Big money down the tube... Sad to see such a well structured system undergoing these type of times. I have full faith in you TDK. Your intelligence brought this far. Evaluate and regroup. Lets get em tomorrow. I am ready.
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Anyone following the system know how bad the damage is going to be? +38 going in and we lost a 53 unit bet tonight... so somewhere in the neighborhood of 60-70 for the year?
TDK, may be interested in seeing where the system was last year so you can reasonably figure out if positive units is something your system is capable of at this point. That is, let's say the system was +100 last year at this time and finished out at +250 that means your system would reasonably expect +150 from here on out.Comment -
Plays for Sunday might be late... It's 4am west coast time, I'm pretty damn drunk and I'm not even home yet. Sorry.
Will update and post when I can. Sorry againComment -
No bullshit. Between the few systems we all are aware of, I've lost 97 units in the past week and a half. The angels bet was the biggest single loss in my life.Comment -
I'm on the same boat as you dog. I've just endured black Saturday. Largest single bet loss and largest single day loss in my betting history.Comment -
And so we thought the line of -250 in the last 2 Angels game is ridiculous??
We have 2 game 3s on them fuking Angels today at -270
They should change their name to Devils instead.Comment -
Plays for 6/2/13
Running late. Recap to follow
4 game chase play:
#199: Angels -270 (3259/1207) for Game 3
#201: Phillies -178 (1901/1068) for Game 3
#205: Mets -200 (1696/848) for Game 3
#211: Reds -125 (125/100) for Game 1
#212: White Sox -105 (105/100) for Game 1
#213: Mets -200 (200/100) for Game 1
#214: Phillies -178 (178/100) for Game 1
#215: Mariners +1.5 -160 (160/100) for Game 1
#216: Mets -200 (200/100) for Game 1
#217: Phillies -178 (178/100) for Game 1
Series Chase Plays:
#53: Angels -270 (3259/1207) for Game 3
#55: Pirates +110 (454/499) for Game 3Comment -
Christ I can't believe I just made those bets.Comment -
Recap of 6/1/13
4 game chase play:
#185: Angels -238 (5403/2270) for Game 4 Loser (-9073 + 1500 that were transferred and won = -7573)
#205: Mets -110 (444/404) for Game 2 Loser
#196: Dbacks +1.5 -170 (476/280) for Game 2 Winner
#197: Tigers -133 (314/236) for Game 2 Winner
#198: Tigers -133 (314/236) for Game 2 Winner
#199: Angels -238 (850/357) for Game 2 Loser
#201: Phillies -122 (587/481) for Game 2 Loser
#204: Indians -130 (338/260) for Game 2 Winner
#207: Tigers -133 (798/600) for Game 1 [6u] Winner
#208: Rockies -128 (768/600) for Game 1 [6u] Winner
#209: Rockies -128 (128/100) for Game 1 Winner
#210: Braves -138 (828/600) for Game 1 [6u] Winner
Notes:
If we didn't transfer those units and played it like a real Game 4, it would have lost -126 units which is ridiculous.The biggest loss in the history of the systems since I've been tracking was -80 units, so this topped it and it wasn't even close. Fortunately, the series chase plays are going strong so we're still in the black for the year. Going forward, I'll keep an eye on these ridiculously huge chalk chases and may possibly play them on the RL. That will be on a case by case scenario though but honestly, who the fuk thought the Astros were capable of winning 4 straight? It was on the road nontheless. It was a horrible and tough luck loss but no excuses, a loss is a loss and I man up to them as such. Time to move on.
YTD: 194-5 -2944
Game 1: 125 (#181 pending)
Game 2: 47 (#176, #177, #178, #183, #191 pending)
Game 3: 15 (#186, #199, #201, #205 pending)
Game 4: 7 (#146 pending)
Losses: 5
Series Chase Plays:
#53: Angels -238 (850/357) for Game 2 Loser
#54: Dbacks +121 (200/242) for Game 2 Winner
#55: Pirates -132 (284/215) for Game 2 Loser
#57: Braves -138 (287/208) for Game 2 Winner
#59: Rockies -128 (256/200) for Game 2 Winner
#51: Cardinals -150 (150/100) for Game 1 Winner
#58: Cardinals -150 (150/100) for Game 1 Winner
YTD: 55-1 +5453
Game 1: 42 (#44 pending)
Game 2: 10
Game 3: 3 (#53, #55 pending)
Losses: 1
Comment -
If the shitty Angels lose again tonight (to a lesser degree: NYM & PHI as well) I have to seriously contemplate on calling it a season. I really believe and enjoy playing this system but at that juncture it's extremely likely we'll not make it back into the black and there's no way I'm gonna make 3 potential game 4 bets tomorrow. So today is the day boys. GL to myself and everyone else.
Just as I type Mets are down 0-3 already. What have I done to piss off the gambling gods
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gl tdk im on them tooComment -
there is only oneIf the shitty Angels lose again tonight (to a lesser degree: NYM & PHI as well) I have to seriously contemplate on calling it a season. I really believe and enjoy playing this system but at that juncture it's extremely likely we'll not make it back into the black and there's no way I'm gonna make 3 potential game 4 bets tomorrow. So today is the day boys. GL to myself and everyone else.
Just as I type Mets are down 0-3 already. What have I done to piss off the gambling godsComment -
Same. If angels lose today with their ace on mound I am done. Gl all.
I would parley angels with heat game 7 to avoid a big loss.
We all know the heat are gonna win game 7 whether they play well or not.Comment -
great system you run here tdk.
from my point of view,we don't need these ridiculously huge chalk chases..
let's skip them in the first place..
that's what i do..
just a suggestion..
