and Phillies (1002-603 +11.6% ROI)
H and (s:SO + os:SO) > 18 and s:SHRA != 2 and p:runs != 3 and op:runs < 9 and os:fly balls > 3 and os:fly balls != 6 and o:team != Cubs and (p:walks + op:walks) < 13 and op:triples < 2 and p:doubles < 5 and 17 > op:hits > 2 and (tA(at bats@team,N=6)<36.5 or tA(at bats@team,N=6)>36.7) and tA(o:at bats@team,N=6)>31 and (tA(SHF,N=8)<26.3 or tA(SHF,N=8)>26.5)
PLAY: The Royals (540-378 +9.9% ROI)
(p:margin = Maximum(margin@date)[date-1] and p:date=date-1 and p:margin>1 and SG<4 and conference=AL and op:runs<8 and line<200) and (p:BL = Maximum(BL@date)[date-1] and p:date=date-1 and p:margin>1 and SG<4 and conference=AL and op:runs<8 and line<200)
FADE: The White Sox (429-565 -12.6% ROI)
p:margin=-8
FADE: The White Sox are 0-19 SU as a road 130-plus dog off a home game when playing a team that has a better record and it is after the All-Star break.
team = White Sox and A and line>=130 and p:H and WP < o:WP and AASB and date >= 20070731
FADE: The Rays are 0-18 SU in the first game of a series as a home dog after a game in which they scored in fewer innings than their opponent.
team = Rays and FGS and H and D and p:SII < po:SII and date >= 20060918
FADE: The Athletics are 0-18 SU off a win by more than three runs as a favorite in which they hit fewer than four home runs and it is after the All-Star break
team = Athletics and p:F and p:margin>3 and AASB and p:HR<4 and date >= 20131000
PLAY: The Rockies are 15-0 SU as a 130-plus favorite vs a team that has won at least their last four games.
team=Rockies and line<=-130 and 4<=o:streak
PLAY: The Rockies (51-24 +25.2% ROI)
H and line > -150 and line < 103 and p:W and season = 2017 and total in [8 , 10.5 , 11.5]
FADE: The Tigers (122-230 -29.4% ROI)
(so:R1 = 3 or so:R1 = 4) and SG != 2 and 5 > SGS > 1 and s:SRA < 10 and 3 < s:SHA < 10 and s:SWA < 5 and 6 > s:SSO > 1 and starter rest < 17 and s:SPT > 56 and os:SRA < 8 and s:SHRA < 4 and os:SHRA < 2 and os:SPT > 69 and o:starter rest < 18 and p:hits < 12 and 0 < ss:SSO < 12 and ss:SPT > 66 and -8 < os:margin < 6 and tA(hits,N=10) > 6.8 and oA(LOB, N=10) < 18.5 and 1.4 < oA(walks, N=10) < 4.8 and tA(walks, N=10) > 1.7
------------
OU
UNDER: Pirates/Rockies (44-28-3 +16.9% ROI)
H and line > -150 and line < 103 and p:W and season = 2017 and total in [8 , 10.5 , 11.5]
UNDER: Teams on 3+ Unders since July 4th. (37-22-6 +19.1% ROI)
(Angels, Nationals, Mariners, Yankees, Brewers, Pirates, Twins)
date>=20170704 and p:U and p2:U and p3:U
________________
SU
D-Backs
Indians
Orioles
Phillies
Royals
Rangers
Mets
Rockies
Twins
Dodgers
OU
Pirates/Rockies Under
Red Sox/Angels Under
Nationals/D-Backs Under
Yankees/Mariners Under
Brewers/Phillies Under
Tigers/Twins Under
___________________________________
If you like these post, please take a minute to post your best underdog play for the day in this thread. https://www.sportsbookreview.com/for...lb-2017-a.htmlComment -
Pre ASB numbers looking great! 56% across both ALL bets is fantastic! Did you happen to keep track of avg odds for SU, OU and ALL?
Did you bet all of them?Comment -
No, I don't bet all of them, sometimes I end up going against them. There are a few that is a auto play and some that I always strongly consider. The one with the Indians, Orioles and Phillies is one of my favs.
