Todays Action, 2009 M.L.B. Thread

TodaysAction · 09-08-09, 10:55 PM

Originally posted by Renagade

Yes, that would be correct.

I haven't placed any wagers since February of '08 when I was doing NBA and NCAA basketball. I'm just getting back into the game now. Tomorrow will most likely be my first bet.

Ok, that makes sense.

with Wednesday's action.

Renagade · 09-08-09, 11:03 PM

ODA Padres 2 @ Giants 3 | 0 outs, Bot 6

VegasPlayer · 09-08-09, 11:05 PM

Looks like an overall good night for all so far.
Woke up in time to see the snakes bullpen using the Tampa Bay method of closing games. Too bad, looks like Buckner pitched well.

oda11 · 09-09-09, 12:22 AM

lol, You guys know how my night ended up with that whole Giants pitching change situation.

That was some expensive lesson. Glad everyone had a good night though.

TodaysAction · 09-09-09, 12:30 AM

6-3 on the night but -14.15 units. Like the first part of the statement but not the ending. At least three diamond selections/plays/wagers/your term for today (Wednesday).

oda11 · 09-09-09, 12:36 AM

This makes me feel worse than losing 50 units. On the other hand, losing about 26 units on the Giants may save me a lot more than that in the future. LESSON LEARNED.

therber2 · 09-09-09, 01:05 AM

Originally posted by therber2

Yankees + Dodgers + Rockies +253 (.5 unit)
Texas GM1 -128 (6 units)
Atlanta -145 (5 units)
Dodgers -150 (2 units)

4-0 +14.265

Yyyyeeeaahhh!

t4_ever · 09-09-09, 01:09 AM

Welldone Therber2

Bad day happen TA

dont worry.. i believe u will Wins 2morow

For me -->> LAA win 10 units

TodaysAction · 09-09-09, 01:17 AM

Originally posted by therber2

4-0 +14.265

Yyyyeeeaahhh!

Congrats on a solid day!

TodaysAction · 09-09-09, 01:19 AM

Originally posted by t4_ever

Welldone Therber2

Bad day happen TA

dont worry.. i believe u will Wins 2morow

For me -->> LAA win 10 units

Thanks t4_ever.

At least three for here for Wednesday.

Congrats on another 10-banger!

ankh4all2 · 09-09-09, 01:22 AM

Good Night To All!!

therber2 · 09-09-09, 01:40 AM

Originally posted by t4_ever

Welldone Therber2

Bad day happen TA

dont worry.. i believe u will Wins 2morow

For me -->> LAA win 10 units

Originally posted by TodaysAction

Congrats on a solid day!

Thank you sirs. And

t4 You don't bang it often but when you do it seems to be cashing my man. I'd like to see a bit more of your thinking around here, and there

Nastrovje · 09-09-09, 02:14 AM

Originally posted by Nastrovje

CHC 1.58 to win 1.5
DET 2.34 to win 1.5
HOU 1.07 to win 1.5
LAD 2.63 to win 1.5

Originally posted by Nastrovje

adding

BOS 3.41 to win 1.5

e/ final bet

also followed the TEX - CLE ov 9 to win 1.5

yesterday: 5-2 +4.09 Units (+ $ 409)

ytd: 12-4 +7.75 Units

VegasPlayer · 09-09-09, 06:48 AM

Results 9/8/09

BOS -230 1 Units
ATL -140 2 Units
DET -160 1 Unit
CWS RL +130 1 Units
COL -240 1 Units
PHI -140 1.0 Units

4-2-0 +2.4 Units

Not a bad day. Looks like everyone else did pretty well last night also. Congrats to all. Let's get em today TA!

TodaysAction · 09-09-09, 06:52 AM

Originally posted by Nastrovje

also followed the TEX - CLE ov 9 to win 1.5

yesterday: 5-2 +4.09 Units (+ $ 409)

ytd: 12-4 +7.75 Units

Belated welcome Nastrovje,

Nice results yesterday.

YTD is very strong too.

Continued success to you.

TodaysAction · 09-09-09, 06:55 AM

Originally posted by VegasPlayer

BOS -230 1 Units
ATL -140 2 Units
DET -160 1 Unit
CWS RL +130 1 Units
COL -240 1 Units
PHI -140 1.0 Units

4-2-0 +2.4 Units

Not a bad day. Looks like everyone else did pretty well last night also. Congrats to all. Let's get em today TA!

