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Wings vs. Mystics Prediction: WNBA Picks for Friday, July 31

My Wings vs. Mystics prediction breaks down the best bets I'm backing for the WNBA tonight.
Dallas Wings guards Azzi Fudd (35) and Paige Bueckers (5) celebrate as we break down our Wings vs. Mystics prediction.
Pictured: Dallas Wings guards Azzi Fudd (35) and Paige Bueckers (5) celebrate as we break down our Wings vs. Mystics prediction. Photo by Jerome Miron / Imagn Images.
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Get ready for an exciting matchup between two talented young teams with my Wings vs. Mystics prediction.

Tipoff from CareFirst Arena in Washington, D.C., is set for 7:30 p.m. ET (ION). The Wings are a 3-point betting favorite over the Mystics today and have the seventh-shortest WNBA championship odds.


🏀 Wings vs. Mystics prediction: WNBA picks

See all of our experts' WNBA picks based on the latest WNBA odds.

💰 Pick ⚖️ Bet size (units) 🧠 Why I bet this
Wings -2.5 (-113 via DraftKings) 1u → 0.88u This is a must-win spot for the Wings, who blew a 15-point lead last time out.
Wings Over 20.5 first-quarter points (-120 via FanDuel) 0.5u → 0.42u I expect a strong start from Dallas as a response to its loss the other night.
Paige Bueckers Over 19.5 points (-114 via DraftKings) 1u → 0.87u Paige Bueckers averages 21.4 points per game in wins this year. 

Total wagered: 2.5 units | Max profit: 2.17 units

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🏆 Who will win Wings vs. Mystics?

I predict the Wings to win by four against the Mystics on Friday. Dallas defeated Washington by 23 as a 4.5-point home favorite in the only prior head-to-head meeting of the season. The Wings have been the better team all year, and this is a game they need to win.

Score prediction: Wings 86, Mystics 82


💰 Wings vs. Mystics prediction & best bet

Wings -2.5 (-113)

With this spread as high as 3.5 in the market, it's only a matter of time before this -2.5 goes away.

In Dallas' last two losses, this team has blown a 15-point lead to the Atlanta Dream and suffered another late collapse in an overtime defeat to the New York Liberty. Basically, the Wings just need to do a better job of closing games.

Fortunately for them, the Mystics are the youngest team in the league and don't always know how to close games. I like the Wings in a bounce-back spot, especially under a full possession.


🔥 Best Wings vs. Mystics player prop bet

Paige Bueckers Over 19.5 points (-114)

Dallas guard Paige Bueckers needs to be more aggressive, even former President Barack Obama told her as much over All-Star weekend.

That's why it was disappointing to see Bueckers attempt just 11 shots against the Dream in her first matchup after the break. She scored 16 points, spoiling an impressive scoring stretch in recent weeks. Bueckers has scored 20-plus points in nine of her last 11 games, averaging 23.4 points per contest.

I'd be surprised if Bueckers has another quiet offensive night, especially since she's averaging 21.4 points in wins this year. Honestly, it feels like a discount to get her scoring line below 20 in this spot.


🚀 Wings vs. Mystics same-game parlay

My parlay record hasn't been good enough in the first half of the regular season, so I'll try to shoot for a base hit with a simple two-leg SGP in this Wings vs. Mystics game. I truly believe Paige Bueckers will be motivated to get going offensively in a game her team needs to win, so I've kept it straightforward by betting her points and the Wings' moneyline.

💵 Wings vs. Mystics SGP picks

  • Wings ML (-158)
  • Paige Bueckers 20-plus points (-125)

Best odds: +154 via FanDuel (0.1u -> 0.15u)


💵 My betting record for WNBA picks

All WNBA picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since May 9.

Bet type Record Net profit ROI
Overall 78-97-1 +8.99 units ✅ 7.3% ✅
Player props 28-18 +8.87 units ✅ 19.4% ✅
Parlays 5-38 -1.98 units ❌ -46% ❌

📊 Live Wings vs. Mystics odds


📺 How to watch Wings vs. Mystics

  • Date: Friday, July 31
  • Tipoff: 7:30 p.m. ET
  • Location: CareFirst Arena (Washington, D.C.)
  • TV: ION
  • Streaming: WNBA League Pass