-
Comment -
Away Favorites 23-11 trying to avoid 3 game sweep, 15-3 L18, 9-1 L10. (Astros)
Favs avoiding 3 game sweep 65-27. (Astros)
Home Favs trying to complete a 4 game sweep 10-5, 7-1 L8. (Cardinals)Comment -
The Astros have lost 5 in a row vs lefties, all by at least 2 runs and Rodon has had a couple of good starts against the Red Sox and Indians his last two starts. Can't take the White Sox though, was considering the Astros in a parlay with the Mariners, but I dunno.Comment -
Was just looking at some streaks stuff and found this. Adding to SDQL post.
UNDER: The Cardinals are 0-11-1 OU as a Home a Favorite on a 5 game win streak.
team=Cardinals and streak=5 and HF and date>=20090524
0-11-1 (-2.00, 0.0%) avg total: 7.8 over / under: -$1,180 / +$1,100 ROI: -91.5% / +87.6%
I know Lynn has been on a roll with Unders, but bats are alive, so I dunno.Comment -
I lean under for sure but as you said the bats really humming right now. Hammel has been stringing some QS together lately and has a pretty good history at Busch. Lynn of course been great and has good history w foster behind the plate. It really just comes down to if hammel can cool cards bats off a little? I think he can go 6 and keep cards around 3-4 runs but then the question is can royals pen who been getting tagged limit any further damage? The number climbing and while I'm always a fan of plus money I'm leaning to thinking I'd rather have 9 with a little juice than 8.5 at plus.Comment -
Astros score a ton of runs when Peacock is on the bump. I just can't see White Sox sweeping either. Think 'Stros wake up and win big. May use them on RL in other thread.Comment -
I've been watching whole series but for life of me can't really remember how many lefty bats kc typically has in lineup? Lol. Moose only one who scares me, Gordon but he been awful, if I was kc I would consider playing moss. Reason I ask is Lynn's splits are glaring and have been most his career. Don't think kc has the pieces to stack bunch of strong lefty bats vs him tho!!Comment -
Mets with DeGrom starting vs the Phillies.
Home Dogs on 3 game winning streaks 1-7 L8.9-0 (3.11, 100.0%) avg line: -182.5 / 166.0 on / against: +$902 / -$912 ROI: +53.8% / -100.0% Comment -
Thursday Results 8/10
»-Yankees -134
»-Cardinals -1 -105
»-Brewers -1 -113
»-Nationals -1 -111
»-Mariners FF -.5 -125
»-Padres/Reds FF Under 4 +110
»-Astros/White Sox FF Under 5 -120
»-Twins/Brewers FF Under 5 +110
»-Parlay: (Mets -151/Astros -155) +173
»-Parlay: (Yankees -134/Mariners -177) +173
__________________________
Yesterday = 2-7-1 = -5.72
___________________________
Bankroll = 2312 / 3000
___________________________
Since All Star Break
ML = 36-39 for -0.05
(Dogs = 19-20)
(Favs = 17-19)
RL = 23-12 for +11.02
O/U = 29-33 for -6.25
(Overs = 17-13)
(Unders = 12-20)
Parlays = 2-4 for +0.07
Total = 90-88-9 +4.79
__________________________
Recent Results
10th = 2-7-1 for -5.72
9th = 1-3 for -2.09
8th = 4-3 for +2.47
7th = 3-2 for +1.47
6th = 2-3-1 for -0.95
5th = 3-2 for +1.14
4th = 4-3 for +0.69
3rd = 2-0 for +2.00
2nd = 3-0 for +3.52
1st = 2-7-1 for -5.27
31st = 1-2 for -1.05
30th = 6-4-2 for +2.08
29th = 2-3 for -1.19
28th = 9-4 for +5.59
27th = 3-3 for -0.09
26th = 5-2-1 for +3.28
25th = 5-6-1 for -1.15
24th = 4-2 for +2.28
23th = 2-1 for +1.17
______________________________
I got killed last night with all those favs and chalk, have to pick my spots when playing those and I went overboard yesterday looking for action. The Astros loss in xtras really hurt as that was a 2.73 unit swing and the two runs in the top of the 5th by the Padres weren't nice either. Not my first beat down, I'll try to learn from it and move on.