Good morning VegasPlayer,

Nice job last night.

with your card today.

TodaysAction · 09-09-09, 06:58 AM

Have 11 for the day from the diamond. Will start listing them later this morning after coming back from breakfast. 1st action, 12:05 game.

therber2 · 09-09-09, 08:40 AM

Originally posted by TodaysAction

Have 11 for the day from the diamond. Will start listing them later this morning after coming back from breakfast. 1st action, 12:05 game.

Tough call on this one. I'm thinking the Indians could take it. Better value there I'd say. Rangers will probably score first with Feldman in and hot bats. Laying off though. Let's see what you've got TA.

VegasPlayer · 09-09-09, 09:23 AM

Leans 9/9/09

Playing wait & see on the early games

PHI RL -120 1 Unit
TOR RL +105 1 Unit
BOS RL -110 1 Unit
Houston RL +170 1 Unit
DET ML -185 2 Units
CWS ML -133 2 Units
AZ ML -123 2 Units

Chasing DET, CWS, AZ

Roots416 · 09-09-09, 09:34 AM

Early game thought... TEX @CLE, I was just looking over this game and Feldman (TEX) is 8-0 in his last 8 starts away as well as 12-2 away for the season. He leads the AL in Win% with .789 ... He may not be able to put it together at home, but when he's on the road he plays real strong.

Match that with the way the Ranger bats are rocking, I think they are really pumped to be putting themselves back in the hunt, todays win would be just the icing on the cake. Having said all that, I've got to go:

TEX @CLE : TEX -145 3.5u

$KARMA$ · 09-09-09, 09:45 AM

Originally posted by therber2

Tough call on this one. I'm thinking the Indians could take it. Better value there I'd say. Rangers will probably score first with Feldman in and hot bats. Laying off though. Let's see what you've got TA.

Boss leaves - time to post.

I have this Tribe feeling as well... here's an interesting stat about 12:05 games with the Tribe.

This start in Cleveland has occurred five (5) times this season and has produced the following results:

KC vs. Tribe = Tribe/Under
CWS vs. Tribe = Tribe/Under
TB vs. Tribe = Tribe/Under
Minn vs. Tribe = Tribe/Under
Tex vs. Tribe = Rangers/Under
Today - Tex vs.Tribe = ? / ?

Makes you think.

$KARMA$ · 09-09-09, 09:52 AM

Vegas, where are you getting the Jays RL @ +130?

VegasPlayer · 09-09-09, 09:55 AM

My bad. Looked at Yanks by mistake. Should be +105. I will fix. Thanks and Good Morning.

$KARMA$ · 09-09-09, 10:00 AM

Originally posted by Roots416

Early game thought... TEX @CLE, I was just looking over this game and Feldman (TEX) is 8-0 in his last 8 starts away as well as 12-2 away for the season. He leads the AL in Win% with .789 ... He may not be able to put it together at home, but when he's on the road he plays real strong. Match that with the way the Ranger bats are rocking, I think they are really pumped to be putting themselves back in the hunt, todays win would be just the icing on the cake. Having said all that, I've got to go: TEX @CLE : TEX -145 3.5u

I know the stats there look great, but if you look closely there's a lot of luck involved,IMO. Not saying he's a bad pitcher... just that people in general are overvaluing him. That perfect record and road record, is mostly based on the fact his team gave him runs when needed. On the opposite end you have a pitcher that everyone hates, but since getting back into MLB he's been as great at home. Look at his last 5 home starts.

$KARMA$ · 09-09-09, 10:09 AM

Originally posted by VegasPlayer

My bad. Looked at Yanks by mistake. Should be +105. I will fix. Thanks and Good Morning.

Good morning, Sir.

No worries Vegas, I wasn't trying to call you out. I just wanted to know where I was missing this smoking deal.

I'm still looking at this game, will post my thoughts soon. Doc and Jays are in turmoil right now, so you don't know what you gonna get, but the good news is that Doc says he found his slider.

VegasPlayer · 09-09-09, 10:13 AM

Yea, 1 hitting the Yanks aint chopped liver.

oda11 · 09-09-09, 10:15 AM

Good morning everyone,

I am feeling a little experiential today

Debating if I should just put 1 unit on every dog except Cubs, Dbacks, Giants, Phillies, and Rangers.

