Vikings vs. Packers Odds, Picks, Predictions Week 17: Rodgers Seeking Week 1 Revenge

The Minnesota Vikings have run away with the NFC North. Can the Vikings keep the Green Bay Packers from making a late push for the playoffs? Here are our Vikings vs. Packers NFL picks based on the best odds.

Here is a game recap of the Green Bay Packers' Week 1 game against the Minnesota Vikings:

It was a rough outing for the Packers offense in Week 1, but I think we're all expecting a different outcome this week. The Packers are in desperate need of Christian Watson to get back to full health, so this time he actually catches the wide open touchdown pass from Aaron Rodgers.

Here is our best Vikings vs. Packers NFL pick for Week 17 (odds via DraftKings Sportsbook; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Check out our NFL best bets and all of our top NFL picks for Week 17.

Vikings vs. Packers Game Info

Date: Sunday, Jan. 1, 2023, 4:25 p.m. ET
TV: CBS
Location: Lambeau Field, Green Bay, Wisconsin
Weather: 36 degrees, 8-mph winds, 0% chance of precipitation

Vikings vs. Packers Odds

Vikings vs. Packers Odds Analysis

Initially, the Packers were favored by 2.5 points on FanDuel's look-ahead line, but they moved to a 3.5-point favorite after their win over the Miami Dolphins in Week 16. The line has fluctuated between Packers -3 and Packers -3.5 for most of this week, and once it reaches Packers -3, it doesn't remain there very long. 

The total opened at 44.5, but by Tuesday afternoon, it had been bet up to 48.5. It has fluctuated between 47.5 and 48.5 since then. 

There has been a movement towards the Over not only on the total, but also on the passing yards props for Kirk Cousins and Aaron Rodgers. The market clearly anticipates an aerial assault, as Rodgers opened at 235.5 at DraftKings and is now trading at 255.5. Cousins, on the other hand, opened at 263.5, was up to 266.5 and is again trading at 263.5. 

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Vikings vs. Packers Pick

Over 48 ⭐⭐⭐⭐

After opening at 45.5, the total moved to 48.5 within 48 hours. Player props for the quarterbacks have been posted for less than 12 hours, and both have been moved to the Over. There is something that the market is trying to communicate to you here, and we're going to listen to it. 

It's important to note that you're not receiving the best of the number here since it was available earlier in the week at 45.5. However, I believe this total should trade at 50.5, so there is still value in this wager. 

Another good thing is that we have seen some buyback on the total once it reaches 48.5, so if you keep hunting all the sportsbooks, you should be able to scoop a 47.5. Our projected total of 50.5 indicates that the Over 48 should be priced at -135.

Therefore, with the Over 48 available at -110 and our price of -135, we can conclude that this bet has a positive expected value of 10%. 

Vikings vs. Packers Best Odds

FanDuel (-110)

While I have indicated that the best odds can be found at FanDuel, the truth is that they can be found anywhere except DraftKings at the moment. All of the top sportsbooks have the total trading at 47.5 (-110), except for DraftKings, which is charging -115 at that total. 

Vikings vs. Packers pick made 12/30/2022 at 10 a.m. ET.

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