⚽ Tunisia vs. Japan Prediction: World Cup Picks & Best Bets (June 21)
An abrupt coaching change won't be enough to keep Tunisia's World Cup hopes alive, as my Tunisia vs. Japan prediction backs the Samurai Blue to win decisively on Sunday at Monterrey Stadium in Guadalupe, Mexico.
On the heels of an embarrassing loss to Sweden in its Group F opener, Tunisia is the deserved +600 underdog against -188 Japan, which earned a hard-fought point against the Netherlands. Our World Cup best bets for this game, with kickoff set for midnight ET (FOX, Telemundo, FOX One), also explain why Tunisia's attacking struggles will continue against Japan's organized defense.
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⚽ Tunisia vs. Japan predictions: Pick to win & prop bets
See all of our experts' soccer picks across the best World Cup betting sites.
| 💰 Best bets | 📊 Best odds | ⚖️ Wager (units) |
|---|---|---|
| Japan -1.5 | +160 via DraftKings | 1.5 units -> 2.4 units |
| Japan clean sheet | -125 via bet365 | 1.5 units -> 1.2 units |
⚽ Who will win Tunisia vs. Japan?
Japan shouldn't have any problem controlling the tempo from start to finish. With its ability to break down teams with fast-paced transitions, Japan is poised to beat a Tunisia side that's still reeling from its disheartening 5-1 defeat to Sweden.
The defeat resulted in the dismissal of head coach Sabri Lamouchi, who was quickly replaced by veteran international gaffer Herve Renard. However, with just days to prepare for Sunday's difficult match, it's highly unlikely that Renard has had enough time to implement fresh tactics needed to save Tunisia's World Cup campaign.
Score prediction: Japan 2, Tunisia 0
💵 My best bet: Japan clean sheet (-125)
Chances will be few and far between for Tunisia, as Japan is expected to pin the African nation down in its own end for the majority of the game. A win for Japan will all but put them into the Round of 32.
Despite conceding twice against a strong Netherlands team, Japan showed off its organized back line in a series of friendly matches before the World Cup, keeping five clean sheets in a row.
🦶 Who will score in Tunisia vs. Japan?
Follow all of our expert soccer betting analysis for the 2026 World Cup.
Daizen Maeda, F, Japan (+200)
After a quiet game against the Netherlands, look for Daizen Maeda to come out firing against a weak Tunisia defense that was torn to shreds by Sweden in its first game.
Maeda entered the World Cup in strong form after scoring seven goals in the final five games of Celtic's season in Scotland. He's a lethal finisher who'll be licking his chops at the prospect of facing a defense that struggles against strong opposition.
Best Tunisia vs. Japan goal-scorer pick: Daizen Maeda (+200 via bet365)
💰️ More World Cup predictions today
Our Phil Wood targets Netherlands and Curacao in his World Cup predictions today.
🥅 Will both teams score in Tunisia vs. Japan?
No, both teams won't score in this game. Although Japan shouldn't have any issues in attack, Tunisia regularly employs a reserved approach designed to frustrate opponents and keep the score low. It's a tactic that helped Tunisia qualify, but it likely won't benefit the North African nation in a match when the stakes are high for both teams.
Both teams to score (BTTS) pick: No (-163 via bet365)
💡 How to bet on both teams to score (BTTS)
Our soccer expert Jeremy Vernon broke down how to bet BTTS at the World Cup with a full history and statistical analysis of the popular prop betting market across more than 7,000 matches.
📊 Tunisia vs. Japan odds
We're tracking the latest World Cup odds and favorites to win this year's tournament.
📺 How to watch Tunisia vs. Japan
- Date: Sunday, June 21
- Kickoff: Midnight ET
- Location: Estadio Monterrey (Guadalupe, Mexico)
- TV: FOX, Telemundo, FOX One
📅 World Cup best bets today
See all of our experts' soccer picks and the latest World Cup odds and favorites.
The tournament continues today with four matches, and we're breaking it all down with our World Cup predictions today:
- World Cup predictions today
- Netherlands vs. Sweden predictions
- Germany vs. Ivory Coast predictions
- Ecuador vs. Curacao predictions
- Tunisia vs. Japan predictions
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