VegasPlayer · 09-09-09, 10:20 AM

I'd stay off the Rays & the Braves too. I'm still smarting from those AAA wannabes.

Roots416 · 09-09-09, 10:21 AM

Originally posted by $KARMA$

I know the stats there look great, but if you look closely there's a lot of luck involved,IMO. Not saying he's a bad pitcher... just that people in general are overvaluing him. That perfect record and road record, is mostly based on the fact his team gave him runs when needed. On the opposite end you have a pitcher that everyone hates, but since getting back into MLB he's been as great at home. Look at his last 5 home starts.

I see where you are coming from, but I don't attribute 1 ER in the last 3 starts away as really luck, I'm more impressed by the 7 IP in TB with 0 ER. I really see him giving 7IP of strong ball him allowing no more than 2-3 runs. I'm willing to bet on the Rangers bats taking care of the rest. I honestly don't give Carmona much respect either, guess we'll see in about an hour!

$KARMA$ · 09-09-09, 10:21 AM

Originally posted by oda11

Good morning everyone, I am feeling a little experiential today

Debating if I should just put 1 unit on every dog except Cubs, Giants, Phillies, and Rangers.

ODA...my man! My heart sank for you when I saw that Giants score this morning. It was still 3-2 when I fell asleep. New day, right? Let's clean up today.

$KARMA$ · 09-09-09, 10:25 AM

Originally posted by Roots416

I see where you are coming from, but I don't attribute 1 ER in the last 3 starts away as really luck, I'm more impressed by the 7 IP in TB with 0 ER. I really see him giving 7IP of strong ball him allowing no more than 2-3 runs. I'm willing to bet on the Rangers bats taking care of the rest. I honestly don't give Carmona much respect either, guess we'll see in about an hour!

I understand why you see the value and I don't blame you. Good luck today.. I am still undecided. Under is starting to look good.

therber2 · 09-09-09, 10:25 AM

Originally posted by $KARMA$

Boss leaves - time to post.

I have this Tribe feeling as well... here's an interesting stat about 12:05 games with the Tribe.

This start in Cleveland has occurred five (5) times this season and has produced the following results:

KC vs. Tribe = Tribe/Under
CWS vs. Tribe = Tribe/Under
TB vs. Tribe = Tribe/Under
Minn vs. Tribe = Tribe/Under
Tex vs. Tribe = Rangers/Under
Today - Tex vs.Tribe = ? / ?

Makes you think.

Really interesting thought there Karma. Another question is whether or not there was some player factor for the team due to either an upset or revenge. I think many of us have thought the same thing: does day game or night game affect a specific team's performance? I'd try correlate the above though with home/away and upset or streak, etc.

Could I ask you what resource(s) you used to find the results above? It is always a pain for me to figure out what time a previous game was.

oda11 · 09-09-09, 10:28 AM

Originally posted by $KARMA$

ODA...my man! My heart sank for you when I saw that Giants score this morning. It was still 3-2 when I fell asleep. New day, right? Let's clean up today.

Thank you, trust me, my jaw dropped, my heart sank, and my eyeballs popped last night. Today is a new day. I am trying to just pick 3 games I like the most and pound it. Mostly looking at Cubs, Phillies, and you-broke-my-heart Giants. Still want to do my dog experiment of course.

Good luck today.

therber2 · 09-09-09, 10:30 AM

Originally posted by $KARMA$

I know the stats there look great, but if you look closely there's a lot of luck involved,IMO. Not saying he's a bad pitcher... just that people in general are overvaluing him. That perfect record and road record, is mostly based on the fact his team gave him runs when needed. On the opposite end you have a pitcher that everyone hates, but since getting back into MLB he's been as great at home. Look at his last 5 home starts.

Another thought there that I agree with. Most of the time I try to take advantage of a line jacked up with an overrated pitcher in. Not saying Feldman is overrated in this case; however, I'd put the Indians long term abilities, line value, and verge of getting swept into account here for the lean. Look at any recent stats, and the Rangers are out performing the Indians. So coin toss for me. Waiting on TA's thoughts here.

therber2 · 09-09-09, 10:33 AM

Originally posted by oda11

Good morning everyone,

I am feeling a little experiential today

Debating if I should just put 1 unit on every dog except Cubs, Dbacks, Giants, Phillies, and Rangers.

May not be the worst plan I've ever heard of, but what are the grounds oda. I would wager that you might come out on top, but I wouldn't recommend this. GL