Germany vs. Curacao Prediction: World Cup Picks & Best Bets (June 14)

My Germany vs. Curacao prediction analyzes how many goals Germany will win by while focusing on a goal-scorer prop.
Germany in action as we provide our Germany vs. Curacao prediction.
Pictured: Germany in action as we provide our Germany vs. Curacao prediction. Photo by Joaquim Ferreira via Imagn Images
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In one of the most lopsided matchups on paper, 10th-ranked Germany takes on 82nd-ranked Curacao from Houston Stadium at 1 p.m. ET on Sunday. 

My Germany vs. Curacao prediction analyzes how many I expect the former to win by, along with a goal-scorer prediction. 

Curacao is a newcomer to the World Cup, and they haven't faced an opponent of Germany's caliber since losing 7-0 to Argentina in a friendly over three years ago. A lot has changed since then, but Germany's odds (-1818) indicate how favored they are to win. Those odds carry a 94.79% probability of winning. The analysis below is part of our World Cup predictions

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⚽ Germany vs. Curacao predictions: Pick to win & player prop bets

See all of our experts' soccer picks across the best World Cup betting sites.

💰 Best bets 📊 Best odds ⚖️ Wager (units)
Germany ML & Over 4.5 goals +105 via BetMGM 1u -> 1.05u
Deniz Undav to score 2 or more  +190 via BetMGM 0.5u -> 0.95u
Both teams to score: No  -233 via BetMGM 1u -> 0.43u

⚽ Who will win Germany vs. Curacao?

It's not a matter of if, but by how many. Curacao is massively outmatched in every way, and I expect Germany to win comfortably. I'm predicting a 5-0 Germany win. For Germany to win by a handful, they'll need to score in the first 20 minutes or so. 

Curacao is used to playing Jamaica, Aruba, and Bermuda. The gulf in class is monstrous, with Germany winning their previous nine matches in all competitions. 

Score prediction: Germany 5, Curacao 0

💵 My best bet: Germany ML and Over 4.5. goals

It's challenging to handicap a match of this nature as Curacao hasn't played a team like Germany in a long time. They last played a team ranked in the top 10 more than three years ago, losing 7-0 to Argentina.  

I think they'll find it extremely difficult to keep up with the pace and intensity with which Germany will acquit themselves. Germany has something to prove, too, as they haven't advanced past the group stage since 2014.That's a worrying combination for the newcomers. 


🦶 Who will score in Germany vs. Curacao?

Follow all of our expert soccer betting analysis for the 2026 World Cup.

Deniz Undav to score 2 or more, Forward, Germany (+190)

Deniz Undav enjoyed a brilliant season for Stuttgart in the Bundesliga, scoring 19 goals in 29 matches. He added three in 10 Europa League contests. 

Undav extended that form into the national setup, netting three in the previous three friendlies, two of which against Finland in the 4-0 victory. Undav didn't play in the World Cup qualifiers due to an injury, but he should start the opener. 

Best Germany vs. Curacao goal-scorer pick: Deniz Undav 2 or more (+190 via BetMGM)


🥅 Will both teams score in Germany vs. Curacao?

Germany should score at least four against Curacao, and I don't think the relative minnows and newcomers to the competition will break through Germany's defense. 

Qualifying for the World Cup in a group that consisted of Bermuda, Jamaica, and Trinidad and Tobago is one thing, but scoring against Germany is an entirely different kettle of fish. Germany allowed three goals in six World Cup qualifiers. 

Both teams to score (BTTS) pick: No (-244 via BetMGM)

💡 How to bet on both teams to score (BTTS)

Our soccer expert Jeremy Vernon broke down how to bet BTTS at the World Cup with a full history and statistical analysis of the popular prop betting market across more than 7,000 matches.


📊 Germany vs. Curacao odds

We're tracking the latest World Cup odds and favorites to win this year's tournament.


📺 How to watch Germany vs. Curacao

  • Date: Sunday, June 14
  • Kickoff: 1 p.m. ET
  • Location: Houston Stadium (Houston)
  • TV: FOX