Tribe getting pretty cheap on the ml. Bauer inconsistent but with his k rate gotta think yanks will be flailing again tonight.
-
Comment -
It was one of my last choices so I figured I'd go for + money. I'm thinking more in terms of offense in this one. Garcia has been good on the Road lately, but it is his 3rd str8 start for a different team and one thing that stood out is the last two lefties the Indians faced at Home was JA Happ and Cole Hamels and they scored 23 runs in those games, but like you said, you never know what you're gonna get with Bauer.Comment -
Jamie has made a lot of strides in this area since he was here but in the past road was a problem for him and just his mental makeup in general where I really doubt he could have handled switching teams multiple times like this.
Yanks just playing really poorly of late, id expect Bauer to strike out a lot of guys tonight. Havnt checked ump yet but kinda leaning under again. It did surprise me when I noticed what you mentioned about how well tribe been hitting lefties, I typically don't think of them as a good lhp hitting team but appears that not the case as they 8th in team ops vs lefties this season. More I look the more I'm leaning tribe as line drops.
With you on scrubbies as well. I laid the 1.5 as I think we should see good amount of runs w wind blowing out.Comment -
Might join you w rays also. Despite taking 2 of 3 vs cards brewers offense still really struggling, cards just been even worse! Lol. Don't know anything bout brewers starter other than he sporting a 4.46 era in the minors this season, id think rays can get to him for some runs and what milw really gonna score here? 3 maybe 4 tops?Comment -
ahhaha wth happened there, I was only able to track the first few innings in the car and the Rays were leaving runners in scoring position left and right, no clue how the rest went, but 0 runs, wow, so unpredictable at times. They give a beat down to the Astros 3 str8 and come Home and lay an egg. SMH
at least we nailed the Indians game, Garcia didn't last too long.Comment -
Friday Results 8/4
W - ยป-Braves +106
L - ยป-Rangers -111
W - ยป-Mariners -1 -125
L - ยป-Cubs -1 -123
L - ยป-Rays -1 -116
W - ยป-Pirates -1 -135
W - ยป-Indians -1 +113
__________________________
Today = 4-3= +0.69
___________________________
Bankroll = 2500 / 3000
___________________________
Since All Star Break
ML = 31-31 for +3.05
(Dogs = 17-15)
(Favs = 14-16)
RL = 18-9 for +9.01
O/U = 25-28 for -5.11
(Overs = 14-10)
(Unders = 11-18)
Parlays = 1-0 for +1.52
Total = 75-68-7 +8.47
__________________________
Recent Results
4th = 4-3 for +0.69
3rd = 2-0 for +2.00
2nd = 3-0 for +3.52
1st = 2-7-1 for -5.27
31st = 1-2 for -1.05
30th = 6-4-2 for +2.08
29th = 2-3 for -1.19
28th = 9-4 for +5.59
27th = 3-3 for -0.09
26th = 5-2-1 for +3.28
25th = 5-6-1 for -1.15
24th = 4-2 for +2.28
23th = 2-1 for +1.17
___________________________Comment -
SDQL 8/5
ALL = Yesterday 5-1(Total 95-88)
SU = Yesterday 4-1(Total 62-41)
OU = Yesterday 1-0(Total 33-47)
Pre All-Star Break
ALL - (Total 441-346)
SU - (Total 223-171)
OU - (Total 218-185)
---------------------------------
SU
PLAY: The Indians (55-23 +23.9% ROI)
H and tA(W)>=.45 and p:margin>=2 and tS(runs@team and season,N=6)=30 and po:BL=0 and 120>=line>=-195 and conference=o:conference and total<=10 and SG>1 and month>4 and 2008<=season
PLAY: The Giants (77-55 +24.9% ROI)
division = o:division and HD and line>=100<=145 and SG=2 and p:L and p:HF and WP<50
PLAY: The Astros (106-60 +8.2% ROI)
HF and line<-130 and line>-160 and p:margin>7 and p:margin<10
PLAY: The Astros (542-380 +9.8% ROI)
(p:margin = Maximum(margin@date)[date-1] and p:date=date-1 and p:margin>1 and SG<4 and conference=AL and op:runs<8 and line<200) and (p:BL = Maximum(BL@date)[date-1] and p:date=date-1 and p:margin>1 and SG<4 and conference=AL and op:runs<8 and line<200)
FADE: The Twins are 0-13 SU as a dog after a game as a home dog when they won by one run in their starters last start and it is after the All-Star break.
team = Twins and D and p:HD and s:margin = 1 and AASB and date >= 20090902
FADE: The White Sox are 0-10 SU vs a Left Handed starting pitcher since June 26th, 2017.
team=White Sox and o:STL and date >=20170626
PLAY: The Red Sox are 20-1 SU as a favorite by more than 190 vs a team that has lost at least their last four games and it is not a series opener.
