MLB 2017 - SDQL, Projections, Picks, Tracking, Discussion

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • 2daBank
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-26-09
    • 88966

    #561
    Tribe getting pretty cheap on the ml. Bauer inconsistent but with his k rate gotta think yanks will be flailing again tonight.
    Comment
    • FUqer
      SBR MVP
      • 01-22-15
      • 3968

      #562
      Originally posted by 2daBank
      Tribe getting pretty cheap on the ml. Bauer inconsistent but with his k rate gotta think yanks will be flailing again tonight.
      It was one of my last choices so I figured I'd go for + money. I'm thinking more in terms of offense in this one. Garcia has been good on the Road lately, but it is his 3rd str8 start for a different team and one thing that stood out is the last two lefties the Indians faced at Home was JA Happ and Cole Hamels and they scored 23 runs in those games, but like you said, you never know what you're gonna get with Bauer.
      Comment
      • 2daBank
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 01-26-09
        • 88966

        #563
        Originally posted by FUqer
        It was one of my last choices so I figured I'd go for + money. I'm thinking more in terms of offense in this one. Garcia has been good on the Road lately, but it is his 3rd str8 start for a different team and one thing that stood out is the last two lefties the Indians faced at Home was JA Happ and Cole Hamels and they scored 23 runs in those games, but like you said, you never know what you're gonna get with Bauer.
        Jamie has made a lot of strides in this area since he was here but in the past road was a problem for him and just his mental makeup in general where I really doubt he could have handled switching teams multiple times like this.

        Yanks just playing really poorly of late, id expect Bauer to strike out a lot of guys tonight. Havnt checked ump yet but kinda leaning under again. It did surprise me when I noticed what you mentioned about how well tribe been hitting lefties, I typically don't think of them as a good lhp hitting team but appears that not the case as they 8th in team ops vs lefties this season. More I look the more I'm leaning tribe as line drops.

        With you on scrubbies as well. I laid the 1.5 as I think we should see good amount of runs w wind blowing out.
        Comment
        • 2daBank
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 01-26-09
          • 88966

          #564
          Might join you w rays also. Despite taking 2 of 3 vs cards brewers offense still really struggling, cards just been even worse! Lol. Don't know anything bout brewers starter other than he sporting a 4.46 era in the minors this season, id think rays can get to him for some runs and what milw really gonna score here? 3 maybe 4 tops?
          Comment
          • FUqer
            SBR MVP
            • 01-22-15
            • 3968

            #565
            Originally posted by 2daBank
            Might join you w rays also. Despite taking 2 of 3 vs cards brewers offense still really struggling, cards just been even worse! Lol. Don't know anything bout brewers starter other than he sporting a 4.46 era in the minors this season, id think rays can get to him for some runs and what milw really gonna score here? 3 maybe 4 tops?
            ahhaha wth happened there, I was only able to track the first few innings in the car and the Rays were leaving runners in scoring position left and right, no clue how the rest went, but 0 runs, wow, so unpredictable at times. They give a beat down to the Astros 3 str8 and come Home and lay an egg. SMH

            at least we nailed the Indians game, Garcia didn't last too long.
            Comment
            • FUqer
              SBR MVP
              • 01-22-15
              • 3968

              #566
              Friday Results 8/4

              W - ยป-Braves +106
              L - ยป-Rangers -111
              W - ยป-Mariners -1 -125
              L - ยป-Cubs -1 -123
              L - ยป-Rays -1 -116
              W - ยป-Pirates -1 -135
              W - ยป-Indians -1 +113
              __________________________
              Today = 4-3= +0.69
              ___________________________
              Bankroll = 2500 / 3000
              ___________________________

              Since All Star Break

              ML = 31-31 for +3.05
              (Dogs = 17-15)
              (Favs = 14-16)

              RL = 18-9 for +9.01

              O/U = 25-28 for -5.11
              (Overs = 14-10)
              (Unders = 11-18)

