Multiple MLB Chase Systems (+250 units in 2012)

Mr. Green · 06-05-13, 11:02 AM

Good luck today...let's get these!

chound · 06-05-13, 11:10 AM

Just my $.02 but you should continue posting them all. Other than the Angels you've done a great job. if you've tracked this for years and it's done well throughout trust the system.

Wallco99 · 06-05-13, 11:11 AM

Originally posted by TheDarkKnight01

I’m going to continue posting plays for the 4 game chases until all the pending chases are cleared out. I’m putting the rest on hold for now and will monitor them since they’ve gone ice cold. I will continue to post the series chases though, besides that one huge loss from the stupid Angels it’s done pretty well. I'm truly sorry for how things have turned out the past week or so...

I think you should continue posting and let people decide for themselves whether or not to play them. You can't cripple everyone then stop posting for those who still wish to continue. I had one terrible season with my MLB Plu$$ system, but I posted it til the end even though it was bombing out, I owed it to those who followed along and lost to that point. If you choose to stop posting, at least share the criteria with those who have lost all their money. Just quitting is a coward's way out, and last I heard, Batman wasn't a coward.

TheDarkKnight01 · 06-05-13, 11:37 AM

Alright, here are the additional plays for today:

4 game chase play:
#212: Cardinals -130 for Game 1
#213: A's -130 for Game 1
#214: Rangers +111 for Game 1

Nicksweger42 · 06-05-13, 11:38 AM

New to these chase systems, so sorry if this is stupid question, but what's the difference between the series and 4-game chases and why is there 2 plays on Cardinals?

michst715 · 06-05-13, 12:29 PM

Suggestion

Been following your picks from the beginning man. I know a rough patch is destined to happen with these systems, but if I could suggest something, just hear it out. I've noticed in the 4 game chases, a little over 88 percent of the chases are won and closed within the first 2 games. This is where I've made my own choice to end the chases based on my bankroll and baseball knowledge. It's limited my losses by a lot and has kept my bankroll in tact. Game 1 winning percentage is around 63 percent with the Game 2 percentage at about 62 percent. That's also factored into my decision to stop mainly after 2 games with this system with a huge dropoff at Games 3 and 4. Just a suggestion for everyone freaking out about this recent bad stretch, it happens. The series chase has been a lot better so I stay with that one all the way through. Stick with it Knight, you've done a hell of a job so far putting in all this work.

skyscrapers · 06-05-13, 12:41 PM

Although it's unlikely we'll make it back to profitability, please continue posting until the end and let the system play out. At the end we can then gather all the data and evaluate the season...tweak it a bit and get ready for MLB 2014.

samrock67 · 06-05-13, 12:48 PM

Originally posted by michst715

Been following your picks from the beginning man. I know a rough patch is destined to happen with these systems, but if I could suggest something, just hear it out. I've noticed in the 4 game chases, a little over 88 percent of the chases are won and closed within the first 2 games. This is where I've made my own choice to end the chases based on my bankroll and baseball knowledge. It's limited my losses by a lot and has kept my bankroll in tact. Game 1 winning percentage is around 63 percent with the Game 2 percentage at about 62 percent. That's also factored into my decision to stop mainly after 2 games with this system with a huge dropoff at Games 3 and 4. Just a suggestion for everyone freaking out about this recent bad stretch, it happens. The series chase has been a lot better so I stay with that one all the way through. Stick with it Knight, you've done a hell of a job so far putting in all this work.

I want to echo this sentiment as well. It is only natural for people to blame you when they get frustrated because of a string of bad luck(or in this case, extremely bad luck). People tend to forget that there are no guarantees in the world of sports betting and the only person to blame at the end of the day is yourself.

What you've done here is truly amazing...the numbers you've posted are astronomically good and I commend you for the work and effort that you have put in- it's truly been a joy to follow this thread from the beginning of the year. I apologize for those people who have been blaming you for something that is completely our of your hand.

