Broncos vs. Lions NFL Player Props, Odds: Saturday Night Football Prop Bets

Check out our Saturday Night Football NFL player props for the Week 15 matchup between the Broncos and Lions.

Andrew Brennan

Last Updated: December 16, 2023 3:12 PM EST • 5 minute read

We're getting four days of NFL action in Week 15, including a Saturday Night Football game featuring an exciting tilt between the Detroit Lions and the visiting Denver Broncos, and we have you covered with our top Broncos vs. Lions player props based on the best NFL odds at our best sportsbooks.

Saturday Night Football is back, offering what should be an exhilarating matchup in the Motor City.

Following a disappointing loss to the Chicago Bears, the Lions host the Broncos, who bounced back in Week 14 to demolish the suddenly reeling Los Angeles Chargers.

In this bounce-back scenario, can Detroit's skill-position players step up? Or will Denver's defense continue to impress in the second half of the season?

In addition to our NFL Week 15 predictions and NFL Week 15 player props and to accompany Andrew Brennan's Broncos vs. Lions NFL predictions, here are our best Broncos vs. Lions NFL player props for Saturday Night Football (odds via our best NFL betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Broncos vs. Lions NFL player props: Saturday Night Football

Jahmyr Gibbs Under 27.5 receiving yards (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐

Of the Lions' two featured running backs, rookie Jahmyr Gibbs is the one who gets more passing-game volume. However, he's cleared this total in only five of his 11 games during 2023. Additionally, he's failed to reach 20 receiving yards in each of his last three, and two of the games in which he did clear this total were when Detroit was without fellow running back David Montgomery.

The only thing that gives us pause about this prop is that Gibbs' receiving yards projections are a bit all over the map. He features a low of 22.4 receiving yards but a high of 33. Generally, I don't love when my trusted projection models are in such disagreement.

On the other hand, we're getting a good number and price at the best sportsbooks on this bet. A couple of our best sports betting apps, including FanDuel, have already moved this number to 26.5. For those NFL prop betting sites still offering 27.5, the Under is juiced more heavily than the -110 odds at bet365.

Pinnacle, one of the most respected trading teams in the betting industry, is pricing the Under at -133.

We're getting nearly 10% positive expected value while playing Gibbs' receiving yards Under at bet365.

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David Montgomery Under 70.5 rushing yards (-114 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐

This is a bit of a dangerous one because the Broncos have been pitiful against the run during 2023. However, there are a couple of reasons why we like this bet.

First, FanDuel is way off with this total. The rest of our best sports betting sites are setting Montgomery's rushing total at 65.5, with Pinnacle a yard higher at 66.5. The latter's number has come down two full yards since Wednesday night.

The second reason we like this bet is Montgomery's projected total rushing yards. Across the nine projection models we referenced, his average total is 64.66 yards. His high is 74.6, but only one model projects him to break the 70-yard threshold. Meanwhile, NumberFire is on the low end at 59.29.

With this projection and FanDuel's rogue number, we're getting better than 20% +EV on this bet. Be sure to use our exclusive FanDuel promo code before this number is gone!

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Jared Goff Under 23.5 passing completions (+105 via BetMGM)⭐⭐⭐

Three Lions Unders in one article? Yes, I'm an absolute sicko. But value is value.

This number has already dropped a full completion at all of our best sportsbooks after opening at 24.5. But the Under is still the play even at 23.5, especially through these generous +105 odds at BetMGM.

The worry about this bet is that there's been aggressive two-way action at Pinnacle. The Under has been as short as -143 since moving to 23.5 (at 10 a.m. ET on Thursday) and as long as -111 (1:30 p.m. ET that same day). However, the key is that even the longest price is still significantly shorter than the odds we're getting at BetMGM.

We can also look to Goff's projections to calm our worries. His average projected completions total across seven different models is 22.8, so we're getting around one full completion over that total. With that projection and this price, this bet is showing roughly 17% +EV.

If you use our exclusive BetMGM bonus code: SBRBONUS quickly enough, you should be able to catch this price before it moves back to minus money, as was the case earlier Thursday morning.

Broncos-Lions NFL player props for Saturday Night Football made 12/14/2023 at 1 p.m. ET

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Written by:
Andrew Brennan

Andrew Brennan is a publishing editor for Sportsbook Review. He also heads the website’s MLB coverage, from the various futures markets to daily picks. Andrew believes a math-based approach is the best way to enjoy long-term success in sports betting, and he’s spent the better part of the last year fine-tuning his own process for MLB, NBA, and NFL picks. Andrew uses eight different sportsbooks to find the best odds available and various projection models to gather as much information as he can. His most used sportsbooks are bet365, FanDuel, and theScore Bet. When it comes to daily projection models, he regularly references NumberFire across all sports, as it’s one of the best free tools available. In terms of which daily markets Andrew attacks, he almost exclusively bets on pitcher strikeouts for baseball. When the winter rolls around, you’ll see him providing more variety when it comes to the NBA (points, assists, rebounds) and NFL (almost any offensive-based player prop). He used these tools to go +150 units in 2023. Andrew is also a passionate fantasy sports player. He’s played fantasy football, fantasy Premier League, and fantasy baseball for the last decade. He graduated from Durham College with his diploma in journalism after earning his degree in law from Carleton University. He’s worked in sports media since early 2017, first contributing at FanSided before moving to theScore. He joined SBR in 2022.