Skip to main content

The dust has finally settled on the NHL playoff picture as we predict what will transpire in the first round of the Western Conference using the Stanley Cup odds for our Stanley Cup playoffs betting preview.

Our best NHL betting sites have the Colorado Avalanche and Edmonton Oilers jockeying as the favorites to represent the Western Conference in the Stanley Cup Final. The Dallas Stars, hot on their heels as the third favorite, have been the NHL's best team for over a month and will be looking to extend that blistering pace through postseason. 

Here's our Western Conference first-round State of the Union. To further inform your betting decisions, take a look at our one-stop shop Stanley Cup playoffs betting guide and our Eastern Conference betting preview

Western Conference first-round matchups, odds, predictions

  • Vegas Golden Knights (WC2) vs. Dallas Stars (1)
  • Colorado Avalanche (C3) vs. Winnipeg Jets (C2)
  • Nashville Predators (WC1) vs. Vancouver Canucks (2)
  • Los Angeles Kings (P3) vs. Edmonton Oilers (P2)

Golden Knights vs. Stars

FanDuel BetMGM
Stars-130 -125
Golden Knights+108+105

The Dallas Stars' otherworldly play has them in pole position to advance, according to our best sports betting apps. The Stars have been the NHL's best team down the stretch. Since Feb. 28, they are 17-4-0, leading the league with a .810 points percentage. Not only are the Stars winning at an astonishing rate, but they have arguably the most well-rounded team entering the postseason. Although the Carolina Hurricanes and New York Rangers would have something to say about that assertion.

Dallas has a solid and wily veteran group that is severely parched and primed to take their first sip from the Stanley Cup. The Golden Knights had their way with the Stars in the regular season, winning all three head-to-head encounters. However, they haven't played since Dec. 9, long before the Stars found their groove. 

What the analytics say

 StarsGolden Knights
One-goal game win %9th5th 
Scoring-first win %9th 18th
Goals per game3rd13th 
Goals against per gametied 8th11th 
Home points %tied 7th tied 7th 
Away points %1st tied 16th 
Win % leading after one period11th tied 13th 
Corsi %5th 21st 
Power play6th 20th 
Penalty kill 8th 16th 
Goaltending advantage X

Golden Knights vs. Stars series prediction  

The Golden Knights have been up and down like a yo-yo since Christmas. Some of that inconsistency is due to injuries. Regardless of the reason, the Golden Knights will run into a supremely confident Stars team that is primed for a deep playoff run. They are 15-4 since defenseman Chris Tanev arrived from the Calgary Flames at the trade deadline and will be ready to inflict some revenge after the Golden Knights beat them in last season's Western Conference Final. 

FanDuel offers +158 for a -1.5 Dallas series spread. If you're feeling bold, you can lock in a 4-2 Dallas series win at +490. A $10 winning bet on the -1.5 Dallas spread yields a profit of $15.80 and implies a probability of 38.76%.

Best bet: Stars -1.5 series spread (+158 via FanDuel)

Win $150 + NBA League Pass 🏀

New customers only. Deposit min. $5. Place first bet of $5+ and win $150 in Bonus Bets (within 72 hours).

Each product featured on our website has been meticulously researched and selected by our team of experts. If you sign up through our links, we may get a commission. 21+. Gambling can be addictive, please play responsibly

Avalanche vs. Jets 

DraftKingsFanDuelBetMGMCaesarsbet365
Avalanche-135-138-135-130-130
Jets+115+115+115+100+110

The Colorado Avalanche vs. Winnipeg Jets series features teams entering the playoffs on opposite trajectories. They also have altogether different strengths, making it one of the most hard-to-predict opening Western Conference series.

Winnipeg has won eight straight games, including a pair against the Dallas Stars and Avalanche by a 10-0 margin. Aside from a meaningless win against Edmonton on April 18, the Avs lost four of their previous five and five of their last seven contests.

The Avalanche have immeasurably more star power, led by Hart Trophy favorite Nathan MacKinnon, Norris Trophy second-favorite Cale Makar, and Mikko Rantanen, who is good to go after returning from concussion protocol. While the Avs have the league's most potent offense, they are fraught with defensive frailties, including between the pipes. Goaltender Alexandar Georgiev has underperformed for most of the season and has played only nine playoff contests.

Pitting him against Jets goalie Connor Hellebuyck is like comparing a made-from-scratch, wood-fired gourmet pizza to a frozen, crystallized one from your local grocery store. Hellebuyck, who will almost certainly win his second Vezina Trophy, sits atop numerous statistical categories, including goals saved above expected, where he has 11 more than second-place Thatcher Demko.

The Jets also dominated the Avs in the regular season, winning all three contests, including 7-0 in Colorado when home-ice advantage was at stake.

What the analytics say

AvalancheJets
One-goal game win %15th8th
Scoring-first win %20th 1st 
Goals per game1st15th 
Goals against per game17th2nd
Home points %1st7th
Away points %12th6th
Win % leading after one period17th1st
Corsi %6th13th
Power play5th22nd
Penalty kill 12th21st
Goaltending advantage X

Avalanche vs. Jets series prediction  

If it were two weeks ago, I'd suggest taking the Avalanche. However, the Jets are ascending more rapidly and precipitously than an F-14 Tomcat fighter jet. They are much better defensively and between the pipes, as Hellebucyk can steal a series if needed. 