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Sadly, Miami and Houston are so awful that 4-5 game win streaks were bound to really really hurt. May just need to remove them from systems as there was no teams last year so bad that they were routinely getting -200 EVERY game.
That said, while there have been many suggestions for system altering we don't seem to be doing much (personally, I just cherry pick my favorites from the system so I don't have as much of a stake in it as you guys. I'm 51-0 on the year. Maybe I should post the ones I'm on. :PComment -
Are you effing kidding me, Houston is winning again and LAA can't score to save their lives.... What are the odds of the 2 absolute worst teams in the MLB winning a combined 8 of 8 games when we have heavy chases on them, seriously we have the most putrid luck imaginableComment -
3 innings could determine this entire chase system... sighComment -
How the penetrate can't the angels score more than 2 runs with this offense...
Bunch of mentally weak players think that things get handed to them. I am officially off the band wagon if they lose.Comment -
Honestly, this is a historically bad run of bad luck. When does a team that probably won't finish with more than 25 road wins win 5 in the row on the road as over -200 underdogs......Comment -
Oh and I am not sure if the talk has stopped yet or not but Albert Pujols is not even close to one of the greatest hitters of all time.Comment -
Come on you overpaid mfersComment -
Devastating.. Not going to have enough in my 'roll to do the 2 game 4s on LAA tomorrow (if they're plays), hope TDK rigs something up and distributes the units over some smaller chases again. Some damn bad luck boys, oh well let's hope for some good streaks nowComment -
on monday what will the chase play be this time 1.000.000 there is no easy moneyComment -
Yes there is. Miami heat ML game 7Comment -
Been following this thread all year cheering for your guys success. Didn't do all of the chases, just the ones I liked (taking into account current team, team after, juice acceptable). I'll be sorry to see some of you guys jump off. Best of luck moving forward.Comment -
I think most people lost their ass this weekend with the Marlins and Astros winning, killed several parlays and a few RLs bets for myself...I was up 27 units going into Sunday...(My local ends his week on Sunday and starts on Monday) I went from being up 27 units to being down -11 units. Mostly due to the fish and the stros....What a shitty shitty shitty week. My worst ever....But hey there is always a new week starting tomorrow!Comment -
For all that are doing the chase... Parlay every chase bet with the Miami Heat M/L tomorrow. If you know anything about the NBA, the Heat will win this game.
You're all very welcome.Comment -
Totally agree. No way the NBA lets Miami lose this game. Who they wants to see Spurs vs Pacers- NBA finals. AAAAHHHHH No one.
What happened to TDK? Did we miss some chases today. I checked Tumblr and here, and there was nothing. After that f-ing horrible showing last week, maybe it was a good day to just relax and regroup for next week.
I am still with ya TDK. Don't let me down, and stop getting drunk so late that you can't post the plays for the early games. Come on now.
Also saw that he mentioned west coast time. TDK what state???? I live in AZ and hate this 3 hr difference BS when it comes to betting.Comment -
Last week at this time my BR from the 2 books I use totaled around 7.2K. After tonight it has dwindled down to 2.6k.
I had plans on using 3/4 of that money to put forth on a downpayment for a new car. That plan is now shelved.
This was single-handedly caused by the two worst teams in baseball the last couple years...the Astros and Marlins
and the pathetically overpaid underachieving bunch of useless Angels. I hope these 3 teams have losing seasons the next 20 years.
The Angels were also involved in two other 4-game losses in Stifler's system.
I play $20/unit except for the 3-game chases in which I play only $10/unit.
Chase #185
1.45 -44
1.41 -129.60
1.40 -459
1.42 -1,285.97
Total: -1,918.57
Chase #199
1.40 -50
1.40 -150
1.39 -539.70
Game 4: Pending
Total: -739.70
Chase #205
1.64 -31
1.94 -43.47
1.57 -150.18
Game 4: Pending
Total: -224.65
Chase #53 (Game 1 $10/unit)
1.40 -25
1.40 -87.50
1.37 -330.77
Total: -443.27
Stifler HOU fade
1.43 -46
1.43 -128.80
1.65 -284.30
1.82 -578
Total: -1,037.10
As you can see just these 3 lowly teams has completely destroyed this system over the weekend with it's ridiculously inflated juice.
-4,363.29 flushed down the toilet. That's 436 units and that's no bull!!
I have to emotionally start over. At this point I really don't see myself returning to the black so I am going to cash out everything I have left and start with 1K again. I still believe in this system but I do have to say it will require additional filters or parameters to reduce the number of plays and plays with high juice. That being said I commend TDK for his hard work he's being doing with his systems.
As an added filter I am not going to follow and chase any team that is under .500 (overall/home/road) and I will not chase any team with juice heavier than (-200) in game 1. I don't know about you guys but I am not going to play the two pending game 4s even if it's parlayed with some other team...the Angels are just garbage. However I will continue to chase-out the other pending plays.
GL all...I'm out.
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are you guys insane? laying all that juice on two terrible teams where the difference between them and the team you're fading is really not that huge? holy geez...sometimes you gotta abandon a system to save your a$$ from the loan sharks.Comment -
I couldn't agree more. Sometimes we just have to use what God gave us. No insult intended.
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good morning my brother's . I live in AZ I love the 3 hour's DIFF time zone. during football season I go to vegas every weekend for football. I can tell you this believe me or not there is no system 100 percent fact. what TDK is doing is a lot of hard work. and he is doing a great job and putting in a lot of time. trying to find the best system there is but guy's I will say this one time there is no system . if there was all of the wise guy's would have found one by now this had to happen because sooner or later bad team's will sweep the good team's. guy's it's gambling 99.99999 percent of gamblers will lose. 100 percent fact there is only a few gamblers in the world that can make a living betting on sports. the chase what would it be today 1.000.000 gl with your betsComment
