🏀 Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Player Props Today: Game 4 NBA Picks & Best Bets (April 25)

The Denver Nuggets and Minnesota Timberwolves meet for pivotal Game 4 tonight. Tipoff from Target Center in Minneapolis is at 8:30 p.m. ET, airing on ABC.

Denver is a short favorite to even the series, but a loss could drastically change the NBA championship odds market. Rather than focus on predicting a winner, my Nuggets vs. Timberwolves player props today have found a pair of betting angles for the Minnesota backcourt.

🏀 Best Nuggets vs. Timberwolves player props today: NBA picks for April 25

See all of our experts' NBA picks based on the latest NBA odds; picks rated on a 1-to-5 star confidence scale based on betting value.

Total wagered: 2.5 units | Max profit: 2.16 units

💰 Best Nuggets vs. Timberwolves prop bet

Anthony Edwards Under 4.5 assists (-112)

Timberwolves guard Anthony Edwards hasn't been healthy this series. He played just 24 minutes in Game 3. As such, I'm comfortable betting against his usage right now.

Edwards is averaging four assists on 5.3 potential dimes in 34 minutes per game during this Round 1 series. He's failed to clear this assist line 25 times in his previous 36 games.

This Under is -112 at bet365, which is a huge value considering DraftKings charges -160 for the same ticket.

🔥 More Nuggets vs. Timberwolves prop picks

Ayo Dosunmu Over 11.5 points (-115)

If Edwards loses some playing time, that increases Ayo Dosunmu's chances of being on the floor. The Timberwolves will certainly be motivated to play him after he scored 25 points in a Game 3 win.

Dosunmu has averaged 17.8 points per game over his last 14 outings, clearing this line 13 times. Against the Nuggets in Round 1, Dosunmu has produced 16 points per contest and taken advantage of a defense that ranks 26th in defending spot-ups.

This line is as high as 12.5 in the market, so I'll scoop of the bargain at bet365.

Nikola Jokic to not record a triple-double (-125)

My initial instinct was to back Nikola Jokic in what should be a statement game. If Jokic wants to keep his crown as the undisputed best player in the world, he has to deliver in Game 4 before the series heads back to Denver.

The problem is, the market has aggressively pushed up his props with that in mind. Jokic has -110 odds to record a triple-double, despite the fact that he has a 45.5% hit rate in road games this year. That includes a 41.9% hit rate over his previous 31 road contests.

Since the no price is only available at bet365, I'll put a half-unit on this prop to have some action on the most-important NBA player tonight.

🚀 Nuggets vs. Timberwolves same-game parlay

Since I feel less confident in Jokic's triple-double prop, I don't want to double down by including it in my Nuggets vs. Timberwolves parlay. Instead, I've opted for a two-leg SGP featuring Edwards and Dosunmu, especially since they are correlated to potential playing time in the backcourt. It comes out to a nice +260 price tag at bet365.

💵 My betting record for NBA picks

All NBA picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since March 28.

💡 How I'm betting Nuggets vs. Timberwolves

Follow all of our NBA analysis and expert predictions this season.

In many ways, tonight’s matchup between the Nuggets and Timberwolves could be the defining moment of Round 1. The result has the potential to significantly shift the championship market, given that Denver has been viewed as a top-tier contender all season.

With that in mind, I’ve allocated 2.5 units across three plays. My strongest edge comes from the Minnesota backcourt, as my projected minutes for Edwards and Dosunmu differ from the market. I also see value in fading Jokic, who hasn’t reached his usual level in this series, largely due to Rudy Gobert’s defensive impact.

I don’t have a strong lean on the winner - but it should be a great watch.

🚑 Nuggets vs. Timberwolves injuries

📺 How to watch Nuggets vs. Timberwolves

• Date: Saturday, April 25
• Tipoff: 8:30 p.m. ET
• Location: Target Center (Minneapolis)
• TV: ABC