Based on the season series, the Jets also have the Avs' number. As long as they can keep MacKinnon relatively in check, the Jets should have enough to pull off the upset.

Best bet: Jets to win the series (+115 via FanDuel)

Win $150 + NBA League Pass 🏀

New customers only. Deposit min. $5. Place first bet of $5+ and win $150 in Bonus Bets (within 72 hours).

Each product featured on our website has been meticulously researched and selected by our team of experts. If you sign up through our links, we may get a commission. 21+. Gambling can be addictive, please play responsibly

Canucks vs. Predators 

DraftKingsFanDuelCaesarsbet365
Canucks -150-150-155-150
Predators+130+125+125+125

The Vancouver Canucks are back in the playoffs for the first time in four seasons. They rocketed out of the starting gate like Usain Bolt on uppers but have since slowed to a comparative crawl. While a large portion of the blame can be attributed to Thatcher Demko's long-term injury, the Canucks rot started about a month before their all-star netminder hurt his knee on March 9.

The opposite is true of the Nashville Predators, who've been the NHL's best team since Feb. 16. Between February 16 and March 26, the Preds secured a point in 18 straight games, 16 of which were victories. They've slowed since but were a force more powerful than the full weight of Bruce Wayne's uppercut.

Since Feb. 16, the Canucks have the 17th-best points percentage, taking just 59% of the available points. There is good news from the West Coast, though, as Demko returned to action against Calgary on April 16.

What the analytics say

CanucksPredators
One-goal game win %T-103rd
Scoring-first win %8th 9th
Goals per game6th10th 
Goals against per game5th T-13
Home points %4th T-18
Away points %8th 9th 
Win % leading after one period18th T-19
Corsi %10th 9th
Power playT-1016th 
Penalty kill 20th T-22
Goaltending advantageX

Canucks vs. Predators series prediction 

Ring the upset warning alarm. The Preds have an excellent chance of overturning the No. 2 Canucks. The result of this series might be predicated on how Demko performs after more than a month off. Has rust built up, or will he re-enter the crease seamlessly and perform the way he did from October through the end of January, when he was the No. 2 favorite to win the Vezina Trophy?

The Canucks won all three regular-season encounters. However, they haven't played since Dec. 19, long before the Preds found their mojo and the Canucks lost theirs.

Best bet: Predators to win series (+130 via DraftKings)

Bet $5, Get $150 + $1K Deposit Bonus

Terms and conditions apply.

Each product featured on our website has been meticulously researched and selected by our team of experts. If you sign up through our links, we may get a commission. 21+. Gambling can be addictive, please play responsibly

Kings vs. Oilers

DraftKingsFanDuelBetMGM
Oilers-190-182-182
Kings+160+150+150

The Edmonton Oilers and Los Angeles Kings meet for the third successive season in the first round, with the former winning both previous encounters. The 2021-22 series went the distance, while the Oilers prevailed in six games in the 2022-23 edition. Expect a similar script for this one. The Oilers won three out of four against the Kings in the regular season.

The only loss, in Los Angeles, occurred almost immediately after the Vegas Golden Knights halted Edmonton's 16-game winning streak. A comedown was expected, nearly assured. That proved to be the case in the Kings' 4-0 Feb. 10 victory. The Kings were the league's second-best team in the first two months but have sputtered since, ranking 19th (tied with the Washington Capitals) in points percentage since Dec. 8.

The Oilers went the other direction, climbing the NHL standings after a woeful opening month or so. Things turned around after the organization fired head coach Jay Woodcroft on Nov. 12. Since that day, and under Kris Knoblauch's tutelage, the Oilers boast the NHL's best points percentage (.703) 

What the analytics say

OilersKings
One-goal game win %4th21st
Scoring-first win %10th 19th
Goals per game4thT-16
Goals against per game10th3rd
Home points %2ndT-14
Away points %11th10th
Win % leading after one periodT-9T-19
Corsi %3rd4th
Power play4th 12th
Penalty kill15th2nd
Goaltending advantageX

Kings vs. Oilers series prediction 

I like the Oilers to advance for a third straight time against the Kings. FanDuel offers a -1.5 game spread at +118, excellent value for the Oilers to wrap it up in six or fewer contests. The Kings have been better recently but struggle mightily in one-goal games, securing victories when netting the opening goal, and securing victories when leading after the first period.

At +118, a winning $10 wager would pay a profit of 11.80 and imply a 45.87% probability.  

Best bet: Oilers to win series in 6 games or less (+118 at FanDuel)

Win $150 + NBA League Pass 🏀

New customers only. Deposit min. $5. Place first bet of $5+ and win $150 in Bonus Bets (within 72 hours).

Each product featured on our website has been meticulously researched and selected by our team of experts. If you sign up through our links, we may get a commission. 21+. Gambling can be addictive, please play responsibly

2024 Stanley Cup playoffs betting previews: Round 1

Here is our collection of first-round preview content to get you ready for the 2024 Stanley Cup playoffs.

Here are our best NHL betting sites:

(21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER)
* Bonuses not applicable in Ontario.

Related pages