MLB 2017 - SDQL, Projections, Picks, Tracking, Discussion

[FUqer]

Thursday Results 8/31

¤ D-Backs -103
¤ Yankees -115
¤ Blue Jays +122
¤ Brewers -108

¤ Cardinals/Giants Over 7.5 -108
__________________________
Yesterday = 4-0 for +4.22
___________________________
Since All Star Break

ML = 65-65 for +3.99
(Dogs = 34-31)
(Favs = 31-34)

RL = 34-19 for +15.15

O/U = 30-38 for -10.91
(Overs = 18-14)
(Unders = 12-24)

Parlays = 3-7 for -1.01

Total = 132-129-11 +7.22
__________________________
Recent Results

31st = 4-0 for +4.22
30th = 2-4 for -2.22
29th = 1-0 for +1.13
28th = 2-1 for +1.04
27th = 4-1 for +2.95
26th = 2-4 for -1.59
25th = 4-1 for +3.28
24th = 1-0 for +1.46
23rd = 3-1 for +2.15
22nd = 2-0 for +2.05
______________________________

[FUqer]

I'm liking the Cardinals, D-Backs and Rangers tomorrow so far.

Cueto is back and I don't trust him yet and Flaherty has been killing it in the minors and the the Giants are pretty much sporting a minor league lineup.

I played the D-Backs every game in their sweep over the Dodgers and I think they have the advantage in this one as well.

I gotta consider the Rangers and Hamels at that price, he seems to dominant the Angels. It should be a good series that means a lot to both teams.

I kinda like the Red Sox, but that price is a little too good and that's a red flag for me.

[FUqer]

Friday Plays 9/1


¤ Reds +121
¤ Rangers -105
¤ Brewers -1 -104
¤ D-Backs -105
¤ Cardinals -106
__________________________

[FUqer]

Angels 0-16 SU

Dodgers 14-0 SU and 11-0 SU

Twins 12-0 SU

Orioles 23-1 SU

Nationals & Red Sox +19.5% ROI 278-259, 2-7 L9

Brewers +24.4% ROI 109-42, 5-1 L6, 11-4 L15

Pirates -25.0% ROI 40-62

Phillies +14.1% ROI 93-96


Mariners, Astros = Over +14.3% ROI 85-56-7

[FUqer]

Friday Results 9/1

¤ Reds +121
¤ Rangers -105
¤ Brewers -1 -104
¤ D-Backs -105
¤ Cardinals -106
__________________________
Yesterday = 4-0-1 for +4.21
___________________________
Since All Star Break

ML = 69-65 for +8.20

(Dogs = 35-31)
(Favs = 34-34)

RL = 34-19 for +15.15

O/U = 30-38 for -10.91
(Overs = 18-14)
(Unders = 12-24)

Parlays = 3-7 for -1.01

Total = 136-129-12 +11.43
__________________________
Recent Results

1st = 4-0-1 for +4.21
31st = 4-0 for +4.22
30th = 2-4 for -2.22
29th = 1-0 for +1.13
28th = 2-1 for +1.04
27th = 4-1 for +2.95
26th = 2-4 for -1.59
25th = 4-1 for +3.28
24th = 1-0 for +1.46
23rd = 3-1 for +2.15
22nd = 2-0 for +2.05
______________________________

[Covering the #]

Great last two days. Just what the doctor ordered. I think your Pirates have mailed it in sorry to say.

[FUqer]

Great last two days. Just what the doctor ordered. I think your Pirates have mailed it in sorry to say.

yea stick a fork in them, I can't believe how bad the Reds own them though, it's embarrassing being surrounded by Reds fans.

[FUqer]

The Angels may be the only play I'm interested in tomorrow, I might even pass completely and just play only football.

Just small leans on Padres, Phillies, Rockies, Yankees, Orioles, White Sox, I can think of too many reasons not too though.

[Covering the #]

You gotta almost always take Boston as a dog against a righty. i probably will in the DOD. Right now they are +127. Boston is a killer dog.