As for my recommendation- much like michst715 said, I ran the numbers a couple of weeks ago and I believe 90-95% of your series have cashed within the first 3 games...It's definitely something to consider going forward, because in the case of series with really high juice, that 4th game can cost upwards of 20 units. At 3 straight bets on -200, you would lose 26 units of you lose all 3 games. I think looking into 2-team parlays to help reduce juice is a nice way to be flexible within the confines of this system.

Whatever you decide going forward, I just wanted to thank you for the work that you've put in here. It's really been fun following you and I wish you the best of luck with whatever you decide to do.

skyscrapers · 06-05-13, 12:52 PM

By the way just to avoid confusion the numbering I believe should be #222, 223 & 224.

chound · 06-05-13, 12:55 PM

I think it's definately possible to make all your money back and profit at this point....we're 4 weeks from the halfway point and continue adding a few extra units on stronger plays as you have in the past and it's not impossible.

Want2Win · 06-05-13, 01:54 PM

Originally posted by samrock67

I want to echo this sentiment as well. It is only natural for people to blame you when they get frustrated because of a string of bad luck(or in this case, extremely bad luck). People tend to forget that there are no guarantees in the world of sports betting and the only person to blame at the end of the day is yourself.

What you've done here is truly amazing...the numbers you've posted are astronomically good and I commend you for the work and effort that you have put in- it's truly been a joy to follow this thread from the beginning of the year. I apologize for those people who have been blaming you for something that is completely our of your hand.

As for my recommendation- much like michst715 said, I ran the numbers a couple of weeks ago and I believe 90-95% of your series have cashed within the first 3 games...It's definitely something to consider going forward, because in the case of series with really high juice, that 4th game can cost upwards of 20 units. At 3 straight bets on -200, you would lose 26 units of you lose all 3 games. I think looking into 2-team parlays to help reduce juice is a nice way to be flexible within the confines of this system.

Whatever you decide going forward, I just wanted to thank you for the work that you've put in here. It's really been fun following you and I wish you the best of luck with whatever you decide to do.

I echo Sam. Don't let a few bad comments influence your thoughts TDK. I have been following you and yes last week sucked, but that is going to happen. Lok at the posters and judge for yourself. Some just started with SBR and are probably new to gambling and looking for "get rich quick". Not going to happen, in fact anyone can have a bad year.

So for my $.2 keep posting because most of us respect what you are doing and understand the bad week. I know that you must feel terrible that we that are following you have lost money, but remember that YOU didn't tell anyone to follow you. We are all big boys and girls.

Keep up the good work!

Mr. Green · 06-05-13, 02:03 PM

Please keep posting. The Angels killed a lot of people/chases. However, they have been good otherwise. There is still time to mitigate the loss for the rest of the season

Thanks Darknight

hoescj01 · 06-05-13, 02:26 PM

I also agree with those who believe you should continue, DK. I appreciate all your effort. There's a lot of work that goes into consistently posting on a daily basis and you have done it.

kcava · 06-05-13, 03:55 PM

TDK, We could always switch over to Samrocks -1.5 RL system with your assistance if you kind of just want to put this one away for 2013. This way, you put the plays for the -1.5 which will allow those that want to keep at this system keep playing it.

Samrocks has been +225 units since the start of the season and might be the best chance everyone has to win some of the juice they lost in this thread.

808bases · 06-05-13, 09:49 PM

Hang in there TDK, this kind of stuff happens

9nickel · 06-06-13, 10:25 AM

good suggestion kcava

please continue to post TDK
your systems are a valuable tool

i made a lot of money with the 3 game series

thank you

TheDarkKnight01 · 06-06-13, 10:48 AM

Recap of 6/5/13

4 game chase play:
#212: White Sox +1.5 -145 (1618/1116) for Game 4 Winner
#183: Royals -135 (701/519) for Game 3 Winner
#220: Royals -135 (319/236) for Game 2 Winner
#221: White Sox +1.5 -145 (384/265) for Game 2 Winner
#186: Nationals -145 (4935/3403) for Game 4 Loser (-8238. This should have been a winner if stupid me didn't take the -1.5 on Game 3)
#181: Angels -150 (300/200) for Game 2 Loser
#222: Cardinals -130 for Game 1 Loser
#223: A's -130 for Game 1 Winner
#224: Rangers +111 for Game 1 Winner

