NBA Finals MVP Odds & Favorites 2026: SGA Leads Jokic, Brunson
Oklahoma City Thunder superstar Shai Gilgeous-Alexander leads the NBA Finals MVP odds entering the 2025-26 campaign after winning the award for the first time last year.
Gilgeous-Alexander, also the regular-season NBA MVP odds favorite once again, is listed at +325 odds. That's well ahead of Nikola Jokic (+850), Jalen Brunson (+1000), Donovan Mitchell (+1200), and Kevin Durant (+1800).
However, my NBA picks focus on another Thunder star whose odds offer better value.
đ NBA Finals MVP odds 2026
Our 2026 NBA Finals MVP odds update in real time based on the NBA odds.
đ NBA Finals MVP odds favorite
⥠Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Thunder (+325)
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander just had a year for the history books last season, winning his first regular-season MVP, NBA championship, and Finals MVP in 2024-25.
Oddsmakers are expecting another banner year for the Canadian, as he's the odds-on favorite to win both MVP awards again for the NBA championship odds leading Thunder.
If Oklahoma City, clearly the league's top team when at its best, wins its second straight championship, the award is likely to go to the club's top star - and arguably the world's best player today.
At +325, a $10 bet on SGA to win Finals MVP would net a $32.50 profit. His odds translate to an implied probability of 23.53%, per our odds calculator.
đ My NBA Finals MVP prediction & best bet
đŠī¸ Jalen Williams, Thunder (+5000)
Are there better players than Jalen Williams on the oddsboard? Certainly. Is he only the second-best player on his own team? No doubt.
But his +5000 odds, with an implied probability of 1.96%, make him an enticing target to bet on. The Thunder are head-and-shoulders the best team in the league. Given their depth and overall talent, it's feasible that they win this year's title without Gilgeous-Alexander at his best in the Finals.
Williams is Oklahoma City's second-best scorer, and he impacts games on the defensive side of the floor as well. It's possible he outplays his own team's MVP in a series, especially if their opponent is focusing all of its efforts on slowing down SGA.
We have yet to see what a fully-formed Williams looks like, as he's still just 24 and coming off his first All-Star and All-NBA selections last season.
A winning $10 wager on Williams would net a $500 profit.
đĸ NBA Finals MVP opening odds
Odds via FanDuel.
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: +230
- Nikola Jokic: +900
- Donovan Mitchell: +1000
- Jalen Brunson: +1200
- Luka Doncic: +1700
- Kevin Durant: +1800
- Anthony Edwards: +2200
- Kawhi Leonard: +2500
- Paolo Banchero: +2700
- Evan Mobley: +3000
đ NBA Finals MVP past award winners
| Team | Year | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | 2025 | +1000 |
| Jaylen Brown | 2024 | +700 |
| Nikola Jokic | 2023 | -350 |
| Stephen Curry | 2022 | -110 |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo | 2021 | +275 |
| LeBron James | 2020 | -160 |
| Kawhi Leonard | 2019 | +245 |
| Kevin Durant | 2018 | -135 |
| Kevin Durant | 2017 | +190 |
| LeBron James | 2016 | +225 |
| Andre Iguodala | 2015 | +12500 |
| Kawhi Leonard | 2014 | +1800 |
| LeBron James | 2013 | -250 |
â NBA Finals MVP FAQs
Who is the favorite to win NBA Finals MVP this season?
Oklahoma City Thunder guard Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is the favorite to win his second straight NBA Finals MVP at +325 odds.
Who won the NBA Finals MVP last year?
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander won NBA Finals MVP after defeating the Indiana Pacers in Game 7 of the NBA Finals.
When will the 2026 NBA Finals MVP be announced?
The NBA Finals MVP award will be announced following the conclusion of the 2026 NBA Finals in June.
đ° NBA betting odds pages
(21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER)
* Bonuses not applicable in Ontario.
Not intended for use in MA.
Each betting site featured on SBR has been meticulously researched and selected by our team of experts. If you sign up through our links, we may get a commission.
Related Articles
