Panthers vs. Maple Leafs Odds, Picks, Predictions: Can Toronto Trounce Tired Florida?

Can the Toronto Maple Leafs get the jump Tuesday on a Florida Panthers team that played Monday in Buffalo? Read on for our best Panthers vs. Maple Leafs pick based on top odds.

The Panthers had the best record in the league last season, but are now scrambling for a playoff spot this season.

Monday’s win at Buffalo gives the Panthers 46 points in 45 games, which is four points behind the Pittsburgh Penguins for the final Wild Card playoff spot in the Eastern Conference.

It is a decidedly different story for the Toronto Maple Leafs, who have dropped back-to-back games but remain tied for fourth place in the entire league with 59 points in 44 games.

Here is our best Panthers vs. Maple Leafs NHL pick (odds via DraftKings Sportsbook; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

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Panthers vs. Maple Leafs Game Info

• Date: Tuesday, Jan. 17, 7 p.m. ET
• TV: ESPN+, TVAS, SNO, BSFL
• Location: Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, ON

Panthers vs. Maple Leafs Odds

Check out our complete list of NHL odds!

Panthers vs. Maple Leafs Odds Analysis

The moneyline opened at FanDuel with the Maple Leafs favored, priced at -184, with the Panthers at +152 as underdogs. Even though 77% of the moneyline wagers have come in for the Leafs, the odds moved a little towards Florida.

The Panthers are +146 at FanDuel, with Toronto priced at -178.

The total opened at 6.5, with the Over at -110 and the Under priced at -112. With 57% of the consensus wagers on the Over, the price has shifted. The Over is now at -118, with the Under priced at -105 at FanDuel.

Panthers vs. Maple Leafs Pick

Maple Leafs -1.5 vs. Panthers (+145) ⭐⭐⭐

Leaving Florida has not been good to the Panthers.

Even after Monday’s win at Buffalo, the Panthers are just 10-14-1 on the road; that .420 points percentage ranks 28th. Florida has a 4-6 record in its past 10 road games and, notably, each of those six losses has been by a margin of more than one goal.

It has been another difficult season for Panthers goaltender Sergei Bobrovsky, who has a .892 save percentage and 3.37 goals against average in 16 road games. He will start his fifth straight game for Florida. 

While the Panthers struggle on the road, the Maple Leafs have a 15-3-4 record at Scotiabank Arena. That .773 home points percentage ranks third in the league.

That record is supported by Toronto’s underlying numbers at home. The Leafs have controlled 57.1% of expected goals and 60.0% of actual goals during five-on-five play. Those rates rank fourth and fifth in the league, respectively.

Toronto is also catching the Panthers on the second game of a back-to-back, an ideal opportunity for the Maple Leafs to deliver a decisive home victory.

Check out our Stanley Cup odds.

Panthers vs. Maple Leafs Best Odds

DraftKings (+145)

Pricing is consistent across most of the top sportsbooks, with the Maple Leafs -1.5 costing between -120 and -122.

There is some range on the puck line for this game, with DraftKings offering the most appealing return at +145. Relative to BetMGM and FanDuel, there is a 9-10 percent advantage at DraftKings, making it the obvious spot to make this bet.

Since the moneyline has moved a little towards Florida, I'm inclined to wait until closer to puck drop to grab the best price on Toronto’s puck line.

Panthers-Maple Leafs pick made 1/17/2023 at 2 p.m. ET.

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