              Parlays = 1-0 for +1.52

              Total = 75-68-7 +8.47
              __________________________

              Recent Results

              4th = 4-3 for +0.69
              3rd = 2-0 for +2.00
              2nd = 3-0 for +3.52
              1st = 2-7-1 for -5.27
              31st = 1-2 for -1.05
              30th = 6-4-2 for +2.08
              29th = 2-3 for -1.19
              28th = 9-4 for +5.59
              27th = 3-3 for -0.09
              26th = 5-2-1 for +3.28
              25th = 5-6-1 for -1.15
              24th = 4-2 for +2.28
              23th = 2-1 for +1.17
              ___________________________
              Comment
              • FUqer
                SBR MVP
                • 01-22-15
                • 3968

                #567
                SDQL 8/5

                ALL = Yesterday 5-1(Total 95-88)
                SU = Yesterday 4-1(Total 62-41)
                OU = Yesterday 1-0(Total 33-47)

                Pre All-Star Break

                ALL - (Total 441-346)
                SU - (Total 223-171)
                OU - (Total 218-185)
                ---------------------------------

                SU

                PLAY: The Indians (55-23 +23.9% ROI)

                H and tA(W)>=.45 and p:margin>=2 and tS(runs@team and season,N=6)=30 and po:BL=0 and 120>=line>=-195 and conference=o:conference and total<=10 and SG>1 and month>4 and 2008<=season



                PLAY: The Giants (77-55 +24.9% ROI)

                division = o:division and HD and line>=100<=145 and SG=2 and p:L and p:HF and WP<50



                PLAY: The Astros (106-60 +8.2% ROI)

                HF and line<-130 and line>-160 and p:margin>7 and p:margin<10



                PLAY: The Astros (542-380 +9.8% ROI)

                (p:margin = Maximum(margin@date)[date-1] and p:date=date-1 and p:margin>1 and SG<4 and conference=AL and op:runs<8 and line<200) and (p:BL = Maximum(BL@date)[date-1] and p:date=date-1 and p:margin>1 and SG<4 and conference=AL and op:runs<8 and line<200)



                FADE: The Twins are 0-13 SU as a dog after a game as a home dog when they won by one run in their starters last start and it is after the All-Star break.

                team = Twins and D and p:HD and s:margin = 1 and AASB and date >= 20090902



                FADE: The White Sox are 0-10 SU vs a Left Handed starting pitcher since June 26th, 2017.

                team=White Sox and o:STL and date >=20170626



                PLAY: The Red Sox are 20-1 SU as a favorite by more than 190 vs a team that has lost at least their last four games and it is not a series opener.

                team = Red Sox and SG > 1 and line<-190 and o:streak <= -4 and season >= 2005



                PLAY: The Rockies are 18-2 SU as a 130-plus favorite off a home game when they won their last two and their opponent lost their last two and it is not a series opener.

                team = Rockies and SG > 1 and line<=-130 and p:H and p:W and p2:W and op:L and op2:L and AASB and date >= 20090906



                FADE: The Rockies (408-349 -8.3% ROI)

                p:margin = 1 and pp:margin = 1 and F



                PLAY: The Royals (31-9 +36.7% ROI)

                p:HL and p and HF and day=Saturday and season>=2016



                -----------

                OU

                UNDER: The Rangers are 0-12 OU after a game as a road favorite when they blew a lead in their starters last start and lost and it is after the All-Star break.

                team = Rangers and p:AF and s:L and s:BL > 0 and AASB and date >= 20120715



                OVER: The Mets are 10-0 OU as a 140-plus dog when seeking immediate revenge for a shutout loss and it is after the All-Star break.

                team = Mets and SG > 1 and line>=140 and p:runs = 0 and AASB and date >= 20040916



                ________________

                SU

                Indians
                Giants
                Astros
                Rangers
                Royals
                Red Sox

                OU

                Rangers/Twins Under
                Dodgers/Mets Over
                ___________________________________

                If you like these post, please take a minute to post your best underdog play for the day in this thread. https://www.sportsbookreview.com/for...lb-2017-a.html
                Comment
                • FUqer
                  SBR MVP
                  • 01-22-15
                  • 3968

                  #568
                  Saturday Plays 8/5

                  ยป-Cubs -1.5 +117
                  ยป-Indians -1 +100
                  ยป-Royals -1 +114
                  ยป-Rangers FF -.5 +100
                  __________________________
                  Comment
                  • FUqer
                    SBR MVP
                    • 01-22-15
                    • 3968