I thought about keeping track of the odds, but it's more work, maybe in the future now that I'm getting things more organized and done a lot faster. I would imagine the SU hasn't won any money if any, seem a lot of the plays are favorites, but the OU should be plus money.
The record prolly could be better if I was a little more selective with which ones I used, sometimes there weren't too many for certain days so I used some lesser quality ones, I've been a little more selective lately.Comment -
A few small trends I came across last night..
Astros 11-2 L13 vs Orioles and 5-0 L5.
Under 4-14-1 when santana starts vs Tigers, he's 6-2 SU at Home.
Alex Wood has won 11 str8 team starts. (forgot to add that to SDQL Plays)
Mariners 11-1 OU L11 vs lefties.Comment -
PARLAY: $2.12 to win 1 unit
Astros -145
Phillies -137
Twins -133
Indians -139
Reds -126
Red Sox -182
_____________________
PARLAY: $1.67 to win 1 unit
Braves/Dodgers Under 7.5 -105
Red Sox/Angels Under 7.5 -110
Pirates/Rockies Over 11 -146
Nationals/D-Backs Over 8 -139
Rangers/Rays Over 8 -139
Athletics/Mets Over 9 -151Comment -
Added the Reds. I considered them this morning as a regular play because I actually have Urena and Bailey about even, but the price has shot up and made the line suspect, so I kind of have two reasons to play them. It doesn't hurt that Lock is on them and I actually liked them for different reasons, worth a try at -1 IMO, 5 Dimes had it 11 cents better than Heritage.
Thought Garcia was going to be a scratch but wasn't.Comment -
Friday Results 7/21
W - »-Rangers -108
W - »-Yankees -104
W - »-Pirates +130
W - »-Padres +148
L - »-Reds -1 +111
L - »-Braves/Dodgers Under 7.5 -108
___________________________
Yesterday = 4-2 = +2.70
___________________________
Bankroll = 1861 / 3000
___________________________
Two extra inning wins in one night???
I was 0-29 until I won my first one last week, now this makes 3 in a row.
___________________________
Looking at Marlins, Yankees, Pirates, and Astros.
Leans for totals on Indians, Angels, Mariners Unders and Mets Over.
Reds 6-19 vs lefties, 3-14 L17, 3-10 at Home, 1-7 L8.
Tanaka 5-0 vs Mariners , Under 5-0. Yanks 13-4 L17 vs Mariners, Under 26-7-2 L35 in series. Yanks 12-1 L13 in Seattle, Under 16-4 L20 in Seattle in series.
A's 2-9 vs NL, 0-3 Away. Mets hot vs lefty, scored 27 runs last 3 games a lefty started against them.
Brewers 0-5 L5 on the Road vs a Righty, Under 7-0 L7.
Padres 3-10 on the Road vs lefties.
Pirates 12-3 L15 vs Rockies, 9-1 in Colorado, Over 4-0 L4.
Astros 7-0 L7, 13-2 L15 vs Orioles
White Sox 0-5 L5 vs a left SP.
Tigers 11-23 on the Road vs Righties, 5-14 L19.
Teheran 0-7 team starts vs dodgersComment -
SDQL 7/22
ALL = Yesterday 9-6 (Total 34-42)
SU = Yesterday 6-3 (Total 21-16)
OU = Yesterday 3-3 (Total 13-26)
Pre All-Star Break
ALL - (Total 441-346)
SU - (Total 223-171)
OU - (Total 218-185)
---------------------------------
SU
PLAY: The Indians are 21-0 SU as a 135-plus home favorite when they blew a lead in their starters last start and lost and it is after the All-Star break.
team = Indians and H and line<=-135 and s:L and s:BL > 0 and AASB and date >= 20100827
PLAY: The Dodgers are 17-0 SU as a 140-plus favorite after a five-plus run loss as a home favorite.
