⚽ Inter Miami vs. Philadelphia Union Prediction & Odds: MLS Betting Preview for May 24
Inter Miami's path to the summit of the Eastern Conference features a lopsided match against the Philadelphia Union on Sunday at Nu Stadium in Miami.
Our Inter Miami vs. Philadelphia Union prediction leans heavily toward the home side coming out on top. Lionel Messi's Miami is a -250 betting favorite to emerge victorious against a Philadelphia team (+600) toiling in last place in the conference standings. The action begins at 7 p.m. ET (Apple TV).
🔮 Inter Miami vs. Philadelphia Union best bets
See all of our experts' soccer picks based on the latest odds from the best sports betting sites.
| 💰 Pick | ⚖️ Bet size (units) | 🧠 Why I bet this |
|---|---|---|
| Inter Miami -1.5 (-105 via DraftKings) | 2u -> 1.9u | Miami won't relax if it goes up 2 goals |
| Lionel Messi anytime goal (-250 via FanDuel) | 2.5u -> 1u | Scored against Philadelphia in both meetings last season |
Total wagered: 4.5 units | Max profit: 2.9 units
⚽ Inter Miami vs. Philadelphia Union prediction
Don't miss the rest of our soccer picks for every game this season.
Inter Miami -1.5 (-105) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
Inter Miami's explosive attack shouldn't have any issues dispatching the weakest defense in the Eastern Conference.
A date with Philly is also a good opportunity for Miami to reinforce its goal differential. Miami won't relax even if they go up two goals, as first-placed Nashville SC have a superior goal differential (+19) to the Herons' (+9). Considering how poor Philadelphia has been, picking Miami to cover the -1.5 spread is a worthwhile bet that offers more value than the traditional three-way moneyline.
Inter Miami have been destroying opponents lately, winning their last three games by two goals. The second-placed Herons will be especially eager to secure three points in a bid to possibly overtake Nashville SC at the summit of the Eastern Conference.
Score prediction: Inter Miami 3, Philadelphia Union 1
🙌 Best Inter Miami vs. Philadelphia Union goal-scorer pick
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Lionel Messi, Inter Miami (-250) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Lionel Messi is going to stop scoring one of these days. But until then, we're going to keep striking while the iron is hot.
The Argentine is in top form heading into his sixth World Cup, scoring five goals in his last four league outings. As such, we like his chances of finding the back of the net Sunday against a Union team that he scored against in both of Miami's games last season.
Messi is averaging 2.6 shots on target in 13 games this season and sits second in the Major League Soccer Golden Boot race with 12 goals. A meeting with the league's worst team should help him cut into Chicago Fire FC's Hugo Cuypers' lead (13) atop the MLS scoring chart.
📊 Inter Miami vs. Philadelphia Union odds
Moneyline (3-way)
- Inter Miami: +250 ($10 to win $4)
- Philadelphia Union: +600 ($10 to win $60)
- Tie: +400 ($10 to win $42.50)
Spread
- Inter Miami: -1.5, -105 ($10 to win $9.52)
- Philadelphia Union: +1.5, -135 ($10 to win $7.40)
Over/Under total goals
- Over 3.5 goals: -120 ($10 to win $8.33)
- Under 3.5 goals: -120 ($10 to win $8.33)
📈 Inter Miami vs. Philadelphia Union betting trends
| Inter Miami | Statistic | Philadelphia Union |
|---|---|---|
| 8-4-2 | Season record | 1-4-9 |
| 6-3-4 | H2H record | 4-3-6 |
| D-L-W-W-W | Last 5 games | L-D-L-L-D |
| Won 2-0 vs. Portland Timbers | Previous result | Tied 1-1 vs. Columbus Crew |
| Seven of Miami's last nine games have gone Over. 2.5 goals, with the last five games vs. Philadelphia producing 21 goals. | Key stat | Both Teams to Score (BTTS) has cashed in in seven of the last eight games between these teams. |
🌤️ Inter Miami vs. Philadelphia Union weather
It will be a clear night with a low of 82 when Sunday's game begins. Thunderstorms earlier in the day will likely make the surface slippery, which would benefit Miami's fast transition offense. However, humidity will likely slow the pace of the match.
💡 How I'm betting Inter Miami vs. Philadelphia Union
Since there's hardly any standalone value in picking Miami on the three-way moneyline, we've taken it a step further to back the home side to cover the -1.5 spread against the worst team in MLS.
Philly's defense - which will be without suspended center-back Olwethu Makhanya - has been putrid, with a -10 goal differential in 14 games. So it seems logical to pick a generational talent such as Messi to do what he does best.
The humid conditions could also negatively impact a Philadelphia side that will struggle with fatigue as the match progresses.
📺 How to watch Inter Miami vs. Philadelphia Union
- Date: Sunday, May 24
- Kickoff: 7 p.m. ET
- Location: Nu Stadium (Miami)
- TV: Apple TV
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