                    #569
                    Originally posted by FUqer
                    Saturday Plays 8/5

                    ยป-Cubs -1.5 +117
                    ยป-Indians -1 +100
                    ยป-Royals -1 +114
                    ยป-Rangers FF -.5 +100

                    ยป-Yankees/Indians Over 8.5 -103
                    ยป-Mariners/Royals Over 8 -108
                    ยป-Dodgers/Mets Over 9 -113

                    __________________________
                    Added 3 totals.
                    Comment
                    • FUqer
                      SBR MVP
                      • 01-22-15
                      • 3968

                      #570
                      Royals plays canceled due to pitching change, don't have time to recheck it right now, might be back before later games start.
                      Comment
                      • 2daBank
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 01-26-09
                        • 88966

                        #571
                        Originally posted by FUqer
                        Royals plays canceled due to pitching change, don't have time to recheck it right now, might be back before later games start.
                        Looks like there a bunch of rain in area anyways. Staying away.
                        Comment
                        • 2daBank
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 01-26-09
                          • 88966

                          #572
                          Originally posted by FUqer
                          ahhaha wth happened there, I was only able to track the first few innings in the car and the Rays were leaving runners in scoring position left and right, no clue how the rest went, but 0 runs, wow, so unpredictable at times. They give a beat down to the Astros 3 str8 and come Home and lay an egg. SMH

                          at least we nailed the Indians game, Garcia didn't last too long.
                          I saw rays had 8 freaking baserunners thru 3 innings and no runs! Bases juiced in 1st and 2nd both times less than 2 outs I think, then 1st and 3rd in the 3rd inning and again no runs. I stopped paying attention after that. On paper I like that team as they got power out the ass but seems only way they score is off the long ball!
                          Comment
                          • FUqer
                            SBR MVP
                            • 01-22-15
                            • 3968

                            #573
                            Saturday Results 8/5

                            ยป-Cubs -1.5 +117
                            ยป-Indians -1 +100
                            ยป-Rangers FF -.5 +100

                            ยป-Yankees/Indians Over 8.5 -103
                            ยป-Dodgers/Mets Over 9 -113
                            __________________________
                            Today = 3-2= +1.14
                            ___________________________
                            Bankroll = 2557 / 3000
                            ___________________________
                            Since All Star Break

                            ML = 31-31 for +3.05
                            (Dogs = 17-15)
                            (Favs = 14-16)

                            RL = 20-10 for +10.18

                            O/U = 26-29 for -5.14
                            (Overs = 15-11)
                            (Unders = 11-18)

                            Parlays = 1-0 for +1.52

                            Total = 78-70-7 +9.61
                            __________________________

                            Recent Results

                            5th = 3-2 for +1.14
                            4th = 4-3 for +0.69
                            3rd = 2-0 for +2.00
                            2nd = 3-0 for +3.52
                            1st = 2-7-1 for -5.27
                            31st = 1-2 for -1.05
                            30th = 6-4-2 for +2.08
                            29th = 2-3 for -1.19
                            28th = 9-4 for +5.59
                            27th = 3-3 for -0.09
                            26th = 5-2-1 for +3.28
                            25th = 5-6-1 for -1.15
                            24th = 4-2 for +2.28
                            23th = 2-1 for +1.17
                            ________________________________________ ___________
                            Comment
                            • FUqer
                              SBR MVP
                              • 01-22-15
                              • 3968

                              #574
                              SDQL 8/6

                              ALL = Yesterday 5-2(Total 100-90)
                              SU = Yesterday 3-2(Total 65-43)
                              OU = Yesterday 2-0(Total 35-47)

                              Pre All-Star Break

                              ALL - (Total 441-346)
                              SU - (Total 223-171)
                              OU - (Total 218-185)
                              ---------------------------------

                              SU

                              FADE: The Brewers are 0-18 SU as a dog in the last game of a series after shutting out their opponent.

                              team=Brewers and D and po:runs=0 and LGS and date>=20040926

                              0-18 (-3.28, 0.0%) avg line: 138.6 / -152.8 on / against: -$1,800 / +$1,800 ROI: -100.0% / +64.9%

                              PLAY: The Red Sox are 22-1 SU as a favorite by more than 190 vs a team that has lost at least their last four games and it is not a series opener.

