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Best NBA Player Props Today, Feb. 13: Fading Edwards in Showdown With Thunder

Andrew Brennan

Last Updated: February 13, 2025 4:04 PM EST • 3 min 60 sec read.

We offer our best NBA player props today.
Pictured: Minnesota Timberwolves guard Anthony Edwards and teammate Joe Ingles talk during a game against the Milwaukee Bucks. Photo by Brad Rempel via Imagn Images.

It's been almost an entire week of the NBA being the only show in town, and the Association will take center stage this weekend with its All-Star festivities.

But before the game's biggest stars gather in San Francisco, we have one more day of regular-season action. My best NBA player props today bring you picks from three of the day's five exciting games.

All but two of the teams involved in today's action are right in the thick of the playoff race, so with plenty of heavy hitters set to square off, let's dive into the NBA odds and find some player props.

Best NBA player prop bets

Pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale; odds via our best NBA betting sites.

  • Amen Thompson player prop pick: Under 5.5 assists (+125 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • DeMar DeRozan player prop pick: Over 3.5 assists (+135 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Trey Murphy player prop pick: Under 4.5 assists (+112 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Anthony Edwards player prop pick: Under 29.5 points (-105 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐

NBA player prop picks today

See our NBA player prop odds tool for the latest odds at the best legal sportsbooks in your region.

Amen Thompson (Rockets) Under 5.5 assists ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: +125 via bet365 | Implied probability: 44.44%

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Amen Thompson is coming off a triple-double against the Phoenix Suns, during which he recorded 11 assists. It's exactly for that reason that we're getting such a good price on this player prop today.

  • Thompson has gone Over this number in just two of his last five, and he's averaging 4.8 assists per game as a starter
  • He's projected for right around that mark on Thursday with 4.6 assists
  • Based on that projection, we're getting a whopping 52% positive expected value, which is why this is five stars
  • You want to talk about value? The break-even point on this player prop is -219
  • With the Warriors' veterans potentially not playing, this one could be a blowout, leading to limited minutes for Thompson

Amen Thompson player props vs. Warriors

DeMar DeRozan (Kings) Over 3.5 assists ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: +135 via bet365 | Implied probability: 42.55%

On the flip side, there are multiple reasons we should be optimistic about DeMar DeRozan's ability to facilitate for teammates when his Sacramento Kings take on the lowly New Orleans Pelicans.

  • He's gone Over this number in three of the last five, and he's averaging 4.4 assists this month
  • DeRozan is projected for 4.3 assists on Thursday, so based on that number, a "fair" price would be -157
  • I'd play this at any of the odds available at our best sports betting sites, including DraftKings' +114
  • However, you want to maximize your potential profit by placing this player prop at bet365; the difference in potential profit between those two prices on a $10 wager is $2.10

DeMar DeRozan player props vs. Pelicans

Trey Murphy (Pelicans) Under 4.5 assists ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: +112 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 47.17%

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Trey Murphy has been one of the few bright spots for an otherwise abysmal Pelicans team. His numbers have jumped across the board from last year, including his assists per game. If you look at what he's done recently, this player prop might terrify you.

  • Murphy has gone Over this total in four straight, including last night's game between these teams
  • However, he's projected for just 3.1 assists on Thursday, and a big reason for that is because the Pelicans could be without some of their more established players (including Zion Williamson) on the second night of a back to back
  • Therefore, based on that projection, a fair price on this Under would be -390
  • That's why we're getting a whopping 67% +EV on this player prop

Trey Murphy player props vs. Kings

Is Zion Williamson playing today?

There hasn't been an official announcement, but it's very unlikely Zion plays tonight on the second game of a back to back.

Anthony Edwards (Timberwolves) Under 29.5 points ⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: -105 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 51.22%

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It never feels good fading Anthony Edwards, especially when he's one of the few players on today's slate with a hefty minutes projection. However, there's still a lot to like about his points Under.

  • Edwards is averaging 27.5 points per game this season, and he managed only 28 on Wednesday against the Milwaukee Bucks
  • The main reason his points total is inflated is because in the three games prior, he scored 44, 41, and 49
  • We'll use that to our advantage, as he's projected for just 26.3 against the Thunder
  • This total is likely to dip to 28.5, so if you come across that, you can still play the Under to odds as short as around -130
  • Rob Paul digs more into this game with his Thunder vs. Timberwolves prediction

Anthony Edwards player props vs. Thunder

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Written By:
Andrew Brennan
Andrew Brennan is a publishing editor for Sportsbook Review. He also heads the website’s MLB coverage, from the various futures markets to daily picks. Andrew believes a math-based approach is the best way to enjoy long-term success in sports betting, and he’s spent the better part of the last year fine-tuning his own process for MLB, NBA, and NFL picks. Andrew uses eight different sportsbooks to find the best odds available and various projection models to gather as much information as he can. His most used sportsbooks are bet365, FanDuel, and theScore Bet. When it comes to daily projection models, he regularly references NumberFire across all sports, as it’s one of the best free tools available. In terms of which daily markets Andrew attacks, he almost exclusively bets on pitcher strikeouts for baseball. When the winter rolls around, you’ll see him providing more variety when it comes to the NBA (points, assists, rebounds) and NFL (almost any offensive-based player prop). He used these tools to go +150 units in 2023. Andrew is also a passionate fantasy sports player. He’s played fantasy football, fantasy Premier League, and fantasy baseball for the last decade. He graduated from Durham College with his diploma in journalism after earning his degree in law from Carleton University. He’s worked in sports media since early 2017, first contributing at FanSided before moving to theScore. He joined SBR in 2022.