Broncos vs. Lions Prediction, Pick & Odds Week 15: Saturday Night Football

Check out our top prediction for the Saturday Night Football matchup between the Broncos and Lions based on the best NFL odds.

Week 15 comes with an extra day of action, and we're diving into the added prime-time game between the Denver Broncos and the Detroit Lions with our top Broncos vs. Lions prediction for Saturday Night Football based on the best NFL odds at our best sportsbooks.

In a rare Saturday Night Football matchup, the 7-6 Denver Broncos, firmly in contention for an NFL playoff spot, take on the NFC North-leading Detroit Lions.

Both teams find themselves deeply entrenched in the playoff race, adding crucial implications to this game for their postseason aspirations. The Broncos, looking to solidify their position, face the challenge of playing against the division-leading Lions. This sets the stage for a high-stakes battle as both teams vie for a crucial victory.

Bouncing back from their road loss to the Houston Texans, the Broncos demolished the Chargers in Los Angeles. Denver has won six of its last seven games and shares the same record as the Buffalo Bills, Pittsburgh Steelers, Cincinnati Bengals, Indianapolis Colts, and Texans. The AFC is officially heating up.

Meanwhile, the Lions experienced a brutal loss in Chicago in their last game, succumbing to the Bears with a 28-13 score. Detroit still holds the top spot in the division with its 9-4 record, and it aims to rebound from that defeat in this significant primetime showdown at home.

In addition to our NFL Week 15 predictions and NFL Week 15 player props and to accompany our Broncos vs. Lions player props and as part of our Week 15 NFL predictions, here is our best Broncos vs. Lions prediction for Saturday Night Football (odds via our best NFL betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Broncos vs. Lions prediction: Saturday Night Football

Jared Goff Over 1.5 rushing yards (+100 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Of course, for our top Saturday Night Football prediction, we turn our attention to known speedster Jared Goff. The Lions quarterback has recorded a blistering 21 rushing yards on 29 attempts, so you're probably wondering why we're backing his rushing yardage total rather than his attempts. The answer is simple: value.

Eleven of the 13 starting quarterbacks to face the Broncos this year have gone Over this number, and the only two who failed to do so - Tua Tagovailoa and Justin Herbert - didn't attempt a single carry.

Across nine different projection models, Goff doesn't have an expected rushing yards total below 2.3. Seven of the nine models project Goff to run for three-plus yards and five of those have him above 4.5 yards. NumberFire comes at a high of 6.83, and his average rushing yards projection across the nine is 4.43.

These +100 odds at bet365 suggest this is a coin-flip, while our projections tell us it's very much the opposite. I would be more hesitant to play this prop if Goff's average projection hovered around two yards, but we're getting a very comfortable cushion here.

This could be a sweaty one if the Lions are in a position to take knees at the end of the game, but the value at our best sportsbooks is worth it.

Our Philip Wood also has some Jared Goff player props lined up.

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Broncos vs. Lions best odds

bet365 (+100)

DraftKings FanDuel BetMGM Caesars bet365
N/A N/A Over 1.5 Over 1.5 Over 1.5
N/A N/A (-105) (-106) +100

Just three of our best sports betting apps are brave enough to post this market, and bet365 is the only one with better than minus money.

The shortest price is actually found at Pinnacle, which features one of the most respected trading teams in the betting industry. It lists Over 1.5 at -111 after opening at -105. That tells us there's been some sharp action on the Over.

For the best odds on this bet, be sure to use our exclusive bet365 bonus code: SBRBONUS!

Broncos vs. Lions odds for Saturday Night Football

Broncos vs. Lions odds analysis

This spread opened at Lions -4 or -4.5, depending on which of our best sportsbooks you use. It's now sitting at -4.5 at all of our best sports betting sites.

Betting on the total has been quite decisive, too. Roughly 61% of the action is on the Over, with the total hovering around 46.5 at most of our sites with the best sportsbook promos.

Saturday Night Football game info

  • When: Saturday, Dec. 16 at 8:15 p.m. ET
  • Where: Ford Field, Detroit, MI
  • How to watch: NFL Network
  • Weather: Indoors

Broncos-Lions prediction made 12/14/2023 at 12 p.m. ET

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