Valkyries vs. Mercury Prediction: Today's WNBA Picks for July 29
📡 SBR Edge: Back Valkyries in Phoenix
My Valkyries vs. Mercury prediction includes Valkyries -3.5 (-114) and Monique Akoa Makani Under 9.5 points (-113). Golden State is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games, while Akoa Makani has scored a median of nine points over her last 11 outings.
🏀 Valkyries vs. Mercury prediction: WNBA picks
See all of our experts' WNBA picks based on the latest WNBA odds.
| 💰 Pick | ⚖️ Units | 🧠 Why I bet this |
|---|---|---|
| Valkyries -3.5 (-114 via FanDuel) | 2.28u → 2u | The Valkyries are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games. |
| Under 156.5 (-105 via Caesars) | 0.53u → 0.5u | The Valkyries have allowed 75 or fewer points in 8 of their last 10 games. |
| Monique Akoa Makani Under 9.5 points (-113 via DraftKings) | 1.7u → 1.5u | Akoa Makani has scored a median of 9 points over her last 11 outings. |
Total wagered: 4.51 units | Max profit: 4 units
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🏆 Who will win Valkyries vs. Mercury?
I like the Valkyries to beat the Mercury by five points today. Golden State has been the biggest (positive) surprise in the league this season, rising to the fourth-shortest WNBA championship odds after opening with the eighth-shortest odds. The Mercury, meanwhile, have been one of the most disappointing teams, falling to the 10th-shortest championship odds after opening with the fifth-shortest.
Score prediction: Valkyries 80, Mercury 75
💰 Valkyries vs. Mercury prediction & best bet
Valkyries -3.5 (-114)
The market has been upgrading the Valkyries, but I don't think it's been aggressive enough.
Golden State has covered eight of its last 10 games, including a 13-point road win over the Fever on July 15, who I have as a much better team than the Mercury in my power rankings. The Valkyries' last five road games have all been wins by five or more points, covering by an average margin of 8.1 points per game during that span.
Valkyries -3.5 (-114) at FanDuel is the best line available among the top sports betting sites.
🔥 Best Valkyries vs. Mercury player prop bet
Monique Akoa Makani Under 9.5 points (-113)
Akoa Makani has been inconsistent lately, and this is a key number to bet her Under. She has recorded a median of nine points per game over her last 11 outings and even scored zero points in a home loss to the Sun on July 17.
It's not uncommon for Akoa Makani to be absent from the offense, and against the top-ranked defense in the W (76.4 opponent points per game), this will likely be another one of those nights. Akoa Makani Under 9.5 points (-113) at DraftKings is the best line available among the top sports betting apps.
🏀 More WNBA player props today
I feature Paige Bueckers in my Dream vs. Wings prediction.
🎟️ Most-bet WNBA player props today
Betting insights via BetMGM.
| Player | Team | Bet | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paige Bueckers | Wings | To score 20+ points | -145 |
| Angel Reese | Dream | To record 12+ rebounds | -150 |
| Brionna Jones | Dream | To score 10+ points | +115 |
| Paige Bueckers | Wings | To record 2+ made 3-pointers | +110 |
| Arike Ogunbowale | Wings | To score 15+ points | +100 |
🚀 Valkyries vs. Mercury same-game parlay
Parlaying these three bets at DraftKings pays +475.
💵 Valkyries vs. Mercury SGP picks
- Valkyries -3.5
- Under 156.5
- Monique Akoa Makani Under 9.5 points
Odds: +475 via DraftKings
📊 Live Valkyries vs. Mercury odds
🚑 Valkyries vs. Mercury injuries
Injury report last updated at 6:57 p.m. ET.
Valkyries
- Gabby Williams (reconditioning) - questionable
Mercury
- None
📺 How to watch Valkyries vs. Mercury
- Date: Wednesday, July 29
- Tipoff: 10 p.m. ET
- Location: Mortgage Matchup Center (Phoenix)
- TV: USA Network, CNBC
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