team = Dodgers and line<=-140 and p:HF and p:margin<=-5 and date >= 20140430
PLAY: The Rays (30-8 +40.9% ROI)
p:HL and p
and HF and day=Saturday and season>=2016
FADE: The Rockies (429-566 -12.7% ROI)
p:margin=-8
FADE: The Cubs (36-61 -29.2% ROI)
site==home and conference=NL and ts:starter era>=3.7 and ts:starter era<=4.2 and (po:runs - p:starter runs)>=6 and line>=-175
FADE: The Red Sox (64-98 SU -29.7% ROI, 38-116 RL -44.0% ROI)
s:SO > 9 and s:W and A and season > 2005 and -185 <= line <= -110 and conference = o:conference and starter rest < 10 and rest = 0 and SG<3 and month<9 and 10>=total>=7.5
PLAY: The Orioles are 18-1 SU at home after a game as a home dog in which they allowed 12-plus hits.
team = Orioles and H and p:H and p and po:hits>=12 and date >= 20130602
------------
OU
OVER: The Phillies are 16-0 OU when their line is within 25 cents of pick-em off a home game when their opponents starter has a strike-per-ball ratio greater than 2 on the season
team = Phillies and -125 <= line <= 125 and p:H and o:STDSSPB>2 and date >= 20130408
UNDER: The Rangers are 0-11 OU after a game as a road favorite when they blew a lead in their starters last start and lost and it is after the All-Star break.
team = Rangers and p:AF and s:L and s:BL > 0 and AASB and date >= 20120715
OVER: The Braves are 82-54 OU since Aug. 11th 2016, +14.7% ROI.
team=Braves and date>=20160811
UNDER: Teams on 3+ Unders since July 4th. (41-25-6 +17.8% ROI)
(Mariners, Yankees, Brewers, Twins)
OVER: Teams on 3+ Overs since April 20th. (164-122-21 +9.1% ROI)
(Dodgers, Braves, Orioles, Rockies)
________________
SU
Indians
Dodgers
Rays
Pirates
Cardinals
Angels
Orioles
OU
Rangers/Rays Under
Braves/Dodgers Over
Yankees/Mariners Under
Tigers/Twins Under
Astros/Orioles Over
Pirates/Rockies Over
___________________________________
If you like these post, please take a minute to post your best underdog play for the day in this thread. https://www.sportsbookreview.com/for...lb-2017-a.htmlComment -
Saturday Plays 7/22
»-Marlins -102
»-Pirates +123
»-Blue Jays/Indians Under 8.5 +102
»-Yankees/Mariners Under 8.5 +102
___________________________
I'm going to wait and see what the Yankees line does and hoping the Tigers/Twins Under 10.5 becomes playable later.Comment -
appreciate the trends, man! yanks look like the move but tanaka freaks me out. i'll still roll the dice with the trends an dhis current numbers. It doesn't hurt that he's 5-0 with a 1.95 ERA and 0.811 WHIP in 5 career starts against the Mariners.Comment -
no problem! I think the Yanks are the play, but I'm a little concerned about the Home team angle on Saturday's, especially with Road teams having success the last few days. I almost played the Brewers at -111 last night, but couldn't do it, now I'm thinking about the Phillies and the value has switched to their side. I also kind of like the Mets, because everyone thinks they sucks vs lefties but have actually been tearing it up against them the last 3 games with 27 runs and all the talk about Oakland is pushing me towards a play on the Mets.Comment -
Parlay: $1.49 to win 1 unit
Phillies +116
Orioles +109
Mets -112
Rays -178
Dodgers -259
Indians -115
Parlay: $1.20 to win 1 unit
Athletics/Mets Over 8.5 -133
Pirates/Rockies Over 11.5 -110
Rangers/Rays Over 8.5 -110
Brewers/Phillies Under 9.5 -115
Marlins/Reds Under 11.5 -110
Astros/Orioles Under 11.5 -115Comment -
I really liked the Athletics too last night, I have them at -106, but I took notice about how well the Mets have been hitting lefties awhile back and that scares me, and the line movement is a little suspect. I'm just gonna pass. The White Sox have surprisingly been struggling to win vs lefties, 0-5 their L5, I think Vargas bounces back after getting bashed by Detroit. I'm keeping an eye on some of these teams and see how they react after trading away some of their players, some may find some inspiration, like the Tigers, and some may pack it in, like the White Sox.Comment -
I like one of these dogs to win in the UFC tonight.
