Justin Herbert Player Props & Odds vs. Steelers: Herbert Dominates Weak Pass Defense

My best Justin Herbert player props anticipate a solid game for the Chargers quarterback against one of the NFL's worst pass defenses in the Steelers. The Chargers are favored by 2.5 points in tonight’s 8:20 p.m. ET (NBC/Peacock) game at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, Calif.

We have much more Steelers vs. Chargers coverage in our NFL Week 10 predictions.

✅ Justin Herbert player prop bets vs. Steelers

See all of our NFL picks based on the latest NFL odds.

💰 Best Justin Herbert player prop picks for Week 10

⬆️ Justin Herbert Over 252.5 passing yards (-114) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Though Herbert is averaging over 265 passing yards per game, he’s actually only topped 252.5 yards four times. Herbert’s inconsistency at hitting this number is the only thing preventing this from being a five-star play.

The Steelers are allowing a league-worst 278.3 passing yards per game. They’re also allowing 7.4 yards per attempt and 11.1 yards per completion, both ninth worst in the league. And with the Chargers only favored by 2.5, the lead won’t ever be large enough for Herbert to stop throwing.

FanDuel’s price of -114 implies a 53.27% chance that Herbert hits this Over. A $10 bet would profit $8.77.

⬆️ Justin Herbert Over 23.5 completions (-109) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Herbert has completed fewer than 20 passes in back-to-back weeks. Yet, he’s completed at least 22 passes in six of his seven other games, and he’s topped 23.5 four times.

While Herbert’s attempts prop may be more tempting to some, Herbert is completing 67.7% of passes this season, and he’s topped 65% in seven of nine contests. The Steelers are allowing opposing quarterbacks to complete 66.7% of passes, and they’ve given up the second-most completions (216) in the league.

DraftKings’ price of -109 implies a 52.15% chance that Herbert hits this Over. A $10 bet would profit $9.17.

⬇️ Justin Herbert Under 35.5 yards longest completion (-110) ⭐⭐⭐

While I anticipate Herbert excelling in most areas, the Steelers are actually very good at preventing big plays in the passing game. Though they’ve allowed 28 completions of at least 20 yards (tied for seventh worst), they’ve only allowed three completions of more than 40 yards (tied for 10th best).

The Chargers have only four passes of 40 or more yards, tied for the 13th-fewest in the league. And while Herbert has hit this Over in six of his nine games, his longest pass is 37 yards or shorter in five contests. Last week, his longest pass was just 34 yards against the Titans.

BetMGM’s price of -110 implies a 52.38% chance that Herbert hits this Under. A $10 bet would profit $9.09. Esten McLaren backs Herbert as part of his Steelers vs. Chargers anytime touchdown scorer predictions.

📊 Justin Herbert player prop odds vs. Steelers

📺 How to watch Steelers vs. Chargers

• Date: Sunday, Nov. 9
• Kickoff: 8:20 p.m. ET
• Location: SoFi Stadium (Inglewood, Calif.)
• TV: NBC/Peacock

💡 More Sunday Night Football picks

• Steelers vs. Chargers prediction
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• Steelers vs. Chargers same-game parlay
• Steelers vs. Chargers anytime touchdown scorer predictions
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• Steelers vs. Chargers AI predictions
• Sunday Night Football betting report
• Steelers vs. Chargers expert picks