Bucks vs. Warriors NBA Player Props, Odds: Picks & Predictions for Wednesday

Check out our top NBA player props for Wednesday's matchup between the Bucks and Warriors based on the best odds.

Philip Wood

Last Updated: September 11, 2024 3:01 PM EDT • 6 minute read

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The Golden State Warriors host the Milwaukee Bucks in a potential NBA Finals preview, as we pick the best Bucks vs. Warriors NBA player props based on the best NBA odds.

After getting bludgeoned by the Boston Celtics earlier this week, the Golden State Warriors need a win in the worst way. They'll have their work cut out Wednesday against the Milwaukee Bucks, with those two tipping off at 10 p.m. ET on ESPN.

The Bucks, whose NBA Finals odds remained short even after a tough stretch, have now won six straight games entering Wednesday's tilt with the Warriors. The last time these teams played, the Bucks won by 11 behind a game-high 33 points from Giannis Antetokounmpo in a game that Stephen Curry didn't play in.

This time around, Curry is back on the court while Antetokounmpo is questionable, leading the Warriors to be favored across our best sports betting sites. Can the Dubs get back on track, or can the Bucks survive with or without their injured star?

To accompany our Clippers vs. Rockets NBA player props, here are our best Bucks vs. Warriors NBA player props and NBA picks (odds via our best NBA betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Bucks vs. Warriors NBA player props: Wednesday

Stephen Curry Over 5.5 3-pointers (+104 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐
Damian Lillard Over 32.5 points + assists (-105 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Jonathan Kuminga Under 16.5 points (-102 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐

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Bucks vs. Warriors props

Stephen Curry Over 5.5 3-pointers (+104 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐

In Sunday’s loss to the Celtics, Curry had one of his worst shooting performances of the season. He made just two baskets and he finished 0-for-9 from 3-point range. While that game was alarming, he had knocked down at least seven 3-pointers in back-to-back games before that performance.

The Bucks are one of the better teams in the NBA at defending the 3-point line. They’re allowing opponents to score just 36.8 points per game from deep, which ranks ninth in the league. However, Curry is shooting 41.9% from behind the arc in home games this season, and after such an abysmal performance his last time out, he’s going to play much better tonight.

Make sure you shop around. Only two of our best sports betting apps are currently offering this prop for a price of +100 or better. As of Wednesday morning, FanDuel is offering the best odds, but that could change quickly if bettors back Curry in a get-right spot.

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Damian Lillard Over 32.5 points + assists (-105 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

After back-to-back games with fewer than 20 points, Lillard came out and put up 41 in the Bucks win over the Los Angeles Clippers on Monday. It was the first time he scored at least 40 points since Jan. 20 against the Detroit Pistons.

While Lillard won’t score as many points tonight, he should be able to top his season average of 24.5 with Khris Middleton out. In the first meeting between these two, he finished with 27. So, the question will be how many assists does Lillard dish out? In the first meeting he had seven, which was just above his season average. He’s recorded at least six assists in six of his last eight games. If he hits that many tonight, then he should hit this Over.

The reason we’re taking this prop, instead of Lillard Over 26.5 points, is that there’s always a chance the Bucks point guard struggles from the floor. But he's capable of making up for that by assisting on somewhere between seven and 10 baskets, as he has done often in recent games.

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Jonathan Kuminga Under 16.5 points (-102 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐

Kuminga was excellent in the first meeting between these two teams. Additionally, he’s scored at least 21 points in three of his last four games. However, he’s still only averaging 15.6 per game this season, and with the Warriors at full strength tonight, he’s not going to be as involved in the offense as he was in the first game.

What makes this prop interesting is the wide range of odds being offered at our best sportsbooks. Every major sportsbook except for FanDuel has the total set at 17.5. The best price available for the Under is -129. That implies a 56.33% chance that Kuminga will go Under, according to our odds calculator.

FanDuel is offering -102 for Under 16.5, which implies odds of 50.49% for him to hit the Under. It’s surprising to see a difference of nearly 6% for one point. Therefore, the better play is on the smaller number, as there is more value to be had.

Bucks-Warriors NBA player props made Wednesday at 9:41 a.m. ET.

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Written by:
Philip Wood

Phil has covered sports betting since 2016 and has been sharing his NFL experience with SportsBook Review since 2022. He previously hosted the College Football Pick 'Em podcast for CanesInsight.com. He is always looking for value, especially on lines that just seem too good to be true. His belief is that if a line doesn't make sense just assume oddsmakers know something you don't. He also loves in-season futures. There is so much value to be had as the public overreacts weekly. Bettors tend to forget just how long NFL and college football seasons are. After all, the Green Bay Packers were 2-5 in 2023 and they made it to the Divisional Round. When deciding where to bet, it comes down to value over everything. +100 is always better than -110. An alumnus of The U, Phil always holds out hope that the next head coach will be the one who turns the football program around. He is also a diehard Detroit Lions fan and is willing to forgive Dan Campbell for forgetting that a kicker can be useful.