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Joao Felix of FC Barcelona is celebrating a goal in the La Liga as we make our best prop picks and prediction for the second leg of the Barcelona vs. PSG Champions League quarterfinal on Tuesday.
Joao Felix of FC Barcelona is celebrating a goal during the La Liga EA Sports match between Cadiz CF and FC Barcelona at Nuevo Mirandilla in Cadiz, Spain, on April 13, 2024. Phot by DAX Images/NurPhoto via AFP

PSG travels to face Barcelona on Tuesday for the return leg of their Champions League quarterfinal after securing a 3-2 victory in Paris last week, and we have our Barcelona vs. PSG prediction based on the best Champions League odds.

Barcelona secured a crucial victory over PSG in Paris during the opening leg despite being the clear underdog. Barcelona returns home for the second leg of this matchup as the +125 favorite with strong odds (-425) to advance to the semifinals for the first time since 2018-19.

Barcelona grabbed the tie's momentum in the first leg with 62nd and 77th minute goals, placing them in a strong position for Tuesday's match. The team is in exceptional form, boasting six consecutive wins across all competitions. Although PSG had a weekend off and should be well-rested, they have struggled in away games in the competition, winning just one out of four encounters.

Along with our Borussia Dortmund vs. Atletico Madrid prediction, Bayern Munich vs. Arsenal prediction, and Manchester City vs. Real Madrid prediction, here is our best Barcelona vs. PSG prediction and soccer picks (odds via our best soccer betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Barcelona vs. PSG game info

  • Date: Tuesday, April 16, 3 p.m. ET
  • TV: CBS
  • Location: Estadi Olímpic Lluís Companys, Barcelona, Spain
  • Weather: 57 Fahrenheit, sunny
  • Favorite: Barcelona (+125)

Barcelona vs. PSG odds

Odds via DraftKings

Barcelona+125-0.5 (+115)Over 3.5 (+125)
PSG+195+0.5 (-155)Under 3.5 (-150)

Barcelona vs. PSG prediction

Barcelona ML ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Barcelona has been arguably Europe's best team since the end of January. Their unbeaten streak, which has seen them win 10 and tie three, dates back to Jan. 27. They've scored at least three goals in six of those 13 matches, including against PSG in the opening leg, at Atletico in La Liga and versus Napoli at Estadi Olímpic Lluís Companys in the second leg of the Round of 16. Along with that impressive run, Barcelona is a perfect 4-0-0 record at home in the Champions League, outscoring the opposition 12-3.

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PSG has a gargantuan mountain to ascend, especially considering their road anemia. The French champions haven't kept a clean sheet on their travels in four Champions League contests. They lost 4-1 to Newcastle and 2-1 to AC Milan, with their only road victory coming against Real Sociedad, 2-1, in the Round of 16. Luis Enrique's side will be as patient as possible but, if the score remains level, will be forced to open up and play more expansively. If the script transpires that way, Barcelona should have opportunities to deal a final blow on the counter, particularly as a tie does nothing for the visitors.

Despite their recent exquisite run, Barcelona hasn't kept a clean sheet in four home Champions League matches. PSG has scored at least once in their four away contests, so expect both teams to score. You can lock in a Barcelona win and both teams to score at DraftKings (+150). However, there's not quite enough value compared to the selected +125 moneyline offer.

Best odds: +125 via DraftKings

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Barcelona vs. PSG odds analysis

At +125, DraftKings offers the best value of our best sports betting appsbet365BetMGM and FanDuel offer +120, while Caesars sits at +115. The line might shorten marginally between now and Tuesday's kick-off, so lock in the +125 while it's available. A $10 winning bet at DraftKings will pay out $22.50 and accompanies a 44.44% probability. 

Barcelona vs. PSG prediction made Sunday at 2:00 p.m. ET.

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