I don't have a lot of time today or this weekend, getting ready to head out of town and if I play anything they will have to come from my phone and there won't be a lot of research involved.Comment -
Have a good wknd, bro. You deserve it.Comment -
SDQL 8/11
ALL = Yesterday 2-6 (Total 118-111)
SU = Yesterday 2-4(Total 77-57)
OU = Yesterday 0-2 (Total 41-54)
Pre All-Star Break
ALL - (Total 441-346)
SU - (Total 223-171)
OU - (Total 218-185)
---------------------------------
SU
PLAY: The Marlins (107-42 +23.8% ROI)
H and 4.8>=tA(runs)>=4.3 and 5.2>=(o:STDSERA)>=4.2 and o:conference=NL and 4.2>=(STDSERA)>=3.7 and conference=NL and 2007<=season and SG<4PLAY: The Cubs (274-252 +20.3% ROI)AD and season > 2010 and month != 7 and p:hits < 8 and pp:hits > 6 and 18 > ppp:hits > 2 and pppp:hits > 5 and 17 > ppppp:hits > 4 and 16 > op:hits > 6 and s:SRA < 6 and streak > -5 and SG < 4 and line < 190 and total < 10.01 and 1.9 > STDSWHIP > 1.2
PLAY: The Royals (243-146 +9.5% ROI)
AF and pp:LOB=14 and 7<p:LOB<18 and -3<p:margin
PLAY: The Cardinals are 19-0 SU in the first game of a home series as a favorite by more than 130 after playing as a home favorite when facing a team that has lost at least their last three games.
team = Cardinals and FGS and H and line<-130 and p:HF and o:streak <= -3
FADE: The Red Sox are 0-11 SU as a dog in the first game of a series when they are off a road game in which they had multiple multiple-run innings and it is after the All-Star break.
team = Red Sox and FGS and D and p:A and p:MRI >= 2 and AASB and date >= 20070806
PLAY: The Tigers are 18-2 SU as a home favorite in the first game of a series off a home game when playing a team that has a better record.
team = Tigers and FGS and H and F and p:H and WP < o:WP and date >= 20120619
PLAY: The Phillies are 15-0 RL when their line is within 20 cents of pick-em after a game as a home dog in which their opponent scored first and it is after the All-Star break.
team = Phillies and -120 <= line <= 120 and p:H and p
and po:SF>0 and AASB and date >= 20140823
PLAY: The Angels are 15-0 RL as a dog after a win as a road dog in which they never trailed and it is after the All-Star break.
team = Angels and D and p:A and p and po:BL = 0 and p:W and AASB and date >= 20130810
-----------
OU
OVER: The Reds are 16-0 OU since Apr 15, 2016 as a 170+ dog after they used 5+ pitchers last game.
team=Reds and line>=+170 and p:PU>=5 and date>=20160415
UNDER: The Athletics are 0-11 OU in not the first game of a series when their line is within 20 cents of pick-em off a home game in which they allowed one or fewer walks and it is after the All-Star break.
team = Athletics and SG > 1 and -120 <= line <= 120 and p:H and po:walks <= 1 and AASB and date >= 20120720
OVER: Teams on at least 3 str8 Overs. (185-138 +9.0% ROI)
(Reds, Cardinals, Padres, Tigers, Royals)
date>=20170420 and p:O and p2:O and p3:O
________________
SU
Marlins
Royals
Cardinals
Yankees
Tigers
OU
Reds/Brewers Over
Orioles/Athletics Under
Braves/Cardinals Over
Padres/Dodgers Over
Twins/Tigers Over
Royals/White Sox Over
___________________________________
If you like these post, please take a minute to post your best underdog play for the day in this thread. https://www.sportsbookreview.com/for...lb-2017-a.htmlComment -
This is what I like just from glancing at the card.
Mets@ -108
@Marlins +108
@Brewers -1.5
@Cardinals -1
Cubs@ +110
Padres@ +257
Red Sox@ +123
Twins@ +115
@Rays +120
@Rangers +103
Royals@ -1
@Athletics -105
Angels@ +107
@Blue Jays -1
SF/WAS Over
NYM/PHI Over
BOS/NYY Under
CLE/TB Under
HOU/TEX UnderComment -
Friday Plays 8/11
»-Cardinals -1 +100
»-Royals -1 -115
»-Blue Jays -1 +107
»-Mets -106
»-Marlins +108
»-Rangers +107
»-Angels +110
»-Athletics -101
»-Red Sox/Yankees Under 9 +102
»-Astros/Rangers Under 10 +102
__________________________
Living dangerously this weekend. GLA!Comment -
Looks like I went 6-2-2 for +4.10. I will update everything when I get home.
