🏒 Penguins vs. Flyers Prediction & Odds: Game 4 NHL Picks Today (April 25)
Last Updated: April 25, 2026 2:17 PM EDT • 5 minute read X Social Google News Link
The Keystone State rivalry could come to a quick end during tonight's Game 4 matchup between the Pittsburgh Penguins and Philadelphia Flyers. Oddsmakers are leaning marginally toward the Flyers to sweep their division rivals, with Philadelphia lined as a -120 betting favorite.
Saturday night's puck drop will take place at 8 p.m. ET from Xfinity Mobile Arena in Philadelphia. Catch the broadcast on TNT and truTV, or stream it on HBO Max.
My Penguins vs. Flyers prediction features a moneyline pick, a total, plus a correct score prediction at +1700 odds. I'll also be diving into the player prop market to bet on Flyers forward, Owen Tippett.
🏒 Penguins vs. Flyers picks & odds today: April 25
See all of our experts' NHL picks based on the latest NHL odds.
| 💰 Pick | ⚖️ Bet size (units) | 🧠 Why I bet this |
|---|---|---|
| Flyers Moneyline (-120 via FanDuel) | 1u → 0.83u | One-sentence angle |
| Under 6.0(-122 via FanDuel) | 1u → 0.81u | One-sentence angle |
| Owen Tippett Over 0.5 points (-105 via DraftKings) | 1u → 0.95u | One-sentence angle |
Total wagered: 3.0 units | Max profit: 2.59 units
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🏆 Who will win Penguins vs. Flyers?
The Penguins have their backs against the wall after entering this First Round playoff series as a sizable favorite against their Metropolitan Divisional foe. The Flyers have outplayed Pittsburgh in nearly every facet, with no player on the Penguins holding a plus-minus rating higher than 0.
Goaltending has been the edge that the Flyers have exploited. Dan Vladar has a shutout on the road, while allowing just two goals in Game 1 and Game 3. Stuart Skinner's poor play will likely result in Arturs Silovs making his first start of the series tonight.
Score prediction: Flyers 4, Penguins 1
💰 Penguins vs. Flyers prediction & best bet
Flyers Moneyline (-120)
Pittsburgh has failed to generate much offense in this series, and now, they have to find a way to keep pace with a potentially flawed goaltender in Silovs.
The Penguins are ice-cold, losing six straight games, while being held to two or fewer goals in four of their last five outings. The Flyers are 4-1 SU in their last five matchups against the Penguins and 6-1 SU in their last seven home games against them.
Despite its 3-0 series lead, Phili has battled adversity. Now, it has the crowd on its side to close out the sweep.
🔥 Best Penguins vs. Flyers player prop bet
Owen Tippett Over 0.5 points (-105)
After a bit of a lull, we've seen Owen Tippett log a point in back-to-back games for the Flyers. Philadelphia is getting return on investment with one of their star forwards, as he finished the regular season with a team-high 28 goals.
Tippett buried an empty-netter during the Flyers' 5-2 win in Game 3. Now, he'll look to extend his point streak to three games against Silovs. Pittsburgh's secondary netminder enters this game with a 3.07 GAA and an .887 save percentage.
Silovs did beat the Flyers back in October, stopping 32 of 34 shots in a 3-2 win. However, that was months ago. Recently, Silovs has allowed seven goals on 40 shots faced in his previous two starts, creating value on Tippett in the total points betting market.
Go to DraftKings and bet on Owen Tippett to go over 0.5 points at -105 odds against the Penguins in Game 4.
🚀 Penguins vs. Flyers same-game parlay
For my Penguins vs. Flyers same-game parlay, I'm going to keep it simple and pair the Flyers moneyline with under 6.0 in Game 4. Nerves are going to be running high in this matchup, so expect a low-scoring affair. Philadelphia has scored first twice in this series, while erasing a one-goal deficit without much difficulty. Dan Vladar has been excellent in net, which is why we're rolling out a full unit on this two-leg Penguins vs. Flyers same-game parlay at FanDuel's +234 odds.
💵 Penguins vs. Flyers SGP picks
- Flyers Moneyline (-120)
- Under 6.0 (-122)
Best odds: +234 via FanDuel (1u -> 2.34u)
💵 My betting record for NHL picks
All NHL picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since April 1.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-21-1 | -0.96 units ❌ | -3.0% ❌ |
| Game picks | 5-4 | +1.28 units ✅ | +14.2% ✅ |
| Player props | 3-6 | -3.70 units ❌ | -41.1% ❌ |
| Parlays | 2-7 | +2.13 units ✅ | +47.7% ✅ |
💡 How I'm betting Penguins vs. Flyers
Follow all of our NHL analysis and expert predictions this season.
Since Game 1, I've been bullish on the Flyers. There's no reason to jump ship now, even with the majority of public bets coming in on Philadelphia's moneyline.
The Flyers are the more physical team that has captured momentum with its 3-0 start in this series. Philadelphia also has a significant goaltending edge, evidenced by the Penguins shifting to Silovs in desperation to avoid elimination.
We've seen the depth of the Flyers' offense on full display. Whether it's Trevor Zegras, Owen Tippett, Porter Martone, Travis Konecny, Jamie Drysdale, or Rasmus Ristolainen, it's obvious that this team is unselfish and talented across its roster.
I've opted to bet on the Flyers to succeed in closing out this series in four games at home tonight, likely in a low-scoring result, which is why I'm also on under 6.0 total goals. Owen Tippett's trending up as well, while earning prime minutes on the first attack line and top powerplay, so I'm on Tippett to log 1+ points for a third straight outing in Game 4.
📊 Live Penguins vs. Flyers odds: Game 4
The Game 4 market for Penguins vs. Flyers has not seen much line movement since opening a couple of days ago. Some of the best sports betting sites have the total set to 5.5, with plus odds on Under 5.5, while nearly every operator has the Flyers valued in the moneyline betting market at -120 odds.
Only 21 percent of bets are on under 5.5 total goals, which could bode well for our under 6.0 total. 70 percent of bets are on the Flyers moneyline, including 52 percent of -1.5 puck line wagers, as Philadelphia has covered this line in Game 2 and Game 3.
📈 Penguins vs. Flyers betting trends
| Penguins | Statistic | Flyers |
|---|---|---|
| 41-25-16 | W-L record | 43-27-12 |
| 48-34 | ATS record | 52-30 |
| 48-34 | O/U record | 41-40-1 |
| 0-5 | Last 5 games | 5-0 |
🚑 Penguins vs. Flyers injuries
📺 How to watch Penguins vs. Flyers [GAME 4]
- Date: Saturday, April 25
- Puck drop: 8 p.m. ET
- Location: Xfinity Mobile Arena (Philadelphia)
- TV: TBS, truTV
- Streaming: HBO Max
Matt MacKay X social