YTD: 205-7 -16929
Game 1: 131
Game 2: 49 (#176, #177, #178, #181, #191, #211, #213, #215, #216, #222 pending)
Game 3: 17 (#181 pending)
Game 4: 8 (#146, #205 pending)
Losses: 7

Series Chase Plays:
#62: Cardinals -130 (332/255) for Game 2 Loser
#63: Cardinals -130 (332/255) for Game 2 Loser

YTD: 60-2 -894
Game 1: 45
Game 2: 10
Game 3: 4 (#62, #63 pending)
Game 4: 1
Losses: 1

TheDarkKnight01 · 06-06-13, 10:57 AM

Plays for 6/6/13

Thanks guys. Continuing to post I go...

4 game chase play:
#176: White Sox +1.5 -145 (487/336) for Game 2
#178: Dodgers +1.5 -170 (561/330) for Game 2
#222: Cardinals -168 (386/230) for Game 2
#225: Braves -110 (110/100) for Game 1
#226: Braves -110 (110/100) for Game 1
#227: Yankees -128 (128/100) for Game 1

YTD: 205-7 -16929
Game 1: 131
Game 2: 49 (#176, #177, #178, #181, #191, #211, #213, #215, #216, #222 pending)
Game 3: 17 (#181 pending)
Game 4: 8 (#146, #205 pending)
Losses: 7

Series Chase Plays:
#62: Cardinals -168 (986/587) for Game 3
#63: Cardinals -168 (986/587) for Game 3
#65: Braves -110 (110/100) for Game 1
#66: Yankees -128 (128/100) for Game 1
#67: A's -135 (135/100) for Game 1

YTD: 60-2 -894
Game 1: 45
Game 2: 10
Game 3: 4 (#62, #63 pending)
Game 4: 1
Losses: 1

skyscrapers · 06-06-13, 12:04 PM

TDK, I got a question about the #62 & 63 STL series chase. It is a 4-game series against ARI. Game 1 was already won on chases #44 & 60 so essentially the series should be cleared. Why have we started another series chase beginning game 2 when game 1 has already won??

TheDarkKnight01 · 06-06-13, 12:56 PM

Originally posted by skyscrapers

TDK, I got a question about the #62 & 63 STL series chase. It is a 4-game series against ARI. Game 1 was already won on chases #44 & 60 so essentially the series should be cleared. Why have we started another series chase beginning game 2 when game 1 has already won??

It's something I learned a couple years ago called double dip. If there's a 4 game series being played and it qualifies as a system play, we play it for the 1st game of the 4 game series and if it wins, we will chase them again to win 1 out of their next 3.

The thought of it comes from the fact that most series are 3 game series so when there is a 4 game series that qualifies and it wins in Game 1, we can play the series again in a regular 3 game series, hence the term "double dip".

However if Game 1 loses, we will not start a new chase and instead, we continue the ongoing chase.

good luck

skyscrapers · 06-06-13, 02:38 PM

Oh ok...interesting!! You learn something new everyday. Let's get this 'double-dip' then...

Poison-Nut · 06-07-13, 02:12 AM

Hey TDK, if it's not to much can you still post the early games the night before. I am still following you man, but just at a very small price until I can build my bankroll.

dalogester · 06-07-13, 10:10 AM

pretty good day yesterday with all game 2s and 3's covering. lets get these tonight!!