No SDQL today for the first time this season. I didn't bring my laptop with me.
Not sure what I will play today, but it would be based on my intuition without any research at all.Comment -
Nice job bro..
I don't much care for this card today. Lean balty and I suppose cards rl as they have just gotten way juicy on us but at this point kinda wanna ride out the streak.
Didn't see much if anything in way of unders I liked. Maybe min/det ff, no interest having any part of those pens.Comment -
Finally got a signal.
Saturday Plays 8/12
-Rockies. -108
-Cubs. -103
__________________________
I might go with A's and Angel's later.Comment -
Sunday Plays 8/13
»-Rockies -107
»-Astros -140
»-Mariners -122
__________________________Comment -
Friday Results 8/11
»-Cardinals -1 +100
»-Royals -1 -115
»-Blue Jays -1 +107
»-Mets -106
»-Marlins +108
»-Rangers +107
»-Angels +110
»-Athletics -101
»-Red Sox/Yankees Under 9 +102
»-Astros/Rangers Under 10 +102
______________________________
Saturday Results 8/12
»-Rockies -108
»-Cubs -103
»-Athletics -101
»-Angels +127
__________________________
Friday 6-2-2 for +4.10
Saturday 1-3 for -1.85
___________________________
Bankroll = 2425 / 3000
___________________________
Since All Star Break
ML = 42-42 for +3.35
(Dogs = 23-20)
(Favs = 19-22)
RL = 24-14 for +9.87
O/U = 29-33 for -6.25
(Overs = 17-13)
(Unders = 12-20)
Parlays = 2-4 for +0.07
Total = 97-93-11 +7.04
__________________________
Recent Results
12th = 1-3 for -1.85
11th = 6-2-2 for +4.10
10th = 2-7-1 for -5.72
9th = 1-3 for -2.09
8th = 4-3 for +2.47
7th = 3-2 for +1.47
6th = 2-3-1 for -0.95
5th = 3-2 for +1.14
4th = 4-3 for +0.69
3rd = 2-0 for +2.00
2nd = 3-0 for +3.52
1st = 2-7-1 for -5.27
31st = 1-2 for -1.05
30th = 6-4-2 for +2.08
29th = 2-3 for -1.19
28th = 9-4 for +5.59
27th = 3-3 for -0.09
26th = 5-2-1 for +3.28
25th = 5-6-1 for -1.15
24th = 4-2 for +2.28
23th = 2-1 for +1.17
______________________________
Somewhat back to normal today. I played my first three plays based a lot on sweep angles.Comment -
SDQL 8/13
ALL = Yesterday 7-3-1 (Total 125-114)
SU = Yesterday 3-2(Total 80-59)
OU = Yesterday 4-1-1 (Total 45-55)
Pre All-Star Break
ALL - (Total 441-346)
SU - (Total 223-171)
OU - (Total 218-185)
---------------------------------
SU
PLAY: The Dodgers are 32-0 since Sep 30, 2004 in the last game of a series as a 200+ favorite after they scored first last game.
team=Dodgers and LGS and F and line<=-200 and p:SF > 0 and date>=20040930
FADE: The Braves (7-24 -44.2% ROI)
AD and p:L and pp:L and series game=series games=series game=3 and team=Braves and 2005<=season
PLAY: The Reds (275-252 +20.4)
AD and season > 2010 and month != 7 and p:hits < 8 and pp:hits > 6 and 18 > ppp:hits > 2 and pppp:hits > 5 and 17 > ppppp:hits > 4 and 16 > op:hits > 6 and s:SRA < 6 and streak > -5 and SG < 4 and line < 190 and total < 10.01 and 1.9 > STDSWHIP > 1.2
PLAY: The Rays (1014-611 +11.5% ROI)
H and (s:SO + os:SO) > 18 and s:SHRA != 2 and p:runs != 3 and op:runs < 9 and os:fly balls > 3 and os:fly balls != 6 and o:team != Cubs and (p:walks + op:walks) < 13 and op:triples < 2 and p:doubles < 5 and 17 > op:hits > 2 and (tA(at bats@team,N=6)<36.5 or tA(at bats@team,N=6)>36.7) and tA(o:at bats@team,N=6)>31 and (tA(SHF,N=8)<26.3 or tA(SHF,N=8)>26.5)
-----------------------------------
OU
UNDER: The Tigers are 0-18 OU as a home dog off a home game in which they allowed six-plus runs and it is after the All-Star break and not a series opener.
