France vs. Sweden Prediction: World Cup Picks & Best Bets (June 30)
With the group stage in the rear-view mirror, France will hope its momentum carries over to the Round of 32 for a meeting with Sweden on Tuesday. After dominating the group stage, my France vs. Sweden prediction backs Didier Deschamps' Les Bleus to book their ticket to the Round of 16 with a comfortable win as a -370 betting favorite.
As part of our World Cup best bets, I also back Ousmane Dembele to overtake Kylian Mbappe in the Golden Boot race with another strong offensive display. The action from MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, N.J., begins at 5 p.m. ET, airing on FOX, Telemundo, and FOX One.
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⚽ France vs. Sweden predictions: Pick to win & player prop bets
See all of our experts' soccer picks across the best World Cup betting sites.
| 💰 Best bets | 📊 Best odds | ⚖️ Wager (units) |
|---|---|---|
| France -1.5 | -135 via DraftKings | 1.5u -> 1.11u |
| Over 2.5 goals | -200 via DraftKings | 1u -> 0.5u |
| Ousmane Dembele anytime goal | +135 via FanDuel | 0.5u -> 0.68u |
⚽ Who will win France vs. Sweden?
France solidified its place as a favorite to win the 2026 World Cup with a dominating showing in the group stage, winning all three games to top Group I. With the attack clicking on all cylinders, France shouldn't have any issues overcoming Sweden.
Kylian Mbappe scored four goals over the first two games before Ousmane Dembele joined the Golden Boot conversation with a hat-trick in France's last group game. Both are primed to star for France against an unpredictable Sweden team that needed a third-place finish to progress from the group stage.
After opening the World Cup with a 5-1 win, Sweden was on the wrong end of a 5-1 thrashing in the next game, throwing its tournament into disarray. Despite sneaking in with an impressive 1-1 draw with Japan, Sweden's vulnerabilities at the back are bound to be exploited by France.
Score prediction: France 3, Sweden 1
💵 My best bet: France -1.5 (-135)
Despite sneaking into the Round of 32 with an impressive 1-1 draw with Japan, Sweden's vulnerabilities in a 5-1 loss to the Netherlands are bound to be exploited against another elite opponent in France.
France is fresh off winning all three group-stage games by two or more goals, scoring 10 goals in total. With Mbappe and Dembele spearheading an attack loaded with world-class players, Sweden's defense is going to be overwhelmed in a game where France's clinical finishing and creativity in the final third will result in a multi-goal win for the two-time World Cup winner.
🦶 Who will score in France vs. Sweden?
Follow all of our expert soccer betting analysis for the 2026 World Cup.
Ousmane Dembele, F, France (+135)
Dembele could be poised for another busy day in front of goal. With Kylian Mbappe set to command attention around the box, there will be opportunities for Dembele to pick up the scraps or create his own scoring opportunities down the right.
Dembele has looked reborn since being moved from an experimental No. 10 to his preferred position on the right. After scoring against Iraq, Dembele netted a first-half hat-trick in France's 4-1 win over Norway.
If Sweden keeps its high-press system, there could be chances for the speedy winger to catch defenders off guard on the break and get behind the defense, where he's most lethal.
Best France vs. Sweden goal-scorer pick: Ousmane Dembele (+135 via FanDuel)
💰️ More World Cup predictions today
Looking for a full-day sweat? Our Ivory Coast vs. Norway prediction has you covered for the day's opening game.
🥅 Will both teams score in France vs. Sweden?
Although France has looked unstoppable thus far, there have been some cracks in defense that teams like Senegal and Norway have taken advantage of. France hasn't scored fewer than three goals in a game at the 2026 World Cup, yet it's failed to keep clean sheets against quality teams with established forwards.
Sweden was embarrassed by the Netherlands but showed off its elite attacking talent in a 5-1 win over Tunisia. With Premier League star striker Alexander Isak and Viktor Gyokeres in the fold, there will be chances for Sweden to make things interesting against France.
Both teams to score (BTTS) pick: Yes (-106 via bet365)
💡 How to bet on both teams to score (BTTS)
Our soccer expert Jeremy Vernon broke down how to bet BTTS at the World Cup with a full history and statistical analysis of the popular prop betting market across more than 7,000 matches.
📊 France vs. Sweden odds
We're tracking the latest World Cup odds and favorites to win this year's tournament.
📺 How to watch France vs. Sweden
- Date: Tuesday, June 30
- Kickoff: 5 p.m. ET
- Location: MetLife Stadium (East Rutherford, N.J.)
- TV/Streaming: FOX, Telemundo, FOX One
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