Davante Adams Player Prop Picks, Predictions for Thursday Night Football: Raiders Receiver Keeps Rolling
Few players are playing as well as Las Vegas Raiders receiver Davante Adams right now. Will he keep it up in a road meeting with the Los Angeles Rams on Thursday Night Football?
The Raiders have won three in a row entering Thursday’s matchup against the Rams, and Adams is a big reason for this recent run. Adams has received at least 11 targets in five consecutive games, catching seven or more passes in each outing. He has produced four 100-yard performances and scored seven total touchdowns over that span as well.
Here are our best Davante Adams player prop picks for Week 14 (odds via Caesars and FanDuel Sportsbook; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Check out Raiders vs. Rams picks, Thursday Night Football props, and our Josh Jacobs prop picks!
Raiders vs. Rams Odds
Davante Adams Thursday Night Football Prop Picks
- Over 6.5 receptions (-154 via Caesars) ★★★★★
- Over 88.5 receiving yards (-113 via FanDuel) ★★★★
- Under 26.5 yards for longest reception (-113 via Caesars) ★★★★
Davante Adams Thursday Night Football Prop Predictions
Over 6.5 receptions (-154) ★★★★★
Let’s start with the layup of the night, betting on Adams to finish with at least seven receptions. Adams might be in his first year with the Raiders, but the former Green Bay Packer has become Derek Carr’s go-to target. And it's easy to see why the former Fresno State Bulldog teammates like playing with each other.
Adams has received double-digit targets in eight of his 12 games this season. Only one of those games has Adams failed to catch at least seven passes. Adams has seven or more receptions in all but two contests since the calendar flipped to October.
This line is being offered at 7.5 at other sportsbooks, including a tantalizing +108 offering on the Over at FanDuel. But we like taking the juiced 6.5, as Adams has caught exactly seven passes in two of his last three outings. Caesars offers a slight discount on our preferred line for this particular prop. Pro Football Focus’ player prop tool suggests there is a 4.4% edge at this current number, even after eating a bit of juice.
Check out our Raiders-Rams touchdown prop picks and same-game parlay picks!
Over 88.5 receiving yards (-113) ★★★★
If we expect Adams to be involved enough to clear his reception total, it makes too much sense to bet Over on his yardage prop as well. FanDuel’s line of 88.5 is a yard or two below the consensus market, which certainly attracted us for this bet.
Adams has had no problem clearing this line of late. He piled up 177 yards in a 27-20 win over the Los Angeles Chargers last time out. He has recorded at least 126 yards in four of his last five contests.
For the season, Adams is averaging 98 receiving yards per game and has posted an average of 90 or above in each of the last three years. Adams has gone Over this total in eight of his 12 games this year, and we expect him to do so again against the Rams.
Under 26.5 yards for longest reception (-113) ★★★★
We are finally recommending an Under for Adams in Thursday’s primetime matchup. Unsurprisingly, Adams’ longest reception prop is the highest on the board for this Raiders-Rams showdown. In fact, no other player has a long reception higher than 18.5.
It's never a bad idea to fade the longest number on the board, especially when you consider how Adams has fared this season. Adams is averaging 14.9 yards per reception and 8.7 yards per target. Per PFF’s premium stats, Adams has caught 11 total passes of 20-plus yards on the season.
Adams has cleared this mark in five consecutive games, but all good things must come to an end. The Rams will likely provide safety help over the top to prevent big plays from Adams. This prop is set at 26.5 across the board, with Caesars offering a slight discount at -113 compared to the consensus juice of -115.
Where to Bet on Davante Adams Prop Picks
Davante Adams prop picks made 12/8/2022 at 11 a.m. ET
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