                              team = Red Sox and SG > 1 and line<-190 and o:streak <= -4 and season >= 2005

                              22-1 (4.96, 95.7%) avg line: -239.4 / 207.4 on / against: +$1,950 / -$1,980 ROI: +35.2% / -86.1%
                              18-3 (3.69, 85.7%) avg line: -118.7 / 105.9 on / against: +$1,373 / -$1,477 ROI: +54.7% / -67.8%

                              PLAY: The Red Sox are 28-2 SU since Apr 25, 2013 as a 200+ favorite after they held a multiple-run lead last game.

                              team = Red Sox and line<=-200 and p:BL > 1 and date >= 20130425

                              28-2 (3.73, 93.3%) avg line: -225.8 / 200.5 on / against: +$2,350 / -$2,395 ROI: +34.6% / -79.8%
                              22-8 (2.23, 73.3%) avg line: -113.2 / 101.5 on / against: +$1,271 / -$1,441 ROI: +37.2% / -45.5%

                              FADE: The Astros (123-231 -29.3% ROI)

                              (so:R1 = 3 or so:R1 = 4) and SG != 2 and 5 > SGS > 1 and s:SRA < 10 and 3 < s:SHA < 10 and s:SWA < 5 and 6 > s:SSO > 1 and starter rest < 17 and s:SPT > 56 and os:SRA < 8 and s:SHRA < 4 and os:SHRA < 2 and os:SPT > 69 and o:starter rest < 18 and p:hits < 12 and 0 < ss:SSO < 12 and ss:SPT > 66 and -8 < os:margin < 6 and tA(hits,N=10) > 6.8 and oA(LOB, N=10) < 18.5 and 1.4 < oA(walks, N=10) < 4.8 and tA(walks, N=10) > 1.7

                              123-231 (-1.02, 34.7%) avg line: 107.7 / -120.4 on / against: -$11,983 / +$10,408 ROI: -29.3% / +22.4%

                              PLAY: The Giants (25-5 +48.5% ROI)

                              HF and WP<50 and o:WP>50 and date>=20170618 and conference=NL

                              25-5 (2.30, 83.3%) avg line: -128.6 / 118.3 on / against: +$1,876 / -$1,928 ROI: +48.5% / -63.9%
                              19-11 (1.00, 63.3%) avg line: 152.0 / -173.1 on / against: +$1,807 / -$2,162 ROI: +57.3% / -40.9%

                              -----------

                              OU

                              OVER: Both teams off rest this season. (68-44 +15.1% ROI)
                              (Mariners/Royals)

                              H and rest=1 and o:rest=1 and season=2017
                              68-44-7 (1.02, 60.7%) avg total: 8.8 over / under: +$1,992 / -$2,950 ROI: +15.1% / -22.7%
                              ________________

                              SU

                              Rays
                              Red Sox
                              Blue Jays
                              Giants

                              OU

                              Mariners/Royals Over
                              ___________________________________

                              If you like these post, please take a minute to post your best underdog play for the day in this thread. https://www.sportsbookreview.com/for...______________
                              Comment
                              • FUqer
                                SBR MVP
                                • 01-22-15
                                • 3968

                                #575
                                Sunday Plays 8/6

                                ยป-Braves -114
                                ยป-Blue Jays +108

                                ยป-D-Backs/Giants Over 8 +102
                                __________________________

                                Would like to get the Over 9 in the Mets game tonight at a decent price. I'm still considering the Phillies, Cubs, Pirates and Twins.
                                Comment
                                • FUqer
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 01-22-15
                                  • 3968

                                  #576
                                  Rays when -1 comes out at 5 Dimes, unless line starts to move in the next hour.
                                  Comment
                                  • FUqer
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 01-22-15
                                    • 3968

                                    #577
                                    Originally posted by FUqer
                                    Sunday Plays 8/6

                                    ยป-Braves -114
                                    ยป-Blue Jays +108
                                    ยป-Rays -1 -108
                                    ยป-Giants -1 +120