[FUqer]

You gotta almost always take Boston as a dog against a righty. i probably will in the DOD. Right now they are +127. Boston is a killer dog.

They are tempting, so is the Under, but I got a nice 331 game trend that's +23.5% ROI that applies to the Yankees with good recent success, so it's a pass for me.

[FUqer]

Saturday Plays 9/2


¤ Angels -1 +104
__________________________

[FUqer]

LoL@ this gas can for the Royals, I'm almost sure he will pitch a shutout though. Tempting.

[FUqer]

Saturday Results 9/2


¤ Angels -1 +104
__________________________
Yesterday = 1-0 for +1.04
___________________________
Since All Star Break

ML = 69-65 for +8.20

(Dogs = 35-31)
(Favs = 34-34)

RL = 35-19 for +16.19

O/U = 30-38 for -10.91

(Overs = 18-14)
(Unders = 12-24)

Parlays = 3-7 for -1.01

Total = 137-129-12 +12.47
__________________________
Recent Results


2nd = 1-0 for +1.04
1st = 4-0-1 for +4.21
31st = 4-0 for +4.22
30th = 2-4 for -2.22
29th = 1-0 for +1.13
28th = 2-1 for +1.04
27th = 4-1 for +2.95
26th = 2-4 for -1.59
25th = 4-1 for +3.28
24th = 1-0 for +1.46
23rd = 3-1 for +2.15
22nd = 2-0 for +2.05
______________________________

It's about time I get some of these go my way, down 4-2 with two outs in the 9th and come back to win. I'll take it. It pays to be on the right side of those suspect lines and crazy things tend go your way.

[FUqer]

Sunday Plays 9/3


¤ Twins -1 -116
¤ Rockies -1 +128
¤ Cardinals -112
¤ Red Sox -1 +105
__________________________

[FUqer]

I didn't really care for these line moves on my plays today. The Rockies were -102 when I took then and rose over 30 cents and the Twins were -146 and rose over 30 cents. It seems like those big swings haven't done too good this year. And on the other hand, the Red Sox have dropped about 15 cents. I had a lot of trends for the Twins though, I couldn't pass on them, given Kennedy's recent form.


Angels = 20-0 SU

Dodgers 33-0 SU
Padres = +23.7% 201-131, 6-0 L6

Twins = +29.0% 80-31, 15-5 L20
Twins = +19.9% 50-18, 7-0 L7
Twins = +10.3% 170-110
Twins = +9.9% 549-384

Rockies = +21.6% 48-19, 15-5 L20

Pirates = +10.3% 170-110

[FUqer]

Sunday Results 9/3

¤ Twins -1 -116
¤ Rockies -1 +128
¤ Cardinals -112
¤ Red Sox -1 +105
__________________________
Yesterday = 1-3 for -2.16
___________________________
Since All Star Break

ML = 70-65 for +9.20
(Dogs = 35-31)
(Favs = 35-34)

RL = 35-22 for +13.03

O/U = 30-38 for -10.91

(Overs = 18-14)
(Unders = 12-24)

Parlays = 3-7 for -1.01

Total = 138-132-12 +10.31
__________________________
Recent Results

3rd = 1-3 for -2.16
2nd = 1-0 for +1.04
1st = 4-0-1 for +4.21
31st = 4-0 for +4.22
30th = 2-4 for -2.22
29th = 1-0 for +1.13
28th = 2-1 for +1.04
27th = 4-1 for +2.95
26th = 2-4 for -1.59
25th = 4-1 for +3.28
24th = 1-0 for +1.46
23rd = 3-1 for +2.15
22nd = 2-0 for +2.05
______________________________
Day games have not been good to me lately, been trying to avoid them but it was Sunday.

I told you those big line moves on my plays were prolly gonna be the kiss of death. I like to beat the line by 15-20, not by 30-40, those haven't been doing so good, but you can't predict things like that with high accuracy and it's gonna happen when you make over night plays. Time to start a new winning streak. I was on a 11-0 run and 32-12 L44 run before today.