Thomas Almeida +170
Patrick Cummins +185Comment -
-
Sunday Plays 7/23
»-Tigers -102
__________________________
A couple different angles for this one, first one is I have the Tigers -122, so there is perceived value for me. The Tigers have a 4-1 record when Boyd starts vs the Twins, and the Tigers are good vs lefties. I'm also expecting them to end up as a favorite and that would qualify the Twins for a -29.7% ROI, spot fade for Home Dogs with a WP% over 50% playing an opponent under WP% of 50%. The Over in those games are also +19.4% on the season.Comment -
Trends
Astros 10-3 on the Road in day games, 19-8 overall in day games.
Astros 23-7 in the last game of a series, 13-1 on the Road, won all by 2 or more.
Astros 8-0 L8, 14-2 L16 vs Orioles
-----------------------
Rangers 1-5 L6 in the last game of a series, 1-5 on the Road L6 also in LGS.
Rays 1-6 L7 in the last game of a series, Over 9-3 L12.
Rays 5-1 L6 at Home in the last game of a series, Over 5-0 L5.
Over 12-4 L16 Rays games during the day, 7-1 Over L8 at Home.
Over 6-2 in Rays Home games on Sunday.
-----------------------
Pirates 19-13 in day games, Under 19-13.
Pirates have won 5 out of last 6 vs a lefty.
Pirates 12-4 L16 vs Rockies, 9-2 in Colorado.
Rockies 8-2 L10 in the last game of a series at Home.
Rockies 25-13 in day games, 10-5 on Sunday's.
-----------------------
Nationals 18-21 in day games, won last 3.
D-Backs 11-4 at Home in the last game of a series.
-----------------------
Phillies 5-2 at Home on Sundays.
Phillies 5-1 L6 in the last game of a series, 9-5 at Home overall.
Brewers 18-12 in the last game of a series, 7-3 L10 and 10-4 on the Road.
-----------------------
Boston lost last 5 day games.
Boston 7-1 SU and 7-1 OU on the Road on Sunday's.
Angels 9-3 L12 in the last game of a series.
OU is 7-17 in Angel day games this season.
Bridwell beat Red Sox 4-2 in Boston this season.
----------------------
White Sox 1-6 L7 games on Sunday, 2-6 on the Road overall.
White Sox 1-7 L8 day games, 2-8 L10 on the Road.
White Sox 3-11 L14 Road games in the last game of a series.
White Sox 0-6 L6 vs a left SP.
Royals 8-3 L11 Home games in the last game of a series.
Royals 14-5 L19 day games, after starting 1-11, 7-2 L9 at Home.
-----------------------
Cardinals 1-8 L9 on the Road in the last game of a series, Over 9-5.
Cardinals 2-3 SU, 0-2 SU on the Road, 4-0-1 Over on Sunday Nights this season.
Over 11-3-4 this season on Sunday Night overall.
Over is 10-4 in Cubs Home games when it's the last game of a series, Cubs 9-5 SU.
Cubs 1-3 on Sunday nights this season, 1-1 at Home.
-----------------------
Under 26-8-2 L36 in series. Yanks 12-2 L14 in Seattle, Under 16-5 L21 in Seattle in series.
A's 2-10 vs NL, 0-4 Away.