team = Red Sox and SG > 1 and line<-190 and o:streak <= -4 and season >= 2005
PLAY: The Rockies are 18-2 SU as a 130-plus favorite off a home game when they won their last two and their opponent lost their last two and it is not a series opener.
team = Rockies and SG > 1 and line<=-130 and p:H and p:W and p2:W and op:L and op2:L and AASB and date >= 20090906
FADE: The Rockies (408-349 -8.3% ROI)
p:margin = 1 and pp:margin = 1 and F
PLAY: The Royals (31-9 +36.7% ROI)
p:HL and p
and HF and day=Saturday and season>=2016
-----------
OU
UNDER: The Rangers are 0-12 OU after a game as a road favorite when they blew a lead in their starters last start and lost and it is after the All-Star break.
team = Rangers and p:AF and s:L and s:BL > 0 and AASB and date >= 20120715
OVER: The Mets are 10-0 OU as a 140-plus dog when seeking immediate revenge for a shutout loss and it is after the All-Star break.
team = Mets and SG > 1 and line>=140 and p:runs = 0 and AASB and date >= 20040916
________________
SU
Indians
Giants
Astros
Rangers
Royals
Red Sox
OU
Rangers/Twins Under
Dodgers/Mets Over
___________________________________
If you like these post, please take a minute to post your best underdog play for the day in this thread. https://www.sportsbookreview.com/for...lb-2017-a.htmlComment -
Saturday Plays 8/5
ยป-Cubs -1.5 +117
ยป-Indians -1 +100
ยป-Royals -1 +114
ยป-Rangers FF -.5 +100
__________________________Comment -
Royals plays canceled due to pitching change, don't have time to recheck it right now, might be back before later games start.Comment -
I saw rays had 8 freaking baserunners thru 3 innings and no runs! Bases juiced in 1st and 2nd both times less than 2 outs I think, then 1st and 3rd in the 3rd inning and again no runs. I stopped paying attention after that. On paper I like that team as they got power out the ass but seems only way they score is off the long ball!Comment -
Saturday Results 8/5
ยป-Cubs -1.5 +117
ยป-Indians -1 +100
ยป-Rangers FF -.5 +100
ยป-Yankees/Indians Over 8.5 -103
ยป-Dodgers/Mets Over 9 -113
__________________________
Today = 3-2= +1.14
___________________________
Bankroll = 2557 / 3000
___________________________
Since All Star Break
ML = 31-31 for +3.05
(Dogs = 17-15)
(Favs = 14-16)
RL = 20-10 for +10.18
O/U = 26-29 for -5.14
(Overs = 15-11)
(Unders = 11-18)
Parlays = 1-0 for +1.52
Total = 78-70-7 +9.61
__________________________
Recent Results
5th = 3-2 for +1.14
4th = 4-3 for +0.69
3rd = 2-0 for +2.00
2nd = 3-0 for +3.52
1st = 2-7-1 for -5.27
31st = 1-2 for -1.05
30th = 6-4-2 for +2.08
29th = 2-3 for -1.19
28th = 9-4 for +5.59
27th = 3-3 for -0.09
26th = 5-2-1 for +3.28
25th = 5-6-1 for -1.15
24th = 4-2 for +2.28
23th = 2-1 for +1.17
________________________________________ ___________Comment -
SDQL 8/6
ALL = Yesterday 5-2(Total 100-90)
SU = Yesterday 3-2(Total 65-43)
OU = Yesterday 2-0(Total 35-47)
Pre All-Star Break
ALL - (Total 441-346)
SU - (Total 223-171)
OU - (Total 218-185)
---------------------------------
SU
FADE: The Brewers are 0-18 SU as a dog in the last game of a series after shutting out their opponent.
team=Brewers and D and po:runs=0 and LGS and date>=20040926
0-18 (-3.28, 0.0%) avg line: 138.6 / -152.8 on / against: -$1,800 / +$1,800 ROI: -100.0% / +64.9%
PLAY: The Red Sox are 22-1 SU as a favorite by more than 190 vs a team that has lost at least their last four games and it is not a series opener.
team = Red Sox and SG > 1 and line<-190 and o:streak <= -4 and season >= 2005
22-1 (4.96, 95.7%) avg line: -239.4 / 207.4 on / against: +$1,950 / -$1,980 ROI: +35.2% / -86.1% 18-3 (3.69, 85.7%) avg line: -118.7 / 105.9 on / against: +$1,373 / -$1,477 ROI: +54.7% / -67.8%
PLAY: The Red Sox are 28-2 SU since Apr 25, 2013 as a 200+ favorite after they held a multiple-run lead last game.