                                    ยป-D-Backs/Giants Over 8 +102
                                    ยป-Dodgers/Mets Over 9 -103
                                    __________________________
                                    3 additions.
                                    Comment
                                    • FUqer
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 01-22-15
                                      • 3968

                                      #578
                                      Sunday Results 8/6

                                      ยป-Braves -114
                                      ยป-Blue Jays +108
                                      ยป-Rays -1 -108
                                      ยป-Giants -1 +120

                                      ยป-D-Backs/Giants Over 8 +102
                                      ยป-Dodgers/Mets Over 9 -103
                                      __________________________
                                      Yesterday = 2-3-1= -0.95
                                      ___________________________
                                      Bankroll = 2509 / 3000
                                      ___________________________
                                      Since All Star Break

                                      ML = 31-33 for +0.91
                                      (Dogs = 17-16)
                                      (Favs = 14-17)

                                      RL = 21-10 for +11.38

                                      O/U = 27-30 for -5.15
                                      (Overs = 16-12)
                                      (Unders = 11-18)

                                      Parlays = 1-0 for +1.52

                                      Total = 80-73-8 +8.66
                                      __________________________
                                      Recent Results

                                      6th = 2-3-1 for -0.95
                                      5th = 3-2 for +1.14
                                      4th = 4-3 for +0.69
                                      3rd = 2-0 for +2.00
                                      2nd = 3-0 for +3.52
                                      1st = 2-7-1 for -5.27
                                      31st = 1-2 for -1.05
                                      30th = 6-4-2 for +2.08
                                      29th = 2-3 for -1.19
                                      28th = 9-4 for +5.59
                                      27th = 3-3 for -0.09
                                      26th = 5-2-1 for +3.28
                                      25th = 5-6-1 for -1.15
                                      24th = 4-2 for +2.28
                                      23th = 2-1 for +1.17
                                      ______________________________

                                      The Blue Jays blowing a 6-3 lead in the bottom of the 9th cost me my 5th str8 winning day.

                                      The Dodgers get 5 in the first couple of innings but the Mets lay a goose egg and lose the Over by a run.
                                      3rd str8 time I took the Over with the Mets vs lefty and they laid a egg, luckily the other two won though.

                                      LoL, I made my picks in the contest early yesterday and the Cards/Reds Over was showing +790, so of course I made it my weekly muti-unit selection. I feel dirty but I think any bettor would of done the same thing and I was worried about who else already did, but it looks like it only showed that price for me for that instance. It still wouldn't of made up for all the times I got screwed with pitching changes on there and stuck with picks.
                                      Comment
                                      • thekoreanmang
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 03-17-14
                                        • 1422

                                        #579
                                        What contest are you referring to?
                                        Comment
                                        • 2daBank
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 01-26-09
                                          • 88966

                                          #580
                                          Was it in your thread that I read twinks been struggling vs lhp?
                                          Comment
                                          • 2daBank
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 01-26-09
                                            • 88966

                                            #581
                                            Originally posted by thekoreanmang
                                            What contest are you referring to?
                                            The sbr monthly MLB contest I assume since that the only one that has required muli unit plays. Could have been weekly one they have as well I suppose.
                                            Comment
                                            • FUqer
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 01-22-15
                                              • 3968

                                              #582
                                              Originally posted by 2daBank
                                              Was it in your thread that I read twinks been struggling vs lhp?
                                              Win/Loss wise they are, not sure about stats. 2-10 L12 but it was 1-11 i think when I said something bout it.

                                              Haven't got anything done for today cept my model that's been done and from that I like STL, SD, MIN, PIT.
                                              Comment
                                              • 2daBank
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 01-26-09
                                                • 88966

                                                #583
                                                Originally posted by FUqer
                                                Win/Loss wise they are, not sure about stats. 2-10 L12 but it was 1-11 i think when I said something bout it.

