Liberty vs. Aces Prediction: Today's WNBA Picks for Thursday, July 30
📡 SBR Edge: New York, New York Wins Big on Vegas Strip
My Liberty vs. Aces prediction includes Liberty +4.5 (-110) and Jonquel Jones Under 8.5 rebounds (+110). New York has exceeded expectations in recent meetings with Las Vegas, while Jones has struggled on the glass against A'ja Wilson.
🏀 Liberty vs. Aces prediction: WNBA picks
See all of our experts' WNBA picks based on the latest WNBA odds.
| 💰 Pick | ⚖️ Units | 🧠 Why I bet this |
|---|---|---|
| Liberty +4.5 (-110 via DraftKings) | 2.2u → 2u | The Liberty have covered 5 of their last 6 games vs. the Aces. |
| Over 181.5 (-108 via DraftKings) | 0.54u → 0.5u | The Liberty have scored 91+ points in 4 of their last 5 games. |
| Jonquel Jones Under 8.5 rebounds (+110 via FanDuel) | 1.36u → 1.5u | Jones has grabbed 7 or fewer rebounds in each of her last 2 games vs. Wilson. |
Total wagered: 4.1 units | Max profit: 4 units
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🏆 Who will win Liberty vs. Aces?
My score prediction is that the Liberty will beat the Aces by four points today. While I'm not saying New York should be favored - the Aces are at home and rank higher in the WNBA championship odds - I believe the Liberty are a bad matchup for Las Vegas and will continue to perform well in this head-to-head series. However, my best bet is on the spread because it's more likely to hit.
Score prediction: Liberty 94, Aces 90
💰 Liberty vs. Aces prediction & best bet
Liberty +4.5 (-110)
The Liberty have already defeated the Aces once in Las Vegas this season, and while I'm not guaranteeing another win, New York should be able to keep this game close at the very least.
The Liberty are 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings between these teams and have been able to contain Wilson. The four-time MVP has scored 17 or fewer points in each of her last three games against the Liberty, and if she struggles again today, this bet will likely hit.
Liberty +4.5 (-110) at DraftKings is the best line available among the top sports betting sites.
🔥 Best Liberty vs. Aces player prop bet
Jonquel Jones Under 8.5 rebounds (+110)
While Jones grabbed nine rebounds in the WNBA Commissioner's Cup final, Wilson didn't play in that game.
Jones has struggled on the glass in recent meetings with Wilson, grabbing seven or fewer rebounds in each of their last two head-to-head matchups. Wilson averages the third-most rebounds per game (9.7) in the W, while Jones ranks sixth with 9.1. With the total set at 181.5 tonight - and the last 10 meetings closing at 174.5 or lower - expect plenty of scoring and fewer rebounds for Jones.
Jones Under 8.5 rebounds (+110) at FanDuel is the best line available among the top sports betting apps.
🏀 More WNBA player props today
I feature Julie Allemand in my Lynx vs. Tempo prediction.
🚀 Liberty vs. Aces same-game parlay
Parlaying these three bets at DraftKings pays +700.
💵 Liberty vs. Aces SGP picks
- Liberty +4.5
- Over 181.5
- Jonquel Jones Under 8.5 rebounds
Odds: +700 via DraftKings (0.21u → 1.5u)
📊 Live Liberty vs. Aces odds
🚑 Liberty vs. Aces injuries
Injury report last updated at 6:44 p.m. ET.
Liberty
- Leonie Fiebich (foot) - out
- Marine Johannes (ankle) - available
- Satou Sabally (concussion) - out
Aces
- Kierstan Bell (leg) - doubtful
- Cheyenne Parker-Tyus (concussion) - out
- NaLyssa Smith (illness) - probable
📺 How to watch Liberty vs. Aces
- Date: Thursday, July 30
- Tipoff: 10 p.m. ET
- Location: Michelob Ultra Arena (Las Vegas)
- TV: Prime Video
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