Vezina Trophy Odds 2023: Ullmark the Runaway Favorite

Linus Ullmark of the Boston Bruins has taken firm control of the Vezina Trophy race and is the prohibitive favorite to win the award as the league's top goaltender. Read on for our favorites, underdogs, and longshots for the 2022-23 Vezina Trophy.

Leading the league in wins, goals against average, and save percentage is a strong case for any goaltender to win the Vezina Trophy – and Ullmark holds that distinction in 2022-23.

The last time it happened was in 2014-15, when Carey Price of the Montreal Canadiens not only won the Vezina, but the Hart Trophy as league MVP.

Here is a look at our best Vezina Trophy picks; odds via our best sportsbooks.

NHL Vezina Trophy Odds 2023

Vezina Trophy Best Bets

(As of March 13)

• Linus UIlmark (-700 via FanDuel)
• Ilya Sorokin (+1100 via DraftKings)

NHL Vezina Trophy Pick: Favorite

Linus UIlmark (-700 via FanDuel)

Not only does Ullmark have outstanding traditional goaltending stats, which are likely strong enough to win, but he also has advanced metrics on his side. The former Buffalo Sabres sixth-round pick ranks second in goals saved above expected (GSAx), per Natural Stat Trick.

Goaltending is unpredictable, so Ullmark could slump late in the season, but he posted a .922 save percentage during his worst five-game stretch. Even when he's bad, he's great.

Odds from our best sportsbooks indicate that the implied probability of Ullmark winning ranges from 87.5% to 95.2%. In short, it'll take a spectacular collapse for Ullmark not to win – which should bring great joy to anyone who jumped on him as a 100-to-1 play at PointsBet prior to the start of the regular season.

NHL Vezina Trophy Pick: Underdog

Ilya Sorokin (+1100)

As unlikely as it is for anyone to unseat Ullmark as the favorite, Sorokin has the best case among the challengers. Sorokin finished sixth in Vezina voting last season and is comfortably the leader when it comes to GSAx this season.

The 27-year-old netminder is also more integral to his team's success.

The Islanders rank 23rd with 2.85 goals per 60 minutes and are dealing with injuries at forward, so if they are going to make the playoffs, it is going to be on the back of their star goaltender.

Even if that scenario might present a theoretical path to the Vezina, it's unlikely. Odds at DraftKings, BetMGM, and PointsBet have the best value and all offer an implied probability of 8.3% for Sorokin to win the award.

Recent Vezina Trophy winners

Odds from SportsOddsHistory.com.

Vezina Trophy FAQ

Who won the Vezina Trophy last year?

New York Rangers goaltender Igor Shesterkin won the Vezina Trophy for the 2021-22 season, finishing ahead of Jacob Markstrom of the Calgary Flames and Juuse Saros of the Nashville Predators. 

When will the Vezina Trophy be decided?

Votes from National Hockey League general managers must be filed before the Stanley Cup playoffs begin. The last day of the regular season is April 13, 2023.

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