[FUqer]

Monday Plays 9/4

¤ Phillies +121
__________________________
I was all set to play the Orioles but there is pitching change from Montgomery to Garcia. I'm still considering it but it looks like the price will be the same.

There's also a few others I'm interested in but I'm going to see how the lines move because they are a bit square. The Rangers, Brewers and Angels and maybe the Blue Jays.

[FUqer]

Monday Plays 9/4

¤ Phillies +121

¤ Cardinals -1.5 +105
¤ Rays -1 +110
__________________________

2 Adds.

[FUqer]

Monday Results 9/4


¤ Phillies +121
¤ Cardinals -1.5 +105
¤ Rays -1 +110

__________________________
2-1 for +1.15
___________________________
Since All Star Break

ML = 70-66 for +8.20
(Dogs = 35-32)
(Favs = 35-34)

RL = 37-22 for +15.18

O/U = 30-38 for -10.91

(Overs = 18-14)
(Unders = 12-24)

Parlays = 3-7 for -1.01

Total = 140-133-12 +11.46
__________________________
Recent Results

4th = 2-1 for +1.15
3rd = 1-3 for -2.16
2nd = 1-0 for +1.04
1st = 4-0-1 for +4.21
31st = 4-0 for +4.22
30th = 2-4 for -2.22
29th = 1-0 for +1.13
28th = 2-1 for +1.04
27th = 4-1 for +2.95
26th = 2-4 for -1.59
25th = 4-1 for +3.28
24th = 1-0 for +1.46
23rd = 3-1 for +2.15
22nd = 2-0 for +2.05
______________________________

[FUqer]

Braves prolly top my list for today, but in no rush to lock in yet. I like the Cardinals again and the Rays somewhat, cept for Odorizzi has a 0-6 team record his last 6 starts, the Over is 7-0 in his last 7 Home starts and he has a team record of 1-3 vs the Twins. I also actually like a few totals today, seems like a good card, but it making it tough to keep my plays around 4 or 5. I'm most likely gonna monitor the lines throughout the day and see what happens.

It will be tough to pass on the D-Backs at plus money as hot as they are, I also got a nice SDQL trend against the Dodgers that's -26.4% ROI.

The Orioles have been tough vs lefties but cooled off yesterday a bit against one, I just don't care for Hellickson, and Sabathia has been pretty decent against them lately. I lean the Yanks, but just don't see enough to make the play yet.

Tigers been smacking Vargas around the last few times, scoring 10 runs the last two times he started. Could be a slug fest in that one with the Over being a nice option.

The Mets have beaten the Phillies all 10 times DeGrom has started against them, but Lively did give him a game earlier in a 2-1 pitching duel won by the Mets, so the Under may be a good play.

[FUqer]

Tuesday Plays 9/5

¤ Braves -1 +113
¤ Cardinals -1 -110
¤ D-Backs +113
__________________________

[FUqer]

Tuesday Plays 9/5

¤ Braves -1 +128
¤ Cardinals -1 -110
¤ D-Backs +113
__________________________

Pitching change for the Braves. I replayed it and adjusted the price.
___________________________


Nationals 16-0 SU

Pirates 0-14 SU

Mets 10-0 SU when Degrom starts vs the Phillies.

Blue Jays 17-1 RL

Braves = +37.6% 29-9 , 5-5 L10

Pirates = +27.7 80-32 , 6-4 L10
Pirates = +10.0 171-111, 4-6 L10

Marlins = +22.9% 78-58 , 6-4 L10

Mets = +11.5% 1025-619 , 7-3 L10

Twins = -57.2% 10-40 , 5-5 L10

Dodgers = -26.4% 40-64, 4-6 L10


Tigers 1-20 Under and 2-19 Under

[FUqer]