team = Tigers and SG > 1 and HD and p:H and 6 <= po:runs and AASB and date >= 20050907
OVER: Teams on at least 3 str8 Overs. (191-141 +9.5% ROI)
(Reds, Cardinals, Tigers)
date>=20170420 and p:O and p2:O and p3:O
__________________________
SU
Dodgers
Cardinals
Reds
Rays
OU
Reds/Brewers Over
Braves/Cardinals Over
___________________________________
If you like these post, please take a minute to post your best underdog play for the day in this thread. https://www.sportsbookreview.com/for...lb-2017-a.htmlComment -
Tigers and Pirates look tempting to me, but I don't think I be able to finish capping those before they start and I done enough gut plays the last 2 days. I liked the Under in the Twins/Tigers game but it dropped to 9.5 and I haven't done good with Unders.Comment -
Added a parlay. Home Favorites looking to sweep a 3 game series are 17-4 L21. Braves are 7-24 L31 on the Road when trying to avoid a 3 game sweep. Teams on 5 game losing streaks as Road dogs are 2-8 L10, the Braves are 3-9 in that spot overall. White Sox 2-11 L13 vs lefties, and 2-10 L12 time Holland has started. Royals 6-2 L8 on the Road vs lefties.Comment -
Sunday Results 8/13
»-Rockies -107
»-Astros -140
»-Mariners -122
»-Parlay: (Cardinals -184/Royals -135) +169
»-Parlay: (Red Sox -150 / Cubs / D-Backs Under 9.5 -133) +192
__________________________
Yesterday 2-3 for -0.37
___________________________
Bankroll = 2407 / 3000
___________________________
Since All Star Break
ML = 43-44 for +2.06
(Dogs = 23-20)
(Favs = 20-24)
RL = 24-14 for +9.87
O/U = 29-33 for -6.25
(Overs = 17-13)
(Unders = 12-20)
Parlays = 3-5 for +0.99
Total = 99-96-11 +6.67
__________________________
Recent Results
13th = 2-3 for -0.37
12th = 1-3 for -1.85
11th = 6-2-2 for +4.10
10th = 2-7-1 for -5.72
9th = 1-3 for -2.09
8th = 4-3 for +2.47
7th = 3-2 for +1.47
6th = 2-3-1 for -0.95
5th = 3-2 for +1.14
4th = 4-3 for +0.69
3rd = 2-0 for +2.00
2nd = 3-0 for +3.52
1st = 2-7-1 for -5.27
31st = 1-2 for -1.05
30th = 6-4-2 for +2.08
29th = 2-3 for -1.19
28th = 9-4 for +5.59
27th = 3-3 for -0.09
26th = 5-2-1 for +3.28
25th = 5-6-1 for -1.15
24th = 4-2 for +2.28
23th = 2-1 for +1.17
______________________________Comment -
SDQL 8/14
ALL = Yesterday 3-3 (Total 128-117)
SU = Yesterday 1-3(Total 81-62)
OU = Yesterday 2-0 (Total 47-55)
Pre All-Star Break
ALL - (Total 441-346)
SU - (Total 223-171)
OU - (Total 218-185)
---------------------------------
SU
FADE: The Rays are 0-22 SU since Apr 20, 2004 on the road after a game as a home dog in which they had more strikeouts than hits.
team=Rays and A and p:HD and p:SO > p:hits and date>=20040420
PLAY: The Orioles are 10-0 SU since Sep 24, 2012 with no rest in the first game of a series vs a team that has lost at least their last four games.
