🏀 Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Player Props Today: NBA Playoff Picks & Best Bets for Game 5
The Denver Nuggets will look to stave off elimination on Monday against a Minnesota Timberwolves team playing without both Anthony Edwards and Donte DiVincenzo.
My Timberwolves vs. Nuggets player props today for Game 5 include fading both Nikola Jokic and Julius Randle. Tipoff is at 10:30 p.m. ET at Ball Arena in Denver (NBC, Peacock), with the Nuggets a 10.5-point home betting favorite.
🏀 Best Timberwolves vs. Nuggets player props today: NBA playoff picks for Game 5
See all of our experts' NBA picks based on the latest NBA odds; picks rated on a 1-to-5 star confidence scale based on betting value.
| 💰 Pick | 💡 Best odds | ⚖️ Bet size | 🧠 Why I'm making this bet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic Under 31.5 points | -120 via DraftKings | 0.7u -> 0.58u | Under 31.5 points in six of his last eight vs. T-Wolves |
| Julius Randle Under 28.5 points + rebounds | -108 via DraftKings | 0.5u -> 0.46u | Averaged 26.5 points + rebounds without Ant |
Total wagered: 1.2 units | Max profit: 1.04 units
💰 Best Timberwolves vs. Nuggets prop bet
Nikola Jokic Under 31.5 points (-120)
Rudy Gobert has rightly been receiving his flowers for how he's defended Nikola Jokic in the playoffs. The three-time NBA MVP has been completely bottled up in this series, averaging 25 points while making less than 40% of his shots.
Jokic is playing well below the standard we've come to expect from him in the postseason, but he's actually gone Under this scoring total in six of his last eight games versus the Timberwolves. I'm paying up slightly to get the extra point of wiggle room at DraftKings (30.5 total at FanDuel).
Jokic is also featured in our NBA player props today.
🔥 More Timberwolves vs. Nuggets prop picks
Julius Randle Under 28.5 points + rebounds (-108)
Julius Randle will certainly have an increased offensive presence with Anthony Edwards out of the lineup, but this total is a market overreaction to the Timberwolves playing without their star guard.
Randle has only exceeded this combo prop total once in four playoff games while averaging 26.5 points + rebounds in 10 games without Edwards during the regular season. I'm not sure he's built to shoulder the load as well as the best sports betting sites project him to tonight.
I'll be fading the forward at DraftKings' -108 odds, but there's value up to -115.
🚀 Timberwolves vs. Nuggets same-game parlay
I added the Nuggets' moneyline to my Timberwolves vs. Nuggets parlay to make it a 3-leg wager. Denver will roll at home with its back against the wall, but I still envision Nikola Jokic (as well as Julius Randle) falling short of their scoring expectations. DraftKings offers the best value here at +324 odds.
💵 Timberwolves vs. Nuggets SGP picks
- Nuggets ML (-500)
- Nikola Jokic Under 31.5 points (-120)
- Julius Randle Under 28.5 points + rebounds (-108)
Best odds: +324 via DraftKings (0.2u -> 0.65u)
💵 My betting record for NBA picks
All NBA picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since April 18.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-13 | +2.2 units ✅ | 27.25% ✅ |
| Player props | 10-8 | +1.84 units ✅ | 16.5% ✅ |
| Parlays | 2-5 | +0.36 units ✅ | 22.5% ✅ |
💡 How I'm betting Timberwolves vs. Nuggets
Follow all of our NBA analysis and expert predictions this season.
I've seen enough from the Jokic vs. Gobert matchup in this series to fade the Nuggets' superstar. I also don't have a ton of faith in Randle in this spot. However, neither wager is getting a full unit from me because how the Edwards injury impacts this series has yet to be fully seen. So there's enough unknown for me to dial back my betting approach slightly.
Bankroll management is crucial in sports betting, so be smart with yours.
🚑 Timberwolves vs. Nuggets injuries
📺 How to watch Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Game 5
- Date: Monday, April 27
- Tipoff: 10:30 p.m. ET
- Location: Ball Arena (Denver)
- TV: NBC
- Streaming: Peacock
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