MLB Best Home Run Predictions Today: Best HR Props, Picks, Parlay & Odds (July 31)
Today's MLB home run picks spotlight three of the game's most dangerous power bats, each with the ability to change a game with one swing. Our home run predictions today feature Junior Caminero, Spencer Torkelson, and James Wood, three sluggers who consistently rank among the league leaders in hard-hit balls, barrel rate, and home run upside. Whether you're building a home run parlay or targeting individual player props, these are our favorite long-ball selections to go deep on Friday's MLB slate.
βΎ Home run predictions today: MLB HR picks & odds July 31
See all of our expertsβ MLB picks based on the latest MLB odds.
| π£ Home run pick | π΅ Units | π Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Junior Caminero (+255 via FanDuel) | .5u β 1.27u | Junior Caminero has emerged as one of baseball's premier power hitters, and with 29 home runs, a .541 slugging percentage, and elite bat speed that produces tape-measure shots, he has all the tools to go deep again today. |
| James Wood (+280 via DraftKings) | .5u β 1.4u | James Wood's power makes him a strong home run candidate today, as he already has 30 homers this season, ranks among MLB's hardest hitters, and consistently generates the type of elite exit velocity that can leave any ballpark |
| Spencer Torkelson (+280 via FanDuel) | .5u β 1.4u | Spencer Torkelson has the power to leave the yard in any matchup, and with 20 home runs this season plus a recent stretch of eight homers over his last 30 games, he's a strong candidate to go deep today in a small park. |
Total wagered: 1.5 units | Max profit: 4.07 units
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π£ Best home run predictions & odds today
Home run pick: Junior Caminero (+255)
Junior Caminero has emerged as one of baseball's premier young power hitters, making him an excellent home run pick tonight. His elite bat speed, impressive barrel rate, and ability to drive the ball to all fields give him tremendous long-ball upside in every matchup.
Caminero has consistently punished mistakes over the heart of the plate and thrives against pitchers who struggle to limit hard contact. If he gets a pitch to elevate early in the count, expect him to capitalize. Backing Caminero to hit a home run is a strong value play on tonight's MLB slate.
- Time: 7:11 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: MLB.TV
📡 SBR Edge: Caminero can't be stopped
Junior Caminero ranks among the MLB leaders in barrel rate this season, a key metric that measures the percentage of batted balls with the ideal combination of exit velocity and launch angle for extra-base hits and home runs. Hitters with elite barrel rates are consistently among the league's top home run threats.
π₯ More home run predictions today
Home run pick: James Wood (+280)
James Wood is one of the premier power hitters in baseball and has all the ingredients to leave the yard tonight. The Nationals outfielder already has 30 home runs this season and recently showcased his massive power with a two-homer performance, proving he can change a game with one swing.
His combination of elite exit velocity, towering raw power, and disciplined approach makes him a constant home run threat against any pitcher. Wood also ranks among the league leaders in hard-hit balls, giving him consistent long-ball upside. Expect him to capitalize if he gets a pitch he can elevate.
- Time: 7:15 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: MLB.TV
Home run pick: Spencer Torkelson (+280)
Spencer Torkelson has quietly put together another strong power season and is a great candidate to hit a home run tonight. The Tigers first baseman has already launched 20 home runs this year while consistently ranking near the top of the league in hard-hit contact.
His combination of raw strength, patience at the plate, and ability to punish fastballs makes him a dangerous matchup for opposing pitchers. Torkelson doesn't need many opportunities to make an impact, and when he elevates the baseball, it often travels a long way. Look for his power to be on display once again tonight playing in the Athletics small stadium.
- Time: 9:40 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: MLB.TV
⚽️ Additional MLB plays today
If you're looking for NRFI plays today, our Dustin Saracini broke down his favorites in his Best NRFI bets today.
ποΈ Most-bet MLB player props today
Betting insights via BetMGM.
| Player | Team | Bet | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Miguel Vargas | White Sox | To hit 1+ home runs | +390 |
| Kyle Schwarber | Phillies | To hit 1+ home runs | +180 |
| Yordan Alvarez | Astros | To hit 1+ home runs | +220 |
| Nick Kurtz | A's | To hit 1+ home runs | +230 |
| Shohei Ohtani | Dodgers | To hit 1+ home runs | +310 |
π Best home run parlay picks today
💵 Best MLB home run parlay today
- Junior Caminero (+255)
- James Wood (+280)
- Spencer Torkelson (+280)
Best odds: +4823 via FanDuel (.1u -> 4.82u)
π΅ My betting record for MLB picks
All MLB picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since 3/7/2026.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-21-1 | +5.2 units β | 79.76% β |
| Game picks | 18-8-0 | +7.9 units β | 56.99% β |
| Player props | 7-11-1 | -6.3 units β | 48.91% β |
| Parlays | 3-2-0 | +3.6 units β | +88.88% β |
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