Tuesday Results 9/5


¤ Braves -1 +128
¤ Cardinals -1 -110
¤ D-Backs +113
__________________________
Yesterday = 2-0 for +2.13
___________________________
Since All Star Break

ML = 71-66 for +9.33
(Dogs = 36-32)
(Favs = 35-34)

RL = 38-22 for +16.18

O/U = 30-38 for -10.91
(Overs = 18-14)
(Unders = 12-24)

Parlays = 3-7 for -1.01

Total = 142-133-12 +13.59
__________________________
Recent Results

5th = 2-0 for +2.13
4th = 2-1 for +1.15
3rd = 1-3 for -2.16
2nd = 1-0 for +1.04
1st = 4-0-1 for +4.21
31st = 4-0 for +4.22
30th = 2-4 for -2.22
29th = 1-0 for +1.13
28th = 2-1 for +1.04
27th = 4-1 for +2.95
26th = 2-4 for -1.59
25th = 4-1 for +3.28
24th = 1-0 for +1.46
23rd = 3-1 for +2.15
22nd = 2-0 for +2.05

L15 Days = 35-16 (69%) for +20.84
P15 Days = 32-49 (40%) for -15.72
P15 Days = 48-37 (56%) for +11.86
______________________________

[FUqer]

Wednesday Plays 9/6


¤ Reds RL +130
¤ Rays RL +125
__________________________

I might play the Marlins and the Under and the Giants and the Under in the Cardinals game later. Small leans on the D-Backs, Pirates and Angels. Even smaller leans on the Phillies, Rangers game #1, Braves game #2, Cardinals, and Orioles.

[FUqer]

Wednesday Plays 9/6


¤ Reds RL +130
¤ Rays RL +125

¤ Padres -1 +114
__________________________

Added Padres.

[FUqer]

Wednesday Results 9/6
¤ Reds RL +130
¤ Rays RL +125
¤ Padres -1 +114
__________________________
Yesterday = 1-2 for -0.70
___________________________
Since All Star Break

ML = 71-66 for +9.33

(Dogs = 36-32)
(Favs = 35-34)

RL = 39-24 for +15.48

O/U = 30-38 for -10.91

(Overs = 18-14)
(Unders = 12-24)

Parlays = 3-7 for -1.01

Total = 143-135-12 +12.89
__________________________
Recent Results

6th = 1-2 for -0.70
5th = 2-0 for +2.13
4th = 2-1 for +1.15
3rd = 1-3 for -2.16
2nd = 1-0 for +1.04
1st = 4-0-1 for +4.21
31st = 4-0 for +4.22
30th = 2-4 for -2.22
29th = 1-0 for +1.13
28th = 2-1 for +1.04
27th = 4-1 for +2.95
26th = 2-4 for -1.59
25th = 4-1 for +3.28
24th = 1-0 for +1.46
23rd = 3-1 for +2.15
22nd = 2-0 for +2.05
______________________________

I didn't lose much tonight, but it still bugged the hell out of me. I kicked myself for not playing the Giants and If I wouldn't of been so hesitant to play Unders, I woulda been good. I got back to over thinking things a bit too much today.

[FUqer]

Tomorrow is looking like a pass.

[FUqer]

Friday Plays 9/8

¤ Braves +103
¤ Red Sox -1 +106

¤ Rays/Red Sox Over 9 +110
¤ Giants/White Sox Under 9 -108
__________________________

[FUqer]

Line is telling me Reds and the Under, but not touching it.

[FUqer]

Dodgers 18-0 SU as a 140-plus favorite after a five-plus run loss as a home favorite.