team = Red Sox and line<=-200 and p:BL > 1 and date >= 20130425
28-2 (3.73, 93.3%) avg line: -225.8 / 200.5 on / against: +$2,350 / -$2,395 ROI: +34.6% / -79.8% 22-8 (2.23, 73.3%) avg line: -113.2 / 101.5 on / against: +$1,271 / -$1,441 ROI: +37.2% / -45.5%
FADE: The Astros (123-231 -29.3% ROI)
(so:R1 = 3 or so:R1 = 4) and SG != 2 and 5 > SGS > 1 and s:SRA < 10 and 3 < s:SHA < 10 and s:SWA < 5 and 6 > s:SSO > 1 and starter rest < 17 and s:SPT > 56 and os:SRA < 8 and s:SHRA < 4 and os:SHRA < 2 and os:SPT > 69 and o:starter rest < 18 and p:hits < 12 and 0 < ss:SSO < 12 and ss:SPT > 66 and -8 < os:margin < 6 and tA(hits,N=10) > 6.8 and oA(LOB, N=10) < 18.5 and 1.4 < oA(walks, N=10) < 4.8 and tA(walks, N=10) > 1.7
123-231 (-1.02, 34.7%) avg line: 107.7 / -120.4 on / against: -$11,983 / +$10,408 ROI: -29.3% / +22.4%
PLAY: The Giants (25-5 +48.5% ROI)
HF and WP<50 and o:WP>50 and date>=20170618 and conference=NL
25-5 (2.30, 83.3%) avg line: -128.6 / 118.3 on / against: +$1,876 / -$1,928 ROI: +48.5% / -63.9% 19-11 (1.00, 63.3%) avg line: 152.0 / -173.1 on / against: +$1,807 / -$2,162 ROI: +57.3% / -40.9%
-----------
OU
OVER: Both teams off rest this season. (68-44 +15.1% ROI)
(Mariners/Royals)
H and rest=1 and o:rest=1 and season=2017
________________68-44-7 (1.02, 60.7%) avg total: 8.8 over / under: +$1,992 / -$2,950 ROI: +15.1% / -22.7%
SU
Rays
Red Sox
Blue Jays
Giants
OU
Mariners/Royals Over
___________________________________
If you like these post, please take a minute to post your best underdog play for the day in this thread. https://www.sportsbookreview.com/for...______________Comment -
Sunday Plays 8/6
ยป-Braves -114
ยป-Blue Jays +108
ยป-D-Backs/Giants Over 8 +102
__________________________
Would like to get the Over 9 in the Mets game tonight at a decent price. I'm still considering the Phillies, Cubs, Pirates and Twins.Comment -
Rays when -1 comes out at 5 Dimes, unless line starts to move in the next hour.Comment -
Sunday Results 8/6
ยป-Braves -114
ยป-Blue Jays +108
ยป-Rays -1 -108
ยป-Giants -1 +120
ยป-D-Backs/Giants Over 8 +102
ยป-Dodgers/Mets Over 9 -103
__________________________
Yesterday = 2-3-1= -0.95
___________________________
Bankroll = 2509 / 3000
___________________________
Since All Star Break
ML = 31-33 for +0.91
(Dogs = 17-16)
(Favs = 14-17)
RL = 21-10 for +11.38
O/U = 27-30 for -5.15
(Overs = 16-12)
(Unders = 11-18)
Parlays = 1-0 for +1.52
Total = 80-73-8 +8.66
__________________________
Recent Results
6th = 2-3-1 for -0.95
5th = 3-2 for +1.14
4th = 4-3 for +0.69
3rd = 2-0 for +2.00
2nd = 3-0 for +3.52
1st = 2-7-1 for -5.27
31st = 1-2 for -1.05
30th = 6-4-2 for +2.08
29th = 2-3 for -1.19
28th = 9-4 for +5.59
27th = 3-3 for -0.09
26th = 5-2-1 for +3.28
25th = 5-6-1 for -1.15
24th = 4-2 for +2.28
23th = 2-1 for +1.17
______________________________
The Blue Jays blowing a 6-3 lead in the bottom of the 9th cost me my 5th str8 winning day.
The Dodgers get 5 in the first couple of innings but the Mets lay a goose egg and lose the Over by a run.
3rd str8 time I took the Over with the Mets vs lefty and they laid a egg, luckily the other two won though.
