Storm vs. Dream Prediction: WNBA Picks for Friday, July 31
I'm backing the road team as I make my Storm vs. Dream prediction ahead tipoff at 7:30 p.m. ET on Friday at the Gateway Center Arena in Atlanta on ION.
Atlanta is listed as a 12.5-point favorite as a WNBA championship odds contender, but I think that's giving the home team too much credit on Friday.
🏀 Storm vs. Dream prediction: WNBA picks
See all of our experts' WNBA picks based on the latest WNBA odds.
| 💰 Pick | ⚖️ Bet size (units) | 🧠 Why I bet this |
|---|---|---|
| Storm +12.5 (-105 via bet365) | 0.5u → 0.47u | I like the Storm at +12.5, as they've covered the spread in six of their past eight games. |
| Under 178.5 (-105 via Caesars) | 0.5u → 0.47u | I project slight value on the Under at 178.5 or better. |
| Flau'jae Johnson Over 13.5 points (-118 via FanDuel) | 1u → 0.85u | Seattle rookie Flau'jae Johnson has scored 14-plus points in five straight contests and seven of her last eight outings. |
Total wagered: 2 units | Max profit: 1.79 units
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🏆 Who will win Storm vs. Dream?
I project the Dream to win by 10 points against the Storm on Friday. Atlanta overcame a 15-point deficit to defeat the Dallas Wings the other night, but this team hasn't been in great form. The Dream are 1-9 against the spread over their last 10 games, suggesting the market is too high on them in this matchup.
Score prediction: Dream 93, Storm 83
💰 Storm vs. Dream prediction & best bet
Storm +12.5 (-105)
There is no reason to risk too much on this game, but I like the Storm at +12.5 given their recent form compared to the Dream.
While Atlanta is 1-9 against the spread over the last month, Seattle has covered the number in six of its past eight contests. During that stretch, Seattle's largest spread was +12.5 in Atlanta on July 9. The Dream won that game by 11.
I'm expecting a similar outcome tonight. I simply don't trust the Dream as big favorites right now.
🔥 Best Storm vs. Dream player prop bet
Flau'jae Johnson Over 13.5 points (-118)
I'm backing Seattle rookie Flau'jae Johnson to keep up her recent scoring pace in a favorable spot. Johnson has scored 14 or more points in five straight contests and seven of her previous eight outings.
Since July 6, Johnson is averaging 18.1 points per game while posting a 26.9% usage rating. Her scoring line closed as high as 15.5 last time out against the Indiana Fever.
The Dream allowed Johnson to record 14 points on 12 shots in the previous head-to-head matchup. I project another solid output from Johnson tonight.
🚀 Storm vs. Dream same-game parlay
I'll keep it simple with tonight's Storm vs. Dream parlay. I like the idea of backing Johnson in a game that Seattle should hang around in. Those two legs are somewhat correlated, as Johnson's improved play has fueled the Storm's recent stretch. This young team should continue to be frisky as long as Johnson is delivering.
💵 Storm vs. Dream SGP picks
- Storm +12.5 (-112)
- Flau'jae Johnson Over 13.5 points (-118)
Best odds: +169 via FanDuel (0.1u -> 0.169u)
💵 My betting record for WNBA picks
All WNBA picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since May 9.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 78-97-1 | +8.99 units ✅ | 7.3% ✅ |
| Player props | 28-18 | +8.87 units ✅ | 19.4% ✅ |
| Parlays | 5-38 | -1.98 units ❌ | -46% ❌ |
📊 Live Storm vs. Dream odds
📺 How to watch Storm vs. Dream
- Date: Friday, July 31
- Tipoff: 7:30 p.m. ET
- Location: Gateway Center Arena (Atlanta)
- TV: ION
- Streaming: WNBA League Pass
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