TheDarkKnight01 · 06-07-13, 11:00 AM

Recap of 6/6/13

4 game chase play:
#176: White Sox +1.5 -145 (487/336) for Game 2 Winner
#178: Dodgers +1.5 -170 (561/330) for Game 2 Winner
#222: Cardinals -168 (386/230) for Game 2 Winner
#225: Braves -110 (110/100) for Game 1 Loser
#226: Braves -110 (110/100) for Game 1 Loser
#227: Yankees -128 (128/100) for Game 1 Winner

YTD: 209-7 -16529
Game 1: 132
Game 2: 52 (#177, #191, #211, #213, #215, #216, #225, #226 pending)
Game 3: 17 (#181 pending)
Game 4: 8 (#146, #205 pending)
Losses: 7

Series Chase Plays:
#62: Cardinals -168 (986/587) for Game 3 Winner
#63: Cardinals -168 (986/587) for Game 3 Winner
#65: Braves -110 (110/100) for Game 1 Loser
#66: Yankees -128 (128/100) for Game 1 Winner
#67: A’s -135 (135/100) for Game 1 Winner

YTD: 64-2 -494
Game 1: 47
Game 2: 10 (#65 pending)
Game 3: 6
Game 4: 1
Losses: 1

TheDarkKnight01 · 06-07-13, 11:08 AM

Plays for 6/7/13

4 game chase play:
#225: Braves -105 (221/210) for Game 2
#226: Braves -105 (221/210) for Game 2
#228: Dbacks -135 (135/100) for Game 1
#229: Rays -110 (110/100) for Game 1
#230: Red Sox -145 (145/100) for Game 1
#231: White Sox -130 (130/100) for Game 1
#232: Rockies -155 (155/100) for Game 1
#233: Rangers -110 (110/100) for Game 1

YTD: 209-7 -16529
Game 1: 132
Game 2: 52 (#177, #191, #211, #213, #215, #216, #225, #226 pending)
Game 3: 17 (#181 pending)
Game 4: 8 (#146, #205 pending)
Losses: 7

Series Chase Plays:
#65: Braves -105 (221/210) for Game 2
#68: A’s +115 (100/115) for Game 1
#69: Yankees -175 (175/100) for Game 1
#70: Tigers -210 (210/100) for Game 1
#71: Red Sox -145 (145/100) for Game 1
#72: Rangers -110 (110/100) for Game 1
#73: Cardinals -120 (120/100) for Game 1
#74: Tigers -210 (210/100) for Game 1
#75: Red Sox -145 (145/100) for Game 1

YTD: 64-2 -494
Game 1: 47
Game 2: 10 (#65 pending)
Game 3: 6
Game 4: 1
Losses: 1

Want2Win · 06-07-13, 03:38 PM

Great job and thanks for continuing to post all the plays!

TheDarkKnight01 · 06-08-13, 02:18 AM

Recap of 6/7/13

4 game chase play:
#225: Braves -105 (221/210) for Game 2 Loser
#226: Braves -105 (221/210) for Game 2 Loser
#228: Dbacks -135 (135/100) for Game 1 Winner
#229: Rays -110 (110/100) for Game 1 Winner
#230: Red Sox -145 (145/100) for Game 1 Postponed
#231: White Sox -130 (130/100) for Game 1 Loser
#232: Rockies -155 (155/100) for Game 1 Winner
#233: Rangers -110 (110/100) for Game 1 Loser

YTD: 212-7 -16229
Game 1: 135 (#230 pending)
Game 2: 52 (#177, #191, #211, #213, #215, #216, #231, #233 pending)
Game 3: 17 (#181, #225, #226 pending)
Game 4: 8 (#146, #205 pending)
Losses: 7

Series Chase Plays:
#65: Braves -105 (221/210) for Game 2 Loser
#68: A’s +115 (100/115) for Game 1 Winner
#69: Yankees -175 (175/100) for Game 1 Loser
#70: Tigers -210 (210/100) for Game 1 Winner
#71: Red Sox -145 (145/100) for Game 1 Postponed
#72: Rangers -110 (110/100) for Game 1 Loser
#73: Cardinals -120 (120/100) for Game 1 Winner
#74: Tigers -210 (210/100) for Game 1 Winner
#75: Red Sox -145 (145/100) for Game 1 Postponed

YTD: 68-2 -94
Game 1: 51 (#71, #75 pending)
Game 2: 10 (#69, #72 pending)
Game 3: 6 (#65 pending)
Game 4: 1
Losses: 1

Poison-Nut · 06-08-13, 02:19 AM

Any early plays TDK?????