Padres 3-11 on the Road vs lefties.Comment -
SDQL 7/23
ALL = Yesterday 5-7-1 (Total 39-49)
SU = Yesterday 3-4 (Total 24-20)
OU = Yesterday 2-3-1 (Total 15-29)
Pre All-Star Break
ALL - (Total 441-346)
SU - (Total 223-171)
OU - (Total 218-185)
---------------------------------
SU
PLAY: The Dodgers are 30-0 SU since Sep 30, 2004 in the last game of a series as a 200+ favorite after they scored first last game.
team=Dodgers and LGS and F and line<=-200 and p:SF > 0 and date>=20040930
30-0 (3.90, 100.0%) avg line: -238.2 / 208.9 on / against: +$3,000 / -$3,000 ROI: +42.8% / -100.0% 25-3 (2.50, 89.3%) avg line: -110.5 / -100.8 on / against: +$2,269 / -$2,422 ROI: +72.7% / -79.2%
PLAY: The Indians are 21-0 SU as a 135-plus home favorite when they blew a lead in their starters last start and lost and it is after the All-Star break.
team = Indians and H and line<=-135 and s:L and s:BL > 0 and AASB and date >= 20100827
21-0 (4.81, 100.0%) avg line: -158.9 / 147.4 on / against: +$2,100 / -$2,100 ROI: +62.6% / -100.0% 15-6 (3.31, 71.4%) avg line: 134.9 / -147.0 on / against: +$1,499 / -$1,679 ROI: +71.4% / -53.8%
PLAY: The Twins (51-25 +23.2% ROI)
H and line > -150 and line < 103 and p:W and season = 2017 and total in [8 , 10.5 , 11.5]
------------51-25 (1.26, 67.1%) avg line: -119.6 / 109.6 on / against: +$2,111 / -$2,445 ROI: +23.2% / -31.5%
OU
OVER: The Diamondbacks are 12-0 OU when their line is within 20 cents of pick-em after a game as a home dog in which they scored in more innings than their opponent and it is after the All-Star break.
team = Diamondbacks and -120 <= line <= 120 and p:H and p and p:SII > po:SII and AASB and date >= 20090919
12-0-0 (5.12, 100.0%) avg total: 8.6 over / under: +$1,200 / -$1,270 ROI: +87.6% / -100.0% 7.17 4.75 8.00 10.25 2.17 1.67 3.17 1.92 4.92 14.75 7.67 0.46 3.08 4.54 6.58 4.08 7.42 10.67 2.83 1.42 3.25 1.75 3.00 17.00 7.58 1.08 4.08 4.62
________________
SU
Dodgers
Indians
Twins
OU
Nationals/D-Backs Over
___________________________________
If you like these post, please take a minute to post your best underdog play for the day in this thread. https://www.sportsbookreview.com/for...lb-2017-a.htmlComment -
Going with my only Over projection for tomorrow, albeit not by much, (8.6), but I like the Over trends for this game, and I think it's a good contrarian pick. People look at the combined ERA vs the total but forget about bullpens, stadiums, and offenses, etc... Both these pitchers can be really good when they're on but can also get dinged for some runs when they're not. 6 out of the last 9 starts by Strasburg have actually hit double digits and all 7 of Robbie Ray's last 7 starts have hit at least 9 in total runs. Sometimes when you expect a pitching duel you get a slug fest and that's what I'll hope for here.Comment -
I added the Athletics. I have them at +111 so there is some decent perceived value and most people look to play on Home teams looking to avoid the sweep, but it's Road teams that have been hot this season, especially lately and they have a positive ROI on the season, while Home teams in that spot are negative.
__________________________
Mets are 0-5 when going for a Home sweep this season in a 3 game series.
Teams are 18-8 L26 on the Road when trying to avoid a sweep in a three game series this season.
Teams are 31-37 this season at Home when trying to avoid being swept in a 3 game series. -8.7% ROI
-----------------
Over 13-2-1 L16 Robbie Ray Home starts.
Strasburg 6-2 Over in starts vs D-Backs.Comment -
I'm keeping an eye on this Phillies line for a likely play on them. I don't think they should be favored today with Eickhoff who struggles to win a game and Guerra, who despite his bad sabermetrics, seems to get the job done most of the time. The Phillies have the 2nd worst record in MLB and the Brewers lead their division. After a quick SDQL search I found that Home teams with less than a 50% WP% who are favorites vs a team with a WP% over 50% are 18-4 their L22 in the NL and have done well overall this season.Comment -
Keep up the great info!! I like the Brewers angle....actually the Phillies have the worst record in MLB!! How would I know that! LOLComment