                                                Haven't got anything done for today cept my model that's been done and from that I like STL, SD, MIN, PIT.
                                                My concern w cards is they been to this point where a win puts them at .500 a bunch of times the last month or more and every stinking time they lose!! Then my more maybe realistic concern is Martinez has struggled something serious in 1st innings this season. Trying to dig up how well royals offense performs early in games as I think this game could very well come down to whether or not Martinez can get off to a good start, games where he struggles in 1st he typically settles down but labors to get thru 5 innings while games teams don't get him early he typically gives 6-7 strong innings.
                                                Comment
                                                • FUqer
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 01-22-15
                                                  • 3968

                                                  #584
                                                  Originally posted by 2daBank
                                                  The sbr monthly MLB contest I assume since that the only one that has required muli unit plays. Could have been weekly one they have as well I suppose.
                                                  Yea, 3 unit there and a 5 unit in another, ROFL. I knew it would get canceled afterwards but at the time my greed reacted and didn't give me much time to think about things and I didn't even have any interest in that play, but I learned if the odds are good enough, you'll play anything without thinking. First time that's happened and I don't how long it was like that before I saw it around 5 am. In retrospect, I should of just reported it, but I'm not perfect.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • FUqer
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 01-22-15
                                                    • 3968

                                                    #585
                                                    Originally posted by 2daBank
                                                    My concern w cards is they been to this point where a win puts them at .500 a bunch of times the last month or more and every stinking time they lose!! Then my more maybe realistic concern is Martinez has struggled something serious in 1st innings this season. Trying to dig up how well royals offense performs early in games as I think this game could very well come down to whether or not Martinez can get off to a good start, games where he struggles in 1st he typically settles down but labors to get thru 5 innings while games teams don't get him early he typically gives 6-7 strong innings.
                                                    ahh sub .500 team favorites vs a +.500 team, haven't gotten that far yet, not sure about inter league games, but in the NL that's been killing, 26-5 this season in the NL. Martinez does seem to have come down a little bit lately, but I haven't looked at anything yet so still not sure, but I do love that trend.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • 2daBank
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 01-26-09
                                                      • 88966

                                                      #586
                                                      Originally posted by FUqer
                                                      Yea, 3 unit there and a 5 unit in another, ROFL. I knew it would get canceled afterwards but at the time my greed reacted and didn't give me much time to think about things and I didn't even have any interest in that play, but I learned if the odds are good enough, you'll play anything without thinking. First time that's happened and I don't how long it was like that before I saw it around 5 am. In retrospect, I should of just reported it, but I'm not perfect.
                                                      Lol, none of us above taking shots when opportunity presents itself. Unfortunately doing so rarely a good idea as inevitably it backfires in one way or another..

                                                      only time I recall it working out for me was a hr derby years ago I identified a way to play it where there was no way to lose money with chance of big return depending who won, I don't exactly remember the details but posted it and think we all did reasonably well! Lol. I even live chatted the book about it before going ahead w the plays cause didn't want a situation where I was missing something or what usually happens where after the fact it you lose nothing said but if you win they change the rules! Lol.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • 2daBank
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 01-26-09
                                                        • 88966

                                                        #587
                                                        Originally posted by FUqer
                                                        ahh sub .500 team favorites vs a +.500 team, haven't gotten that far yet, not sure about inter league games, but in the NL that's been killing, 26-5 this season in the NL. Martinez does seem to have come down a little bit lately, but I haven't looked at anything yet so still not sure, but I do love that trend.
                                                        It pretty much always the 1st inning with him. I know that the case w a lot of aces you either get them early or not at all but it been pretty extreme w him this season. That of course is magnified by fact cards shit offense rarely gives him much support so when he gets in hole early it typically game over.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • FUqer
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 01-22-15
                                                          • 3968

                                                          #588
                                                          not as good as the 26-5 NL trend, but HD +.500 vs sub .500 teams are 3-12 L15, and 14-24 on the season, Over 23-15.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • 2daBank
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 01-26-09
                                                            • 88966

                                                            #589
                                                            Originally posted by FUqer
                                                            Win/Loss wise they are, not sure about stats. 2-10 L12 but it was 1-11 i think when I said something bout it.

                                                            Haven't got anything done for today cept my model that's been done and from that I like STL, SD, MIN, PIT.
                                                            24th in majors ops against lhp and second worse team ops overall the last week.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • FUqer
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 01-22-15
                                                              • 3968

                                                              #590
                                                              SDQL 8/7

                                                              ALL = Yesterday 4-1(Total 104-91)
                                                              SU = Yesterday 3-1(Total 68-44)
                                                              OU = Yesterday 1-0(Total 36-47)

                                                              Pre All-Star Break

                                                              ALL - (Total 441-346)
                                                              SU - (Total 223-171)
                                                              OU - (Total 218-185)
                                                              ---------------------------------

                                                              SU

                                                              PLAY: The Pirates are 14-0 SU since Sep 23, 2013 in the first game of a series as a favorite after a game as a home favorite in which they used 5+ pitchers.