TheDarkKnight01 · 06-08-13, 02:24 AM

Plays for 6/8/13

4 game chase play:
#225: Braves -137 (590/431) for Game 3
#226: Braves -137 (590/431) for Game 3
#230: Red Sox 1u for Game 1 (no line atm. If they lose first game of DH, bet them for Game 2)
#233: Rangers -162 (288/210) for Game 2
#234: Rangers -162 (162/100) for Game 1

Series Chase Plays:
#65: Braves -137 (590/431) for Game 3
#69: Yankees -144 (396/275) for Game 2
#71: Red Sox 1u for Game 1 (no line atm. If they lose first game of DH, bet them for Game 2)
#72: Rangers -162 (288/210) for Game 2
#75: Red Sox 1u for Game 1 (no line atm. If they lose first game of DH, bet them for Game 2)

More to come tomorrow. good luck

Mr. Green · 06-08-13, 09:02 AM

Good luck today!

dalogester · 06-08-13, 11:23 AM

In summary, go braves, rangers, and r-sox! lol

TheDarkKnight01 · 06-08-13, 11:57 AM

Plays for 6/8/13

Boston line and Chase #235 added.

4 game chase play:
#225: Braves -137 (590/431) for Game 3
#226: Braves -137 (590/431) for Game 3
#230: Red Sox -157 (157/100) for Game 1 (If they lose first game of DH, bet them for Game 2)
#233: Rangers -162 (288/210) for Game 2
#234: Rangers -162 (162/100) for Game 1
#235: Brewers -120 (120/100) for Game 1

Pending Plays:
SF if line > -105 for Game 2 of Chase #177.

Series Chase Plays:
#65: Braves -137 (590/431) for Game 3
#69: Yankees -144 (396/275) for Game 2
#71: Red Sox -157 (157/100) for Game 1 (If they lose first game of DH, bet them for Game 2)
#72: Rangers -162 (288/210) for Game 2
#75: Red Sox -157 (157/100) for Game 1 (If they lose first game of DH, bet them for Game 2)

acehole · 06-08-13, 12:25 PM

thanks for the update and gl

Semper Fidelis · 06-08-13, 01:52 PM

Hey there DK, hope everything's been going well for you buddy! Just dropping in real quick to give you props once more and encourage you to keep up the good work! Forget all the stupid haters who aren't skilled enough to cap anything or develop any system themselves-just remember we all appreciate everything you do to help us out!
Here's to my Braves clearing some of these chases tonight!

TheDarkKnight01 · 06-08-13, 08:10 PM

Plays for 6/8/13 FINAL

Boston line and Chase #235 added. Sorry couldn't post Boston earlier, I hope everyone got it in...

4 game chase play:
#225: Braves -137 (590/431) for Game 3
#226: Braves -137 (590/431) for Game 3
#230: Red Sox -157 (157/100) for Game 1 (If they lose first game of DH, bet them for Game 2)
#233: Rangers -162 (288/210) for Game 2
#234: Rangers -162 (162/100) for Game 1
#235: Brewers -120 (120/100) for Game 1

Pending Plays:
SF if line > -105 for Game 2 of Chase #177.

Series Chase Plays:
#65: Braves -137 (590/431) for Game 3
#69: Yankees -144 (396/275) for Game 2
#71: Red Sox -157 (157/100) for Game 1 (If they lose first game of DH, bet them for Game 2)
#72: Rangers -162 (288/210) for Game 2
#75: Red Sox -157 (157/100) for Game 1 (If they lose first game of DH, bet them for Game 2)