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Kyler Murray Prop Picks, Predictions: 3 Player Props for Monday Night Football

Jon Metler

Last Updated: December 12, 2022 1:13 PM EST • 2 min 42 sec read.

Kyler Murray #1 of the Arizona Cardinals scrambles against the Los Angeles Rams during the fourth quarter in the NFC Wild Card Playoff game at SoFi Stadium on Jan. 17.
Kyler Murray #1 of the Arizona Cardinals scrambles against the Los Angeles Rams during the fourth quarter in the NFC Wild Card Playoff game at SoFi Stadium on Jan. 17. Harry How/Getty Images/AFP

Doubt is running rampant around the Arizona Cardinals and quarterback Kyler Murray. Read on for our Kyler Murray NFL prop picks based on the top odds for the Monday Night Football matchup against the New England Patriots.

Cardinals head coach Kliff Kingsbury is on the hot seat for the 4-8 Cardinals, and his fate is directly tied to the success of Murray, a quarterback the Cardinals selected with the first overall pick in the 2019 draft. With the New England Patriots coming to Glendale for Monday Night Football, what will be our strategy for attacking Murray's passing props?

Here are our Kyler Murray player prop picks for Week 14 (odds via PointsBet, BetMGM, and DraftKings Sportsbook; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Check out our Patriots-Cardinals NFL picks, our Monday Night Football prop picks, and our Patriots-Cardinals same-game parlay picks!

Patriots vs. Cardinals Odds

Kyler Murray Monday Night Football Prop Picks

  • Murray Under 240.5 passing yards (-115 via PointsBet) ★★★
  • Murray Under 22.5 passing completions (-110 via BetMGM) ★★★★
  • Murray Over 0.5 interceptions (-135 via DraftKings) ★★★

Kyler Murray Monday Night Football Prop Predictions

Murray Under 240.5 passing yards (-115) ★★★

The only person I wouldn't have to convince to bet the Under on Murray's passing props would be Patrick Peterson. The Minnesota Vikings corner and Murray's former teammate made some strong statements about the QB, claiming he's selfish and only cares about himself. 

When we examine the numbers surrounding this prop, we can see that betting on the Under is a good choice, since Murray is projected to throw for 233 yards against the Patriots. As a result of this projection, the Under of 240.5 should be trading at -147 instead of -115. 

You should place this bet with PointsBet since they're the only sportsbook that offers us a total of 240.5 for Murray's passing yards prop. Several other sportsbooks such as FanDuel, DraftKings, and Caesars are trading Murray at a total of 238.5. If you were to bet on Murray's passing prop at 238.5 rather than 240.5, you would be giving up 10 cents of the advantage you would have by buying the Under at 240.5 (-115).

Murray Under 22.5 passing completions (-110) ★★★★

There's a theme to Murray's passing props for Monday Night Football, which is largely due to the Patriots' stout passing defense. The Patriots rank third in passing defense DVOA in the NFL, according to Football Outsiders. There are only two teams with a better pass defense than the Patriots, the Dallas Cowboys and the Philadelphia Eagles. 

I'm seeing Murray projected for 21 completions against the Patriots on Monday. Therefore, the Under for Murray's total of 22.5 completions should be trading at -150 and not -110. In terms of 21 versus 22.5, it may seem like a small difference, but two extra completions makes a big difference. 

Interestingly, BetMGM has the worst price for the Under for Murray's passing yards because they have a total of 237.5, but when it comes to the Under for passing completions, BetMGM has the best price. All of the major sportsbooks are trading Murray at 22.5, but BetMGM has the lowest juice at -110.

Murray Over 0.5 interceptions (-135) ★★★

It would be rude to write this props article about Murray without providing the Over crowd with a pick. The trick, however, is that it's still a fade of Murray. The Patriots defense has 12 interceptions on the season, which ties them for sixth-most in the NFL, and I expect them to add to that total on Monday Night Football. 

I've played the Over on Murray's interceptions one other time this season and he cashed the ticket. My favorite thing about Murray is that although he has just seven interceptions, they've come from six different games this season. It's not as if he threw four interceptions in one game, and the defense completely fooled him. This season, Murray has cashed this prop at a rate of 60% (-150). 

DraftKings is offering the best price on Murray's interception total due to their low juice of -135 on the Over. It's trading three cents higher at -138 on FanDuel, and even higher at -142 on Caesars. 

Where to Bet on Monday Night Football Prop Picks

Best NFL Betting Sites:

Monday Night Football prop picks made 12/12/2022 at 7:30 a.m. ET.

Written By:
Jon Metler
Jon Metler is a Sports Betting Analyst at SportsbookReview.com. Having played, coached, and officiated basketball, he immediately turned his attention to the NBA and College Basketball when he entered the sports betting space. Sports betting has been a part of his life for over 13 years, and he specializes in futures markets and player props, particularly in the NBA. In pursuit of value, he keeps a close eye on movements in the betting markets. He believes strongly in analytics and staying ahead of the curve; let the numbers do the talking. A graduate of the University of Windsor with a degree in Sports Studies, Jon enjoys spending time with his dogs when he isn't watching basketball.