                                                              team = Pirates and F and p:HF and 5 <= p:PU and SG = 1 and date >= 20130923



                                                              PLAY: The Pirates are 12-3 since Apr 21, 2014 in the first game of a series at home off a home game in which they used 5+ pitchers.

                                                              team = Pirates and 5 <= p:PU and FGS and H and p:H and date >= 20140421



                                                              PLAY: The Cubs are 22-1 SU in the first game of a series as a 140-plus favorite off a home game when playing a team that has a worse record and it is after the All-Star break.

                                                              team = Cubs and FGS and line<=-140 and p:H and WP > o:WP and AASB and date >= 20100726



                                                              PLAY: The Cubs are 20-2 SU in the first game of a series off a home game when their opponents starter has an ERA of higher than 3.55 on the season and it is after the All-Star break.

                                                              team = Cubs and FGS and p:H and o:STDSERA>3.55 and AASB and season >= 2014



                                                              -----------

                                                              OU

                                                              OVER: The Giants are 16-3 OU since October 24th, 2012 in the first game of a home series after scoring 6+ runs at home.

                                                              team = Giants and H and 6 <= p:runs and p:H and SG = 1 and date >= 20121024



                                                              ________________

                                                              SU

                                                              Pirates
                                                              Cubs
                                                              Brewers

                                                              OU

                                                              Cubs/Giants Over
                                                              Orioles/Angels Under
                                                              Cardinals/Royals Under
                                                              ___________________________________

                                                              If you like these post, please take a minute to post your best underdog play for the day in this thread. https://www.sportsbookreview.com/for...______________
                                                              Last edited by FUqer; 08-07-17, 01:59 PM. Reason: Additions from page 18
                                                              Comment
                                                              • FUqer
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 01-22-15
                                                                • 3968

                                                                #591
                                                                Originally posted by 2daBank
                                                                24th in majors ops against lhp and second worse team ops overall the last week.
                                                                yea, Twins looking unlikely, not sure of exact record or stats off hand but I think Santana hasn't been as good at Home either, I'll have to check on that though.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • FUqer
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 01-22-15
                                                                  • 3968

                                                                  #592
                                                                  Another week where winning/losing streaks of 3 or more got built up by a lot of teams and then the weekend hit, especially Sunday and few remain, none that are playing today. Not much help from SDQL or Streak chart today.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • FUqer
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 01-22-15
                                                                    • 3968

                                                                    #593
                                                                    Really wanting to take the Cardinals based on model and that trend and the Royals 11-25 at Home vs them, but pitchers are trending in opposite directions as far as win/loss and Kennedy last faced the Cards in 2015 with the Padres in a 8-0 win. Martinez is the better pitcher though, so I'm leaning heavily on playing them.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • FUqer
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 01-22-15
                                                                      • 3968

                                                                      #594
                                                                      Monday Plays 8/7

                                                                      ยป-Padres +101
                                                                      __________________________
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • 2daBank
                                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                                        • 01-26-09
                                                                        • 88966

                                                                        #595
                                                                        Originally posted by FUqer
                                                                        Really wanting to take the Cardinals based on model and that trend and the Royals 11-25 at Home vs them, but pitchers are trending in opposite directions as far as win/loss and Kennedy last faced the Cards in 2015 with the Padres in a 8-0 win. Martinez is the better pitcher though, so I'm leaning heavily on playing them.
                                                                        I really want to play the under but trying to hold out to see starting lineups and ump. Assuming matheny will insert gyrko right back in at cleanup making it a black hole and of course piscotty garbage ass will be back playing undeservingly but after he went and changed it up on me feel like I'm better off waiting and making sure.
                                                                        Comment
                                                                        SBR Contests
                                                                        Collapse
                                                                        Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                                                        Collapse
                                                                        Working...