team=Orioles and rest=0 and o:streak<=-4 and FGS and date>=20120924
PLAY: The Rangers (197-131 +22.9% ROI)
H and -8 > (starter wins - starter losses + o:starter losses - o:starter wins) > -14 and day != Wednesday and day != Thursday and day != Friday and 6 > s:SRA > 0 and p:hits < 13 and total > 6.5 and (1.4 > STDSWHIP>1.1 or tA(runs) > 4.8)
PLAY: The Giants (276-252 +20.6% ROI)
AD and season > 2010 and month != 7 and p:hits < 8 and pp:hits > 6 and 18 > ppp:hits > 2 and pppp:hits > 5 and 17 > ppppp:hits > 4 and 16 > op:hits > 6 and s:SRA < 6 and streak > -5 and SG < 4 and line < 190 and total < 10.01 and 1.9 > STDSWHIP > 1.2
FADE: The Marlins are 0-16 RL as a home favorite off a game as a dog when they lost the last two games their starter started and it is after the All-Star break.
team = Marlins and H and F and p and s:L and ss:L and AASB and date >= 20070827
-----------------------------------
OU
UNDER: The Yankees are 0-14 OU at home after a game as a home dog when their opponents starter has an ERA of higher than four on the season and it is after the All-Star break.
team = Yankees and H and p:HD and o:STDSERA>4 and AASB and date >= 20090916
OVER: The Athletics are 10-0 OU since Jul 21, 2016 with no rest in the first game of a series vs a team that has won at least their last two games.
team=Athletics and rest=0 and o:streak>=2 and FGS and date>=20160721
OVER: The Braves are 92-63-6 OU since Aug 11, 2016 for +13.2% ROI.
team=Braves and date>=20160811
OVER: Teams on at least 3 str8 Overs. (193-141-25 +9.9% ROI)
(Reds, Braves)
date>=20170420 and p:O and p2:O and p3:O
__________________________
SU
Blue Jays
Orioles
Rangers
Giants
OU
Mets/Yankees Under
Braves/Rockies Over
Reds/Cubs Over
Royals/Athletics Over
___________________________________
If you like these post, please take a minute to post your best underdog play for the day in this thread. https://www.sportsbookreview.com/for...lb-2017-a.htmlComment -
I'm considering the Orioles, D-Backs, and Indians.
I need to redo the Tigers game with the Rangers pitching change, but I would like the Tigers to be Favs for a nice angle I have on AF's in their spot. I want to check to see if the Tigers have cooled down vs lefties at all. If I did go with the Tigers, it would prolly be FF, even though seems like the few times I thought I was doing the smart thing by playing FF and avoiding pens, it didn't work out. I'm also concerned about the Tigers being pretty much out of it, while the Rangers have a chance, only being 3.5 back of wild card and playing with some confidence lately.
I lean the Rays but there is a 0-22 trend above against them. Away favorites are 24-8 and 14-2 L16 after a Home Loss this season, Over is 20-10-2. That's why I would like the Tigers to be favorites for a little more confidence.
I leaned towards the Braves at first, but the Rockies have been great in the FGS this season and Bettis is returning from cancer, so there are some angles I don't like.
I lean the Phillies but AD's are 5-19 L24 after a Home loss, it would have to be FF.
And I might consider Oakland tonight as Home Favs with winning % below 50% over teams with win % over 50% are 40-22, but I might go FF if I do.
As far as totals, I lean the Under in the Indians game and the Orioles game.Comment -
What's up man.
If you're an SQL man, I would like to talk to you sometime.
SQL is something I have not learned, but with my knowledge and your database expertise, I think we can probably make something better than what "I" have now, which is already amazing, but running off Excel, so my sorting options and ways to manipulate data are limited.
Get at me.Comment -
Monday Plays 8/14
»-Cubs -1.5 -103
»-D-Backs -1 -115
__________________________
I would throw them in a parlay but afraid of their popularity and I would rather get a split this way than in a parlay.
Cubs 10-2 L12 at Home vs Reds winning all by at least 2 runs.Reds 4-19 L23 vs a LH starter.
Cubs have everyone in their division breathing down their necks cept for Cincy, they got to win this one, hopefully by at least 2. Quintana needs to get it together.
Mariners 8-1 L9 vs Orioles, 6-0 L6 at Home.
There are some Overs I would like to look into due to the wind blowing out pretty hard.Comment