LoL, I made my picks in the contest early yesterday and the Cards/Reds Over was showing +790, so of course I made it my weekly muti-unit selection. I feel dirty but I think any bettor would of done the same thing and I was worried about who else already did, but it looks like it only showed that price for me for that instance. It still wouldn't of made up for all the times I got screwed with pitching changes on there and stuck with picks.Comment -
What contest are you referring to?Comment -
Was it in your thread that I read twinks been struggling vs lhp?Comment -
My concern w cards is they been to this point where a win puts them at .500 a bunch of times the last month or more and every stinking time they lose!! Then my more maybe realistic concern is Martinez has struggled something serious in 1st innings this season. Trying to dig up how well royals offense performs early in games as I think this game could very well come down to whether or not Martinez can get off to a good start, games where he struggles in 1st he typically settles down but labors to get thru 5 innings while games teams don't get him early he typically gives 6-7 strong innings.Comment -
Yea, 3 unit there and a 5 unit in another, ROFL. I knew it would get canceled afterwards but at the time my greed reacted and didn't give me much time to think about things and I didn't even have any interest in that play, but I learned if the odds are good enough, you'll play anything without thinking. First time that's happened and I don't how long it was like that before I saw it around 5 am. In retrospect, I should of just reported it, but I'm not perfect.Comment -
ahh sub .500 team favorites vs a +.500 team, haven't gotten that far yet, not sure about inter league games, but in the NL that's been killing, 26-5 this season in the NL. Martinez does seem to have come down a little bit lately, but I haven't looked at anything yet so still not sure, but I do love that trend.Comment -
Lol, none of us above taking shots when opportunity presents itself. Unfortunately doing so rarely a good idea as inevitably it backfires in one way or another..
only time I recall it working out for me was a hr derby years ago I identified a way to play it where there was no way to lose money with chance of big return depending who won, I don't exactly remember the details but posted it and think we all did reasonably well! Lol. I even live chatted the book about it before going ahead w the plays cause didn't want a situation where I was missing something or what usually happens where after the fact it you lose nothing said but if you win they change the rules! Lol.Comment -
It pretty much always the 1st inning with him. I know that the case w a lot of aces you either get them early or not at all but it been pretty extreme w him this season. That of course is magnified by fact cards shit offense rarely gives him much support so when he gets in hole early it typically game over.Comment -
not as good as the 26-5 NL trend, but HD +.500 vs sub .500 teams are 3-12 L15, and 14-24 on the season, Over 23-15.Comment -
SDQL 8/7
ALL = Yesterday 4-1(Total 104-91)
SU = Yesterday 3-1(Total 68-44)
OU = Yesterday 1-0(Total 36-47)
Pre All-Star Break
ALL - (Total 441-346)
SU - (Total 223-171)
OU - (Total 218-185)
---------------------------------
SU
PLAY: The Pirates are 14-0 SU since Sep 23, 2013 in the first game of a series as a favorite after a game as a home favorite in which they used 5+ pitchers.
team = Pirates and F and p:HF and 5 <= p:PU and SG = 1 and date >= 20130923
PLAY: The Pirates are 12-3 since Apr 21, 2014 in the first game of a series at home off a home game in which they used 5+ pitchers.
team = Pirates and 5 <= p:PU and FGS and H and p:H and date >= 20140421
PLAY: The Cubs are 22-1 SU in the first game of a series as a 140-plus favorite off a home game when playing a team that has a worse record and it is after the All-Star break.
team = Cubs and FGS and line<=-140 and p:H and WP > o:WP and AASB and date >= 20100726
PLAY: The Cubs are 20-2 SU in the first game of a series off a home game when their opponents starter has an ERA of higher than 3.55 on the season and it is after the All-Star break.
team = Cubs and FGS and p:H and o:STDSERA>3.55 and AASB and season >= 2014
-----------
OU
OVER: The Giants are 16-3 OU since October 24th, 2012 in the first game of a home series after scoring 6+ runs at home.
team = Giants and H and 6 <= p:runs and p:H and SG = 1 and date >= 20121024
________________
SU
Pirates
Cubs
Brewers
OU
Cubs/Giants Over
Orioles/Angels Under
Cardinals/Royals Under
___________________________________
If you like these post, please take a minute to post your best underdog play for the day in this thread. https://www.sportsbookreview.com/for...______________Comment -
Another week where winning/losing streaks of 3 or more got built up by a lot of teams and then the weekend hit, especially Sunday and few remain, none that are playing today. Not much help from SDQL or Streak chart today.Comment -
Really wanting to take the Cardinals based on model and that trend and the Royals 11-25 at Home vs them, but pitchers are trending in opposite directions as far as win/loss and Kennedy last faced the Cards in 2015 with the Padres in a 8-0 win. Martinez is the better pitcher though, so I'm leaning heavily on playing them.Comment -
Monday Plays 8/7
ยป-Padres +101
__________________________Comment -
I really want to play the under but trying to hold out to see starting lineups and ump. Assuming matheny will insert gyrko right back in at cleanup making it a black hole and of course piscotty garbage ass will be back playing undeservingly but after he went and changed it up on me feel like I'm better off waiting and making sure.Comment