Dodgers +30.6% 40-7, 7-3 L10

Dodgers +24.7% 110-42, 7-3 L10

[FUqer]

Friday Results 9/8

¤ Braves +103
¤ Red Sox -1 +106

¤ Rays/Red Sox Over 9 +110
¤ Giants/White Sox Under 9 -108
__________________________
Yesterday = 2-2 for +0.08
___________________________
Since All Star Break

ML = 71-67 for +8.33

(Dogs = 36-33)
(Favs = 35-34)

RL = 40-24 for +16.54

O/U = 31-39 for -10.89

(Overs = 19-14)
(Unders = 12-25)

Parlays = 3-7 for -1.01

Total = 145-137-12 +12.97
__________________________
Recent Results

8th = 2-2 for +0.08
6th = 1-2 for -0.70
5th = 2-0 for +2.13
4th = 2-1 for +1.15
3rd = 1-3 for -2.16
2nd = 1-0 for +1.04
1st = 4-0-1 for +4.21
31st = 4-0 for +4.22
30th = 2-4 for -2.22
29th = 1-0 for +1.13
28th = 2-1 for +1.04
27th = 4-1 for +2.95
26th = 2-4 for -1.59
25th = 4-1 for +3.28
24th = 1-0 for +1.46
23rd = 3-1 for +2.15
22nd = 2-0 for +2.05
______________________________

[FUqer]

Sunday Plays 9/10

¤ Red Sox -1 -111
__________________________
Padres 0-12 SU

Red Sox +28.6% 81-32
Red Sox +18.2% 50-19
Red Sox +10.4% 172-111
Red Sox +7.3% 107-62

Mariners +24.1% 202-131, 7-0 L7
Yankees +8.9% 247-151

[FUqer]

Sunday Results 9/10

¤ Red Sox -1 -111
__________________________
Yesterday = 0-1 for -1.11
___________________________
Since All Star Break

ML = 71-67 for +8.33
(Dogs = 36-33)
(Favs = 35-34)

RL = 40-25 for +15.43

O/U = 31-39 for -10.89
(Overs = 19-14)
(Unders = 12-25)

Parlays = 3-7 for -1.01

Total = 145-138-12 +11.86
__________________________
Recent Results

9th = 0-1 for -1.11
8th = 2-2 for +0.08
6th = 1-2 for -0.70
5th = 2-0 for +2.13
4th = 2-1 for +1.15
3rd = 1-3 for -2.16
2nd = 1-0 for +1.04
1st = 4-0-1 for +4.21
31st = 4-0 for +4.22
30th = 2-4 for -2.22
29th = 1-0 for +1.13
28th = 2-1 for +1.04
27th = 4-1 for +2.95
26th = 2-4 for -1.59
25th = 4-1 for +3.28
24th = 1-0 for +1.46
23rd = 3-1 for +2.15
22nd = 2-0 for +2.05
______________________________

[FUqer]

Monday Plays 9/11

¤ Dodgers/Giants Under 8 +100
__________________________
I hate Unders but if I feel it's the best play or the only play, then I'm not gonna pass on it.

Dodgers/Giants Under +26.3% ROI 470-232-37, 11-2-1 L14

[FUqer]

Monday Results 9/11

¤ Dodgers/Giants Under 8 +100
__________________________
Yesterday = 0-1 for -1.00
___________________________
Since All Star Break

ML = 71-67 for +8.33

(Dogs = 36-33)
(Favs = 35-34)

RL = 40-25 for +15.43

O/U = 31-40 for -11.89

(Overs = 19-14)
(Unders = 12-26)

Parlays = 3-7 for -1.01

Total = 145-139-12 +10.86
__________________________
Recent Results

10th = 0-1 for -1.00
9th = 0-1 for -1.11
8th = 2-2 for +0.08
6th = 1-2 for -0.70
5th = 2-0 for +2.13
4th = 2-1 for +1.15
3rd = 1-3 for -2.16
2nd = 1-0 for +1.04
1st = 4-0-1 for +4.21
31st = 4-0 for +4.22
30th = 2-4 for -2.22
29th = 1-0 for +1.13
28th = 2-1 for +1.04
27th = 4-1 for +2.95
26th = 2-4 for -1.59
25th = 4-1 for +3.28
24th = 1-0 for +1.46
23rd = 3-1 for +2.15
22nd = 2-0 for +2.05
______________________________