🏒 Avalanche vs. Wild Prediction & Odds | Game 4 NHL Picks for Today, May 11
The Minnesota Wild upset the Colorado Avalanche with a statement 5-1 win in Game 3. Now the Wild get a chance to level this series at home in Game 4 against their Central Division rivals. Puck drop is set for 8 p.m. ET (ESPN) from Grand Casino Arena in Saint Paul, Minn.
My Avalanche vs. Wild prediction features a moneyline, a total, a player prop, and a correct score bet at +1400 odds. Oddsmakers have the Avalanche favored on the road again with -145 moneyline odds, while the total is set to 6.5.
🏒 Avalanche vs. Wild picks & odds today: May 11
See all of our experts' NHL picks based on the latest NHL odds.
| 💰 Pick | ⚖️ Bet size (units) | 🧠 Why I bet this |
|---|---|---|
| Wild ML (+120 via DraftKings) | 1u → 1.2u | Wild have won four straight games as home underdogs. |
| Under 6.5 (-118 via DraftKings) | 1u → 0.84u | Under 6.5 has won in four of last five matchups. |
| Ryan Hartman Over 0.5 points (-118 via FanDuel) | 1u → 0.84u | Three-game point streak intact. |
Total wagered: 3.0 units | Max profit: 2.88 units
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🏆 Who will win Avalanche vs. Wild?
Oddsmakers and public bettors continue to undervalue the Wild. Currently, 71% of moneyline wagers are on the Avalanche to bounce back in Game 4, despite Minnesota winning four straight games as a home underdog. However, Colorado is 10-1 straight up in its last 11 road starts.
But the Wild are 7-1 SU in their last eight home games. Minnesota also went 2-2 SU against the Avalanche in the regular season.
Kirill Kaprizov and Matt Boldy will lead the Wild to victory in this pivotal Game 4 tilt on home ice tonight.
Score prediction: Wild 3, Avalanche 2
💰 Avalanche vs. Wild prediction & best bet
Wild ML (+120)
Minnesota has won four straight games as a home underdog, including eight of its last nine matchups as an underdog at Grand Casino Arena. Wild goaltender Jesper Wallstedt was stout in Game 3 after surrendering eight goals in his first start of this series, posting an impressive 35 saves on 36 shots faced.
Picking Minnesota helps us avoid laying juice, while also aligning with multiple trends that back the Wild in these home underdog situations.
Head to DraftKings to get the best available price on the Wild's moneyline ahead of Game 4 tonight at +120 odds.
🔥 Best Avalanche vs. Wild player prop bet
Ryan Hartman Over 0.5 points(-118)
Ryan Hartman is one of Minnesota's unsung heroes during this series. He's been productive in every outing against the Avalanche, carrying a three-game point streak into Game 4 tonight.
Hartman logged over 20 minutes ATOI during the Wild's 5-1 win against Colorado in Game 3. He's scored two goals and notched an assist while skating on the first line with Kaprizov, in addition to the top power-play unit.
During the regular season, Hartman recorded a point in three of four head-to-head matchups against the Avalanche. He's stayed hot in this series, even during the lopsided losses on the road.
FanDuel offers the best price on Hartman to go Over 0.5 points in Game 4 against the Avalanche tonight at -118 odds.
🚀 Avalanche vs. Wild same-game parlay
The Wild have covered the puck line as a home underdog in 15 of their last 16 games. Under 6.5 has also won in three of Colorado's past five matchups, which is why I'm staking a full unit on this two-leg same-game parlay. Bet Wild +1.5 and under 6.5 for +175 odds on FanDuel.
💵 Avalanche vs. Wild SGP picks
- Wild +1.5 (-205)
- Under 6.5 (-118
Best odds: +175 via FanDuel (1u -> 1.75u)
💵 My betting record for NHL picks
All NHL picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since April 1.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 33-43-2 | +16.73 units ✅ | +26.0% ✅ |
| Game picks | 10-12 | +6.13 units ✅ | +35.1% ✅ |
| Player props | 9-15 | -1.89 units ❌ | -9.8% ❌ |
| Parlays | 6-10 | +11.32 units ✅ | +98.4% ✅ |
💡 How I'm betting Avalanche vs. Wild
Follow all of our NHL analysis and expert predictions this season.
I'm dropping 4.25 total units across five different bets on Game 4 between the Avalanche vs. Wild tonight. One full unit is reserved for the Wild moneyline, Under 6.5 total goals, and Hartman to log Over 0.5 points.
My two-leg same-game parlay also features a Wild puck line at +1.5, paired with Under 6.5 at +175 odds. I'm confident enough in this bet to designate one more unit at this plus-odds price.
Finally, at 0.25 units, I'm rolling out a correct score game prop. I've hit two of those so far during the playoffs, and it's a wager that can really spike your bankroll with a minimal stake. For tonight, I'm on the Wild to beat the Avalanche 3-2 at +1400 odds, which would return 3.5 units of profit.
📊 Live Avalanche vs. Wild odds: Game 4
The total has stayed flat at 6.5 for Game 4 between the Avalanche vs. Wild tonight. However, the Wild have become more profitable in moneyline betting markets, opening at +100, while moving down to +120 odds.
The public is hammering the Avalanche, with Colorado getting 71% of moneyline bets. Under 6.5 is drawing slightly more wagers at 52%, while the Wild are receiving 47% of puck line bets as a home underdog.
📈 Avalanche vs. Wild betting trends
| Avalanche | Statistic | Wild |
|---|---|---|
| 61-28 | W-L record | 51-40 |
| 46-43 | ATS record | 45-46 |
| 35-50-4 | O/U record | 50-37-4 |
| 4-1 | Last 5 games | 3-2 |
🚑 Avalanche vs. Wild injuries
📺 How to watch Avalanche vs. Wild Game 4
- Date: Monday, May 11
- Puck drop: 8 p.m. ET
- Location: Grand Casino Arena (Saint Paul, Minn.)
- TV: ESPN
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