Commanders vs. Chargers Player Props Today: Justin Herbert Stays Hot

Washington allows 248.5 passing yards per game to its opponents (27th in NFL). That’s a favorable matchup for a Justin Herbert-led Los Angeles passing offense that averages 249.0 yards per game (5th in NFL).
Commanders vs. Chargers Player Props: NFL Week 5 Picks & Best Prop Bets
Pictured: Los Angeles Chargers quarterback Justin Herbert (10) drops back to pass. Photo by Brad Penner-Imagn Images

My best Commanders vs. Chargers player props today revolve around the budding connection between Justin Herbert and Quentin Johnston, which should be profitable for bettors again this week against the porous Washington secondary.

Our NFL predictions for Week 5 like Johnston to find the end zone for the fifth time on the young season. We also include a betting angle for Luke McCaffrey among our NFL picks as the 24-year-old has seen a steady increase to his workload in the early portion of the campaign.

The action for Commanders vs. Chargers kicks off from SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, Calif., Sunday at 4:25 p.m. ET (FOX). Los Angeles is a 2.5-point betting favorite.


🏈 Commanders vs. Chargers player props

NFL player prop bets for Week 5; odds subject to change.

  • Justin Herbert Over 264.5 passing yards (-108 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Luke McCaffrey Over 19.5 receiving yards (-115 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Quentin Johnston anytime TD scorer (+170 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

Most bet NFL games Week 5

Here are the most bet games of Week 5 at BetMGM:

Rank Most bet games (tickets) Most bet spreads (tickets) Most bet spreads (handle) Most bet totals (tickets)
1 Broncos at Eagles Lions -10.5 Lions -10.5 Cowboys at Jets Over 48
2 Cowboys at Jets Eagles -4 Eagles -4 Broncos at Eagles Over 44
3 Giants at Saints Cowboys -1.5 Cowboys -1.5 Lions at Bengals Over 49.5
4 Lions at Bengals Chargers -3 Commanders +3 Patriots at Bills Over 49.5
5 Raiders at Colts Colts -7 Bills -8 Texans at Ravens Under 40.5

💰 Best Commanders vs. Chargers player prop picks

Our NFL player prop odds tool shows the best odds for every market across legal sportsbooks in your area.

⬆️ Justin Herbert Over 264.5 passing yards (-108) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

Washington allows 248.5 passing yards per game to its opponents (27th in NFL). That’s a favorable matchup for a Justin Herbert-led Los Angeles passing offense that averages 249.0 yards per game (5th in NFL).

Herbert has thrown for 300+ yards in two of his four games and should have success against a Commanders unit that has permitted passing totals of 313, 289 and 292 over its past three games.

The best line on this prop comes from Caesars at 264.5 passing yards with -108 odds on Over. That comes with an implied probability of 51.92%. A winning $10 wager on this prop would profit $9.26.


⬆️ Luke McCaffrey Over 19.5 receiving yards (-115) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

The Washington receiving corps is decimated this week, with Terry McLaurin and Noah Brown already ruled out of action. Deebo Samuel practiced in full Friday to get back on track to play in Sunday’s game, but we could still see increased opportunities for Luke McCaffrey in Brown’s role in the slot.

McCaffrey has logged 19+ receiving yards in three straight games as his snap share has slowly increased week over week during that span. Though the Chargers are stingy against the pass (158.8 yards per game), the bulk of the receiving yard production (70.8%) against LA’s defense comes from the wide receiver position.

DraftKings offers the most competitive odds for Over bettors on this prop (-115), with an implied probability of 53.49%. A winning $10 wager on this prop would profit $8.70.


🔥 Quentin Johnston anytime TD scorer (+170) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

It’s been a breakout season for Quentin Johnston, who has scored four touchdowns in four games to begin the year. He has found the end zone at least once in three of the four games (75%).

The Commanders have allowed five touchdowns to wide receivers across four games (tied for 6th-most in NFL). In a projected strong passing environment, Johnston’s newfound nose for the end zone provides strong value on this plus-money prop.

FanDuel offers the best odds on this prop at +170. The implied probability at those odds is 37.04%. A winning $10 wager on this prop would profit $17.00.


🎟️ Commanders vs. Chargers betting insights

Here are some Commanders vs. Chargers betting insights via BetMGM in the hours before kickoff:

  • There's a split on the spread, with the Commanders getting 53% of the handle to cover +3, but the Chargers receiving 64% of the money to cover -3
  • The Under on 47 points is getting 54% of the bets and 64% of the handle
  • There's a near even divide on the moneyline, with the Chargers getting the narrow edge at 52% as the -160 favorites

📊 Commanders vs. Chargers odds

Latest NFL odds updated live in real time.


📺 How to watch Commanders vs. Chargers: NFL Week 5

  • Date: Sunday, Oct. 5
  • Kickoff: 4:25 p.m. ET
  • Where: SoFi Stadium (Inglewood, Calif.)
  • TV: FOX

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