🏀 Thunder vs. Suns Player Props Today: NBA Picks & Best Bets for Game 4
The Oklahoma City Thunder can finish off a Round 1 sweep against the Phoenix Suns in Game 4 at 9:30 p.m. ET on Monday at Mortgage Matchup Center in Phoenix, airing on Peacock.
Oklahoma City enters tonight as a 10.5-point favorite to complete the sweep. The real question is whether Phoenix shows any resistance in an elimination spot. I break down that dynamic in my Thunder vs. Suns player props, part of Monday’s NBA picks and best bets.
🏀 Best Thunder vs. Suns player props today: NBA picks for Game 4
See all of our experts' NBA picks based on the latest NBA odds; picks rated on a 1-to-5 star confidence scale based on betting value.
| Player | Prop bet | Units | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Booker, G, Suns | Under 29.5 points + assists (-109 via DraftKings) | 1u -> 0.92u | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Ajay Mitchell, G, Thunder | Under 3.5 assists (-105 via bet365) | 1u -> 0.95u | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
Total wagered: 2 units | Max profit: 1.87 units
💰 Best Thunder vs. Suns prop bet
Devin Booker Under 29.5 points + assists (-109)
If the Suns show any signs of giving up early tonight, I love this Under a lot. Even if they play until the end, Devin Booker has struggled in this head-to-head matchup.
In five head-to-head meetings this year, Booker is averaging 21.2 points and 5.6 assists on a 23.4% usage. He's only cleared this combo line once against the Thunder, though he has yet to do it in Round 1.
Despite that track record, this combo line has actually climbed from 27.5 in Game 1. To me, that seems like a mistake.
Booker is also featured in our NBA player props today.
🔥 More Thunder vs. Suns prop picks
Ajay Mitchell Under 3.5 assists (-105)
I've typically backed Ajay Mitchell when the Thunder are missing Jalen Williams, as he takes his place in the starting lineup. In fact, I cashed a ticket on Mitchell's first-quarter points prop in Game 3.
But for as much as Mitchell's scoring impact increases without Williams, the market generally overrates his performance as a facilitator. His assist line is 3.5 after being 2.5 earlier in the series. But even without Williams, Mitchell has failed to clear this assist line in 19 of 30 games.
This Under costs as much as -140 at BetMGM, highlighting the bargain at bet365, especially if this game ends up being lopsided.
🚀 Thunder vs. Suns same-game parlay
In addition to my player props, I've added Thunder's spread to this parlay. My approach to this game is that Oklahoma City should roll against a Phoenix team that might give up by the second half.
💵 Thunder vs. Suns SGP picks
- Devin Booker Under 29.5 points + assists (-114)
- Ajay Mitchell Under 3.5 assists (-128)
- Thunder -10.5 (-116)
Best odds: +352 via FanDuel (0.1u -> 0.35u)
💵 My betting record for NBA picks
All NBA picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since March 28.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-29 | +4.24 units ✅ | 11% ✅ |
| Player props | 21-17 | +5.16 units ✅ | 14.3% ✅ |
| Parlays | 4-11 | +0.08 units ✅ | 5.4% ✅ |
💡 How I'm betting Thunder vs. Suns
Follow all of our NBA analysis and expert predictions this season.
With three NBA playoff games on the slate, this is the one that feels destined for the second screen. There’s real blowout potential here, especially if Phoenix folds at any point in an elimination matchup against the defending champs.
Given that script, I’m projecting lighter minutes for several key players, which makes a pair of Unders stand out. I’ll keep fading Booker in this spot, and Mitchell’s assist line also looks a bit too high.
Ideally, this series wraps tonight so we don’t have to revisit a Game 5.
🚑 Thunder vs. Suns injuries
📺 How to watch Thunder vs. Suns Game 4
- Date: Monday, April 27
- Tipoff: 9:30 p.m. ET
- Location: Mortgage Matchup Center (Phoenix)
- TV: Peacock
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