Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Player Props | NBA Prop Picks & Best Bets for Christmas Day

My Timberwolves vs. Nuggets player props tackle the final game of the NBA’s Christmas Day slate. Tipoff is 10:30 p.m. ET on Christmas Day at Ball Arena on ABC/ESPN.

Denver is a 4-point favorite after winning the first two matchups with Minnesota this season. Will the Wolves get their revenge in this rivalry clash between two Western Conference foes?

🏀 Timberwolves vs. Nuggets player prop picks: Christmas Day

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Peyton Watson Under 17.5 points + rebounds (-129) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

After Cameron Johnson suffered an injury on Tuesday, the market appears to believe Peyton Watson will see the biggest boost in production. But that hasn’t really been the case this season.

According to Databallr, Watson averages 4.3 fewer points and 2.2 fewer rebounds per 75 possessions when playing without Johnson. In his lone game without Johnson (against the Timberwolves, oddly enough), Watson finished with 12 points and three rebounds on Nov. 15.

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Jonas Valanciunas Over 7.5 points (-128) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

For the first time since 2021, the Nuggets have a positive net rating (+6.4, per Databallr) when Nikola Jokic is on the bench. That’s because the team brought in Jonas Valanciunas to be Denver’s backup center.

Valanciunas is averaging 8.4 points per game this season, clearing this line in 16 of his 21 contests. He’s scored at least eight points in 11 straight games, including double figures four times in his past six outings.

Julius Randle Under 4.5 assists (+117) ⭐⭐⭐

Give me a +117 price tag on Under 4.5 assists for Julius Randle, who hasn’t been successful as a passer of late. Randle has failed to clear this assist line in four of his previous five contests.

More than that, Randle hasn’t dished more than eight potential assists in four straight games. I suspect he’d prefer to find ways to score in a potential matchup against Watson, who is about 10 pounds lighter than Johnson. Randle, who is 250 pounds, can power his way to the hoop.

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📺 How to watch Timberwolves vs. Nuggets

• Date: Thursday, Dec. 25
• Tipoff: 10:30 p.m. ET
• Location: Ball Arena (Denver, CO)
• TV: ABC/ESPN